Grateful-Carnation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$41.7K

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

91.4%

Resolved

156

Trades

185

lifetime

Volume

$59.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$321

Open exposure

$35

1 position

First seen

2026-01-09

last 10-31 09:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 43 days

Categories

Other

81% 95% +$34,808

Politics

18% 100% +$6,621

Tech

1% 91% +$269

Crypto

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No		+37	$35	94¢	$35	$0	10-31 09:55

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ahl san cal 2026 02 26	2	$15.0K	14,889	14,889	+0	San Jose Barracuda	+$12,656	02-23 14:13
hok wst tkl 2026 03 24 game handicap away 1pt5	4	$8.7K	8,270	8,270	+0	Titan King's Legion	+$7,360	03-24 12:30
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 13, 2026?	2	$7.2K	7,014	7,014	+0	Yes	+$4,419	10-05 12:57
cl hit 47 low jan 2026	2	$6.3K	6,580	6,580	+0	No	+$5,856	01-24 11:23
lol fox1 ns 2026 01 15	2	$5.1K	5,000	5,000	+0	BNK FEARX	-$1,400	01-09 07:52
val jl f9 2026 01 10 total games 2pt5	2	$2.5K	2,595	2,595	+0	Under	+$2,387	01-09 08:25
will they will kill you opening weekend box office be between 6m and 7m	2	$1.9K	2,402	2,402	+0	No	+$1,489	03-24 12:27
will robinhood say billion 10 times during earnings call	2	$1.7K	1,548	1,548	+0	Yes	+$1,238	02-06 14:07
crint tha btn 2026 02 25 most sixes tha	3	$1.6K	1,570	1,570	+0	Yes	+$1,350	02-23 14:11
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of June?	3	$1.6K	3,800	3,800	+0	Yes	+$1,026	01-09 08:24
cs2 arc4 minlat 2026 01 14 game2	2	$1.5K	1,500	1,500	+0	ARCRED	+$1,365	01-09 07:44
will trump say romania this week february 1	2	$1.4K	1,396	1,396	+0	No	+$1,103	01-24 11:21
will trump say eight and a quarter war this week january 18	2	$1.2K	3,000	3,000	+0	No	+$810	01-09 08:22
will trump say switzerland this week january 18	2	$792	1,257	1,257	+0	No	+$289	01-09 08:21
will mrbeasts next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1 887	2	$564	867	867	+0	Yes	+$147	01-09 08:20
googl close above 320 on february 9 2026	2	$406	549	549	+0	Yes	+$351	02-06 14:35
will jensen or huang be said during the next episode of the all in podcast	2	$382	889	889	+0	Yes	+$329	01-09 07:50
will nvidia be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 491	2	$350	667	659	+8	Yes	+$269	01-09 07:49
val s2g futa 2026 02 08 map handicap away 1pt5	2	$250	253	253	+0	FUT Academy	+$215	02-06 14:04
khamenei of tweets march 27 april 3 2026 60 79	2	$203	251	251	+0	No	+$183	03-24 12:24
cs2 aim1 dt 2026 01 24 map handicap away 1pt5	2	$150	144	144	+0	aimclub	+$130	01-24 11:19
wta lachino gorgodz 2026 02 23 match total 22pt5	2	$147	144	144	+0	Under	+$124	02-23 13:48
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	1	$35	37	0	+37	open	—	10-31 09:55
will company b be accused of insider trading	1	$24	32	0	+32	No	+$8	02-25 06:12
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	1	$21	36	0	+36	Spain	-$21	07-12 13:20
Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	03-24 12:21
fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team to advance	1	$17	22	0	+22	France	+$5	07-09 14:14
ethereum above 1800 on march 6	1	$17	17	0	+17	Yes	+$0	03-06 14:57
fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 team to advance	1	$15	17	0	+17	France	+$2	06-30 14:53
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 9?	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	05-08 11:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 09:55:01	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	37	95¢	$35	0x66f1a4…
10-05 12:59:40	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 on October 5?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x113748…
10-05 12:59:35	Will Ethereum reach $3,050 on October 5?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf9f446…
10-05 12:59:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on October 5?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x2d2f7f…
10-05 12:59:26	Will Bitcoin reach $91,000 on October 5?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x271b9d…
10-05 12:59:25	Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 on October 5?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x138288…
10-05 12:59:22	Will Bitcoin reach $93,000 on October 5?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x229df8…
10-05 12:59:17	Will XRP dip to $0.90 October 5-11?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x4cf8fd…
10-05 12:59:14	Will XRP dip to $0.80 October 5-11?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x01572c…
10-05 12:59:05	Will Solana dip to $70 October 5-11?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x792f11…
10-05 12:59:02	Will Solana dip to $60 October 5-11?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe98c15…
10-05 12:59:01	Will Solana dip to $50 October 5-11?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x35e0d8…
