Fitting-Error — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$12

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

84.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$122

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-02

last 05-13 22:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 79% $-12

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (19) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
XRP Up or Down - May 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	1	$8	8	0	+8	Up	$-8	05-12 23:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	2	$6	3	3	+0	Down	+$0	05-12 17:40
XRP Up or Down - May 2, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	2	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	05-02 22:35
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	2	$6	3	3	+0	Up	+$0	05-12 22:05
Solana Up or Down - May 3, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	2	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	05-04 00:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	2	$6	3	3	+0	Up	+$0	05-12 17:25
XRP Up or Down - May 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	2	$6	3	3	+0	Down	+$0	05-12 21:35
XRP Up or Down - May 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	2	$6	3	3	+0	Down	+$0	05-12 21:31
XRP Up or Down - May 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	1	$6	6	0	+6	Down	+$0	05-12 23:38
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	1	$6	7	0	+7	Up	+$1	05-12 23:29
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	1	$6	6	0	+6	Up	+$0	05-12 22:19
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	1	$6	6	0	+6	Down	+$0	05-12 22:09
XRP Up or Down - May 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	1	$6	6	0	+6	Down	+$0	05-12 22:29
XRP Up or Down - May 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	1	$6	7	0	+7	Down	+$1	05-12 22:24
XRP Up or Down - May 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	1	$6	6	0	+6	Down	+$0	05-12 23:33
Solana Up or Down - May 2, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	2	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	05-02 22:20
XRP Up or Down - May 2, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	2	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	05-02 22:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	2	$5	10	0	+10	Down	+$0	05-13 22:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	2	$4	10	0	+10	Down	+$0	05-13 21:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	Up	$-2	05-13 22:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	3	$2	10	0	+10	Down	$-2	05-13 22:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	Up	$-2	05-13 22:10
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Up	+$0	05-12 23:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 22:38:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xa2119f…
05-13 22:25:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x2beda9…
05-13 22:24:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x2bf3a1…
05-13 22:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x8f41b2…
05-13 22:08:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x4b6797…
05-13 22:08:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x39115e…
05-13 22:05:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x56b271…
05-13 21:55:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xa6724a…
05-13 21:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x9f0ff2…
05-12 23:48:39	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0xdd3af5…
05-12 23:45:01	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x775ccd…
05-12 23:38:32	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x4612e8…
05-12 23:33:42	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x523780…
05-12 23:29:19	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0x7edad2…
05-12 22:29:04	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x56d675…
05-12 22:24:41	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0xa53462…
05-12 22:19:00	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xca730b…
05-12 22:09:17	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x26ddcc…
05-12 22:05:42	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x610c37…
05-12 22:03:55	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x316f5f…
05-12 21:35:57	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x6e3635…
05-12 21:33:47	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x3787d5…
05-12 21:31:15	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x0b5f05…
05-12 21:29:28	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x064237…
05-12 17:40:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x6460a9…
05-12 17:39:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x015338…
05-12 17:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x30658e…
05-12 17:23:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xaa86f6…
05-04 00:00:44	Solana Up or Down - May 3, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xc27c69…
05-03 23:59:18	Solana Up or Down - May 3, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xa8c02f…
05-02 22:35:34	XRP Up or Down - May 2, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xf27e99…
05-02 22:32:44	XRP Up or Down - May 2, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x06a319…
05-02 22:25:34	XRP Up or Down - May 2, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x560f78…
05-02 22:24:32	XRP Up or Down - May 2, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x4620b7…
05-02 22:20:38	Solana Up or Down - May 2, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x85cbe9…
05-02 22:19:16	Solana Up or Down - May 2, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xe7d8f2…