Probable-District — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.39K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

93.8%

Resolved

1,037

Trades

9,056

lifetime

Volume

$110.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-27

last 05-25 06:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 91% +$2,393

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-25).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	33	$917	946	+946	Down	+$28	05-24 01:15
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	40	$689	738	+738	Up	+$49	05-25 01:10
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	29	$655	684	+684	Down	+$29	05-25 00:15
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	26	$645	651	+651	Down	+$7	05-25 01:20
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	30	$606	684	+684	Up	+$77	05-24 21:25
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	28	$600	619	+619	Up	+$20	05-24 02:15
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	30	$598	622	+622	Down	+$24	05-24 10:50
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	29	$592	624	+624	Up	+$32	05-25 03:35
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	28	$584	617	+617	Up	+$33	05-24 07:05
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	32	$581	617	+617	Down	+$36	05-24 21:10
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	27	$537	552	+552	Up	+$15	05-24 11:45
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	28	$528	552	+552	Up	+$24	05-24 10:00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	35	$521	778	+778	Up	+$257	05-25 03:10
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	29	$511	535	+535	Down	+$24	05-25 00:30
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	29	$501	558	+558	Up	+$56	05-24 10:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	15	$491	545	+545	Up	+$54	05-24 19:45
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	29	$491	500	+500	Down	+$9	05-24 15:45
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	26	$459	467	+467	Down	+$7	05-24 03:55
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	27	$455	470	+470	Up	+$14	05-25 03:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	16	$454	606	+606	Down	+$152	05-23 01:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	13	$428	433	+433	Down	+$5	05-22 01:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	13	$428	433	+433	Up	+$5	05-25 04:25
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	24	$425	431	+431	Up	+$7	05-24 16:45
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	23	$422	473	+473	Down	+$51	05-24 20:25
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	28	$419	432	+432	Down	+$13	05-25 01:05
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	25	$418	429	+429	Down	+$11	05-24 01:35
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	25	$417	429	+429	Up	+$13	05-24 07:55
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	26	$415	438	+438	Up	+$23	05-24 22:45
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	25	$412	429	+429	Up	+$17	05-24 07:30
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	26	$412	419	+419	Down	+$8	05-25 00:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-25 06:24:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x5cf535…
05-25 06:24:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x34a107…
05-25 06:24:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x22a6db…
05-25 06:20:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x3b574d…
05-25 06:20:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x026699…
05-25 06:19:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xf0cedd…
05-25 06:19:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0xd4e4d9…
05-25 06:19:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0xaf4543…
05-25 06:19:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	17	96¢	$17	0x9fcf60…
05-25 06:19:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0x3fbb4f…
05-25 06:19:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x1eccbc…
05-25 06:19:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x0da0f3…
05-25 06:19:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x00ba90…
05-25 06:19:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xec8152…
05-25 06:19:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	14	97¢	$14	0xdc90fd…
05-25 06:19:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	94¢	$8	0xd56cec…
05-25 06:19:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0xc63baa…
05-25 06:19:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	16	97¢	$16	0xb515ac…
05-25 06:19:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	13	96¢	$13	0x8cc723…
05-25 06:19:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	11	96¢	$11	0x6c3036…
05-25 06:19:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x56d1e0…
05-25 06:19:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	9	95¢	$9	0x1980e5…
05-25 06:19:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0xf08f42…
05-25 06:19:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0xebeb67…
05-25 06:19:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x6b5358…
05-25 06:19:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x44799e…
05-25 05:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xa50609…
05-25 05:59:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xd4a7aa…
05-25 05:59:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xd11ccb…
05-25 05:59:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8f4465…
05-25 05:59:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x82d0a6…
05-25 05:59:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x31b4bb…
05-25 05:59:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x244a4c…
05-25 05:55:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x3e3d47…
05-25 05:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x98ae77…
05-25 05:55:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x0e82e2…
05-25 05:54:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xd1ede7…
05-25 05:54:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xbe6197…
05-25 05:54:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x3a0c01…
05-25 05:54:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x2324cc…
05-25 05:54:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x0a6ce3…
05-25 05:54:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x92af3e…
05-25 05:54:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x5ef1e0…
05-25 05:54:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x0c3bbb…
05-25 05:54:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x033c42…
05-25 05:54:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x01cdb1…
05-25 05:54:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xfd0330…
05-25 05:54:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xf92253…
05-25 05:54:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0xe1b2c3…
05-25 05:54:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3413d4…
05-25 05:50:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x0f4b67…
05-25 05:49:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xe27334…
05-25 05:49:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x858205…
05-25 05:49:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x435e09…
05-25 05:49:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x226eff…
05-25 05:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x81144c…
05-25 05:45:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xf538dc…
05-25 05:45:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xcc73a5…
05-25 05:45:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x61b678…
05-25 05:45:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x08cb5b…
05-25 05:44:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xa8adfc…
05-25 05:44:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	13	89¢	$12	0x2ef6e6…
05-25 05:44:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	88¢	$11	0x25d579…
05-25 05:44:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	14	94¢	$13	0x220a21…
05-25 05:44:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0xa02657…
05-25 05:44:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x91517a…
05-25 05:44:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x7920cf…
05-25 05:44:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x75845f…
05-25 05:44:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x5bc22d…
05-25 05:44:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x22c835…
05-25 05:44:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xd88c37…
05-25 05:34:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0xc6704e…
05-25 05:34:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xba005f…
05-25 05:34:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x8a283e…
05-25 05:34:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x87269c…
05-25 05:34:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x45c44c…
05-25 05:34:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xc15b0b…
05-25 05:34:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xb3a4ef…
05-25 05:34:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xb0e7b9…
05-25 05:34:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x86ead7…
05-25 05:34:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x5c62ca…
05-25 05:34:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x3573c7…
05-25 05:34:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x2c6670…
05-25 05:34:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x1f2e1f…
05-25 05:34:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x053025…
05-25 05:34:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xe0c9bf…
05-25 05:30:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xf83336…
05-25 05:29:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0xfac8df…
05-25 05:29:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0xe6df64…
05-25 05:29:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0xcd79f0…
05-25 05:29:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0xc56ee8…
05-25 05:29:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x7a472e…
05-25 05:29:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x78359a…
05-25 05:29:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x4e03cc…
05-25 05:29:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x185368…
05-25 05:29:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0xdba9fd…
05-25 05:29:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0xd77ba6…
05-25 05:29:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xc8299e…
05-25 05:29:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xc49ea0…
05-25 05:29:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x9c7557…