Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

76.7%

Resolved

105

Trades

179

lifetime

Volume

$1.44K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-10-27

last 11-01 17:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

56% 79% +$2

Other

44% 86% +$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 91 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	2	$124	71	71	+0	open	—	11-01 15:43
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	2	$117	61	61	+0	open	—	10-31 21:36
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	2	$94	47	47	+0	No	+$0	10-31 17:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	4	$93	54	54	+0	Down	-$1	11-01 15:59
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	3	$80	41	41	+0	No	+$1	10-31 09:26
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	4	$73	38	38	+0	Yes	+$0	10-30 13:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	2	$66	37	37	+0	Up	+$6	11-01 16:17
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	4	$59	31	31	+0	No	+$3	10-30 15:52
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	2	$50	25	25	+0	No	$0	10-28 18:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	3	$37	50	11	+39	Up	-$33	11-01 17:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	3	$37	83	77	+6	Down	+$13	10-28 12:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	4	$32	53	53	+0	Up	-$17	11-01 17:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	2	$29	21	21	+0	Up	+$9	11-01 11:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	2	$26	17	17	+0	Down	+$6	11-01 13:14
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	2	$25	13	13	+0	No	+$0	10-28 12:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	2	$19	12	12	+0	Up	+$3	11-01 16:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	2	$12	8	8	+0	Up	+$2	11-01 12:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	2	$12	7	7	+0	Up	+$2	10-30 18:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	2	$12	9	9	+0	Down	+$2	10-31 19:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	11-01 11:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	2	$11	9	9	+0	Down	+$1	11-01 17:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	2	$11	8	8	+0	Up	+$4	11-01 17:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	3	$11	14	3	+11	Up	$0	11-01 13:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	11-01 11:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	11-01 13:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	10-30 11:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	11-01 11:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	2	$11	9	9	+0	Up	+$3	11-01 16:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	10-31 19:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	10-31 19:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 17:40:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	27¢	$3	0xbd695f…
11-01 17:38:06	Solana Up or Down - November 1, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xe4c023…
11-01 17:37:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	SELL	9	70¢	$6	0xb09086…
11-01 17:35:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xd3fbb4…
11-01 17:34:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	SELL	8	97¢	$7	0xb50bad…
11-01 17:29:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0xe78733…
11-01 17:29:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x4bfaa2…
11-01 17:28:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x3a1847…
11-01 17:28:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	50	8¢	$4	0xc45aa4…
11-01 17:25:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	50	42¢	$21	0x233fed…
11-01 17:22:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	SELL	11	22¢	$2	0xffa90e…
11-01 17:22:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	39	77¢	$30	0xf01764…
11-01 17:20:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x81bae5…
11-01 17:16:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xbf7a45…
11-01 17:09:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xb9493a…
11-01 17:06:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xc42795…
11-01 16:58:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xf07810…
11-01 16:58:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xccab56…
11-01 16:51:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x59c430…
11-01 16:49:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xb2e804…
11-01 16:47:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xfe1789…
11-01 16:38:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	SELL	6	94¢	$5	0x347d73…
11-01 16:36:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x16fff5…
11-01 16:33:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x5eca5f…
11-01 16:31:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x1791d5…
11-01 16:26:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	3	69¢	$2	0x42d36b…
11-01 16:25:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x72c9fe…
11-01 16:23:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x41702e…
11-01 16:23:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x0786d0…
11-01 16:17:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	SELL	37	99¢	$36	0x3d3ebb…
11-01 16:17:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	37	82¢	$30	0x89bc13…
11-01 16:11:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x3e0bf6…
11-01 16:09:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	SELL	12	95¢	$11	0x8cdbc9…
11-01 16:05:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	12	68¢	$8	0x52cb9b…
11-01 16:01:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	SELL	9	77¢	$7	0xff4427…
11-01 15:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0x3248ce…
11-01 15:59:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	45	99¢	$45	0x03b26e…
11-01 15:58:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	9	10¢	$1	0x6cb107…
11-01 15:58:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	45	95¢	$43	0x6eafcb…
11-01 15:55:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x7c6e98…
11-01 15:50:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	12	34¢	$4	0x230dfc…
11-01 15:48:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	9	86¢	$8	0xe7996c…
11-01 15:44:25	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x88316c…
11-01 15:43:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	91¢	$8	0xe7d957…
11-01 15:43:12	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	SELL	71	83¢	$59	0x5e4d4d…
11-01 13:58:09	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	71	91¢	$65	0x9c22e9…
11-01 13:50:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x4b8b23…
11-01 13:45:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xf1fb02…
11-01 13:43:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x1a7f90…
11-01 13:40:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x8dad33…
11-01 13:38:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x7e8bf5…
11-01 13:36:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x664861…
11-01 13:34:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb9787a…
11-01 13:32:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xeb79c9…
11-01 13:23:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x9ba953…
11-01 13:22:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x37530d…
11-01 13:19:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x5629c7…
11-01 13:18:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xad5164…
11-01 13:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	17	97¢	$16	0x9b5c27…
11-01 13:10:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x999806…
11-01 13:07:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x712868…
11-01 13:03:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0x6b6072…
11-01 13:02:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xd65dc1…
11-01 13:00:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xdaf81f…
11-01 12:57:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x03492f…
11-01 12:39:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xc8f14c…
11-01 12:35:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xe02fe3…
11-01 12:29:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	8	97¢	$7	0xa3c151…
11-01 12:25:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xf48780…
11-01 12:23:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x4cea21…
11-01 12:05:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x782665…
11-01 11:49:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xa12ceb…
11-01 11:48:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xf34236…
11-01 11:39:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xac5224…
11-01 11:35:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xe2c55b…
11-01 11:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x103788…
11-01 11:24:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x0972ff…
11-01 11:23:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xd4c741…
11-01 11:19:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x825f8a…
11-01 11:16:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xb4ff84…
11-01 11:13:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	21	88¢	$19	0x83e0b8…
11-01 11:10:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x756571…
11-01 11:05:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xc437a7…
11-01 11:01:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x5fdd16…
11-01 10:57:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xe50a13…
11-01 10:14:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x84162b…
11-01 10:13:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x134211…
11-01 10:01:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xad1f51…
11-01 09:49:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xd83016…
11-01 09:47:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xbd7d62…
11-01 08:31:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x91eb86…
10-31 21:39:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x0fbd25…
10-31 21:36:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xbb8d1f…
10-31 21:36:03	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	61	96¢	$58	0x514cdb…
10-31 20:42:10	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	61	96¢	$59	0xb0b418…
10-31 20:05:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x0d4bb1…
10-31 20:02:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x9f4358…
10-31 20:01:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x1432ed…
10-31 19:59:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xad6c71…
10-31 19:57:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x9f93e0…