Lumbering-Ring — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$100

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

84.8%

Resolved

7,278

Trades

12,095

lifetime

Volume

$94.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-23

last 11-01 16:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 137 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 77% -$90

Other

0% 44% +$6

Sports

0% 25% -$16

Tech

0% 33% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

55 active days in 12wk • peak 360 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	3	$206	154	154	+0	Yes	+$3	08-02 08:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 15:05 UTC	22	$188	134	131	+3	Up	+$12	04-10 15:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 15:00 UTC	24	$169	146	142	+4	Down	-$2	04-10 15:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 15:10 UTC	24	$112	132	127	+5	Down	-$7	04-10 15:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 14:55 UTC	22	$90	105	100	+4	Up	+$7	04-10 14:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	4	$75	78	0	+78	Down	+$4	10-07 01:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 02:45 UTC	14	$75	142	0	+142	Down	-$3	08-05 02:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 14:50 UTC	27	$70	189	178	+11	Up	-$14	04-10 14:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 00:05 UTC	13	$69	132	0	+132	Down	-$8	08-06 00:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 17:45 UTC	10	$68	71	68	+2	Up	-$4	04-10 17:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 02:50 UTC	13	$68	131	0	+131	Up	-$7	08-05 02:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 07:45 UTC	11	$64	66	60	+6	Down	-$2	04-12 07:47
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	3	$63	154	154	+0	No	+$5	08-02 08:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 02:55 UTC	12	$62	120	0	+120	Down	-$2	08-05 02:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	8	$61	37	37	+0	Up	+$2	05-16 17:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 00:10 UTC	12	$60	121	0	+121	Down	+$1	08-06 00:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 10:15 UTC	3	$59	60	0	+60	Up	+$1	09-28 10:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 06:30 UTC	4	$59	60	0	+60	Up	+$1	09-29 06:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 22:35 UTC	3	$59	60	0	+60	Up	+$1	09-28 22:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 00:50 UTC	3	$59	60	0	+60	Down	+$1	09-29 00:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 02:25 UTC	3	$59	60	0	+60	Down	+$1	09-29 02:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 21:30 UTC	3	$59	60	0	+60	Down	+$1	09-28 21:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 07:05 UTC	4	$59	60	0	+60	Up	+$1	09-29 07:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 06:55 UTC	3	$59	60	0	+60	Up	+$1	09-29 06:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 20:40 UTC	3	$59	60	0	+60	Down	+$1	09-28 20:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 12:15 UTC	4	$59	60	0	+60	Down	-$59	09-29 12:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 01:50 UTC	3	$59	60	0	+60	Up	+$1	09-29 01:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	3	$58	59	0	+59	Down	+$1	09-28 13:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 13:05 UTC	3	$58	60	0	+60	Down	+$1	09-28 13:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 11:40 UTC	3	$58	59	0	+59	Up	+$1	09-28 11:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 16:13:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	85¢	$7	0x37c78b…
11-01 16:13:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x5c7d8e…
11-01 16:12:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	73¢	$7	0x678d6c…
11-01 16:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0x59f819…
11-01 15:39:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x958941…
11-01 15:38:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$5	0x102bf4…
11-01 15:36:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	44¢	$4	0x6370be…
11-01 15:28:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	14¢	$1	0x8363a5…
11-01 15:28:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xcbdc0c…
11-01 15:28:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	76¢	$7	0x270246…
11-01 15:28:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0xe7eb38…
11-01 15:28:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0x8beb29…
11-01 15:25:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	48¢	$4	0xedc34d…
11-01 15:05:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0x689a32…
11-01 13:58:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xaa520e…
11-01 13:53:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	31¢	$3	0xcdd4ba…
11-01 13:52:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	73¢	$7	0xa71e86…
11-01 13:32:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	78¢	$6	0xc8e558…
11-01 13:27:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	73¢	$6	0x96c081…
11-01 12:22:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	9	16¢	$1	0x8b2312…
11-01 12:00:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	76¢	$7	0x62aafe…
11-01 11:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	42¢	$4	0x34a823…
11-01 10:50:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	9	79¢	$7	0x532a59…
11-01 10:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xab13a3…
11-01 10:17:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0x813093…
11-01 10:05:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	77¢	$7	0xe76b9f…
11-01 09:44:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x8d3dd3…
11-01 09:15:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	9	62¢	$6	0x738082…
11-01 09:05:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x64004d…
11-01 08:58:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xd7c211…
