Bountiful-Saucer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$699

Unrealized P&L

+$5

Hit rate

57.8%

Resolved

511

Trades

1,391

lifetime

Volume

$7.25K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$131

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-28 23:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 129 days

Categories

Sports

53% 40% -$604

Other

44% 26% -$79

Politics

3% 33% -$5

Crypto

0% 0% -$11

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

46 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	+130	$124	97¢	$126	+$3	10-27 02:01
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	-100	-$6	3¢	$-3	+$3	05-18 08:07
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	+5	$1	12¢	$1	$0	10-07 00:57
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	Yes	+20	$1	2¢	$0	-$1	10-23 18:13
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	Yes	+7	$0	1¢	$0	+$0	10-22 04:28

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nba nyk sas 2025 12 31	2	$605	720	0	+720	Spurs	-$605	01-01 02:22
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	6	$244	189	158	+30	open	—	10-27 02:01
epl liv wes 2026 02 28 liv	5	$235	140	140	+0	Yes	+$41	02-28 16:31
nba atl tor 2026 01 03	11	$180	300	300	+0	Raptors	+$33	01-04 02:17
epl mun cry 2026 03 01 mun	3	$154	148	100	+48	Yes	+$14	03-01 15:15
nba den bos 2026 01 07	16	$151	300	300	+0	Nuggets	+$51	01-08 02:05
nba det cle 2026 01 04	10	$141	200	200	+0	Pistons	+$33	01-04 19:59
nfl bal pit 2026 01 04	6	$116	300	300	+0	Steelers	+$6	01-05 02:25
nba den cle 2026 01 02	10	$114	400	400	+0	Cavaliers	+$24	01-03 01:54
lal rea get 2026 03 02 rea	2	$114	155	0	+155	No	-$114	03-02 06:06
nba was orl 2026 03 03	5	$105	500	500	-0	Magic	+$5	03-04 01:15
nba den phi 2026 01 05	5	$102	300	400	-100	Nuggets	-$64	01-06 02:07
nba mil sac 2026 01 04	8	$102	350	350	+0	Bucks	-$32	01-05 03:00
will the seattle seahawks win super bowl 2026	7	$96	160	135	+25	Yes	+$49	01-30 09:07
ucl atm1 bru 2026 02 24 atm1	2	$94	135	0	+135	Yes	+$42	02-24 09:54
Trump out as President before 2027?	2	$92	50	50	+0	open	—	08-30 01:22
cfb mia ohiost 2025 12 31	4	$92	100	100	+0	Miami	-$12	01-01 01:26
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?	3	$92	51	51	+0	No	+$10	06-12 22:08
nba dal bos 2026 03 06	7	$92	400	400	+0	Celtics	+$16	03-07 00:14
nba mem lal 2026 01 04	6	$90	350	100	+250	Lakers	-$22	01-05 04:57
nba atl tor 2026 01 05	5	$86	200	200	+0	Raptors	+$2	01-06 02:13
cfb mia miss 2026 01 08	7	$85	130	130	+0	Miami	+$5	01-09 04:24
ucl rma1 ben 2026 02 25 rma1	2	$84	135	0	+135	Yes	+$51	02-25 04:40
bun wer bay 2026 02 14 bay	1	$75	100	0	+100	Yes	+$25	02-14 13:44
nba okc phx 2026 01 04	13	$75	320	320	+0	Suns	+$18	01-05 03:31
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?	2	$73	40	40	+0	No	+$7	06-14 01:17
sea int gen 2026 02 28 int	1	$73	100	0	+100	Yes	+$27	02-28 17:09
nba uta lac 2026 01 01	9	$70	310	200	+110	Clippers	+$24	01-02 05:43
nfl gb min 2026 01 04	5	$66	300	500	-200	Vikings	-$36	01-04 19:55
epl eve mun 2026 02 23 mun	2	$66	130	0	+130	Yes	+$64	02-23 17:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 13:50:56	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xdecb24…
10-29 13:32:20	Will Anthropic IPO by November 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xee9f80…
10-28 23:14:17	Plague pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	55	2¢	$1	0x78e7e3…
10-28 05:29:43	Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	25	9¢	$2	0x3b1c90…
10-27 09:58:36	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x496731…
10-27 08:26:11	Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x1e2107…
10-27 02:01:20	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	75	96¢	$72	0x02c6e4…
10-26 09:54:05	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xd63e3c…
10-26 09:48:35	Hu Jintao public appearance by December 31?	Yes	SELL	26	4¢	$1	0xd082eb…
10-26 09:34:06	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x142c83…
10-26 09:32:09	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	334	0¢	$1	0x88db9d…
10-26 09:28:24	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xcf32ab…
10-26 07:50:21	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	81	68¢	$56	0x72ad35…
10-26 07:44:23	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	52	97¢	$50	0xbcaf5d…
10-25 19:45:03	Bengals vs. Ravens	Bengals	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x5c5e13…
10-25 17:23:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	Yes	SELL	35	0¢	$0	0xd1b71e…
10-25 17:19:11	Bengals vs. Ravens	Bengals	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x4bbcef…
10-25 17:18:42	Buccaneers vs. Panthers	Panthers	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x57f2d9…
10-25 16:24:36	Steelers vs. Saints	Saints	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0x7b0c56…
10-25 16:17:06	Steelers vs. Saints	Saints	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xd6e13e…
10-25 15:04:53	Hu Jintao public appearance by December 31?	Yes	SELL	54	4¢	$2	0xec8351…
10-25 12:29:17	Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x1428cf…
10-24 17:52:33	Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	SELL	8	22¢	$2	0x4688ee…
10-24 15:55:23	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xac469f…
10-24 13:20:59	Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x8edabf…
10-23 23:58:47	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	7¢	$1	0xc6b12f…
10-23 18:13:35	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xae74fd…
10-23 17:25:27	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0xe48b69…
10-23 05:49:53	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0x6feb07…
10-22 04:28:03	France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0x1ca0c6…
10-21 17:24:08	Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x7af886…
10-21 11:31:33	France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	6¢	$1	0x5e7334…
10-21 04:46:35	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xfb805d…
10-21 02:31:14	Jets vs. Blues	Jets	BUY	24	3¢	$1	0x939ab5…
10-21 02:31:12	Jets vs. Blues	Jets	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x2a8bcd…
