Lumbering-Ring — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$94

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

84.9%

Resolved

7,238

Trades

12,041

lifetime

Volume

$93.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-23

last 10-31 16:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 136 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 77% -$85

Other

0% 44% +$6

Sports

0% 25% -$16

Tech

0% 33% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

56 active days in 12wk • peak 360 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	—	+15	$4	1¢	$0	-$4	11-01 00:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	3	$206	154	154	+0	Yes	+$3	08-02 08:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 15:05 UTC	22	$188	134	131	+3	Up	+$12	04-10 15:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 15:00 UTC	24	$169	146	142	+4	Down	-$2	04-10 15:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 15:10 UTC	24	$112	132	127	+5	Down	-$7	04-10 15:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 14:55 UTC	22	$90	105	100	+4	Up	+$7	04-10 14:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	4	$75	78	0	+78	Down	+$4	10-07 01:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 02:45 UTC	14	$75	142	0	+142	Down	-$3	08-05 02:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 14:50 UTC	27	$70	189	178	+11	Up	-$14	04-10 14:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 00:05 UTC	13	$69	132	0	+132	Down	-$8	08-06 00:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 17:45 UTC	10	$68	71	68	+2	Up	-$4	04-10 17:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 02:50 UTC	13	$68	131	0	+131	Up	-$7	08-05 02:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 07:45 UTC	11	$64	66	60	+6	Down	-$2	04-12 07:47
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	3	$63	154	154	+0	No	+$5	08-02 08:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 02:55 UTC	12	$62	120	0	+120	Down	-$2	08-05 02:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	8	$61	37	37	+0	Up	+$2	05-16 17:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 00:10 UTC	12	$60	121	0	+121	Down	+$1	08-06 00:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 10:15 UTC	3	$59	60	0	+60	Up	+$1	09-28 10:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 06:30 UTC	4	$59	60	0	+60	Up	+$1	09-29 06:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 22:35 UTC	3	$59	60	0	+60	Up	+$1	09-28 22:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 00:50 UTC	3	$59	60	0	+60	Down	+$1	09-29 00:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 02:25 UTC	3	$59	60	0	+60	Down	+$1	09-29 02:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 21:30 UTC	3	$59	60	0	+60	Down	+$1	09-28 21:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 07:05 UTC	4	$59	60	0	+60	Up	+$1	09-29 07:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 06:55 UTC	3	$59	60	0	+60	Up	+$1	09-29 06:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 20:40 UTC	3	$59	60	0	+60	Down	+$1	09-28 20:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 12:15 UTC	4	$59	60	0	+60	Down	-$59	09-29 12:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 01:50 UTC	3	$59	60	0	+60	Up	+$1	09-29 01:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	3	$58	59	0	+59	Down	+$1	09-28 13:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 13:05 UTC	3	$58	60	0	+60	Down	+$1	09-28 13:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 11:40 UTC	3	$58	59	0	+59	Up	+$1	09-28 11:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 00:22:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	15	29¢	$4	0x1c2dc5…
10-31 16:23:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	17	90¢	$16	0xf40d0f…
10-31 15:55:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	16	72¢	$12	0xf0be6f…
10-31 15:49:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xe2775c…
10-31 15:42:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	13	47¢	$6	0x2718c8…
10-31 15:36:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	14	25¢	$4	0x28f748…
10-31 15:17:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	19	71¢	$13	0x462851…
10-31 14:51:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xed7fc4…
10-31 14:51:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	17	80¢	$14	0x651722…
10-31 14:32:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0xdf4ad7…
10-31 14:27:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	13	34¢	$4	0x6b6a1e…
10-31 14:13:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	25¢	$3	0x7c31c2…
10-31 14:07:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	16	77¢	$12	0x3af549…
10-31 14:03:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	17	53¢	$9	0x7b0906…
10-31 13:25:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	18	74¢	$13	0x9dc1f5…
10-31 13:24:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$4	0xbaf540…
10-31 13:18:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	11	13¢	$1	0x5b2da8…
10-31 13:17:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	13	16¢	$2	0x31f9f3…
10-31 13:15:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	16	72¢	$12	0x9634db…
10-31 13:07:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x0b0f83…
10-31 12:57:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	16	79¢	$12	0x69aa00…
10-31 12:50:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x7470f3…
10-31 12:25:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0xc07088…
10-31 11:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	55¢	$4	0xbd0bd9…
10-31 11:56:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	18	83¢	$15	0xbaaf2c…
10-31 11:53:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	16	73¢	$11	0x9f2465…
10-31 11:36:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	18	61¢	$11	0x99116a…
10-31 09:22:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	36¢	$3	0x84e2c6…
10-31 09:08:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-31 09:05 UTC	Down	BUY	12	13¢	$2	0x2c9e00…
