Leafy-Pheromone — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.2%

Resolved

Trades

787

lifetime

Volume

$1.09K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-10

last 05-16 06:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 54% +$5

Other

6% 100% +$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 416 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - 26?	2	$41	43	42	+1	open	—	04-19 07:21
eth updown 5m 1776521400	23	$23	25	18	+7	open	—	04-18 14:14
btc updown 5m 1776629100	1	$20	35	0	+35	open	—	04-19 20:05
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	5	$17	15	15	+0	open	—	05-04 06:48
hype updown 5m 1775812500	1	$15	21	0	+21	open	—	04-10 09:17
hype updown 5m 1775814900	1	$15	16	0	+16	open	—	04-10 09:56
eth updown 5m 1776538200	10	$12	16	6	+10	open	—	04-18 18:54
eth updown 5m 1776526200	12	$11	13	6	+7	open	—	04-18 15:34
eth updown 5m 1776521700	11	$11	15	6	+9	open	—	04-18 14:19
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	5	$11	25	0	+25	Down	+$14	05-05 04:05
eth updown 5m 1776507000	11	$11	13	8	+5	open	—	04-18 10:14
eth updown 5m 1776511200	11	$10	13	7	+6	open	—	04-18 11:24
eth updown 5m 1776515400	11	$10	13	7	+6	open	—	04-18 12:32
btc updown 5m 1775813700	1	$10	16	0	+16	open	—	04-10 09:36
hype updown 5m 1775813400	1	$10	16	0	+16	open	—	04-10 09:30
sol updown 5m 1775828100	2	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	04-10 13:39
eth updown 5m 1776519300	12	$10	13	4	+9	open	—	04-18 13:38
eth updown 5m 1776536700	9	$10	12	6	+6	open	—	04-18 18:29
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	6	$9	20	0	+20	open	—	05-04 07:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	2	$9	5	5	+0	Up	+$1	05-06 08:42
eth updown 5m 1776462900	9	$9	16	0	+16	open	—	04-17 22:00
eth updown 5m 1776451200	9	$9	17	0	+17	open	—	04-17 18:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	2	$9	7	7	+0	Up	+$1	05-08 18:19
eth updown 5m 1776524100	11	$9	10	7	+4	open	—	04-18 14:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	2	$9	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	05-08 16:58
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	2	$8	10	0	+10	Down	+$2	05-05 16:35
eth updown 5m 1776465900	8	$8	15	0	+15	open	—	04-17 22:46
eth updown 5m 1776461100	8	$8	15	0	+15	open	—	04-17 21:29
eth updown 5m 1776485400	8	$8	15	0	+15	open	—	04-18 04:12
eth updown 5m 1776450000	8	$8	14	0	+14	open	—	04-17 18:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-16 06:58:13	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 18?	Up	BUY	14	54¢	$8	0xd7fca0…
05-08 19:41:31	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	8	55¢	$4	0x27c593…
05-08 19:39:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	SELL	7	17¢	$1	0x4f8090…
05-08 19:38:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x1f0c60…
05-08 18:28:01	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 8, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x2773cd…
05-08 18:23:26	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 8, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x86f682…
05-08 18:19:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	7	70¢	$5	0x300a52…
05-08 18:17:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0x5f9d40…
05-08 18:01:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xf4979c…
05-08 17:53:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0xbc0cd0…
05-08 17:52:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xd72ccd…
05-08 17:38:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	8	20¢	$2	0xf7d505…
05-08 17:31:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x550c82…
05-08 16:58:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	87¢	$4	0x764638…
05-08 16:54:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xd70f48…
05-08 14:19:56	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 8?	Up	SELL	5	94¢	$4	0x491eb8…
05-08 06:23:53	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 8?	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$2	0x7ef670…
05-06 10:36:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x1ab043…
05-06 10:36:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xd11cbc…
05-06 10:02:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x9a8f94…
05-06 10:01:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x6a254f…
05-06 09:20:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xd6cecd…
05-06 09:20:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x9294e4…
05-06 09:09:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0xdbe0df…
05-06 09:05:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xae7534…
05-06 09:05:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x2a9424…
05-06 08:50:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xea1a7b…
05-06 08:42:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xcb7e36…
05-06 08:39:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x7ec13e…
05-06 08:25:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x5d20c6…
05-06 08:16:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x51fd5d…
05-06 07:45:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x1285d5…
05-06 07:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xdbaea5…
05-06 06:53:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x795f80…
05-06 06:53:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	0	61¢	$0	0x681212…
05-06 06:53:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	0	61¢	$0	0x5db3cb…
05-06 06:24:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x5af119…
