Realized P&L
+$12
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
65.2%
Resolved
8
Trades
25
lifetime
Volume
$97
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$8
6 positions
First seen
2026-10-15
last 11-10 22:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
67% 100% +$12
Other
16% 25% +$10
Tech
16% 0% -$11
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
14 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +7 -$1 61¢ $4 +$5 11-10 22:56
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +5 $2 36¢ $2 $0 11-08 20:55
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +7 $1 18¢ $1 +$0 10-16 21:04
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? No +10 $1 3¢ $0 -$1 11-09 20:41
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? No +10 $3 2¢ $0 -$2 10-24 20:25
Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026? No +3 $1 8¢ $0 -$1 10-26 20:53