Reasonable-Innocent-Clone — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$251

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

59.0%

Resolved

508

Trades

965

lifetime

Volume

$4.09K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$11

1 position

First seen

2026-05-19

last 11-13 04:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 101 days

Categories

Sports

42% 49% -$170

Crypto

29% 64% -$6

Other

28% 47% -$75

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Miami Heat make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	No		+25	$12	42¢	$11	-$1	11-06 17:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs GenOne (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Group Stage	14	$96	106	106	+0	AM Gaming	-$27	05-21 17:35
LoL: SU Esports vs PCIFIC (BO5) - TCL Playoffs	15	$90	142	83	+59	PCIFIC	-$12	05-22 18:06
Counter-Strike: Esport Academy Copenhagen vs megoshort (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Group Stage	9	$60	44	44	+0	megoshort	$0	05-21 14:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	8	$56	51	51	+0	Down	+$4	05-21 09:14
New York Yankees vs. Athletics	7	$46	33	33	+0	New York Yankees	+$16	05-31 21:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	9	$45	33	33	+0	Up	-$3	05-28 16:00
Counter-Strike: Tricked vs 1WIN (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs	4	$45	31	31	+0	1WIN	+$5	05-21 16:02
nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	3	$40	45	27	+18	Spurs	-$10	06-07 22:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	7	$39	53	47	+6	Down	-$1	05-21 08:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	5	$31	23	23	+0	Down	+$1	05-21 04:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	7	$30	24	24	+0	Up	+$0	05-21 08:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	5	$29	25	20	+6	Up	+$5	05-20 05:53
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	5	$27	38	38	+0	Yes	+$15	07-15 20:55
mlb kc min 2026 06 06	2	$27	17	17	+0	Kansas City Royals	+$7	06-06 21:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	4	$25	20	20	+0	Down	-$1	05-21 10:52
fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team total home 1pt5	3	$25	17	17	+0	Over	+$9	07-09 22:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 11:35 UTC	7	$25	18	18	+0	Down	+$3	07-13 11:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	3	$24	37	16	+21	Up	-$2	05-21 09:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	4	$23	21	21	+0	Up	+$3	05-21 08:42
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$22	100	100	+0	No	$0	06-02 07:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	4	$22	19	19	+0	Down	+$2	05-20 09:14
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astros	4	$22	15	15	+0	Milwaukee Brewers	+$3	05-31 20:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	3	$21	20	14	+6	Up	+$7	05-19 12:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	7	$21	24	11	+12	Down	-$1	05-28 15:05
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs paiN (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A	4	$20	15	15	+0	paiN	+$0	05-21 15:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	4	$20	16	16	+0	Down	+$0	05-20 19:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	4	$20	26	26	+0	Up	$0	05-20 08:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	7	$20	18	15	+3	Up	-$1	05-28 16:19
fifwc uzb col 2026 06 17 corners total 8pt5	2	$20	19	19	+0	Under	$0	06-17 21:53
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?	4	$20	30	30	+0	No	-$9	06-06 19:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-13 04:31:19	Spread: Suns (-4.5)	Suns	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xac992e…
11-13 03:34:13	Spread: Suns (-5.5)	Suns	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xcefa77…
11-13 03:27:01	Spread: Suns (-4.5)	Suns	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x22fb81…
11-11 03:35:33	Thunder vs. Trail Blazers	Thunder	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x225c14…
11-06 17:04:01	Will the Miami Heat make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	No	BUY	25	47¢	$12	0x48aec8…
11-01 22:39:42	Celtics vs. Magic	Magic	SELL	9	16¢	$1	0x591558…
11-01 22:33:49	Celtics vs. Magic	Magic	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x97e5bb…
10-31 23:33:39	Thunder vs. Rockets	Rockets	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x1ac8fe…
10-04 23:33:04	mlb sd mil 2026 10 04	Milwaukee Brewers	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x5b919e…
10-04 19:41:49	mlb sd mil 2026 10 04	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xd722a7…
10-03 20:05:11	mlb sd mil 2026 10 03 hrr fernando tatis jr 1pt5	Over	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x4f3920…
10-03 19:17:21	Chicago White Sox Team Total: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x491728…
10-03 16:57:05	Chicago White Sox Team Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xebd62a…
10-03 16:56:02	Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x8e4c87…
