Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.52K

Unrealized P&L

-$11

Hit rate

38.3%

Resolved

882

Trades

3,710

lifetime

Volume

$71.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

$26

5 positions

First seen

2026-06-25

last 09-18 17:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 80 days

Categories

Crypto

51% 84% -$1,201

Other

34% 10% -$1,806

Politics

8% 9% -$156

Tech

4% 7% -$250

Sports

3% 6% -$110

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 1126 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	+16	$13	96¢	$15	+$2	08-01 07:47
will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	+10	$11	100¢	$10	-$1	08-01 07:04
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	+16	$7	4¢	$1	-$7	08-01 08:32
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?	No	+5	$3	2¢	$0	-$3	08-19 11:07
will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	Yes	+10	$3	0¢	$0	-$3	07-31 23:15

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 17:00 UTC	105	$1.6K	3,343	0	+3,343	Up	+$65	08-10 17:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 18:00 UTC	70	$1.4K	2,697	0	+2,697	Up	-$95	08-10 18:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 09:00 UTC	127	$1.4K	2,648	0	+2,648	Down	-$113	08-11 09:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 19:45 UTC	96	$1.3K	2,512	0	+2,512	Up	-$62	08-10 19:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 19:30 UTC	104	$1.2K	2,431	0	+2,431	Up	-$3	08-10 19:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 15:30 UTC	133	$1.1K	2,609	0	+2,609	Down	+$45	08-10 15:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 18:30 UTC	47	$967	1,834	0	+1,834	Down	-$78	08-10 18:37
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 17:15 UTC	71	$765	1,660	0	+1,660	Down	+$2	08-10 17:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 20:00 UTC	66	$757	1,491	0	+1,491	Up	-$34	08-10 20:08
iran full airspace closure by august 15	33	$744	885	770	+115	No	-$6	08-02 21:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 16:30 UTC	52	$673	1,313	0	+1,313	Down	+$80	08-10 16:37
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	33	$647	567	567	+0	Yes	-$7	08-06 07:08
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	14	$510	516	516	+0	No	-$42	07-29 00:33
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 15:00 UTC	30	$469	806	44	+762	Down	-$3	08-10 15:11
Will Georgia Tree win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election?	4	$416	395	395	+0	No	-$46	08-05 01:45
Will Ülle Madise be the next President of Estonia?	8	$415	405	405	+0	Yes	-$44	08-03 01:46
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	43	$394	459	428	+31	open	—	08-01 08:32
Will Bradley Barcola stay at Paris Saint-Germain?	11	$392	320	320	+0	No	-$25	08-09 15:36
Will there be no Likud party primary by the next Knesset Election?	5	$362	210	210	+0	No	-$8	08-10 06:01
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?	7	$361	319	319	+0	Yes	-$27	08-07 01:45
Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 550m and 570m by August 31?	12	$351	308	308	+0	Yes	-$35	08-06 05:29
Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	7	$346	250	250	+0	Yes	-$26	08-06 18:13
gemini 4pt0 released by september 30 2026	18	$341	353	353	+0	No	-$9	08-09 19:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 11:30 UTC	41	$338	730	0	+730	Down	-$126	08-10 11:37
Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in July?	10	$335	320	320	+0	No	-$26	08-09 01:33
Will USD be between 1.9M and 2.0M Iranian rials on August 31?	5	$335	241	241	+0	No	-$26	08-07 09:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 12:30 UTC	23	$330	650	0	+650	Down	-$30	08-10 12:32
Will the Ornn H200 Index be at least $6.00 on September 30, 2026?	12	$330	247	247	+0	No	-$9	08-10 06:05
Will Alibaba be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?	11	$320	237	237	+0	No	-$26	08-03 04:41
will openais astra model be released by august 31 2026 20260801214557731	4	$319	238	238	+0	No	-$8	08-07 01:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-18 17:29:01	Xochitl Gomez as America Chavez?	Yes	SELL	9	60¢	$5	0x6dcfb5…
09-18 17:28:55	Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Best Audio Design at the 2026 Game Awards?	Yes	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0xb863d7…
09-18 17:28:48	Will Alibaba be the third-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	37¢	$7	0xd2c33f…
09-18 17:28:37	Will Filipe Barros win the second-most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election?	Yes	SELL	20	49¢	$10	0x0d580d…
09-18 17:28:30	Will Assimi Goïta be out as President of Mali by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	20	57¢	$11	0x34a760…
09-18 17:28:19	Will Team Liquid Make the LCS 2026 Summer Grand Final?	No	SELL	20	48¢	$10	0x5fc9ba…
09-18 17:28:12	Hotstuff FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	50	23¢	$11	0xa88ca4…
09-18 17:27:55	Will Google be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	SELL	20	81¢	$16	0x11a7d7…
09-18 17:27:46	Will Moonshot be the second-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0x1e50a3…
09-18 17:27:33	Will MagicBlock launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	30	64¢	$19	0x29f326…
08-26 03:13:42	Will the Lions win the season series against the Packers during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	20	69¢	$14	0x8b1e9d…
08-26 03:13:28	Nasdaq round-the-clock trading by December 31?	Yes	SELL	20	84¢	$17	0xd95898…
08-26 03:13:04	Will "Don't Look Down" - Rod Wave first week album sales be between 85k and 105k?	No	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0xa824be…
