Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

47.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$70

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-08-13

last 10-17 09:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 30 days

Categories

Other

74% 44% -$8

Politics

22% 64% +$3

Tech

4% 50% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No		+2	$1	96¢	$2	+$1	08-14 17:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-19 01:00
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $130 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	No	-$1	09-08 00:22
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	1	$1	4	+4	Yes	-$1	09-09 09:13
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $65 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	4	+4	Yes	-$1	09-24 03:05
us x iran effective ceasefire by september 4	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-08 08:50
will ukraine target moscow on september 26 2026	1	$1	6	+6	Yes	+$4	09-23 10:01
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during RNC Convention?	1	$1	6	+6	No	-$1	09-09 17:17
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	1	$1	4	+4	No	-$1	09-23 18:19
will xagusd dip to 65 by september 21 2026 from september 22	1	$1	5	+5	Yes	+$3	09-23 00:28
laptop airdrop by september 9	1	$1	7	+7	Yes	-$1	09-08 19:02
will trump say transgender during remarks in new york 20260811183234693	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	08-14 01:11
hd quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 18 2026 4pt73	1	$1	6	+6	Yes	-$1	08-16 18:08
will nflx dip to 80 in august 2026	1	$1	5	+5	No	-$1	08-29 03:37
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$0	08-13 12:23
wti closes above 92 on september 3 2026	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	09-03 16:58
will wti reach 90 in august 2026	1	$1	3	+3	No	+$1	08-19 06:02
spy up or down on august 17 2026	1	$1	4	+4	Down	+$3	08-17 09:42
will wti reach 95 in august 2026	1	$1	6	+6	No	-$1	08-22 00:57
github com critical incident by august 31 2026	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	-$1	08-22 13:38
will wti dip to 75 in august 2026 from august 6	1	$1	7	+7	No	-$1	08-18 09:59
will tsla dip to 330 by august 17 2026	1	$1	3	+3	No	-$1	08-17 01:12
will googl dip to 335 by august 31 2026 from september 2	1	$1	4	+4	No	+$3	09-02 21:09
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	1	$1	6	+6	Yes	+$5	08-19 18:17
will googl reach 350 by august 17 2026	1	$1	3	+3	No	+$1	08-18 18:24
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $135 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$1	6	+6	No	-$1	09-07 15:55
will warsh say regime during jackson hole speech on august 28	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	08-21 16:03
will xagusd reach 67 by august 31 2026 from september 1	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	09-02 00:18
will pltr dip to 168 by august 17 2026	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	08-18 01:45
Will Iran target an Arab country by September 15, 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-01 12:21
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $487.50 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	09-07 07:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-17 09:03:29	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 18?	No	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xcb5f5f…
10-16 12:31:27	spy up or down on october 16 2026	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xeb3145…
10-15 03:58:34	will the tesla roadster fly for 1s	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x6a469c…
10-14 19:57:36	saudi arabia military action against yemen on october 17	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xb9898d…
10-14 11:08:56	will spy reach 785 by october 12 2026	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x063280…
10-14 02:55:02	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 Week of October 12 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x123800…
10-13 18:27:43	spx up or down on october 13 2026	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x3b9df2…
10-10 21:58:16	Will JP Morgan (JPM) Q3 investment banking fees be above $3.2B?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x7c902c…
10-10 13:41:58	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x748ba0…
10-09 12:10:49	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $355 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x4ec2be…
10-08 03:55:56	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 8?	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xaf672d…
10-07 17:27:20	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $185 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xc92c6d…
10-05 15:21:02	will mu dip to 1020 by october 5 2026	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x889e34…
10-05 00:56:17	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $68 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xe65158…
10-02 05:24:05	spy up or down on october 2 2026	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x20258f…
09-28 10:38:32	will xagusd reach 65 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x1a756e…
09-28 00:58:24	will tsla dip to 352 50 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xf612c5…
09-27 16:45:17	OpenAI resets Codex weekly limit on September 29?	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x0cfa60…
09-27 02:35:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x229ca7…
09-24 19:37:41	Trump renames AI by September 30?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xa268a4…
09-24 11:07:29	Will Trump say "Mineral" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x39574f…
09-24 03:05:17	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $65 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	4	36¢	$1	0xb00c8f…
09-23 18:19:56	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	Yes	BUY	4	36¢	$1	0xdd03cc…
09-23 10:01:14	will ukraine target moscow on september 26 2026	Yes	BUY	6	27¢	$1	0xcdbda9…
09-23 00:28:34	will xagusd dip to 65 by september 21 2026 from september 22	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$1	0x7a75bd…
09-19 01:00:45	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x8130fd…
09-09 17:17:10	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during RNC Convention?	Yes	BUY	6	27¢	$1	0x8f3d98…
09-09 09:13:57	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	No	BUY	4	40¢	$1	0xc19923…
09-08 19:02:58	laptop airdrop by september 9	No	BUY	7	21¢	$1	0xb8cbeb…
09-08 08:50:10	us x iran effective ceasefire by september 4	Yes	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xf47f7e…
09-08 00:22:09	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $130 Week of September 7 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0xa1ed50…
09-07 15:55:54	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $135 Week of September 7 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	27¢	$1	0xd43337…
09-07 07:08:15	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $487.50 Week of September 7 2026?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xba6731…
09-03 16:58:34	wti closes above 92 on september 3 2026	No	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x565302…
09-02 21:09:13	will googl dip to 335 by august 31 2026 from september 2	No	BUY	4	36¢	$1	0x5e1638…
09-02 00:18:57	will xagusd reach 67 by august 31 2026 from september 1	No	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x8f2fd2…
09-01 12:21:27	Will Iran target an Arab country by September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0xbdaee5…
08-29 03:37:57	will nflx dip to 80 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$1	0x1ddd78…
08-22 13:38:01	github com critical incident by august 31 2026	No	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0x941143…
08-22 00:57:54	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	6	24¢	$1	0x1b74cd…
08-21 16:03:55	will warsh say regime during jackson hole speech on august 28	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x609684…
08-19 18:17:00	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0x26884f…
08-19 06:02:30	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	No	BUY	3	56¢	$1	0xb9d921…
08-18 18:24:15	will googl reach 350 by august 17 2026	No	BUY	3	53¢	$1	0x3ff982…
08-18 09:59:24	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026 from august 6	Yes	BUY	7	21¢	$1	0xdbdca8…
08-18 01:45:39	will pltr dip to 168 by august 17 2026	Yes	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x673a20…
08-17 17:45:03	will xauusd reach 4600 in august 2026	No	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0x33b484…
08-17 09:42:55	spy up or down on august 17 2026	Down	BUY	4	35¢	$1	0xc6d68e…
08-17 01:12:34	will tsla dip to 330 by august 17 2026	Yes	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0x7e8aa9…
08-16 18:08:54	hd quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 18 2026 4pt73	No	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0xc0e7f1…
08-14 17:38:43	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xb27c5b…
08-14 09:27:33	spx up or down on august 14 2026	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x528731…
08-14 01:11:43	will trump say transgender during remarks in new york 20260811183234693	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x9db5c5…
08-13 12:23:55	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	2	76¢	$1	0xffca3a…