Glorious-Newsletter — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5.40K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

26.5%

Resolved

Trades

116

lifetime

Volume

$19.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$164

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 05-29 21:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Politics

43% 46% -$2,601

Crypto

36% 17% -$2,102

Other

21% 25% -$696

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-29).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	2	$2.2K	2,280	2,280	+0	No	+$522	05-29 15:26
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	12	$2.2K	3,970	3,970	+0	Yes	-$16	01-25 17:24
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	1	$2.1K	11,029	0	+11,029	No	-$2,090	02-04 19:45
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	6	$1.7K	74,340	882	+73,458	Yes	-$841	02-03 13:34
bitcoin up or down on january 23	4	$1.3K	1,136	919	+217	Up	-$18	01-23 15:45
bitcoin up or down on january 25	4	$1.2K	1,232	1,232	+0	Down	-$53	01-24 20:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	8	$1.1K	5,585	0	+5,585	Down	-$1,100	05-29 21:28
Will Figure's F.03 robots run between 100 and 200 hours without failure?	2	$1.1K	856	856	+0	Yes	+$640	05-18 07:54
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	8	$865	3,767	469	+3,299	No	-$725	01-25 17:40
bitcoin up or down on january 24	13	$739	3,103	634	+2,468	Down	-$361	01-24 07:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 16:40 UTC	1	$590	970	0	+970	Down	+$381	03-15 16:43
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	2	$452	904	904	+0	No	$0	05-14 16:28
netanyahu out by march 31 854	4	$413	10,501	0	+10,501	No	-$413	03-16 19:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 17:35 UTC	2	$400	1,241	0	+1,241	Up	-$400	03-15 17:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 17:40 UTC	1	$337	835	0	+835	Up	-$337	03-15 17:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 16:10 UTC	1	$275	500	0	+500	Up	+$225	03-15 16:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	3	$225	715	0	+715	Down	-$225	05-29 21:17
will russia join the board of peace	3	$215	243	243	+0	No	+$9	01-23 22:53
will powell say trump during january press conference 254 797	2	$202	1,009	0	+1,009	No	-$202	01-28 14:00
will the us next strike iran on january 31 2026 et 836	3	$162	981	981	+0	No	+$12	01-29 23:13
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	2	$156	288	288	+0	Yes	+$6	01-08 11:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 16:35 UTC	2	$130	2,062	0	+2,062	Up	-$130	03-15 16:38
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	2	$127	333	333	+0	No	+$7	01-14 07:31
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	2	$103	182	182	+0	No	+$3	01-22 15:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	1	$100	313	0	+313	Up	+$213	05-29 20:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 17:05 UTC	1	$100	334	0	+334	Up	-$100	03-15 17:07
will trump say crypto or bitcoin during wef address on january 21	1	$100	0	100	-100	Yes	$0	01-21 15:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 16:00 UTC	3	$90	7,095	0	+7,095	Up	-$90	03-15 16:05
us strikes iran by january 25 2026 759 796 449	3	$61	953	0	+953	No	-$61	01-24 20:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 16:30 UTC	1	$60	6,000	0	+6,000	Down	-$60	03-15 16:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-29 21:28:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1,000	5¢	$48	0x9dc2ce…
05-29 21:28:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1,272	10¢	$128	0x94258c…
05-29 21:28:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1,010	7¢	$74	0x7419dc…
05-29 21:26:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	273	29¢	$79	0xf39a6f…
05-29 21:26:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	660	26¢	$171	0xc3e446…
05-29 21:26:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	682	37¢	$250	0x4f33e2…
05-29 21:25:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	490	51¢	$250	0x8045d4…
05-29 21:23:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0xf1c170…
05-29 21:17:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	387	26¢	$100	0x621343…
05-29 21:16:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	275	36¢	$100	0x62d346…