08-19 21:48:15	Will the season series between the Bengals and Browns end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	40	58¢	$23	0x6ba96a…
08-19 11:13:25	Will Filipe Barros win the second-most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election?	Yes	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x97094c…
08-19 11:07:36	Will Marília Campos win the most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?	Yes	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xb12667…
08-19 11:07:25	Will Marília Campos win the most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?	Yes	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xd23f4f…
08-19 11:07:03	Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?	No	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xf2d2af…
08-19 11:05:52	Will OpenAI be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0xb21f21…
08-19 11:05:42	Will OpenAI be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	46¢	$5	0xb368b6…
08-19 11:04:28	Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x1e80b2…
08-18 14:23:51	Will Moonshot be the second-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0xded85a…
08-18 10:51:49	next kimi k model released by september 15 2026	Yes	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xab8df6…
08-18 10:42:04	will assimi goita be out as president of mali by june 30 2027 20260706205743293	No	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x6d02ff…
08-18 10:07:01	nasdaq round the clock trading by december 31 20260701160424096	Yes	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x857200…
08-18 09:37:51	will the next grok model 4pt6 debut with a humanitys last exam score of 40 or higher 20260810180408167	Yes	BUY	40	65¢	$26	0x0cabdf…
08-18 09:04:21	Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	33¢	$6	0x61aa8e…
08-18 03:21:31	Will Alex Cora be the next permanent manager of the Philadelphia Phillies?	Yes	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x9412ed…
08-17 21:42:39	will shifters make the lec 2026 summer grand final 20260728180313579	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x356317…
08-17 20:43:13	will team liquid make the lcs 2026 summer grand final 20260728180643616	No	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x97ed55…
08-17 19:49:45	Will Marvel's Wolverine win Best Audio Design at the 2026 Game Awards?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xbe95b5…
08-17 17:14:49	Will Marvel's Wolverine win Best Audio Design at the 2026 Game Awards?	Yes	BUY	7	34¢	$2	0x8b4cee…
08-17 14:50:07	will thunder talk gaming make the lpl 2026 split 3 grand final 20260728181620749	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x688947…
08-17 14:14:37	will deep cross gaming make the lcp 2026 split 3 grand final 20260728175956942	Yes	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0xde9ea2…
08-17 06:14:00	will top esports qualify for worlds 2026 20260728162208118	No	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x90761c…
08-17 04:23:09	Will Xiaomi have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xb054d3…
08-17 03:21:33	will thunder talk gaming make a roster change by december 20260805205516493	No	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x279b77…
08-17 03:06:37	ewc cs2 2026 will any player end the event with a 1pt30 rating 20260810174821411	No	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xddfdfb…
08-16 21:20:13	will jessica tisch be out as new york city police commissioner by december 31 20260729145757933	Yes	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x04af91…
08-16 19:59:57	Will Los Angeles Mad Drops win the Major League Pickleball End of Season Championship?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x0c51bf…
08-16 19:59:55	Will Los Angeles Mad Drops win the Major League Pickleball End of Season Championship?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xee0765…
08-16 19:59:54	Will Los Angeles Mad Drops win the Major League Pickleball End of Season Championship?	Yes	BUY	8	16¢	$1	0x407800…
08-16 18:34:12	will a player pick teemo in a tier 1 leagueevent this year 20260624131200269	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x2cb1fd…
08-16 13:09:06	Xochitl Gomez as America Chavez?	Yes	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0xdc3a0a…
08-16 12:53:25	will g2 esports qualify for lec 2026 summer split playoffs 20260805200222399	No	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0x089416…
08-16 12:47:12	will kirsten gillibrand vote yea on the clarity act 20260729190926663	Yes	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x0abe92…
08-16 12:35:15	will kirsten gillibrand vote yea on the clarity act 20260729190926663	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x43530f…
08-16 12:11:19	will elise stefanik announce a presidential run before 2028 20260803143241657	Yes	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x5a3a9c…
08-16 10:59:58	will dudu get a pentakill in lck 2026 rounds 3 4 20260730210536363	Yes	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0x0b9bd0…
08-16 10:34:01	will astralis make cs2 ewc grand finals 20260810162242407	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x62bca1…
08-16 10:26:09	Will Moonshot be the second-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x3dee24…
08-16 09:36:54	Will Jonathan Milan win the 2026 ADAC Cyclassics?	Yes	BUY	50	59¢	$30	0x52df40…
08-16 09:36:16	Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	20	54¢	$11	0x745e42…
