These-Amber — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$156

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

86.9%

Resolved

Trades

112

lifetime

Volume

$15.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$138

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 08-22 12:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 50 days

Categories

Other

65% 92% +$274

Politics

17% 71% -$151

Crypto

12% 100% +$31

Tech

3% 100% +$1

Sports

3% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets february 23 february 25 90 114	10	$1.3K	684	684	+0	No	+$13	02-25 13:17
us strikes iran by february 25 2026	3	$999	507	507	+0	No	-$1	02-25 11:34
will pierre yves bournazel advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	11	$860	756	756	+0	No	-$155	03-16 09:10
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?	2	$805	405	405	+0	No	+$5	07-06 14:43
Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $40-$50 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 13 – Jul 17?	5	$674	338	338	+0	No	+$0	07-17 13:35
elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 380 399	3	$600	551	51	+501	No	+$0	02-27 05:20
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 280 299	1	$500	501	0	+501	No	+$1	03-06 04:22
donald trump of truth social posts march 10 march 17 180 199	1	$450	451	0	+451	No	+$1	03-17 02:05
will bitcoin dip to 62k august 17 23 2026	1	$400	400	0	+400	No	+$0	08-22 12:57
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	1	$400	400	0	+400	No	+$0	07-09 09:10
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 29 to July 1, 2026?	1	$350	350	0	+350	No	+$0	07-01 02:49
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	1	$338	338	0	+338	No	+$0	04-28 02:19
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 420 439	1	$300	301	0	+301	No	+$1	04-13 08:35
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 220 239	1	$300	301	0	+301	No	+$1	03-19 06:33
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?	1	$300	300	0	+300	No	+$0	05-11 05:11
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 300 319	1	$300	300	0	+300	No	+$0	04-21 02:21
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $70 Week of May 11 2026?	1	$300	300	0	+300	No	+$0	05-14 03:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	2	$300	301	0	+301	Up	+$1	05-20 01:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	3	$260	260	0	+260	Down	+$0	05-03 06:14
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 340 359	1	$250	250	0	+250	No	+$0	03-27 02:25
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 440 459	1	$250	251	0	+251	No	+$1	03-24 02:17
will nflx reach 95 in june 2026	1	$230	230	0	+230	No	+$0	06-28 04:11
will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	1	$228	228	0	+228	No	+$0	03-31 02:09
nflx above 40 on march 27 2026	1	$220	220	0	+220	Yes	+$0	03-24 02:16
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 360 379	3	$200	100	100	+0	No	+$0	03-20 15:19
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	1	$200	200	0	+200	No	+$0	05-05 03:45
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	1	$200	200	0	+200	Yes	+$0	03-31 02:10
nflx above 120 on june 26 2026	1	$195	196	0	+196	No	+$1	06-21 07:11
Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $110-$120 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 15 – Jun 19?	1	$161	161	0	+161	No	+$0	06-16 01:15
nflx above 50 on april 10 2026	1	$159	159	0	+159	Yes	+$0	04-06 02:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-22 12:57:34	will bitcoin dip to 62k august 17 23 2026	No	BUY	400	100¢	$400	0x32318c…
07-17 13:35:10	Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $40-$50 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 13 – Jul 17?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x9a7548…
07-17 13:35:10	Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $40-$50 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 13 – Jul 17?	No	SELL	37	100¢	$37	0x1263f7…
07-16 08:00:02	Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $40-$50 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 13 – Jul 17?	No	SELL	78	100¢	$78	0x6cd3b7…
07-15 09:57:35	Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $40-$50 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 13 – Jul 17?	No	SELL	123	100¢	$123	0x2d89ef…
07-15 03:24:29	Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $100-$110 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 13 – Jul 17?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x5a5a01…
07-15 03:23:58	Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $40-$50 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 13 – Jul 17?	No	BUY	338	100¢	$337	0x69af9c…
07-09 09:10:38	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	No	BUY	400	100¢	$400	0x5cf3c7…
07-06 14:43:23	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?	No	SELL	405	100¢	$405	0xe6d89d…
07-06 06:16:23	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?	No	BUY	405	99¢	$400	0x8ddebb…
07-01 02:49:13	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 29 to July 1, 2026?	No	BUY	350	100¢	$350	0x4214ff…
