Dense-Arrival — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$160

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.3%

Resolved

100

Trades

461

lifetime

Volume

$1.10K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-12

last 05-17 12:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 77% $-160

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 404 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	1	$100	204	0	+204	Up	$-100	05-13 06:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4AM ET	10	$83	62	53	+8	Down	$-19	05-12 09:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	1	$51	60	0	+60	open	—	05-15 15:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	7	$35	40	0	+40	Down	+$4	05-13 02:59
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	8	$35	36	0	+36	Up	+$1	05-12 16:59
XRP Up or Down - May 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	3	$33	70	0	+70	Up	$-33	05-13 05:45
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	2	$30	63	0	+63	Up	$-30	05-13 06:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	8	$29	30	0	+30	Down	+$1	05-13 04:00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	13	$26	45	0	+45	Down	+$1	05-12 10:47
XRP Up or Down - May 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	5	$24	26	0	+26	Down	+$2	05-12 17:00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	12	$24	51	0	+51	Down	$-18	05-12 10:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	15	$22	37	0	+37	Up	+$0	05-12 08:29
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	18	$18	31	0	+31	Up	$-6	05-12 13:10
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	18	$18	31	0	+31	Down	+$2	05-12 13:33
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	17	$17	30	0	+30	Down	+$3	05-12 13:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	17	$17	28	0	+28	Up	$-4	05-12 13:39
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	15	$15	25	0	+25	Up	$-6	05-12 12:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	3	$15	17	0	+17	Down	+$2	05-13 05:15
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	3	$15	15	0	+15	Down	+$1	05-13 01:20
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	7	$14	21	0	+21	Up	$-3	05-12 10:57
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	7	$14	31	0	+31	Down	+$11	05-12 10:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	9	$12	25	0	+25	Down	$-4	05-12 08:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	11	$11	21	0	+21	Down	$-3	05-12 12:42
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	11	$11	18	0	+18	Up	+$4	05-12 12:28
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	11	$11	19	0	+19	Up	$-3	05-12 12:19
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	10	$10	17	0	+17	Down	+$5	05-12 11:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	10	$10	17	0	+17	Down	+$0	05-12 10:04
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	10	$10	17	0	+17	Up	$-1	05-12 11:22
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	4	$10	10	0	+10	Up	+$0	05-12 16:29
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	2	$10	10	0	+10	Down	+$0	05-13 00:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-17 12:31:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	16	43¢	$7	0x538a48…
05-15 15:24:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	60	84¢	$51	0x75853c…
05-13 06:14:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x945b9c…
05-13 06:10:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	58	51¢	$30	0x9df7a3…
05-13 06:02:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	204	49¢	$100	0x8396ad…
05-13 05:59:50	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x40f20d…
05-13 05:59:48	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe681e6…
05-13 05:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xe51641…
05-13 05:59:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0b6815…
05-13 05:54:59	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xdbb02f…
05-13 05:54:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x46a784…
05-13 05:49:50	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x7fd7d9…
05-13 05:49:48	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xde5bd5…
05-13 05:45:01	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x829204…
05-13 05:44:59	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x7866e2…
05-13 05:44:57	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0xd2f6d8…
05-13 05:44:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc6b202…
05-13 05:44:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xaa9ad9…
05-13 05:44:49	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0f0730…
05-13 05:39:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x55f37f…
05-13 05:34:48	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7d7cb9…
05-13 05:29:53	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4ff65f…
05-13 05:29:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x48a1dd…
05-13 05:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x82aaf5…
05-13 05:14:58	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$5	0xfa164a…
05-13 05:14:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$1	0xa15a40…
05-13 05:14:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x20745b…
05-13 05:14:53	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x187a59…
05-13 05:14:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x703dfc…
05-13 05:09:56	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xe70d2b…
05-13 04:50:00	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x502a85…
05-13 04:44:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x234c08…
05-13 04:00:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x14d397…
05-13 03:59:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x8a9391…
05-13 03:59:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x836c20…
05-13 03:59:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x80fef3…
05-13 03:59:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x8bb8b1…
05-13 03:59:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x623d0f…
05-13 03:59:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	96¢	$5	0x53a40f…
05-13 03:59:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x46e031…
05-13 03:49:57	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x37e739…
05-13 02:59:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x2418f8…
05-13 02:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xcc7e02…
05-13 02:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xb152b8…
05-13 02:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x3d6c1e…
05-13 02:59:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	86¢	$2	0xf2d795…
05-13 02:59:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0x7bcc0c…
05-13 02:59:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x2a7c6c…
05-13 02:14:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xbd4892…
05-13 02:14:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$5	0x39808b…
05-13 01:20:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x935a03…
05-13 01:19:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x50fb45…
05-13 01:19:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x40fec7…
05-13 01:19:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x295d9f…
05-13 00:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x6b3c08…
05-13 00:29:59	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x853e7e…
05-13 00:29:57	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x9e6ac7…
05-12 22:45:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xd1face…
05-12 22:44:59	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x714864…
05-12 21:05:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x032f01…
05-12 19:50:01	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xcc26a1…
05-12 19:50:01	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xc3c9b9…
05-12 19:49:59	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x9a670b…
05-12 19:49:59	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x967134…
05-12 19:25:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xb94ed8…
05-12 18:50:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x25dd74…
05-12 18:50:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x08f010…
05-12 18:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x4155d0…
05-12 17:50:01	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xb0916b…
05-12 17:50:00	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xd4502b…
05-12 17:00:04	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x845875…
05-12 17:00:04	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x667e61…
05-12 17:00:04	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x521187…
05-12 17:00:02	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x21b290…
05-12 17:00:02	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x12466c…
05-12 16:59:58	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xff4872…
05-12 16:59:58	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x672418…
05-12 16:59:58	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x596c3e…
05-12 16:59:57	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd33624…
05-12 16:59:57	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0xbf9670…
05-12 16:59:57	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x95907c…
05-12 16:59:57	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x8599e7…
05-12 16:59:57	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x11171d…
05-12 16:54:57	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa0421f…
05-12 16:30:01	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xded255…
05-12 16:30:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x366b90…
05-12 16:29:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd171aa…
05-12 16:29:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xaa4542…
05-12 16:29:59	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x9cbe9c…
05-12 16:29:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x8f019f…
05-12 16:29:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x60ce02…
05-12 16:29:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x609f06…
05-12 16:29:59	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x31f413…
05-12 16:29:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$4	0x27d4ba…
05-12 16:19:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$5	0x4425f9…
05-12 16:05:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xd2e81d…
05-12 16:04:56	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xc5d543…
05-12 15:29:56	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x15e41f…
05-12 15:29:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xe748e6…
05-12 15:20:01	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xc436a0…