Knotty-Pompom — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.30K

Unrealized P&L

+$155

Hit rate

82.4%

Resolved

156

Trades

927

lifetime

Volume

$14.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

$821

4 positions

First seen

2026-02-16

last 10-28 23:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 75 days

Categories

Other

89% 65% +$1,245

Politics

10% 71% +$60

Tech

0% 100% +$1

Sports

0% 33% $0

Crypto

0% 0% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

71 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
will russia capture orikhiv by march 31 2027	No	+463	$297	76¢	$354	+$57	10-25 09:43
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?	No	+312	$215	82¢	$256	+$41	10-26 09:43
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?	No	+174	$130	92¢	$160	+$30	10-03 08:16
Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31?	Yes	+106	$23	48¢	$52	+$28	10-26 19:29

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?	27	$1.1K	1,100	1,100	+0	Yes	+$456	09-30 16:20
Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31?	8	$671	488	328	+159	open	—	10-22 01:03
will russia enter vasylivka by july 31 2026	37	$491	519	428	+91	Yes	+$186	07-22 21:01
Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by October 31, 2026?	7	$349	540	40	+500	Yes	+$198	09-30 02:36
Will Russia capture Bilytske by October 31, 2026?	13	$338	436	334	+101	open	—	10-22 15:23
will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	27	$328	366	268	+98	No	+$56	07-22 17:42
will russia capture orikhiv by march 31 2027	9	$317	482	20	+463	open	—	10-25 09:43
Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?	28	$314	367	367	+0	Yes	-$79	04-24 13:10
will russia capture orikhiv by june 30 2027	5	$290	701	0	+701	open	—	10-20 16:16
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by September 30?	14	$265	332	102	+230	Yes	+$41	09-21 18:42
Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by September 30?	5	$234	143	143	+0	No	+$32	09-21 18:39
will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 31 1 893 748	11	$230	254	151	+103	Yes	-$5	08-19 18:56
Will Russia capture Shevchenko by October 31?	8	$222	228	228	+0	Yes	+$52	10-06 18:56
Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by October 31?	6	$219	343	236	+106	Yes	-$55	09-07 20:17
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?	2	$215	312	0	+312	open	—	10-26 09:43
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by October 31?	1	$210	222	0	+222	Yes	+$12	09-21 18:23
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?	7	$199	226	52	+174	open	—	10-03 08:16
Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31?	5	$197	303	197	+106	open	—	10-26 19:29
Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?	9	$194	113	113	+0	Yes	+$6	07-22 05:18
Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?	2	$188	119	119	+0	open	—	10-25 13:33
Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by September 30?	5	$182	157	104	+53	No	+$15	09-23 11:22
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by November 15, 2026?	2	$180	208	0	+208	Yes	+$28	10-23 07:25
will russia enter novooleksandrivka by july 31 2026	10	$180	148	146	+3	Yes	+$28	07-22 21:24
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	11	$160	184	144	+40	Yes	+$8	10-23 07:06
Will Russia capture Kindrativka by September 30?	3	$157	113	58	+56	No	+$10	09-23 05:35
Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by September 30?	4	$157	92	92	+0	No	+$23	09-18 19:33
will russia enter orikhiv by september 30	3	$155	163	0	+163	Yes	+$8	08-05 16:29
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2027?	5	$148	210	0	+210	open	—	10-24 12:29
Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by December 31, 2026?	4	$145	148	92	+56	open	—	10-18 01:18
Will Russia enter Moskovka by September 30?	4	$144	108	108	+0	No	+$32	09-17 05:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 23:36:34	Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0xacaad7…
10-28 23:21:20	Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	61	82¢	$50	0x4c65f1…
10-28 22:19:34	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	41	83¢	$34	0xbef6b0…
10-26 19:29:45	Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31?	Yes	BUY	106	47¢	$50	0xb41778…
10-26 09:43:30	Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	145	79¢	$115	0x7797c0…
10-25 13:33:06	Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	119	74¢	$88	0x8a30a0…
10-25 10:00:45	Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31?	Yes	SELL	197	44¢	$87	0x944018…
10-25 09:43:17	Will Russia capture Orikhiv by March 31, 2027?	No	BUY	203	75¢	$153	0x73ab5b…