08-16 09:35:21	Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	39¢	$8	0x5b99c9…
08-16 09:34:51	will assimi goita be out as president of mali by june 30 2027 20260706205743293	Yes	SELL	20	47¢	$9	0xba891b…
08-16 09:34:04	Will there be 4-5 Rampages at The International 2026?	No	SELL	20	77¢	$15	0xb14763…
08-16 09:33:48	will waymo launch in denver by december 31 2026 20260626201631467	No	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0xe18b62…
08-16 09:03:34	Gwyneth Paltrow as Pepper Potts?	No	SELL	50	47¢	$24	0xed5772…
08-16 08:17:57	Will Tencent have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0xfd07dc…
08-16 07:17:55	will furia make a roster change before september 20260623155239418	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x62be10…
08-16 06:31:16	Gwyneth Paltrow as Pepper Potts?	No	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x8441b3…
08-16 02:57:36	Will there be 4-5 Rampages at The International 2026?	No	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x5c1237…
08-16 02:25:10	will pvision make playoffs 20260810160605058	Yes	BUY	17	46¢	$8	0xbda706…
08-16 02:17:54	will pvision make playoffs 20260810160605058	Yes	BUY	17	46¢	$8	0xae7e84…
08-16 01:59:04	will phygitals launch a token by december 31 2027 20260727144541114	No	BUY	30	59¢	$18	0x7f8bb7…
08-16 01:56:43	will magicblock launch a token by december 31 2026	No	BUY	30	63¢	$19	0x0c9f56…
08-16 01:54:51	Hotstuff FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	30	21¢	$6	0x529ef5…
08-16 01:52:42	MagicBlock FDV above $20M one day after launch?	No	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x19a6cb…
08-16 01:52:36	townsquare fdv above 300m one day after launch 20260720191919476	Yes	BUY	23	19¢	$4	0xee3b90…
08-16 01:52:06	APYX FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x5caf90…
08-16 01:45:31	Tori FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xca8281…
08-16 01:45:24	Tori FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	19	47¢	$9	0x7e06b4…
08-16 01:41:13	Hotstuff FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x8e7fe0…
08-15 23:53:10	will flyquest make the lcs 2026 summer grand final 20260728180643618	Yes	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x15ce76…
08-15 23:48:07	will t1 make a roster change before september 20260629165928757	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x5eb445…
08-15 23:35:12	Will Maaylen Win the 2026 Soloq Challenge (Low Elo)	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xc93948…
08-15 20:29:58	Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?	Yes	SELL	20	52¢	$10	0xed4674…
08-15 20:29:25	will there be at least 2750 measles cases in the uptspt by august 31 2026 20260811160340034	Yes	SELL	20	61¢	$12	0x576351…
08-15 14:32:39	will furia qualify for the cblol split 2 playoffs 20260804154923848	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x70a614…
08-15 14:12:12	will faceit half time voice chat stay after testing 20260729205919258	Yes	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x7bd2b5…
08-15 13:08:55	Will Rand Paul be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028?	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xfa1c69…
08-15 12:06:54	Will Zeling Win the 2026 Soloq Challenge (Low Elo)	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x86a54b…
08-15 09:01:13	will jessica tisch be out as new york city police commissioner by september 30 20260729145757932	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x3cd085…
08-15 08:54:25	will over 58 senators vote for the clarity act 20260729193533309	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xa83d4a…
08-15 08:48:16	will waymo launch in denver by december 31 2026 20260626201631467	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x5994ff…
08-15 08:44:51	Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?	Yes	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xbb91f0…
08-15 08:43:51	the international 2026 comeback against mega creeps 20260811192502275	Yes	BUY	1	49¢	$1	0x1cbf80…
08-15 07:15:10	Will Alibaba be the third-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	40¢	$6	0xaed5a0…
08-15 07:15:10	Will Alibaba be the third-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x386f90…
08-15 07:15:10	Will Anthropic be the third-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0x287278…
08-15 07:15:10	Will Anthropic be the third-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0x18fb66…
08-15 07:14:45	Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x088fbd…
08-15 06:38:07	Will Carnell Tate be the highest-scoring WR of the 2026-27 NFL season?	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0xbcb03c…
08-15 06:36:43	Will Ashton Jeanty be the highest-scoring RB of the 2026-27 NFL season?	Yes	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x77c525…
08-15 06:18:37	Will DeMar DeRozan play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	19	45¢	$9	0x38eee5…
08-15 06:11:13	Will Klay Thompson's next team be Memphis Grizzlies?	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x69e395…
08-15 06:06:16	Will Peyton Watson play for the New Orleans Pelicans in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x39ba81…
08-15 06:04:58	Will Caleb Williams finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most passing yards?	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x480e3b…
08-15 06:02:18	Will Klay Thompson's next team be Memphis Grizzlies?	Yes	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x82bcc4…
08-15 06:01:40	Will SpaceXAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0xbfe293…