05-29 21:14:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0x4b2a76…
05-29 21:07:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	611	4¢	$25	0x910d9a…
05-29 20:56:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	313	32¢	$100	0xd412c4…
05-29 15:26:58	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	Yes	SELL	2,280	60¢	$1,376	0x66e159…
05-28 16:28:10	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	Yes	BUY	2,280	37¢	$854	0xf3317d…
05-18 07:54:41	Will Figure's F.03 robots run between 100 and 200 hours without failure?	Yes	SELL	856	100¢	$853	0x0d0573…
05-14 16:31:41	Will Figure's F.03 robots run between 100 and 200 hours without failure?	Yes	BUY	856	25¢	$213	0xe5e2cf…
05-14 16:28:06	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	904	25¢	$226	0x9320fc…
05-12 18:33:53	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	904	25¢	$226	0x440466…
03-16 19:29:39	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	BUY	4,380	5¢	$206	0x83621b…
03-16 19:23:49	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	BUY	169	4¢	$7	0xf612e9…
03-15 17:42:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 17:40 UTC	Down	BUY	835	40¢	$337	0x6475d3…
03-15 17:42:05	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	BUY	4,167	2¢	$100	0x3d5e17…
03-15 17:38:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 17:35 UTC	Down	BUY	733	27¢	$200	0x30b2eb…
03-15 17:37:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 17:35 UTC	Down	BUY	508	39¢	$200	0x8040af…
03-15 17:07:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 17:05 UTC	Down	BUY	334	30¢	$100	0x30a455…
03-15 16:58:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 16:55 UTC	Down	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0xa12f0a…
03-15 16:43:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 16:40 UTC	Down	BUY	970	61¢	$590	0xc96983…
03-15 16:38:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 16:35 UTC	Down	BUY	1,277	2¢	$30	0x116d74…
03-15 16:37:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 16:35 UTC	Down	BUY	786	13¢	$100	0xe13f24…
03-15 16:35:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 16:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6,000	1¢	$60	0xaf7870…
03-15 16:14:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 16:10 UTC	Up	BUY	500	55¢	$275	0x028cf0…
03-15 16:05:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5,000	1¢	$50	0x27679e…
03-15 16:05:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2,000	1¢	$20	0x0530d0…
03-15 16:03:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	95	21¢	$20	0x119fb4…
03-15 15:26:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 15:25 UTC	Up	BUY	7	34¢	$2	0xc26f17…
03-15 13:35:35	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	BUY	1,786	6¢	$100	0x9ea979…
02-04 19:45:49	us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	Yes	BUY	11,029	19¢	$2,090	0x7ed085…
02-03 13:34:10	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	55,930	0¢	$112	0x905c40…
01-31 10:52:16	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	14,545	1¢	$87	0x7c72c1…
01-29 23:13:46	will the us next strike iran on january 31 2026 et 836	Yes	SELL	351	7¢	$26	0xa51ae8…
01-29 23:11:06	will the us next strike iran on january 31 2026 et 836	Yes	SELL	630	10¢	$61	0x436573…
01-29 21:20:34	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	983	44¢	$432	0x4d2887…
01-29 20:48:22	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	SELL	882	49¢	$432	0x77ee92…
01-29 17:59:52	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	1,213	24¢	$291	0x4a9435…
01-29 17:48:12	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	1,669	21¢	$351	0x727804…
01-28 14:00:03	will powell say trump during january press conference 254 797	Yes	BUY	746	20¢	$152	0xbd2479…
01-28 13:59:53	will powell say median during january press conference 776	Yes	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0x64920e…
01-28 13:59:37	will powell say stock market during january press conference 344	Yes	BUY	145	41¢	$60	0x92987e…
01-28 13:59:21	will powell say assumption during january press conference 581 231	Yes	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x5868d7…
01-28 13:59:01	will powell say trump during january press conference 254 797	Yes	BUY	263	19¢	$50	0xd6ed6f…