10-25 09:06:29	Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by December 31?	Yes	SELL	87	66¢	$58	0x1ec56b…
10-24 18:41:21	Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0x692773…
10-24 12:29:53	Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xc1b157…
10-23 22:09:41	Will Russia enter Moskovka by October 31?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x176516…
10-23 21:05:41	Will Russia enter Moskovka by October 31?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xb4f75d…
10-23 07:25:51	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	88	91¢	$80	0x136cdf…
10-23 07:06:15	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	65¢	$26	0x1589f1…
10-23 06:38:44	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0x6cc095…
10-23 06:38:18	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	56	37¢	$21	0x857184…
10-22 21:00:29	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x519f6f…
10-22 20:42:15	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x9946f0…
10-22 20:34:00	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x20a804…
10-22 20:16:44	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	64¢	$25	0xab52cc…
10-22 15:27:32	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x405ebd…
10-22 15:23:26	Will Russia capture Bilytske by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	101	80¢	$81	0x58d5e0…
10-22 15:14:12	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	33	28¢	$9	0x6ff89d…
10-22 13:43:18	Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?	Yes	SELL	105	33¢	$34	0x098eaf…
10-22 09:30:53	Will Russia capture Bilytske by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	52	23¢	$12	0xd16633…
10-22 09:25:57	Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by December 31?	Yes	BUY	87	28¢	$24	0x8b413f…
10-22 01:03:35	Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31?	No	BUY	159	82¢	$130	0x0bf7ae…
10-21 21:47:14	Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?	Yes	BUY	105	19¢	$20	0xd8a510…
10-21 19:29:44	Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	142	71¢	$100	0x9da000…
10-21 19:27:20	Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	24	71¢	$17	0xd66e9a…
10-21 19:12:00	Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0xa77004…
10-21 18:49:35	Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0xa1662f…
10-21 18:46:21	will russia enter kherson by june 30 2027	No	BUY	40	92¢	$37	0xa69895…
10-21 18:41:02	will russia enter kherson by december 31 2027	No	BUY	17	85¢	$14	0x676e38…
10-21 18:41:02	will russia enter kherson by december 31 2027	No	BUY	0	85¢	$0	0x655a65…
10-21 18:41:00	will russia enter kherson by december 31 2027	No	BUY	23	85¢	$19	0x78ae26…
10-21 06:00:03	Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31?	No	SELL	147	84¢	$123	0xf48387…
10-20 16:16:53	Will Russia capture Orikhiv by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	19	43¢	$8	0x73b494…
10-20 15:29:06	Will Russia capture Orikhiv by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	527	42¢	$220	0x5e5273…
10-19 04:03:15	Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31?	Yes	BUY	61	33¢	$20	0x97f0e5…
10-18 18:23:17	Will Russia capture Orikhiv by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	65	42¢	$27	0x540567…
10-18 08:16:30	Will Russia capture Bilytske by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	54	22¢	$12	0x46dbe3…
10-18 01:18:39	Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0xa1d19e…
10-18 01:17:33	Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	92	70¢	$65	0x3432ec…
10-17 17:07:36	Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	69	73¢	$50	0x729303…
10-17 16:15:12	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x9b89eb…
10-17 15:35:54	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0x1f01b3…
10-17 06:44:32	Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x2568a0…
10-17 03:37:32	Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31?	No	BUY	35	85¢	$30	0x3fabd3…
10-16 16:11:43	Will Russia capture Bilytske by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x9597f7…
10-16 16:08:27	Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31?	Yes	BUY	127	30¢	$38	0x616d80…
10-15 17:37:37	Will Russia capture Bilytske by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	65	31¢	$20	0xfe04ba…
10-15 17:27:28	Will Russia capture Bilytske by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	99	69¢	$68	0x4db06a…
10-13 04:15:30	will ukraine re enter zakitne by december 31 2026	No	BUY	147	14¢	$20	0xed457b…
10-12 22:41:33	will russia capture orikhiv by march 31 2027	No	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xbc0657…
