Realized P&L
+$584
Unrealized P&L
+$255
Hit rate
74.4%
Resolved
331
Trades
2,373
lifetime
Volume
$34.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$4.75K
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-08
last 11-03 20:20
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 50 days
Categories
Other
65% 45% +$456
Politics
21% 56% +$79
Tech
14% 59% +$49
Crypto
1% 50% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
56 active days in 12wk • peak 157 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +700 $517 92¢ $643 +$126 10-22 04:45
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? Yes +698 $559 91¢ $635 +$75 10-26 20:46
NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026? No +600 $453 98¢ $588 +$136 10-23 19:47
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? Yes +700 $579 83¢ $581 +$2 10-22 14:59
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026? No +496 $437 94¢ $464 +$27 10-30 17:39
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? Yes +528 $492 88¢ $463 -$29 10-28 18:17
US imports Russian diesel by December 31? No +699 $274 57¢ $402 +$128 11-02 17:41
Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027? Yes +211 $175 99¢ $208 +$33 11-03 04:19
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? No +697 $65 15¢ $101 +$36 10-26 20:46
Iran leadership change by November 30? No +100 $87 94¢ $94 +$6 10-21 07:22
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? Yes +144 $76 53¢ $76 +$0 10-21 13:11
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027? No +144 $69 48¢ $70 +$1 10-21 13:11
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? No +700 $201 9¢ $63 -$138 10-22 04:45
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027? Yes +100 $37 62¢ $62 +$25 10-29 19:03
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? Yes +496 $67 12¢ $62 -$5 10-30 17:38
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026? Yes +75 $56 78¢ $58 +$2 11-03 19:58
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026? No +236 $39 22¢ $53 +$14 11-02 20:14
NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026? Yes +600 $158 6¢ $33 -$125 10-23 19:48
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +565 $75 6¢ $32 -$43 10-24 00:27
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? No +28 $26 93¢ $26 $0 11-01 08:31
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +100 $15 12¢ $12 -$2 10-21 07:21
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? Yes +140 $23 8¢ $12 -$11 10-30 05:52
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30? No +10 $5 62¢ $6 +$1 10-28 14:44
Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +5 $2 94¢ $5 +$3 10-08 19:38
Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027? No +260 $31 1¢ $4 -$28 10-21 19:14
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30? Yes +2 -$1 38¢ $1 +$1 10-27 14:42
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30? Yes +1 $0 22¢ $0 +$0 10-07 23:23
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $125 91¢ $0 -$125 10-16 15:56
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $14 16¢ $0 -$14 10-14 13:45
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? No +0 -$159 14¢ $0 +$159 10-16 15:54