Quiet-Baggie — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$151

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

97.6%

Resolved

Trades

114

lifetime

Volume

$26.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$236

Open exposure

$23

1 position

First seen

2026-01-10

last 09-06 20:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Other

64% 65% +$112

Tech

15% 100% +$21

Crypto

12% 100% +$11

Politics

9% 100% +$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Trump out as President before 2027?	No		-24	-$21	96¢	$-23	-$2	04-30 15:54

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	4	$2.3K	1,175	1,175	+0	No	+$5	06-11 14:53
Trump out as President by May 31?	3	$2.3K	1,276	1,055	+221	No	+$7	05-25 13:07
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$2.0K	1,028	1,028	+0	Yes	+$14	04-25 13:59
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	2	$1.8K	936	936	+0	No	+$31	09-06 20:00
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	2	$1.8K	903	903	+0	Yes	+$9	06-30 14:00
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	2	$1.7K	835	835	+0	No	+$2	05-31 16:06
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	3	$1.7K	834	834	+0	No	+$1	05-28 18:48
will silver si settle at 105 110 in march	5	$1.5K	1,011	510	+501	No	+$15	03-31 10:51
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	2	$1.5K	752	752	+0	No	+$4	06-24 23:56
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June?	25	$1.2K	589	589	+0	No	+$2	06-24 08:40
Will Solana reach $140 in April?	1	$1.0K	1,026	0	+1,026	No	+$1	04-27 05:31
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	2	$919	463	463	+0	No	+$4	03-22 13:40
bitcoin above 62k on march 18	5	$858	434	434	+0	Yes	+$7	03-16 09:47
will bitcoin reach 78k march 9 15	2	$849	426	426	+0	No	+$1	03-15 07:25
will crude oil cl hit low 75 by march 13 797 448 955	2	$848	425	425	+0	No	+$1	03-13 18:28
will crude oil cl hit low 70 by march 20 338	22	$818	414	414	+0	No	+$8	03-19 04:27
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	2	$618	312	312	+0	No	+$3	07-15 12:28
Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?	2	$613	308	308	+0	No	+$2	06-20 13:31
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	2	$593	303	303	+0	No	+$10	06-23 15:46
will bitcoin reach 110k in february 2026	2	$277	140	140	+0	No	+$2	02-19 00:04
si hit 120 high jan 2026 313 822 269	2	$259	144	144	+0	No	+$28	01-30 16:18
will bnb dip to 200 in march	2	$258	130	130	+0	No	+$1	03-13 00:46
will crude oil cl hit high 140 by march 20	5	$242	122	122	+0	No	+$2	03-18 11:35
will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	2	$230	115	115	+0	No	+$0	01-27 11:31
Will Phantom launch a token by September 30, 2026?	2	$122	0	127	-127	No	-$5	06-10 06:45
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	1	$115	0	116	-116	Yes	-$1	01-24 14:47
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	1	$102	0	102	-102	No	-$1	03-02 12:56
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$102	0	103	-103	No	-$2	03-13 00:47
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	1	$101	0	102	-102	No	$0	01-21 14:55
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$52	0	52	-52	No	-$1	03-13 00:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-06 20:00:12	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	936	99¢	$931	0xf70a54…
07-15 12:28:44	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	312	100¢	$311	0xb64933…
07-01 12:11:40	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	936	96¢	$900	0x05bbe2…
06-30 14:00:59	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	SELL	903	100¢	$901	0xe660ed…
06-25 04:01:52	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	903	99¢	$892	0xbc1ad5…
06-24 23:56:01	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	SELL	752	100¢	$750	0x696bdb…
06-24 08:40:25	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x37218c…
06-24 08:37:13	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June?	No	SELL	51	100¢	$51	0x4364b2…
06-24 08:26:17	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x520270…
06-24 07:09:23	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xb808c0…
06-24 06:43:29	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x388e26…
06-24 06:21:43	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xd8bccc…
06-24 05:29:59	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	752	99¢	$747	0x0e3662…
06-24 02:46:08	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xc11b84…
06-24 00:10:53	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xce873a…
06-23 20:56:59	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x9ba2bb…
06-23 20:10:28	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x9def98…
06-23 20:09:25	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x79664f…
06-23 20:07:17	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x0e8c33…
06-23 19:41:58	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June?	No	SELL	55	100¢	$55	0xfc3ad7…
06-23 19:41:14	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xd80d6c…
06-23 19:08:37	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x94ddb9…
06-23 19:06:22	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June?	No	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0xc649e6…
06-23 18:54:01	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x7c48fa…
06-23 18:50:29	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x7416df…
06-23 18:49:43	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xd0575b…
06-23 18:46:49	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x66681a…
06-23 18:45:02	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June?	No	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0x964972…
06-23 18:42:37	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x6bbb82…
06-23 18:36:41	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x5c2ce7…
06-23 18:36:40	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xc760f4…
06-23 15:46:28	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	SELL	303	100¢	$302	0xba0072…
06-23 10:56:22	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	312	98¢	$307	0x28a2e6…
06-20 13:31:17	Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?	No	SELL	308	100¢	$308	0xbdcb40…
06-13 12:34:49	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June?	No	BUY	589	99¢	$585	0x4bd998…
06-13 12:33:06	Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?	No	BUY	308	99¢	$305	0xbb7811…
06-11 14:53:54	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	882	100¢	$881	0x24b035…
