Cheerful-Smoking — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$16

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

44.7%

Resolved

Trades

277

lifetime

Volume

$637

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-17

last 05-23 14:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 48% $-16

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 47 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	3	$29	29	29	+0	Up	$-3	05-08 11:03
eth updown 5m 1776915000	3	$26	32	30	+2	open	—	04-23 03:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	2	$20	18	18	+0	open	—	05-01 13:00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	1	$15	25	0	+25	Down	+$10	05-05 12:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	1	$12	21	0	+21	Up	$-12	05-08 08:57
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	3	$12	123	0	+123	open	—	05-21 08:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	1	$12	20	0	+20	Up	+$8	05-07 09:42
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	2	$12	10	10	+0	Up	$-0	05-05 02:29
eth updown 5m 1777010400	1	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	04-24 05:58
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	1	$10	18	0	+18	Up	+$8	05-06 14:11
eth updown 5m 1777008300	2	$10	9	9	+0	open	—	04-24 05:25
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	2	$10	9	9	+0	Down	$-0	05-06 09:14
eth updown 5m 1776912600	2	$10	9	9	+0	open	—	04-23 02:50
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	2	$8	7	7	+0	Down	$-0	05-07 09:15
eth updown 5m 1776924900	2	$8	8	7	+0	open	—	04-23 06:15
btc updown 15m 1777017600	2	$8	6	6	+0	open	—	04-24 08:00
Solana Up or Down - May 9, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	4	$7	13	13	+0	Down	$-3	05-09 10:07
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	2	$7	6	6	+0	Down	+$0	05-05 11:16
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	4	$7	10	10	+0	Up	+$3	05-08 15:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	3	$7	20	4	+16	Down	$-5	05-07 09:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	2	$6	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	05-08 09:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	1	$6	11	0	+11	open	—	04-30 07:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	1	$6	9	0	+9	Up	$-6	05-08 10:55
XRP Up or Down - May 7, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	2	$6	6	6	+0	Up	$-0	05-08 03:41
eth updown 5m 1777010100	1	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	04-24 05:53
eth updown 5m 1776922800	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	04-23 05:36
XRP Up or Down - May 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	1	$5	47	0	+47	Down	$-5	05-10 14:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	05-01 12:36
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	Up	$-5	05-05 12:39
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	1	$5	11	0	+11	Up	$-5	05-05 12:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-23 14:53:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x3ff9bc…
05-23 14:46:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x33452f…
05-21 10:31:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x584033…
05-21 08:14:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x05cacb…
05-21 08:13:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x9b3e37…
05-21 08:09:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	17	57¢	$10	0x651265…
05-21 08:04:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x4c99b6…
05-21 07:59:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	52¢	$1	0x876ab5…
05-21 07:58:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xebb996…
05-21 07:42:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x209999…
05-21 07:02:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0x53b1a5…
05-21 07:00:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x32df69…
05-21 05:42:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x756cb8…
05-21 05:35:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xd08fc2…
05-21 01:38:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xc857f1…
05-21 00:52:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x110879…
05-21 00:42:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xb5d732…
05-21 00:33:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xe13ca1…
05-20 12:50:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xf3a24f…
05-20 12:00:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	35¢	$1	0xfb8307…
05-20 11:59:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0xf8352f…
05-20 11:50:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$2	0x9dcf28…
05-20 11:45:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x1619fa…
05-20 09:07:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xcfb9e5…
05-20 09:04:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x273521…
05-19 23:55:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x6a7064…
05-19 23:26:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	52¢	$3	0x01838c…
05-19 23:22:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	52¢	$1	0x6504c6…
05-19 22:29:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	53¢	$3	0x5a651e…
05-19 22:25:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	53¢	$1	0x938021…
05-19 17:29:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	49¢	$1	0xa14ebd…
05-19 17:20:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	52¢	$1	0x49e7dd…
05-10 14:51:29	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	11	22¢	$2	0xdf0c71…
05-10 14:47:19	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	47	11¢	$5	0x9c7ae5…
05-10 13:27:22	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$2	0xb7f158…
05-10 13:24:24	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x851405…
05-10 13:20:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x57613b…
05-10 13:17:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xfa9d02…
05-10 11:23:55	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x2eedee…
05-10 11:22:04	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x5c672a…
05-10 11:21:14	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x586c48…
05-10 10:17:44	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x0b01a2…
05-10 10:11:40	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x2fbc8f…
05-10 09:39:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x18ab2c…
05-10 09:36:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xe4c207…
05-10 09:35:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x40a9bc…
05-10 09:34:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x8777f5…
05-10 09:33:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x04a11c…
05-10 09:12:55	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xb93d72…
05-10 08:02:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x91c64e…
05-09 18:54:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x77750f…
05-09 16:29:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0xbf5ee5…
05-09 16:24:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xa95696…
05-09 16:21:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0xcfebc1…
05-09 16:21:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x301b76…
05-09 16:18:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	4	28¢	$1	0x1e2886…
05-09 16:17:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x4d5c14…
05-09 15:38:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$2	0x87fa60…
05-09 15:32:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x345157…
05-09 14:44:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	SELL	4	54¢	$2	0xe00999…
05-09 14:40:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x4c439a…
05-09 14:37:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xbce73c…
05-09 10:07:43	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	8	15¢	$1	0x2f4a3b…
05-09 10:05:03	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0x2d4dd4…
05-09 10:02:50	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x9cd6f1…
05-09 09:50:04	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x0f4154…
05-09 09:34:31	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xec3f60…
05-09 01:53:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xe70417…
05-09 01:51:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x614e93…
05-09 01:46:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x69a30e…
05-08 16:03:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0xf8f54a…
05-08 16:02:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x5d3b88…
05-08 15:58:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	7	50¢	$4	0xb4605e…
05-08 15:57:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x348b90…
05-08 15:55:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0xdd3f9a…
05-08 15:55:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x94b0f4…
05-08 15:29:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	7	53¢	$4	0x64f648…
05-08 15:19:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xb0beae…
05-08 14:10:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xe57c26…
05-08 14:06:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	SELL	9	22¢	$2	0xb5bf3b…
05-08 14:06:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x3636d2…
05-08 14:03:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x2eceab…
05-08 13:44:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xe7e34f…
05-08 11:38:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x4e3926…
05-08 11:09:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xe00337…
05-08 11:03:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	SELL	29	47¢	$13	0xe46fd5…
05-08 11:00:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x5ab238…
05-08 10:58:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	25	59¢	$15	0xc9fb88…
05-08 10:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	66¢	$6	0x7b8ded…
05-08 10:50:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x880bbb…
05-08 10:44:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x764519…
05-08 10:41:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xc8581c…
05-08 09:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xd9af4b…
05-08 09:29:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0xd89692…
05-08 09:28:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x2b5b3f…
05-08 09:26:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xb618f3…
05-08 09:25:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	4	38¢	$1	0xbc36d2…
05-08 09:23:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x15e1a8…
05-08 09:20:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xf91933…
05-08 08:57:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	21	58¢	$12	0xea79dd…