10-12 22:41:14	will russia capture orikhiv by march 31 2027	No	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0x9b8899…
10-12 21:16:03	will russia capture orikhiv by march 31 2027	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x8e0efc…
10-12 21:11:11	will russia capture orikhiv by june 30 2027	No	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x7d2e31…
10-12 21:10:47	will russia capture orikhiv by march 31 2027	Yes	SELL	20	49¢	$10	0x01ea98…
10-12 21:09:45	will russia capture orikhiv by march 31 2027	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x5f9ad7…
10-12 21:02:29	will russia capture orikhiv by march 31 2027	No	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xcf32fd…
10-12 20:57:08	will russia capture orikhiv by june 30 2027	No	BUY	76	40¢	$30	0xb9d2a4…
10-12 20:56:48	will russia capture orikhiv by march 31 2027	No	BUY	136	52¢	$70	0x97a472…
10-12 20:11:18	will russia capture orikhiv by march 31 2027	No	BUY	40	74¢	$30	0xee58bd…
10-11 19:28:54	Will Russia capture Bilytske by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	68¢	$8	0xb6f2ec…
10-11 12:47:24	Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xdcea2b…
10-11 12:42:31	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0xe6f782…
10-10 15:01:34	Will Russia capture Bilytske by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	40	75¢	$30	0x0e840a…
10-10 06:51:15	Will Russia capture Bilytske by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x054323…
10-10 06:50:36	Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31?	No	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x23ad7e…
10-09 16:46:32	Will Russia capture Bilytske by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	32	68¢	$22	0xe206de…
10-09 00:28:53	Will Russia capture Bilytske by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	130	27¢	$35	0xecdf8e…
10-08 08:29:37	Will Russia capture Bilytske by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	85	24¢	$20	0x52aa9f…
10-08 04:30:58	Will Russia capture Bilytske by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0xb81517…
10-08 04:30:19	Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31?	No	SELL	182	85¢	$154	0xecd7bb…
10-06 20:28:15	Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31?	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x8a4f41…
10-06 18:56:39	Will Russia capture Shevchenko by October 31?	No	SELL	83	52¢	$43	0x05b5d5…
10-06 17:02:23	Will Russia capture Shevchenko by October 31?	No	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0xe146f5…
10-06 12:03:18	Will Russia capture Shevchenko by October 31?	No	SELL	41	60¢	$24	0x6d1832…
10-03 20:01:11	Will Russia capture Shevchenko by October 31?	No	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x8b9663…
10-03 16:06:38	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	58¢	$9	0x7657fc…
10-03 08:16:53	Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	104	77¢	$80	0x4c34ae…
10-02 17:52:57	Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0x753f61…
10-02 13:54:42	Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by October 31?	No	SELL	60	80¢	$48	0xe1de0c…
10-02 11:13:23	Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	25	71¢	$18	0xbc09e3…
10-01 15:42:06	Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	71¢	$4	0x325ae2…
09-30 18:26:11	Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	71¢	$7	0xd1b8b0…
09-30 16:20:51	Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	153	97¢	$149	0xcdeb36…
09-30 15:40:56	Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	97¢	$97	0xc0bc12…
09-30 15:40:44	Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	97¢	$11	0xcffc2a…
09-30 12:13:51	Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30?	Yes	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0xcae298…
09-30 02:36:05	will russia enter mykolaivka by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	67	60¢	$40	0x41a82a…
09-30 02:14:57	Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x6badc0…
09-30 02:11:35	will russia enter mykolaivka by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0xfa13cd…
09-30 01:57:02	will russia enter mykolaivka by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	250	60¢	$150	0xbd400e…
09-30 01:38:12	Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	224	40¢	$90	0x025ad8…
09-29 10:23:02	Will Russia capture Shevchenko by October 31?	No	SELL	104	67¢	$70	0x2b8ec3…
09-29 09:04:11	Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	420	74¢	$313	0x9acdbf…
09-29 05:38:38	Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	71	71¢	$50	0x1a17e8…