06-28 04:11:22	will nflx reach 95 in june 2026	No	BUY	230	100¢	$230	0x61b5b3…
06-28 04:11:01	will nflx reach 105 in june 2026	No	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0x145894…
06-28 04:10:52	will nflx reach 100 in june 2026	No	BUY	66	100¢	$66	0x1d241b…
06-24 10:01:08	Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $40-$50 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 22 – Jun 26?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xd46ab7…
06-24 09:59:53	nflx above 50 on june 26 2026	Yes	BUY	114	100¢	$114	0xb3f9f5…
06-21 07:13:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	152	99¢	$150	0x3fadd2…
06-21 07:11:55	nflx above 120 on june 26 2026	No	BUY	196	100¢	$195	0x266508…
06-16 01:15:55	Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $110-$120 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 15 – Jun 19?	No	BUY	161	100¢	$161	0xb1b508…
06-16 01:14:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	153	98¢	$150	0x8e0550…
05-30 07:37:52	Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $50-$60 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 1 – Jun 5?	No	BUY	159	100¢	$159	0xec4bd6…
05-30 07:37:41	Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $40-$50 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 1 – Jun 5?	No	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0x903aba…
05-30 07:37:34	Will Netflix (NFLX) close at <$40 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 1 – Jun 5?	No	BUY	149	100¢	$149	0x53ad3e…
05-20 01:58:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0xb4f1d4…
05-20 01:56:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x6986b0…
05-19 07:58:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	122	98¢	$120	0xa8fa46…
05-14 03:34:24	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $70 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0x3811be…
05-11 05:11:37	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0x22cdcb…
05-05 03:45:32	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x206c25…
05-05 03:42:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x7d8601…
05-03 06:14:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x3a56f6…
05-03 06:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x1945fd…
05-03 06:13:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x782602…
04-28 02:19:46	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	338	100¢	$338	0xa1cd1b…
04-21 02:21:56	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 300 319	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0x1f77c6…
04-13 08:35:01	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 420 439	No	BUY	301	100¢	$300	0xf15576…
04-13 08:34:47	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 280 299	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x2a1a3b…
04-13 08:33:47	elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 115 139	No	BUY	48	69¢	$33	0xde2925…
04-09 01:34:03	nflx above 130 on april 10 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x678e46…
04-06 02:55:05	nflx above 160 on april 10 2026	No	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0x63d735…
04-06 02:54:49	nflx above 60 on april 10 2026	Yes	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0xa678e0…
04-06 02:54:37	nflx above 50 on april 10 2026	Yes	BUY	159	100¢	$159	0xa843b1…
03-31 02:10:05	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xf537c0…
03-31 02:09:43	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	No	BUY	228	100¢	$228	0xb0e3d3…
03-27 02:25:43	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 340 359	No	BUY	250	100¢	$250	0x0f4c1d…
03-24 02:17:15	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 440 459	No	BUY	251	100¢	$250	0xb17760…
03-24 02:16:53	nflx above 40 on march 27 2026	Yes	BUY	220	100¢	$220	0x9e6040…
03-20 15:19:09	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 360 379	No	SELL	91	100¢	$91	0x7330a2…
03-20 15:19:01	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 360 379	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xe2ee8e…
03-19 06:33:41	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 360 379	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x44b461…
03-19 06:33:17	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 220 239	No	BUY	301	100¢	$300	0x4480e2…
03-17 02:05:53	donald trump of truth social posts march 10 march 17 180 199	No	BUY	451	100¢	$450	0x1df3a6…
03-16 11:03:31	highest temperature in nyc on march 17 2026 50forhigher	No	SELL	2	16¢	$0	0x59a535…
03-16 11:03:25	highest temperature in nyc on march 17 2026 50forhigher	No	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0xa6ce59…
03-16 11:00:49	highest temperature in nyc on march 17 2026 50forhigher	No	SELL	7	16¢	$1	0xbdc2fc…
03-16 11:00:43	highest temperature in nyc on march 17 2026 50forhigher	No	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x9e56a8…
03-16 09:10:15	will pierre yves bournazel advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	No	SELL	397	45¢	$178	0xb4168a…