10-05 12:58:56	Will Solana reach $170 October 5-11?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb53258…
10-05 12:58:53	Will Solana reach $180 October 5-11?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x809ee2…
10-05 12:58:50	Will Solana reach $190 October 5-11?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x091fcf…
10-05 12:58:49	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 October 5-11?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xcc9d87…
10-05 12:58:44	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 October 5-11?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x454997…
10-05 12:58:43	Will Ethereum reach $3,300 October 5-11?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x8e4295…
10-05 12:58:40	Will Ethereum reach $3,400 October 5-11?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xf8a506…
10-05 12:58:37	Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 October 5-11?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x083149…
10-05 12:58:34	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 October 5-11?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe4dd64…
10-05 12:58:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 October 5-11?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xd8afc5…
10-05 12:57:58	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7,014	83¢	$5,822	0xd6dcf6…
10-05 12:57:38	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7,014	20¢	$1,403	0xe0ef01…
07-12 13:20:53	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	BUY	36	60¢	$21	0x6b4360…
07-09 14:14:23	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team to advance	France	BUY	22	77¢	$17	0x434746…
06-30 14:53:19	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 team to advance	France	BUY	17	89¢	$15	0x6bb562…
06-10 13:01:01	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 96-97°F on June 11?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x557c4a…
06-07 13:56:39	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C or below on June 8?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x8a082f…
05-27 00:24:01	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 28?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xacb52d…
05-27 00:23:49	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 28?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7bad55…
05-17 12:33:06	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on May 18?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x47dcc5…
05-17 12:33:00	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on May 18?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfcafa4…
05-17 12:32:57	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on May 18?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x83d82a…
05-17 12:32:53	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 18?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb78ff1…
05-08 11:57:29	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 9?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xd61e91…
05-03 10:39:14	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 4?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x029055…
04-30 03:43:12	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 10°C on May 1?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x67eb9d…
04-25 13:21:36	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 26°C on April 27?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x5a4d1d…
04-20 00:36:04	highest temperature in singapore on april 21 2026 25c	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xd7a055…
04-16 13:31:34	highest temperature in singapore on april 18 2026 26c	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xc90d3a…
04-08 14:17:29	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 180 199	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x049d37…
03-24 12:31:05	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x047a39…
03-24 12:31:03	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6ee02a…
03-24 12:31:01	will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 336	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x1ab2d1…
03-24 12:30:57	will saudi aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa23210…
03-24 12:30:53	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xa197d0…
03-24 12:30:49	will google have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 941	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xc53c5f…
03-24 12:30:47	will xai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 497	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x240fac…
03-24 12:30:45	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2f431e…
03-24 12:30:43	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6173ef…
03-24 12:30:39	will alibaba have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 712	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9bb189…
