Oddball-Seat — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

81.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$419

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-07

last 06-11 02:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

35% — —

Tech

30% — —

Crypto

18% 67% $-7

Politics

16% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Sports Prediction Markets taxed as gambling?	2	$75	104	104	+0	open	—	06-02 23:57
Will Lula announce the nomination of an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil by December 31?	6	$72	60	60	+0	open	—	06-03 08:19
Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026?	3	$63	50	50	+0	open	—	06-03 18:25
trump approval up or down this week 20260602011932570	7	$43	47	47	+0	open	—	06-04 13:55
will spacex have exactly 13 launches in june 2026	2	$42	30	30	+0	open	—	06-06 05:39
will iran close its airspace by june 10 20260609184136048	2	$23	12	12	+0	open	—	06-11 02:44
will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	2	$22	20	20	+0	open	—	06-05 01:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	2	$12	10	10	+0	Down	+$1	05-09 08:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	2	$11	10	10	+0	Up	+$1	05-07 15:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	2	$9	7	7	+0	Down	+$2	05-09 08:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	3	$6	5	5	+0	Down	+$1	05-07 08:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	1	$6	10	0	+10	Down	$-6	05-09 08:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	4	$6	10	10	+0	Down	+$1	05-08 17:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	2	$5	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	05-07 16:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	3	$5	16	0	+16	Up	$-5	05-09 08:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	2	$5	5	5	+0	Down	+$1	05-07 09:20
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 7?	2	$5	5	5	+0	No	+$0	05-07 15:51
nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	3	$5	20	20	+0	open	—	06-04 16:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	1	$1	30	0	+30	Up	$-1	05-09 08:05
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	1	$1	12	0	+12	open	—	05-07 08:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	1	$1	5	0	+5	Up	$-1	05-07 17:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 02:44:57	will iran close its airspace by june 10 20260609184136048	No	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0x8d75b5…
06-10 13:53:19	will iran close its airspace by june 10 20260609184136048	No	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0xead55d…
06-06 05:39:13	will spacex have exactly 13 launches in june 2026	No	SELL	30	55¢	$16	0x502fe3…
06-05 14:49:27	will spacex have exactly 13 launches in june 2026	No	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x072b29…
06-05 01:37:40	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	No	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0x3ac2df…
06-04 16:15:46	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	No	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0x9a3e16…
06-04 16:13:30	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	No	SELL	15	13¢	$2	0x081569…
06-04 15:01:04	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	No	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x71e940…
06-04 13:55:31	trump approval up or down this week 20260602011932570	Down	SELL	20	66¢	$13	0xf6029b…
06-04 10:38:07	trump approval up or down this week 20260602011932570	Up	SELL	14	33¢	$5	0xbe7723…
06-04 10:37:54	trump approval up or down this week 20260602011932570	Up	SELL	6	34¢	$2	0xa257ed…
06-04 09:34:45	trump approval up or down this week 20260602011932570	Up	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xb70988…
06-04 09:19:34	trump approval up or down this week 20260602011932570	Down	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x70293d…
06-04 07:54:06	trump approval up or down this week 20260602011932570	Up	SELL	7	30¢	$2	0x952169…
06-04 07:41:43	trump approval up or down this week 20260602011932570	Up	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x63bb3a…
06-04 00:22:46	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	No	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0xe74f86…
06-03 18:25:19	Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026?	No	SELL	40	63¢	$25	0x0d0bf7…
06-03 17:43:55	Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026?	No	SELL	10	64¢	$6	0x6c50b8…
06-03 17:42:30	Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026?	No	BUY	50	63¢	$32	0x81333a…
06-03 08:19:19	Will Lula announce the nomination of an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil by December 31?	Yes	SELL	35	82¢	$29	0x0d2509…
06-03 08:13:22	Will Lula announce the nomination of an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil by December 31?	Yes	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0x302729…
06-03 05:01:53	Will Lula announce the nomination of an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil by December 31?	No	SELL	20	19¢	$4	0x27f3a6…
06-03 04:56:59	Will Lula announce the nomination of an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x603a63…
06-03 04:36:59	Will Lula announce the nomination of an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil by December 31?	No	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x0298ab…
06-03 04:34:00	Will Lula announce the nomination of an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x609e96…
06-02 23:57:39	Sports Prediction Markets taxed as gambling?	Yes	SELL	104	36¢	$37	0xad9e25…
06-02 22:16:51	Sports Prediction Markets taxed as gambling?	Yes	BUY	104	36¢	$37	0x6f8abb…
05-09 08:54:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x69d2f8…
05-09 08:54:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	10¢	$0	0x0c3211…
05-09 08:50:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x1492cb…
05-09 08:49:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	SELL	7	85¢	$6	0x2125c7…
05-09 08:46:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0xd95a09…
05-09 08:31:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x8cc40d…
05-09 08:21:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	SELL	10	64¢	$6	0xe31cca…
05-09 08:20:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0xb5b6f1…
05-09 08:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0xca5a52…
05-08 17:55:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	32¢	$0	0xbad9d1…
05-08 17:55:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	9	32¢	$3	0x5ef68d…
05-08 17:53:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x484c6e…
05-08 17:52:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xcef9d0…
05-07 17:36:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xa14333…
05-07 16:31:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0x56e62b…
05-07 16:31:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x700542…
05-07 15:51:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 7?	No	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x42f277…
05-07 15:48:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 7?	No	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x73e2d6…
05-07 15:29:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	10	55¢	$6	0xd6bd24…
05-07 15:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x748773…
05-07 09:20:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0xb96222…
05-07 09:19:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xdeff61…
05-07 08:53:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0x95317f…
05-07 08:53:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	70¢	$2	0x51fc2e…
05-07 08:52:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x6f6807…
05-07 08:21:52	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0xed30f5…