03-16 09:08:39	will pierre yves bournazel advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	No	SELL	129	45¢	$58	0x011caf…
03-16 09:08:35	will pierre yves bournazel advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	No	SELL	24	45¢	$11	0xac8c67…
03-16 09:08:35	will pierre yves bournazel advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	No	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0x367edf…
03-16 09:08:27	will pierre yves bournazel advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	No	SELL	100	45¢	$45	0x1c9550…
03-16 09:08:23	will pierre yves bournazel advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	No	BUY	258	50¢	$129	0x7893ff…
03-16 09:07:57	will pierre yves bournazel advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	Yes	SELL	1	44¢	$0	0x00956d…
03-16 09:07:51	will pierre yves bournazel advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	Yes	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0xd542a5…
03-16 09:06:41	will pierre yves bournazel advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	No	SELL	100	58¢	$58	0x706d97…
03-16 09:06:35	will pierre yves bournazel advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	No	BUY	250	75¢	$188	0xe2c8fa…
03-16 09:03:41	will pierre yves bournazel advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	No	BUY	247	77¢	$191	0x689d7a…
03-14 03:14:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-14 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x9751ff…
03-14 03:13:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-14 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x4c2a0d…
03-14 03:00:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-14 02:45 UTC	Up	BUY	69	73¢	$50	0x6436ba…
03-09 04:06:01	nflx above 40 on march 13 2026	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x0c6e1b…
03-09 04:03:57	cl up or down on march 9 2026	Up	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xe6cc60…
03-09 03:59:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-09 03:45 UTC	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x18feda…
03-09 03:58:29	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-09 03:45 UTC	Up	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0xea1420…
03-08 06:56:45	elon musk of tweets march 7 march 9 215 239	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x392059…
03-06 04:22:49	elon musk of tweets march 5 march 7 240plus	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x23d45b…
03-06 04:22:27	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 280 299	No	BUY	501	100¢	$500	0xfbb972…
02-27 05:21:24	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x0140f8…
02-27 05:20:48	elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 380 399	No	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0xea0def…
02-25 13:17:08	elon musk of tweets february 23 february 25 90 114	No	SELL	117	93¢	$109	0xc7f75b…
02-25 13:16:58	elon musk of tweets february 23 february 25 90 114	No	SELL	8	93¢	$8	0x63b77f…
02-25 13:14:54	elon musk of tweets february 23 february 25 90 114	No	SELL	8	93¢	$7	0x9f9a12…
02-25 13:14:36	elon musk of tweets february 23 february 25 90 114	No	SELL	484	93¢	$450	0xc161da…
02-25 11:35:38	elon musk of tweets february 23 february 25 90 114	No	BUY	549	91¢	$500	0xe3f75a…
02-25 11:34:38	elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 380 399	No	SELL	51	99¢	$50	0xe42384…
02-25 11:34:14	us strikes iran by february 25 2026	No	SELL	507	99¢	$499	0x0547d3…
02-25 11:24:12	elon musk of tweets february 23 february 25 90 114	No	BUY	67	90¢	$60	0xed23e8…
02-25 11:20:00	elon musk of tweets february 23 february 25 90 114	No	SELL	68	89¢	$60	0x7d7842…
02-25 11:18:18	us strikes iran by february 25 2026	No	BUY	304	99¢	$300	0x6f4bb1…
02-25 11:12:20	elon musk of tweets february 23 february 25 90 114	No	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0xc2ff3a…
02-25 11:08:52	us strikes iran by february 25 2026	No	BUY	203	99¢	$200	0xf3a0c0…
02-25 11:00:44	elon musk of tweets february 23 february 25 90 114	No	BUY	34	88¢	$30	0x44f501…
02-25 10:56:42	elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 380 399	No	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x9e10e6…
02-25 10:47:52	elon musk of tweets february 23 february 25 90 114	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xaca883…
02-22 03:26:52	elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 560 579	No	BUY	64	100¢	$64	0x215623…
02-22 03:24:56	us strikes iran by february 21 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xb10952…
02-19 05:05:48	nflx above 30 on february 20 2026	Yes	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0x8bccc7…
02-19 05:05:04	us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	No	BUY	56	98¢	$55	0x173546…
02-15 07:26:59	will kazakhstan record a gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics 135	Yes	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x2be18c…
02-15 07:26:11	will south korea record a gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics 972	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xcd08e8…