Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$335

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.5%

Resolved

Trades

615

lifetime

Volume

$16.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$27

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-18

last 08-02 06:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

73% 67% +$335

Other

27% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

52 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	10	$1.5K	1,963	1,962	+1	open	—	04-07 23:18
will monthly inflation increase by 0pt8 or more in march 692	15	$1.4K	1,078	1,074	+5	open	—	03-24 13:25
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	36	$1.1K	838	745	+93	Yes	+$335	05-12 19:59
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	19	$825	653	653	+0	open	—	04-03 18:27
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	15	$712	944	944	+0	open	—	03-14 06:34
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	22	$615	759	759	+0	open	—	04-07 23:18
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	8	$567	1,035	1,035	+1	open	—	04-07 23:18
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	7	$468	421	421	+0	open	—	04-03 18:26
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	7	$444	468	468	+0	open	—	04-01 06:15
iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	16	$407	300	300	+0	open	—	07-07 21:27
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	5	$343	222	222	+0	open	—	03-29 13:20
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	16	$339	325	210	+115	open	—	06-28 02:05
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	13	$317	266	265	+1	open	—	03-06 18:47
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	13	$302	222	222	+0	open	—	05-22 03:59
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	17	$269	215	185	+30	open	—	05-26 06:27
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	13	$252	202	150	+52	open	—	05-28 18:31
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	7	$238	706	662	+44	open	—	04-30 13:19
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586	5	$213	135	135	+0	open	—	07-07 21:23
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	19	$210	190	135	+55	open	—	05-28 14:31
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	2	$201	151	151	+0	open	—	03-14 13:33
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	7	$199	174	174	+0	open	—	04-23 17:56
iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	7	$188	115	115	+0	open	—	03-01 02:46
usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 15	6	$185	329	329	+0	open	—	03-09 16:05
israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	16	$183	185	185	+0	open	—	07-13 06:50
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	4	$177	141	141	+0	open	—	04-09 18:13
will there be at least 3000 cyclosporiasis cases in the uptspt by july 31 2026 20260715005153974	2	$173	110	100	+10	open	—	07-21 23:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	6	$143	20	135	-115	open	—	06-28 06:19
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?	7	$141	80	80	+0	open	—	04-14 06:24
us iran nuclear deal by march 31	4	$139	87	87	+0	open	—	03-01 02:46
Iran leadership change by April 30?	2	$136	120	120	+0	open	—	03-09 19:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-02 06:11:17	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	SELL	70	95¢	$66	0x74886c…
08-02 06:09:35	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	SELL	65	97¢	$63	0xb6a33e…
07-25 18:12:45	will wti dip to 80 in july 2026	No	SELL	63	59¢	$37	0xefb3a3…
07-24 14:26:46	will wti dip to 80 in july 2026	No	BUY	57	78¢	$45	0x7b1471…
07-24 13:31:21	will wti dip to 80 in july 2026	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x420b47…
07-23 18:39:09	will the highest recorded wind on mtpt washington in july be at least 105 mph 20260626193609217	No	SELL	55	90¢	$50	0xe80df9…
07-23 13:33:54	will tsla reach 390 by july 20 2026	No	SELL	54	99¢	$53	0x7d9ad4…
07-22 20:14:57	will tsla reach 390 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	54	84¢	$45	0x64af44…
07-22 20:09:30	tsla quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 22 2026 0pt5	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0xdc5623…
07-22 18:28:34	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026 367	No	SELL	60	98¢	$59	0x543095…
07-21 23:51:06	will there be at least 2500 cyclosporiasis cases in the uptspt by july 31 2026 20260715005153973	Yes	SELL	46	100¢	$46	0x01ab18…
07-21 23:50:54	will there be at least 3000 cyclosporiasis cases in the uptspt by july 31 2026 20260715005153974	Yes	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x833357…
07-21 23:07:15	tsla quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 22 2026 0pt5	No	BUY	82	24¢	$20	0x93c9e5…
07-21 22:57:46	tsla quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 22 2026 0pt5	No	BUY	13	24¢	$3	0xf53a5b…
07-21 18:34:18	tsla quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 22 2026 0pt5	No	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x8c9e91…
07-20 13:37:28	russia x ukraine ceasefire agreement by august 31 2026	No	SELL	60	94¢	$56	0xc08f30…
07-17 13:15:25	will the highest recorded wind on mtpt washington in july be at least 100 mph 20260626193609216	Yes	SELL	55	98¢	$54	0x9099f0…
07-15 13:21:44	will there be at least 2500 cyclosporiasis cases in the uptspt by july 31 2026 20260715005153973	Yes	BUY	46	87¢	$40	0x6ba88c…
07-15 13:21:19	will there be at least 3000 cyclosporiasis cases in the uptspt by july 31 2026 20260715005153974	Yes	BUY	110	67¢	$74	0xabcbf6…
07-13 06:50:38	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	Yes	SELL	58	99¢	$57	0x40e912…
07-12 13:46:32	will there be at least 2300 measles cases in the uptspt by july 31 2026 20260630182145717	Yes	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0xcdf6d6…
07-12 06:22:19	will there be at least 2300 measles cases in the uptspt by july 31 2026 20260630182145717	Yes	BUY	25	87¢	$22	0x151fac…
07-12 06:22:02	will there be at least 2300 measles cases in the uptspt by july 31 2026 20260630182145717	Yes	BUY	57	87¢	$50	0xb6919d…
07-12 06:21:44	will the highest recorded wind on mtpt washington in july be at least 100 mph 20260626193609216	Yes	BUY	55	11¢	$6	0xbef772…
07-12 06:21:28	will the highest recorded wind on mtpt washington in july be at least 105 mph 20260626193609217	No	BUY	55	90¢	$50	0xf96db0…
07-11 06:35:07	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	Yes	BUY	73	19¢	$14	0x273126…
07-11 06:34:46	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	SELL	38	81¢	$31	0x9e9403…
07-09 13:38:38	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by july 19 20260622183223871 165	Yes	SELL	100	8¢	$8	0xce657f…
