Nocturnal-Majority — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$44

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.1%

Resolved

Trades

158

lifetime

Volume

$982

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-29

last 05-10 17:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 43% $-39

Other

1% 0% $-5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 60 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	6	$84	60	60	+0	Down	+$0	05-10 09:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	2	$50	31	31	+0	open	—	04-30 20:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	2	$47	29	29	+0	Up	+$7	05-10 09:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	2	$44	24	24	+0	Down	+$4	05-10 14:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	2	$40	31	31	+0	open	—	04-30 20:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	8	$40	25	25	+0	open	—	04-30 20:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	6	$34	29	29	+0	Down	$-6	05-10 16:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	2	$33	19	19	+0	Up	+$3	05-10 06:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	2	$30	21	21	+0	open	—	04-30 20:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	2	$29	17	17	+0	Up	$-1	05-10 08:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	4	$24	20	20	+0	open	—	04-30 20:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	3	$24	31	4	+27	Down	+$7	05-10 09:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	5	$23	29	18	+10	Down	+$3	05-07 16:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	1	$20	28	0	+28	Up	$-20	05-10 14:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	2	$19	14	14	+0	Up	+$9	05-06 06:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	2	$18	13	13	+0	Down	+$8	05-08 06:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	4	$17	17	17	+0	Down	$-3	05-10 15:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	6	$17	21	9	+12	Down	+$1	05-10 09:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	2	$17	12	12	+0	open	—	04-29 21:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	8	$16	24	13	+11	Down	$-1	05-10 09:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	2	$15	10	10	+0	Up	+$5	05-06 06:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	2	$15	10	10	+0	Up	+$5	05-06 10:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	1	$15	35	0	+35	Down	$-15	05-06 20:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	1	$15	34	0	+34	Up	$-15	05-07 19:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	2	$15	10	10	+0	Up	+$5	05-06 06:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	2	$14	10	10	+0	open	—	04-30 13:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	2	$14	9	9	+0	open	—	05-01 16:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	2	$12	7	7	+0	Down	+$2	05-10 16:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	1	$10	21	0	+21	Down	$-10	05-06 06:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	1	$10	17	0	+17	Up	$-10	05-10 07:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 17:04:49	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc55f16…
05-10 17:00:09	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x591caa…
05-10 16:40:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	47¢	$1	0x2d1957…
05-10 16:40:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0xfeb682…
05-10 16:40:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xcdb6c8…
05-10 16:40:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x66b193…
05-10 16:36:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	SELL	7	37¢	$2	0x7b2e0e…
05-10 16:36:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xe4acd9…
05-10 16:31:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	SELL	8	43¢	$4	0x66a95f…
05-10 16:31:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x6e16b6…
05-10 16:29:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x845a30…
05-10 16:29:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xa3ae8c…
05-10 16:28:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	15	33¢	$5	0x088137…
05-10 16:27:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	8	36¢	$3	0xd7448f…
05-10 16:27:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x9376e7…
05-10 16:25:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x245bb9…
05-10 16:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0xa537da…
05-10 16:22:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x1c2ca5…
05-10 15:29:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	9	47¢	$4	0xdc4fdf…
05-10 15:29:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xae60a3…
05-10 15:29:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	7	40¢	$3	0x41536b…
05-10 15:26:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xbca5bd…
05-10 14:55:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0xc40b09…
05-10 14:29:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0x75ea21…
05-10 14:28:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0xcda837…
05-10 09:49:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	SELL	29	95¢	$27	0x32b285…
05-10 09:48:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0x48a764…
05-10 09:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	25	98¢	$24	0xd0cddf…
05-10 09:41:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0xee7413…
05-10 09:41:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0x490784…
05-10 09:40:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xb2e35c…
05-10 09:40:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	30	58¢	$17	0xfc4f57…
05-10 09:39:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0xc2980f…
05-10 09:34:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0xf218ab…
05-10 09:34:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	SELL	4	42¢	$2	0xa7f21f…
05-10 09:32:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x3747bb…
05-10 09:29:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x0e417b…
05-10 09:27:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	4	34¢	$1	0xe69db3…
05-10 09:27:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xbb0bda…
05-10 09:27:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xe6e66a…
05-10 09:25:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	4	53¢	$2	0x01f775…
05-10 09:25:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x6d8a5d…
05-10 09:25:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0x5f8e21…
05-10 09:24:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x3c72f6…
05-10 09:24:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xe2c673…
05-10 09:23:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x3e1613…
05-10 09:18:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x61c81d…
05-10 09:17:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xb327c7…
05-10 09:16:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	SELL	4	28¢	$1	0xb8116e…
05-10 09:15:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x35d6aa…
05-10 09:15:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x9a7c79…
05-10 09:15:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x85cd65…
05-10 08:21:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	SELL	10	31¢	$3	0x22abbb…
05-10 08:19:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x694e1f…
05-10 08:17:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	SELL	17	78¢	$14	0xe0b8cd…
05-10 08:16:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	17	86¢	$15	0x676c47…
05-10 07:47:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x9156f0…
05-10 07:40:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xc222d7…
05-10 06:49:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	SELL	19	98¢	$18	0x77f434…
05-10 06:48:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	19	80¢	$15	0x39db6c…
05-09 23:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xc1d221…
05-08 12:15:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xa67515…
05-08 10:36:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	SELL	6	46¢	$3	0x337ea1…
05-08 10:34:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x0462ec…
05-08 10:24:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x35d26c…
05-08 10:23:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	SELL	7	26¢	$2	0x136a9c…
05-08 10:23:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x7f5a98…
05-08 10:18:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0x97dcda…
05-08 10:17:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xe93aa4…
05-08 10:09:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x2455ae…
05-08 06:50:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0xe67ecf…
05-08 06:45:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x3992a5…
05-08 06:01:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x700337…
05-08 05:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x3496d4…
05-08 05:36:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	SELL	9	40¢	$4	0xf34005…
05-08 05:35:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x0f35ca…
05-07 19:41:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	23¢	$1	0x036ae8…
05-07 19:40:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xeb9a54…
05-07 19:35:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	34	44¢	$15	0x6614f5…
05-07 16:49:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x807348…
05-07 16:48:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	8	57¢	$4	0x68b652…
05-07 16:47:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	11	33¢	$4	0xf23306…
05-07 16:47:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xebcf36…
05-07 16:39:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x180b3e…
05-07 16:28:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x5fe2c5…
05-06 20:37:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	SELL	13	28¢	$4	0x18d8c1…
05-06 20:37:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x4b6b83…
05-06 20:30:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	35	43¢	$15	0x3d9378…
05-06 20:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x15a825…
05-06 10:40:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x0acdfa…
05-06 10:34:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xd432d9…
05-06 10:02:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	No	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x779793…
05-06 06:47:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x1c57e8…
05-06 06:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x7494d2…
05-06 06:42:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x1f4ada…
05-06 06:38:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xd3239d…
05-06 06:35:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x2651eb…
05-06 06:29:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xddeee2…
05-06 06:24:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x003312…
05-03 19:30:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xf3d3ed…