10-31 08:47:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	12	10¢	$1	0xa56c60…
10-31 08:27:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x5bf7bc…
10-31 08:17:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	15	25¢	$4	0xeec76f…
10-31 08:02:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	16	52¢	$8	0x3942ed…
10-31 07:36:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	16	30¢	$5	0x7c2524…
10-31 07:06:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	42	18¢	$8	0x23ad69…
10-31 06:19:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	16	92¢	$14	0x9097e2…
10-31 06:16:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	14	65¢	$9	0xaf5863…
10-31 06:11:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	19	39¢	$8	0x0eb56e…
10-31 05:57:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	17	62¢	$11	0x9610df…
10-31 05:52:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	11	37¢	$4	0xab0bc7…
10-31 04:36:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	18	13¢	$2	0xd064c8…
10-31 03:42:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	17	73¢	$13	0xc6b7ea…
10-31 03:21:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	18	78¢	$14	0xd95903…
10-31 02:45:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	19	58¢	$11	0x00c195…
10-31 02:43:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	16	81¢	$13	0xf16f43…
10-31 02:42:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	17	70¢	$12	0xa8bf4d…
10-31 02:35:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0xe73c37…
10-31 02:33:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	19	17¢	$3	0x11122a…
10-31 00:42:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	18	75¢	$14	0x04f330…
10-31 00:20:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	19	31¢	$6	0xa06c06…
10-30 14:57:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	21	36¢	$8	0xa30fd3…
10-30 14:54:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x8c78f1…
10-30 14:54:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	16	26¢	$4	0xe59e37…
10-30 14:54:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0xa8a34f…
10-30 14:48:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x8fead1…
10-30 14:47:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	21	34¢	$7	0xbcaf61…
10-30 14:43:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0xa344cb…
10-30 14:38:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x8420ba…
10-30 14:29:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	18	10¢	$2	0x037162…
10-30 14:24:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	11	20¢	$2	0x256fbe…
10-30 14:24:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	14	49¢	$7	0xd0c7b0…
10-30 14:24:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0xf94393…
10-30 14:23:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	22	35¢	$8	0x790537…
10-30 14:19:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	18	60¢	$11	0xf58561…
10-30 14:19:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	17	49¢	$8	0xcecdb6…
10-30 14:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	19	6¢	$1	0x26a358…
10-30 14:08:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	24	19¢	$5	0xe9a051…
10-30 14:08:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	21	46¢	$10	0x6a1539…
10-30 13:59:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xe9345c…
10-30 13:58:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	22	10¢	$2	0x41aae5…
10-30 13:54:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0xbc0461…
10-30 13:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	19	56¢	$10	0x2cc4a1…
10-30 13:17:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x31aed5…
10-30 13:13:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	33	16¢	$5	0xce86b8…
10-30 13:13:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	17	65¢	$11	0x094e34…
10-30 13:13:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0x68629e…
10-30 13:09:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	79¢	$9	0xa3fb78…
10-30 13:00:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x567b97…
10-30 12:24:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	15	18¢	$3	0x916fc0…
10-30 12:24:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x7a9756…
10-30 12:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x508008…
10-30 12:22:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0x8ef3dd…
10-30 12:18:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	16	13¢	$2	0xc3042e…
10-30 12:03:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	17	8¢	$1	0xeda739…
10-30 12:03:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	19	72¢	$14	0xfab417…
10-30 12:02:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	19	37¢	$7	0x50eae6…
10-30 12:02:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	23	31¢	$7	0x4358ef…
10-30 11:33:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0xadbf84…
10-30 11:12:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	17	36¢	$6	0x489013…
10-30 11:01:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	18	31¢	$6	0x0cbcdd…
10-30 10:57:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	24	34¢	$8	0x1b2d0b…
10-30 09:59:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	17	90¢	$16	0x9d0f33…
10-30 09:54:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x214469…
10-30 09:52:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	18	40¢	$7	0x0b994a…
10-30 09:45:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	27	35¢	$9	0x32e4fd…
10-30 09:42:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	72¢	$9	0x67bd66…
10-30 08:40:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	22	60¢	$14	0xf05021…
10-30 08:33:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x2d0090…
10-30 08:33:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	18	76¢	$14	0x87033e…
10-30 07:52:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x902e0b…