Realized P&L
-$567
Unrealized P&L
-$30
Hit rate
80.4%
Resolved
161
Trades
540
lifetime
Volume
$8.76K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$16
Open exposure
$556
18 positions
First seen
2026-09-21
last 10-26 05:25
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 31 days
Categories
Other
56% 90% -$2
Sports
27% 88% -$364
Politics
9% 23% -$167
Tech
7% 88% -$26
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$10
Crypto
0% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
15 active days in 12wk • peak 66 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Notre Dame Fighting Irish win the 2027 CFP National Championship? No +156 $137 86¢ $133 -$4 10-03 19:49
Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +97 $96 99¢ $96 $0 09-27 00:09
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +58 $54 92¢ $53 $0 09-27 00:14
Will Georgia Bulldogs win the 2027 CFP National Championship? No +67 $59 77¢ $51 -$7 09-23 21:47
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? No +78 $50 54¢ $41 -$8 09-29 16:35
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +33 $33 99¢ $33 +$0 09-27 00:03
Will Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season? No +45 $26 60¢ $27 +$1 09-29 11:36
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? No +27 $22 85¢ $23 +$1 10-03 05:45
Will T1 win Worlds 2026? No +22 $19 78¢ $18 -$1 10-03 14:00
Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027? No +36 $26 45¢ $16 -$10 10-01 22:30
Will Texas Longhorns win the 2027 CFP National Championship? No +17 $14 93¢ $16 +$1 09-21 14:48
Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? No +18 $12 72¢ $13 +$1 09-30 16:55
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +13 $12 94¢ $12 +$0 09-30 20:12
Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028? No +25 $9 32¢ $8 -$1 10-02 03:31
Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +7 $6 96¢ $6 $0 09-27 00:09
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026? No +8 $7 75¢ $6 -$1 09-25 05:42
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? No +27 $2 7¢ $2 $0 09-25 13:20
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026? No +16 $1 6¢ $1 $0 09-28 14:13