Dismal-Walnut — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.81K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

80.3%

Resolved

2,973

Trades

5,635

lifetime

Volume

$107.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-23

last 10-19 12:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 206 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 85% +$1,805

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

73 active days in 12wk • peak 133 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	10	$374	349	138	+211	Up	-$199	05-16 07:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	9	$324	274	263	+11	Up	-$137	04-27 13:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	7	$307	210	207	+2	Up	-$22	04-26 21:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	9	$278	306	0	+306	Down	+$28	05-13 12:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 12:30 UTC	11	$277	177	177	+0	Down	-$19	07-02 12:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 17:25 UTC	10	$238	183	178	+6	Down	-$85	04-23 17:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 17:40 UTC	5	$227	260	0	+260	Down	+$33	04-23 17:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 08:15 UTC	11	$210	186	185	+1	Up	-$120	04-18 08:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 06:50 UTC	3	$210	108	108	+0	Down	+$2	06-27 06:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	8	$206	225	0	+225	Up	+$20	05-13 01:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 17:00 UTC	4	$202	223	0	+223	Up	+$21	04-22 17:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 13:30 UTC	7	$199	127	127	+0	Up	-$27	04-20 13:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 22:10 UTC	8	$192	204	0	+204	Down	+$12	06-25 22:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 10:05 UTC	8	$177	210	0	+210	Down	+$32	04-23 10:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 06:15 UTC	7	$176	183	0	+183	Up	+$7	06-26 06:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	7	$170	199	0	+199	Down	+$29	05-12 16:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 23:15 UTC	18	$169	208	0	+208	Up	+$39	04-05 23:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	3	$165	148	146	+2	Up	-$74	05-01 06:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 21:40 UTC	3	$164	179	0	+179	Up	+$15	06-14 21:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-11 12:30 UTC	3	$164	121	121	+0	Up	-$63	09-11 12:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	10	$163	196	0	+196	Up	+$33	04-27 00:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 16:25 UTC	5	$163	173	0	+173	Down	+$11	06-24 16:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 07:15 UTC	7	$161	180	0	+180	Up	+$19	06-25 07:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 20:20 UTC	4	$160	175	0	+175	Down	+$15	04-22 20:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 19:35 UTC	5	$158	172	0	+172	Down	+$14	04-22 19:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 14:35 UTC	5	$156	111	111	+0	Up	-$39	04-23 14:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 19:00 UTC	3	$155	177	0	+177	Down	+$22	04-22 19:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 00:35 UTC	5	$153	166	0	+166	Down	+$13	06-30 00:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 19:50 UTC	6	$153	166	0	+166	Down	+$13	06-30 19:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 00:20 UTC	5	$152	166	0	+166	Down	+$13	07-01 00:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 12:17:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x94c2e6…
10-19 12:17:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	25	92¢	$23	0x6602b4…
10-19 10:31:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	38	87¢	$33	0x4588ef…
10-18 20:16:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	12	92¢	$12	0xd2e162…
10-18 20:16:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x162f71…
10-18 20:16:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	37	92¢	$34	0x61283a…
10-18 19:58:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	7	54¢	$4	0xfef567…
10-18 19:57:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	95¢	$6	0x4ca22d…
10-18 19:43:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0xfca89f…
10-18 19:41:14	Solana Up or Down - October 18, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	90¢	$8	0xdb3cf3…
10-18 13:26:23	Solana Up or Down - October 18, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xdb5af1…
10-17 21:49:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 17, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xfe5ce2…
10-17 21:49:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 17, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0x5576ee…
10-17 21:26:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 21:25 UTC	Down	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0xeac13f…
10-17 21:26:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 21:25 UTC	Down	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0xe47369…
10-17 21:26:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 21:25 UTC	Down	BUY	28	92¢	$26	0x0e8eaa…
10-17 21:26:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 21:25 UTC	Down	BUY	12	92¢	$12	0x0873c9…
10-16 15:02:09	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	9	95¢	$8	0x743a86…
10-16 14:17:06	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0x7e5142…
10-16 11:21:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 11:20 UTC	Up	BUY	35	92¢	$32	0xd9ad77…
10-16 08:48:49	Solana Up or Down - October 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$5	0x778cf7…
10-16 03:45:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	46	92¢	$42	0x92c1a3…
10-16 03:45:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	12	92¢	$12	0x797206…
10-15 22:01:42	Solana Up or Down - October 15, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x29a554…
10-15 20:58:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	35	66¢	$23	0x18367e…
10-15 20:56:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	36	92¢	$33	0xe9944a…
10-15 16:46:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	35	92¢	$33	0xe5dfd5…
10-15 16:46:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	14	92¢	$13	0xb8aa05…
10-15 16:46:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xdd5945…
10-15 13:37:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	SELL	36	47¢	$17	0x2ee83a…
10-15 13:36:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	36	92¢	$33	0xea841a…
10-15 12:31:19	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	15	93¢	$14	0x6409c0…
10-15 04:31:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 04:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	92¢	$4	0xaba141…