03-24 12:30:17	hok wst tkl 2026 03 24 game handicap away 1pt5	WST	SELL	555	97¢	$538	0xb612fc…
03-24 12:30:13	hok wst tkl 2026 03 24 game handicap away 1pt5	WST	SELL	7,715	97¢	$7,484	0xfa4b8f…
03-24 12:29:39	hok wst tkl 2026 03 24 game handicap away 1pt5	WST	BUY	555	8¢	$44	0xc2e31a…
03-24 12:29:09	hok wst tkl 2026 03 24 game handicap away 1pt5	WST	BUY	7,715	8¢	$617	0x2b7de6…
03-24 12:27:37	will they will kill you opening weekend box office be between 6m and 7m	Yes	SELL	2,402	70¢	$1,681	0xf5b952…
03-24 12:26:05	will they will kill you opening weekend box office be between 6m and 7m	Yes	BUY	2,402	8¢	$192	0x635e52…
03-24 12:24:55	khamenei of tweets march 27 april 3 2026 60 79	Yes	SELL	251	77¢	$193	0x62c3f2…
03-24 12:23:21	khamenei of tweets march 27 april 3 2026 60 79	Yes	BUY	251	4¢	$10	0x8fc034…
03-24 12:21:45	Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x9ea9d0…
03-15 09:48:59	Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x0419f1…
03-06 14:57:41	ethereum above 1800 on march 6	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xda5d41…
03-06 14:57:37	ethereum above 2200 on march 6	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x82e6bc…
03-06 14:57:21	bitcoin above 64k on march 6	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf719cf…
03-06 14:57:17	bitcoin above 66k on march 6	Yes	BUY	3	98¢	$2	0x9d1fdd…
03-06 14:57:13	bitcoin above 72k on march 6	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc45911…
03-06 14:56:59	Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xc088f5…
03-06 14:56:33	Opinion FDV above $600M one day after launch?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x8e80ef…
03-06 14:56:31	Opinion FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x190bcd…
03-06 14:56:23	will the price of ethereum be between 1700 1800 on march 6	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x62cdcd…
03-06 14:56:19	will the price of ethereum be between 2100 2200 on march 6	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x0cf0d8…
03-06 14:56:17	will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on march 6	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xdb26de…
02-25 06:12:32	will company b be accused of insider trading	No	BUY	32	76¢	$24	0x9aa8d8…
02-23 14:16:26	will google have the 3 ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x95ff6c…
02-23 14:16:22	will anthropic have the 3 ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x300f1f…
02-23 14:16:20	will openai have the 3 ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xaa07c6…
02-23 14:16:18	will xai have the 3 ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3a22ed…
02-23 14:16:14	will deepseek have the 3 ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xaffc66…
02-23 14:16:12	will alibaba have the 3 ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x11ddcf…
02-23 14:16:08	will zai have the 3 ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb51e1c…
02-23 14:15:52	will hyperliquid reach 56 in february	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x7e7c8b…
02-23 14:15:52	will hyperliquid reach 52 in february	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x781299…
02-23 14:15:48	will hyperliquid reach 48 in february	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa9bcc2…
02-23 14:15:46	will hyperliquid reach 44 in february	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x88b927…
02-23 14:15:44	will hyperliquid reach 40 in february	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x774968…
02-23 14:15:40	will hyperliquid dip to 20 in february 415	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf3bfd8…
02-23 14:15:38	will hyperliquid dip to 16 in february 971	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb7c902…
02-23 14:13:40	ahl san cal 2026 02 26	San Jose Barracuda	SELL	14,889	93¢	$13,847	0xeffb45…
02-23 14:12:46	ahl san cal 2026 02 26	San Jose Barracuda	BUY	14,889	8¢	$1,191	0x825731…
02-23 14:11:16	crint tha btn 2026 02 25 most sixes tha	Yes	SELL	6	93¢	$5	0x5920ea…
02-23 14:10:54	crint tha btn 2026 02 25 most sixes tha	Yes	SELL	1,564	93¢	$1,455	0x346dc3…
02-23 14:08:48	crint tha btn 2026 02 25 most sixes tha	Yes	BUY	1,570	7¢	$110	0x06d3ad…
02-23 14:01:26	will anthropic have the second best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	2	94¢	$1	0x95c859…
02-23 14:01:24	will google have the second best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xbce5ee…
02-23 14:01:22	will openai have the second best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x695f9c…
02-23 14:01:20	will xai have the second best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x86c271…
02-23 14:01:14	will deepseek have the second best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x578409…
02-23 14:01:06	will nvidia be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfddd3c…
02-23 14:00:54	will the price of ethereum be between 1500 1600 on february 23	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xccb869…