05-06 04:09:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0x4bfe68…
05-06 04:08:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xee8b51…
05-05 19:30:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x71025e…
05-05 19:30:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x3055da…
05-05 19:26:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	6¢	$0	0xaddadc…
05-05 19:26:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0x5459c2…
05-05 19:26:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0xe8edde…
05-05 17:14:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x27ff66…
05-05 16:35:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x7a8551…
05-05 16:35:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x57f438…
05-05 16:21:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x86a320…
05-05 16:21:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x41a4c2…
05-05 16:00:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xede023…
05-05 04:05:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x5bb675…
05-05 04:02:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xd60d7e…
05-05 04:02:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x7b4d48…
05-05 04:02:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x5e01f2…
05-05 04:02:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x108681…
05-04 07:07:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xba7c79…
05-04 07:01:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	0	54¢	$0	0xcd65c8…
05-04 07:01:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xa89743…
05-04 07:01:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0x0bb60f…
05-04 07:01:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x68b897…
05-04 07:01:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x34af2b…
05-04 06:48:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	SELL	10	84¢	$8	0xa88d70…
05-04 06:48:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0xeceeab…
05-04 06:45:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x289c94…
05-04 06:45:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xbfc8d8…
05-04 06:45:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x2e69c5…
05-04 06:15:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xf67528…
05-04 06:15:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x423f72…
05-04 06:15:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x1042fd…
04-19 20:05:34	btc updown 5m 1776629100	Down	BUY	35	59¢	$20	0x74e50f…
04-19 07:21:30	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - 26?	No	SELL	42	49¢	$20	0xf6066a…
04-19 05:49:22	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - 26?	No	BUY	43	49¢	$21	0x4e4b61…
04-18 18:56:58	eth updown 5m 1776538500	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x7a0736…
04-18 18:56:12	eth updown 5m 1776538500	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x8a84ef…
04-18 18:56:12	eth updown 5m 1776538500	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x75c9e7…
04-18 18:55:50	eth updown 5m 1776538500	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x400bd3…
04-18 18:55:10	eth updown 5m 1776538500	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x4ac804…
04-18 18:54:52	eth updown 5m 1776538200	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x5555f8…
04-18 18:54:40	eth updown 5m 1776538200	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x11e396…
04-18 18:54:22	eth updown 5m 1776538200	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x72d402…
04-18 18:54:20	eth updown 5m 1776538200	Down	SELL	6	50¢	$3	0xc40e52…
04-18 18:54:16	eth updown 5m 1776538200	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xc3afa4…
04-18 18:53:58	eth updown 5m 1776538200	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xf42ee2…
04-18 18:53:52	eth updown 5m 1776538200	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x5fe6da…
04-18 18:50:42	eth updown 5m 1776538200	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xc9a409…
04-18 18:50:34	eth updown 5m 1776538200	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x04247e…
04-18 18:50:06	eth updown 5m 1776538200	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x0c44c2…
04-18 18:46:30	eth updown 5m 1776537900	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x5a6c69…
04-18 18:45:26	eth updown 5m 1776537900	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xd47f8e…
04-18 18:45:06	eth updown 5m 1776537900	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xdf6e8c…
04-18 18:42:36	eth updown 5m 1776537600	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x8ca03a…
04-18 18:29:58	eth updown 5m 1776536700	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x72a845…
04-18 18:29:38	eth updown 5m 1776536700	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xe3c5f2…
04-18 18:29:34	eth updown 5m 1776536700	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x7ec463…
04-18 18:29:18	eth updown 5m 1776536700	Down	SELL	4	48¢	$2	0x1b6819…
04-18 18:29:16	eth updown 5m 1776536700	Down	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0xe2f3c1…
04-18 18:25:34	eth updown 5m 1776536700	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x713835…
04-18 18:25:20	eth updown 5m 1776536700	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x2ae7ac…
04-18 18:25:12	eth updown 5m 1776536700	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xd42997…
04-18 18:25:06	eth updown 5m 1776536700	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x0e69c5…