10-15 04:31:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 04:30 UTC	Up	BUY	18	92¢	$17	0x6aae1e…
10-15 04:31:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 04:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x21b19b…
10-15 04:31:22	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 04:30 UTC	Up	BUY	9	94¢	$8	0x05e92d…
10-15 03:23:10	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 03:20 UTC	Down	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x1a1689…
10-15 02:58:37	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:55 UTC	Up	BUY	8	95¢	$7	0xfd78ed…
10-15 02:32:20	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:30 UTC	Up	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0x187b87…
10-14 17:01:09	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 17:00 UTC	Up	BUY	9	94¢	$8	0x0622d4…
10-14 12:30:50	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 12:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x736dfc…
10-14 12:30:50	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 12:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x6ef3b8…
10-14 12:30:30	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 12:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x2775bc…
10-14 12:30:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 12:30 UTC	Down	BUY	0	84¢	$0	0x965372…
10-14 12:22:24	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 12:20 UTC	Down	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0xcc240a…
10-14 10:09:14	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 10:05 UTC	Down	SELL	9	18¢	$2	0x24f751…
10-14 10:07:05	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 10:05 UTC	Down	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0x2b4a66…
10-13 09:01:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	7	92¢	$7	0x545e97…
10-13 09:01:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0x3b1bb0…
10-13 09:01:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x6dc3d1…
10-13 09:01:05	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	9	92¢	$8	0x9f7f85…
10-13 07:36:47	Solana Up or Down - October 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0xe005e6…
10-13 03:37:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	SELL	63	40¢	$25	0x5ec28b…
10-13 03:35:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	57	83¢	$47	0x57d73f…
10-13 03:35:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x4cb94f…
10-13 02:11:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	55	92¢	$50	0x5e9170…
10-13 00:32:42	Solana Up or Down - October 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x74f9e2…
10-13 00:32:35	Solana Up or Down - October 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	95¢	$5	0x734f6f…
10-13 00:12:32	Solana Up or Down - October 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	93¢	$5	0xc37c43…
10-13 00:12:17	Solana Up or Down - October 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	95¢	$5	0x261fa1…
10-13 00:12:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xfb50b0…
10-13 00:12:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xa6e5fd…
10-13 00:11:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	18	92¢	$17	0xe4b315…
10-13 00:11:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	92¢	$14	0x50434a…
10-13 00:11:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	92¢	$13	0x12ac74…
10-13 00:11:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x060f9c…
10-13 00:06:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xe8f418…
10-13 00:06:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	93¢	$7	0xc8230c…
10-13 00:06:08	Solana Up or Down - October 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0xa97b5a…
10-13 00:05:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	63	88¢	$55	0xa21171…
10-12 23:12:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x937cf8…
10-12 23:12:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	32	92¢	$29	0x86bbcf…
10-12 23:12:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x60ab7e…
10-12 23:12:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	92¢	$11	0x2dd56c…
10-12 23:11:33	Solana Up or Down - October 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	92¢	$8	0x95f047…
10-12 23:09:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	SELL	63	27¢	$17	0xa4d181…
10-12 23:09:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	SELL	8	35¢	$3	0x0d23c3…
10-12 23:08:23	Solana Up or Down - October 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	SELL	7	45¢	$3	0xb33b2c…
10-12 23:07:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0x14d6ce…
10-12 23:07:02	Solana Up or Down - October 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0x1e2422…
10-12 23:06:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0xf990e4…
10-12 23:06:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0xdc5643…
10-12 23:06:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0xd9b72b…
10-12 23:06:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xaaeab2…
10-12 23:06:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	9	87¢	$8	0x56be58…
10-12 23:06:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0x4ac758…
10-12 23:02:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x7a2bdc…
10-12 23:00:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0x21a8fb…
10-12 21:46:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0x6b7437…
10-12 20:05:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	53	92¢	$48	0x69c812…
10-12 16:51:05	Solana Up or Down - October 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0x51aeb2…
10-12 14:46:27	Solana Up or Down - October 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	91¢	$7	0x35b522…
10-12 13:33:59	Solana Up or Down - October 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	SELL	9	40¢	$3	0x1d15c8…
10-12 13:31:26	Solana Up or Down - October 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	9	94¢	$8	0x57714a…
10-12 12:36:48	Solana Up or Down - October 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0xea1b67…
10-12 04:36:09	Solana Up or Down - October 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0xc43368…
10-11 18:45:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	58	91¢	$53	0xbe0777…
10-11 16:02:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-11 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x34575c…
10-11 16:02:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-11 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x2f6ed6…
10-11 16:02:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-11 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	12	92¢	$12	0x14e533…