07-09 13:35:52	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by july 19 20260622183223871 165	Yes	SELL	50	8¢	$4	0xf1698d…
07-09 13:35:08	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by july 19 20260622183223871 165	Yes	SELL	100	8¢	$8	0x37f6f9…
07-07 23:32:47	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026	No	BUY	60	73¢	$44	0xc158e6…
07-07 21:27:05	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	75	98¢	$74	0x9b118b…
07-07 21:26:07	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	115	98¢	$113	0xa21175…
07-07 21:23:14	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586	No	SELL	81	78¢	$63	0x2d0a6d…
07-07 06:35:41	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586	No	SELL	54	92¢	$50	0xebba3b…
07-06 15:50:34	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xc5aed8…
07-06 15:49:58	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	Yes	BUY	7	82¢	$5	0x2751c0…
07-06 14:40:07	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	Yes	BUY	7	82¢	$5	0x8fdf76…
07-06 14:38:32	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	Yes	BUY	7	82¢	$5	0x4d198a…
07-06 14:37:50	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	Yes	BUY	7	82¢	$5	0x6ae58d…
07-06 14:15:08	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	Yes	BUY	7	82¢	$5	0x98882e…
07-06 14:14:25	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	Yes	BUY	7	82¢	$5	0x19c7d6…
07-06 14:13:41	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	Yes	BUY	7	82¢	$5	0xc776e7…
07-06 13:35:17	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	BUY	38	63¢	$24	0xaa5f49…
07-06 13:14:55	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	Yes	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x92e366…
07-04 10:19:22	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	No	SELL	7	20¢	$1	0x961b91…
07-04 10:06:28	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	No	SELL	4	20¢	$1	0x37488f…
07-04 10:06:02	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	No	SELL	111	20¢	$22	0xe1fdae…
07-04 10:00:10	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	No	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0xc67806…
07-03 16:00:41	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	30	97¢	$29	0xea28e5…
06-29 16:57:37	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	30	95¢	$28	0xc594eb…
06-29 13:26:29	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by july 19 20260622183223871 165	Yes	BUY	250	17¢	$42	0xbc767d…
06-29 06:45:01	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	7	94¢	$6	0xdb9aaf…
06-28 19:15:55	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	No	BUY	49	43¢	$21	0xd4d264…
06-28 17:05:08	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	7	92¢	$6	0x4397b3…
06-28 13:19:14	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	No	BUY	78	40¢	$31	0x0f7859…
06-28 13:18:56	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	No	BUY	50	74¢	$37	0xf6507e…
06-28 06:19:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	60	99¢	$59	0x004462…
06-28 02:05:29	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x4bc5e6…
06-28 00:44:58	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xa20196…
06-27 23:13:20	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0xed7b1d…
06-27 12:34:55	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	No	SELL	29	97¢	$28	0xe23145…
06-26 20:51:07	us announces cuba oil sanction relief by june 30	No	SELL	15	97¢	$15	0x12ca4c…
06-26 17:51:58	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	12	92¢	$11	0x165094…
06-26 17:13:26	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xa42acf…
06-26 06:27:32	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	No	BUY	65	78¢	$51	0x4a4da5…
06-25 15:14:26	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	No	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0xbc8b9b…
06-24 21:02:16	russia x ukraine ceasefire agreement by august 31 2026	No	BUY	60	87¢	$52	0xd955f9…
06-24 18:24:16	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	BUY	65	81¢	$53	0x73e606…
06-24 12:06:34	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0x1ce93a…
06-24 06:17:04	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	BUY	70	76¢	$53	0xb4b757…
06-23 15:39:31	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0x9833b7…
06-23 14:51:59	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	20	86¢	$17	0x8dc322…
06-23 14:40:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	30	97¢	$29	0x46a639…
06-23 14:30:58	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	25	85¢	$21	0x6b6b70…
06-23 09:04:31	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	100	97¢	$97	0x7f78ac…
06-22 12:18:38	us announces cuba oil sanction relief by june 30	No	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0x584628…
06-22 05:23:56	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	49	93¢	$45	0x0dda80…
06-22 03:30:56	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0x1b95cc…
06-22 03:30:53	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0x626211…
06-22 03:30:52	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0x17f2c7…
06-22 03:30:47	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0xb465ed…
06-22 03:30:47	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0x91e343…
06-20 18:24:59	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0x622a96…
06-19 18:19:16	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	25	57¢	$14	0xec17ef…
06-19 18:18:01	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	25	46¢	$12	0xb4a22a…
06-19 17:59:14	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	25	44¢	$11	0x236105…
06-19 16:49:50	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	18	53¢	$10	0x603903…
06-19 16:49:14	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x6df409…
06-19 16:49:08	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xc74d3c…
06-19 13:17:44	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x80f66e…
06-19 07:32:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	30	92¢	$28	0x301947…
06-19 06:14:56	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	60	35¢	$21	0xa13aa7…
06-19 01:17:20	ebola case in the us by june 30	No	SELL	30	95¢	$28	0x91a5ed…
06-19 01:15:29	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	No	SELL	15	97¢	$15	0xf37627…
06-19 00:51:59	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	40	26¢	$10	0xc22907…
06-19 00:27:13	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	30	28¢	$8	0x496fe4…
06-18 21:38:02	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	BUY	30	74¢	$22	0xcd5ee1…
06-18 20:13:16	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	25	41¢	$10	0x3714a9…
06-18 18:20:29	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	30	38¢	$11	0x11fb0e…