06-10 06:45:09	Will Phantom launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	9	96¢	$9	0xdfe16d…
06-08 03:43:19	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	303	96¢	$291	0x01abc9…
06-07 06:53:36	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	147	100¢	$146	0x3b276e…
06-05 13:27:55	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	147	100¢	$146	0x2c2631…
06-03 02:25:54	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,175	99¢	$1,168	0x07f5b7…
06-01 04:12:44	Will Phantom launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	118	96¢	$113	0xb4435d…
05-31 16:06:19	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	SELL	835	100¢	$834	0x65fe16…
05-29 03:19:35	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	835	100¢	$832	0xc30f0a…
05-28 18:48:22	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	SELL	490	100¢	$489	0x8effb1…
05-28 18:45:34	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	SELL	344	100¢	$344	0xd6b9d0…
05-25 13:15:21	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	834	100¢	$832	0x4a0226…
05-25 13:07:42	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	BUY	221	100¢	$221	0x854e0e…
05-20 09:40:43	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	SELL	1,055	100¢	$1,053	0x5619d3…
05-07 09:04:13	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	BUY	1,055	99¢	$1,047	0x300ffc…
04-30 15:54:02	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	SELL	24	87¢	$21	0x03c88e…
04-27 05:31:08	Will Solana reach $140 in April?	No	BUY	1,026	100¢	$1,025	0x859b9b…
04-25 13:59:00	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1,028	100¢	$1,025	0xe32b58…
04-04 08:53:49	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,028	98¢	$1,011	0xf197f8…
03-31 10:51:53	will silver si settle at 105 110 in march	No	SELL	510	100¢	$509	0xda7cdb…
03-23 14:10:27	will silver si settle at 105 110 in march	No	BUY	248	99¢	$245	0x887998…
03-23 14:10:17	will silver si settle at 105 110 in march	No	BUY	510	99¢	$504	0x2be1b2…
03-23 14:09:49	will silver si settle at 105 110 in march	No	BUY	143	99¢	$141	0x302a46…
03-23 14:09:31	will silver si settle at 105 110 in march	No	BUY	110	96¢	$106	0x73396c…
03-22 13:40:19	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	SELL	463	100¢	$461	0x35a08a…
03-19 04:27:13	will crude oil cl hit low 70 by march 20 338	No	SELL	110	100¢	$110	0x1bc5a1…
03-19 03:57:31	will crude oil cl hit low 70 by march 20 338	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xfea336…
03-19 03:55:03	will crude oil cl hit low 70 by march 20 338	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x817c1d…
03-19 03:53:13	will crude oil cl hit low 70 by march 20 338	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xaa0244…
03-19 03:51:39	will crude oil cl hit low 70 by march 20 338	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x0372fc…
03-19 03:50:33	will crude oil cl hit low 70 by march 20 338	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x9227a4…
03-19 03:47:37	will crude oil cl hit low 70 by march 20 338	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x5ad7fe…
03-19 03:37:19	will crude oil cl hit low 70 by march 20 338	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xf2342f…
03-19 03:34:21	will crude oil cl hit low 70 by march 20 338	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x12b453…
03-19 03:31:31	will crude oil cl hit low 70 by march 20 338	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x442a42…
03-19 03:30:37	will crude oil cl hit low 70 by march 20 338	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xc3290e…
03-19 03:28:03	will crude oil cl hit low 70 by march 20 338	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x1311c7…
03-19 02:56:57	will crude oil cl hit low 70 by march 20 338	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x9fedd4…
03-19 02:55:07	will crude oil cl hit low 70 by march 20 338	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x33c213…
03-19 02:53:59	will crude oil cl hit low 70 by march 20 338	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x12d706…
03-19 02:51:21	will crude oil cl hit low 70 by march 20 338	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xc8746e…
03-19 02:48:25	will crude oil cl hit low 70 by march 20 338	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x4c310e…
03-18 16:17:35	will crude oil cl hit low 70 by march 20 338	No	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0xa3d1cc…
03-18 13:54:55	will crude oil cl hit low 70 by march 20 338	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xf3d63d…
03-18 12:12:55	will crude oil cl hit low 70 by march 20 338	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x04dd13…
03-18 11:35:59	will crude oil cl hit high 140 by march 20	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x6a56ed…
03-18 11:34:01	will crude oil cl hit high 140 by march 20	No	SELL	82	100¢	$82	0x5fd353…
03-18 09:42:15	will crude oil cl hit low 70 by march 20 338	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x87efc5…
03-18 09:42:03	will crude oil cl hit high 140 by march 20	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xc8d836…
03-18 09:24:23	will crude oil cl hit high 140 by march 20	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x32db8a…
03-17 02:37:09	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	463	99¢	$458	0x5aa8bd…
03-17 02:03:21	will crude oil cl hit low 70 by march 20 338	No	BUY	414	98¢	$405	0x1ad919…
03-17 02:03:03	will crude oil cl hit high 140 by march 20	No	BUY	122	98¢	$120	0xc385a6…
03-16 09:47:01	bitcoin above 62k on march 18	Yes	SELL	363	100¢	$362	0x7c432a…
03-16 09:17:31	bitcoin above 62k on march 18	Yes	SELL	44	100¢	$43	0x022b6c…
03-16 09:12:41	bitcoin above 62k on march 18	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x9dd585…
03-16 08:52:07	bitcoin above 62k on march 18	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x31fa51…
03-15 08:42:27	bitcoin above 62k on march 18	Yes	BUY	434	98¢	$425	0x535a40…
03-15 07:25:59	will bitcoin reach 78k march 9 15	No	SELL	426	100¢	$425	0xfe7c5f…
03-14 14:42:49	will bitcoin reach 78k march 9 15	No	BUY	426	100¢	$424	0x7cd3b3…
03-13 18:28:57	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by march 13 797 448 955	No	SELL	425	100¢	$425	0x17dd9e…
03-13 00:48:59	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by march 13 797 448 955	No	BUY	425	100¢	$424	0x681458…
03-13 00:47:45	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	52	98¢	$52	0x6c9916…
03-13 00:47:39	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	103	98¢	$102	0x48c476…