10-21 02:31:06	Jets vs. Blues	Jets	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xd6de44…
10-21 02:25:26	Bruins vs. Stars	Stars	SELL	3	49¢	$2	0x1202df…
10-21 02:02:08	Bruins vs. Stars	Stars	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x9dd532…
10-21 01:38:20	76ers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x6d036a…
10-20 22:14:41	Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x11f3a1…
10-20 22:12:53	Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x9f50f3…
10-20 16:08:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	Yes	SELL	35	1¢	$0	0x565a2f…
10-20 15:04:12	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	90¢	$8	0x52fd15…
10-20 13:21:08	Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	160	0¢	$0	0xd81795…
10-19 01:46:36	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	85¢	$7	0xbbf81e…
10-18 02:07:08	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x6688c0…
10-15 05:57:46	Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	179	0¢	$1	0x2a76b8…
10-14 12:37:05	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x3a46a6…
10-14 06:07:56	Hu Jintao public appearance by December 31?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x28780b…
10-13 23:38:07	Will Iran target an Arab country by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x2e7013…
10-12 19:59:18	Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	119	0¢	$0	0x8f7c44…
10-12 19:59:18	Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	130	0¢	$0	0x7a5d13…
10-12 19:59:18	Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x761a28…
10-12 19:59:18	Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	26	0¢	$0	0x24c95b…
10-12 19:59:18	Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	90	0¢	$0	0x18d18e…
10-12 14:31:02	Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x5976e1…
10-12 10:08:56	Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0x701895…
10-12 10:08:54	Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0xa8a458…
10-12 10:08:44	Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x65296d…
10-12 10:08:44	Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x18d398…
10-11 08:43:55	Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x087042…
10-11 00:58:00	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	72¢	$13	0x100a89…
10-10 03:25:39	Plague pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	3¢	$1	0x83a455…
10-09 15:57:33	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 1?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xb6b711…
10-09 15:48:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	Yes	BUY	70	2¢	$1	0x274950…
10-08 18:17:39	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x6e618b…
10-08 17:44:48	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x07450f…
10-08 17:29:09	Plague pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x6c5744…
10-08 16:23:56	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	85¢	$26	0x35ad70…
10-07 00:57:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xe39683…
10-06 03:10:39	New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays	New York Yankees	SELL	13	4¢	$1	0x3877ac…
10-06 03:06:07	New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays	New York Yankees	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xad891d…
10-05 13:38:07	New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays	New York Yankees	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x4166a0…
10-05 02:39:38	mlb atl lad 2026 10 04	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xc85099…
10-05 02:39:07	mlb atl lad 2026 10 04	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xcfa76c…
10-05 02:04:01	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	No	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0x1e3f05…
10-04 17:15:52	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	6¢	$1	0x8833b7…
10-04 05:40:53	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	7¢	$1	0x972fc4…
10-04 00:35:38	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	4¢	$1	0x5435f0…
10-03 23:51:53	Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in October?	No	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xf13ea8…
10-03 18:52:06	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0x27348a…
10-03 12:36:03	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x028e6d…
10-03 12:18:17	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	No	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x4783eb…
10-03 05:18:53	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xfcb429…
09-30 23:57:17	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0x959751…
09-29 14:43:14	Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	SELL	7	20¢	$2	0xfbe840…
09-28 10:03:18	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x252415…
09-25 14:50:38	Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during their summit?	No	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xf74051…
09-25 11:02:09	will trump and xi hug at their summit 20260916	Yes	BUY	60	2¢	$1	0xb64737…
09-25 09:43:27	Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during their summit?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x854697…
09-25 09:43:27	Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during their summit?	Yes	BUY	0	6¢	$0	0x37d788…
09-25 02:05:41	Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x24aeda…
09-24 04:29:54	Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	SELL	15	11¢	$2	0x162925…
09-22 20:00:24	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	SELL	30	4¢	$1	0xf6a2d6…
09-22 15:39:15	Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 25?	Yes	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0xf81ad3…
09-21 23:31:12	Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?	No	SELL	8	3¢	$0	0xc4e91a…
09-21 17:19:54	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	SELL	30	4¢	$1	0x9de3e7…
09-21 07:40:21	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0xb36bdc…
09-21 06:13:31	Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?	No	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0xd309ae…
09-20 23:27:53	Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?	No	SELL	10	16¢	$2	0x92e0f9…