11-01 08:58:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	15¢	$1	0x1b439b…
11-01 08:41:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xcaa203…
11-01 08:40:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	45¢	$4	0x20260a…
11-01 08:20:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	80¢	$7	0x66430b…
11-01 08:13:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	SELL	9	2¢	$0	0x626192…
11-01 08:00:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	74¢	$7	0xee383b…
11-01 07:23:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	11	32¢	$4	0x15ebc6…
11-01 07:21:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xf1e8de…
11-01 04:01:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xcf548b…
11-01 03:23:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x83c262…
11-01 03:00:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x624b35…
11-01 02:57:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	16	22¢	$4	0x1afd97…
11-01 02:57:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	16	83¢	$14	0xf62d91…
11-01 02:38:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0xa36e32…
11-01 02:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	18	74¢	$13	0x1996fc…
11-01 02:12:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	19	81¢	$15	0xc3870d…
11-01 02:09:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x2cead3…
11-01 01:52:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	16	80¢	$12	0x83d93a…
11-01 01:45:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x31aac3…
11-01 01:37:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	13	26¢	$3	0xd75bbd…
11-01 01:35:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	18	79¢	$15	0x145bb8…
11-01 01:29:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	40¢	$4	0x2d9a3b…
11-01 01:13:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	13	17¢	$2	0x2d0974…
11-01 01:12:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x467e6b…
11-01 00:52:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	23	20¢	$5	0xd80122…
11-01 00:31:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x472968…
11-01 00:22:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	15	29¢	$4	0x1c2dc5…
10-31 16:23:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	17	90¢	$16	0xf40d0f…
10-31 15:55:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	16	72¢	$12	0xf0be6f…
10-31 15:49:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xe2775c…
10-31 15:42:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	13	47¢	$6	0x2718c8…
10-31 15:36:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	14	25¢	$4	0x28f748…
10-31 15:17:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	19	71¢	$13	0x462851…
10-31 14:51:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xed7fc4…
10-31 14:51:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	17	80¢	$14	0x651722…
10-31 14:32:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0xdf4ad7…
10-31 14:27:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	13	34¢	$4	0x6b6a1e…
10-31 14:13:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	25¢	$3	0x7c31c2…
10-31 14:07:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	16	77¢	$12	0x3af549…
10-31 14:03:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	17	53¢	$9	0x7b0906…
10-31 13:25:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	18	74¢	$13	0x9dc1f5…
10-31 13:24:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$4	0xbaf540…
10-31 13:18:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	11	13¢	$1	0x5b2da8…
10-31 13:17:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	13	16¢	$2	0x31f9f3…
10-31 13:15:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	16	72¢	$12	0x9634db…
10-31 13:07:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x0b0f83…
10-31 12:57:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	16	79¢	$12	0x69aa00…
10-31 12:50:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x7470f3…
10-31 12:25:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0xc07088…
10-31 11:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	55¢	$4	0xbd0bd9…
10-31 11:56:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	18	83¢	$15	0xbaaf2c…
10-31 11:53:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	16	73¢	$11	0x9f2465…
10-31 11:36:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	18	61¢	$11	0x99116a…
10-31 09:22:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	36¢	$3	0x84e2c6…
10-31 09:08:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-31 09:05 UTC	Down	BUY	12	13¢	$2	0x2c9e00…
10-31 08:47:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	12	10¢	$1	0xa56c60…
10-31 08:27:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x5bf7bc…
10-31 08:17:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	15	25¢	$4	0xeec76f…
10-31 08:02:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	16	52¢	$8	0x3942ed…
10-31 07:36:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	16	30¢	$5	0x7c2524…
10-31 07:06:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	42	18¢	$8	0x23ad69…
10-31 06:19:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	16	92¢	$14	0x9097e2…
10-31 06:16:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	14	65¢	$9	0xaf5863…
10-31 06:11:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	19	39¢	$8	0x0eb56e…
10-31 05:57:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	17	62¢	$11	0x9610df…
10-31 05:52:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	11	37¢	$4	0xab0bc7…
10-31 04:36:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	18	13¢	$2	0xd064c8…
10-31 03:42:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	17	73¢	$13	0xc6b7ea…
10-31 03:21:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	18	78¢	$14	0xd95903…
10-31 02:45:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	19	58¢	$11	0x00c195…