09-24 18:11:51	mlb cws kc 2026 09 24 spread away 1pt5	Kansas City Royals	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xde5efb…
09-23 21:26:01	mlb ari col 2026 09 23	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xbd69c5…
09-23 21:25:44	St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x6345cf…
09-22 20:36:09	Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xba2477…
09-22 20:35:12	St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xec404d…
09-22 20:34:32	Washington Nationals vs. Detroit Tigers	Detroit Tigers	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x462cbf…
09-20 20:09:17	Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xb86cc6…
09-20 17:30:49	Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x1d9393…
09-20 17:30:24	Cleveland Guardians Team Total: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x0d714b…
09-18 20:52:10	Elly De La Cruz: Hits + Runs + RBIs O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x0197e0…
09-16 17:24:57	mlb bal nym 2026 09 16 spread home 1pt5	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x5d5244…
09-16 17:20:46	mlb nyy min 2026 09 16 tb aaron judge 1pt5	Over	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x993624…
09-15 21:07:03	Cristopher Sánchez: Strikeouts O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xccfc15…
09-15 21:06:39	Jacob Misiorowski: Strikeouts O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x430dbd…
09-13 21:08:21	San Diego Padres winning after 5 innings?	Yes	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x4b181d…
09-13 16:18:24	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Miami Marlins	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xa34876…
09-13 16:17:54	Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x3b7b58…
09-12 16:50:48	Athletics winning after 5 innings?	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x344fd1…
09-12 16:42:52	Houston Astros vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x774f27…
09-11 19:05:34	Cody Bellinger: Hits + Runs + RBIs O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x3f33f3…
09-09 17:45:39	Aaron Judge: Home Runs O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x2ef405…
09-09 17:43:48	Houston Astros vs. Philadelphia Phillies	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x514a94…
09-09 17:39:19	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Athletics	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x036662…
09-08 20:58:36	Cam Schlittler: Strikeouts O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x5d715b…
09-08 20:27:37	Los Angeles Angels vs. Boston Red Sox	Boston Red Sox	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x48fcfb…
09-08 20:11:07	Kyle Schwarber: Home Runs O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xd8ec1c…
09-08 20:10:18	mlb chc mil 2026 09 08 hrr pete crow armstrong 1pt5	Over	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x3bc7be…
09-07 20:58:57	Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers	Minnesota Twins	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x05db18…
09-07 20:52:45	Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers	Minnesota Twins	SELL	8	33¢	$3	0xba973f…
09-07 19:57:15	Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers	Minnesota Twins	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xa64b63…
09-07 17:13:46	Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5	Over	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x2eede5…
09-07 17:01:24	mlb atl phi 2026 09 07 hrr bryce harper 1pt5	Over	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xc5bfc7…
09-07 16:55:55	mlb chc mil 2026 09 07 hrr pete crow armstrong 1pt5	Over	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x3940cd…
09-06 20:49:13	St. Louis Cardinals vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5	Over	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x78ecdb…
09-06 18:26:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x7a8f32…
09-06 16:31:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0x992bc8…
09-06 16:22:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0x4edb3b…
09-06 16:21:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x090175…
09-06 16:10:51	Pete Crow-Armstrong: Home Runs O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x6b980e…
09-06 15:58:54	Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox	Chicago White Sox	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x6b008d…
09-06 15:54:04	St. Louis Cardinals vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5	Over	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x70695b…
09-06 15:31:42	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0xa8d793…
09-05 03:36:04	St. Louis Cardinals vs. Colorado Rockies	St. Louis Cardinals	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xcb2364…
09-05 02:37:10	Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians	Cleveland Guardians	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x1510bf…