01-25 17:40:18	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	Yes	BUY	1,002	17¢	$170	0xf6520b…
01-25 17:25:00	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	Yes	BUY	306	17¢	$52	0x72c610…
01-25 17:24:34	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	200	26¢	$52	0x239c81…
01-24 20:57:16	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	Yes	BUY	444	25¢	$111	0x2d66b7…
01-24 20:56:36	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	411	27¢	$111	0xba5f71…
01-24 20:53:42	us strikes iran by january 24 2026 318	Yes	BUY	381	2¢	$8	0x94f40c…
01-24 20:53:00	us strikes iran by january 25 2026 759 796 449	Yes	BUY	737	6¢	$47	0x76bdc4…
01-24 20:52:18	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	204	27¢	$55	0x075e6a…
01-24 20:45:42	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	Yes	BUY	881	25¢	$220	0x1b231b…
01-24 20:45:12	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	815	27¢	$220	0x3f48fa…
01-24 20:44:28	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	Yes	BUY	586	25¢	$147	0x60033c…
01-24 20:43:48	will the us next strike iran on january 31 2026 et 836	Yes	BUY	981	8¢	$75	0x940420…
01-24 20:41:28	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	250	27¢	$68	0x8e643d…
01-24 20:35:52	us strikes iran by january 24 2026 318	Yes	BUY	55	2¢	$1	0xcf11a0…
01-24 20:35:42	us strikes iran by january 26 2026 337 214 511	Yes	BUY	222	9¢	$20	0xf0abb3…
01-24 20:35:28	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	Yes	BUY	80	25¢	$20	0x96026e…
01-24 20:34:38	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	200	27¢	$54	0x8a8ff7…
01-24 20:34:00	us strikes iran by january 26 2026 337 214 511	Yes	BUY	78	9¢	$7	0x4679f6…
01-24 20:33:50	us strikes iran by january 25 2026 759 796 449	Yes	BUY	109	6¢	$7	0x05a95c…
01-24 20:33:38	us strikes iran by january 24 2026 318	Yes	BUY	345	2¢	$7	0xf330ab…
01-24 20:25:00	us strikes iran by january 26 2026 337 214 511	Yes	BUY	70	10¢	$7	0x68e009…
01-24 20:24:48	us strikes iran by january 25 2026 759 796 449	Yes	BUY	106	7¢	$7	0xd76c87…
01-24 20:24:40	us strikes iran by january 24 2026 318	Yes	BUY	302	2¢	$7	0x70a679…
01-24 20:22:08	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	1,024	28¢	$287	0xcf10cd…
01-24 20:21:38	bitcoin up or down on january 25	Up	SELL	531	55¢	$291	0x0c4bd3…
01-24 20:08:38	bitcoin up or down on january 25	Up	BUY	531	57¢	$303	0x51b7d7…
01-24 17:31:06	bitcoin up or down on january 25	Down	SELL	701	43¢	$303	0x430301…
01-24 15:57:56	bitcoin up or down on january 25	Down	BUY	701	49¢	$344	0x75bbe2…
01-24 07:31:48	bitcoin up or down on january 24	Up	BUY	1,364	11¢	$150	0x618f26…
01-23 23:19:34	bitcoin up or down on january 24	Up	BUY	783	18¢	$140	0x2f684d…
01-23 22:58:30	bitcoin up or down on january 24	Up	SELL	400	18¢	$72	0x2da725…
01-23 22:53:50	will russia join the board of peace	Yes	SELL	243	46¢	$112	0xc30694…
01-23 21:45:04	bitcoin up or down on january 24	Up	BUY	400	15¢	$60	0x3660d2…
01-23 20:29:14	bitcoin up or down on january 24	Up	BUY	270	37¢	$100	0x84e203…
01-23 20:25:30	bitcoin up or down on january 24	Up	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0xa56bee…
01-23 20:22:50	bitcoin up or down on january 24	Down	SELL	100	50¢	$50	0x820e21…
01-23 20:14:36	bitcoin up or down on january 24	Down	SELL	95	44¢	$42	0xdd7af8…
01-23 17:26:40	bitcoin up or down on january 24	Down	BUY	91	22¢	$20	0x221597…
01-23 17:22:46	bitcoin up or down on january 24	Down	BUY	56	35¢	$20	0xa4ba79…
01-23 17:20:58	bitcoin up or down on january 24	Up	SELL	39	62¢	$24	0x09ad1f…
01-23 17:15:28	bitcoin up or down on january 24	Down	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0x0fc17a…
01-23 16:54:34	bitcoin up or down on january 24	Up	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xa637e2…
01-23 15:45:40	bitcoin up or down on january 23	Down	BUY	217	23¢	$50	0x7db526…
01-23 15:44:54	bitcoin up or down on january 23	Up	SELL	919	70¢	$643	0x520810…
01-23 13:08:50	bitcoin up or down on january 23	Up	BUY	176	65¢	$114	0x367419…
01-23 13:06:50	bitcoin up or down on january 23	Up	BUY	743	67¢	$497	0xe286fa…
01-23 12:52:50	will russia join the board of peace	Yes	BUY	127	39¢	$50	0xbac7e4…
01-23 08:55:54	will russia join the board of peace	Yes	BUY	116	46¢	$53	0xeac3d5…
01-22 15:52:44	Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	182	29¢	$53	0x953604…