09-04 18:43:36	St. Louis Cardinals vs. Colorado Rockies	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x4e6fb5…
09-04 18:11:10	Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x7b86d1…
09-03 21:36:49	Pete Crow-Armstrong: Home Runs O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0x2f4436…
09-03 21:36:45	Pete Crow-Armstrong: Home Runs O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x958add…
09-03 21:36:12	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x9f90f1…
09-03 20:50:07	Tarik Skubal: Strikeouts O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x0fdd3a…
09-03 04:24:48	New York Yankees vs. Los Angeles Angels	New York Yankees	SELL	7	97¢	$6	0x8309f7…
09-03 04:05:46	Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twins	Detroit Tigers	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x70256d…
09-02 16:17:52	mlb stl lad 2026 09 02 k yoshinobu yamamoto 7pt5	Over	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xf5c851…
09-02 16:13:31	Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twins	Detroit Tigers	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x2a0324…
09-02 16:10:43	New York Yankees vs. Los Angeles Angels	New York Yankees	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0xc7c36e…
09-02 07:55:21	Athletics vs. Texas Rangers	Texas Rangers	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xd937df…
09-02 07:55:16	New York Yankees vs. Los Angeles Angels	New York Yankees	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x5f9fbc…
09-01 20:10:45	New York Yankees vs. Los Angeles Angels	New York Yankees	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x80d069…
09-01 20:10:39	Baltimore Orioles vs. Colorado Rockies	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x813a7e…
09-01 20:10:31	Athletics vs. Texas Rangers	Texas Rangers	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0xa14cea…
08-31 22:07:54	Milwaukee Brewers winning after 5 innings?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x10f00b…
08-30 20:15:52	mlb kc cle 2026 08 30	Cleveland Guardians	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x82cd49…
08-30 14:58:03	mlb sd tb 2026 08 30	San Diego Padres	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xaa9018…
08-30 14:57:48	mlb kc cle 2026 08 30	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x73af9d…
08-30 14:57:28	mlb sea tor 2026 08 30	Seattle Mariners	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xd78006…
08-30 14:57:16	mlb col atl 2026 08 30	Colorado Rockies	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x95842d…
08-29 21:49:12	mlb kc cle 2026 08 29	Kansas City Royals	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x4c28c9…
08-29 17:22:48	mlb kc cle 2026 08 29	Kansas City Royals	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xa0f160…
08-29 17:12:30	mlb sd tb 2026 08 29	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xf60ff7…
08-29 17:07:48	mlb lad det 2026 08 29	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x87ec4c…
08-29 04:18:54	Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Angels	Philadelphia Phillies	SELL	6	94¢	$5	0x8b5946…
08-28 21:32:10	Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Angels	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x8c466b…
08-27 19:48:30	mlb kc tor 2026 08 27 spread away 1pt5	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x0b30fa…
08-26 22:32:10	Houston Astros vs. New York Yankees	New York Yankees	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xd5231a…
08-26 22:18:54	mlb cle laa 2026 08 26 spread home 1pt5	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x0362ab…
08-26 22:07:28	Philadelphia Phillies vs. Seattle Mariners	Philadelphia Phillies	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x767bac…
08-26 20:27:22	mlb cle laa 2026 08 26 spread home 1pt5	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xb2dd4d…
08-26 17:26:21	Philadelphia Phillies vs. Seattle Mariners	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x0dfb89…
08-25 22:08:58	Minnesota Twins winning after 5 innings?	Yes	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xad89e9…
08-25 22:07:45	Cleveland Guardians winning after 5 innings?	Yes	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xfe05c0…
08-25 22:06:46	mlb bos mia 2026 08 25 spread away 1pt5	Miami Marlins	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x39819d…
08-24 22:33:28	Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Angels	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x1ad2c7…
08-21 20:36:45	mlb atl mil 2026 08 21	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x8054d0…
08-19 15:13:49	mlb sea mil 2026 08 19	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xd212c0…
08-19 15:13:42	mlb cws chc 2026 08 19	Chicago Cubs	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0x84d396…
08-18 20:18:18	mlb atl min 2026 08 18	Atlanta Braves	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x4ce28a…