Disguised-Mailer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$784

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

54.3%

Resolved

2,943

Trades

8,953

lifetime

Volume

$44.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-01 02:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 130 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 54% +$841

Other

0% 0% -$57

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 569 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-27 19:30 UTC	35	$176	365	+365	Down	+$189	02-27 19:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-26 05:00 UTC	13	$152	308	+308	Down	-$152	02-26 04:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-06 13:00 UTC	13	$151	308	+308	Up	-$151	03-06 12:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-27 13:15 UTC	24	$148	298	+298	Down	+$150	02-27 13:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-02 02:00 UTC	8	$121	248	+248	Down	+$126	04-02 01:59
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-12 10:00 UTC	8	$118	248	+248	Down	-$118	03-12 10:00
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-26 17:15 UTC	16	$117	242	+242	Up	-$117	02-26 17:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	49	$114	205	+205	Up	-$44	05-12 16:03
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-26 05:00 UTC	7	$108	224	+224	Down	-$108	02-26 05:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	60	$96	250	+250	Down	-$26	05-13 14:33
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-01 08:30 UTC	2	$87	189	+189	Down	-$87	03-01 08:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	45	$86	198	+198	Up	+$1	05-12 15:33
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-28 07:15 UTC	5	$86	181	+181	Down	+$95	02-28 07:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-28 23:00 UTC	23	$85	181	+181	Down	-$85	02-28 22:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-01 08:45 UTC	23	$83	173	+173	Down	-$83	03-01 08:44
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-06 15:30 UTC	3	$83	166	+166	Down	+$83	03-06 15:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-28 17:15 UTC	16	$81	162	+162	Up	+$81	02-28 17:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-28 18:15 UTC	1	$80	164	+164	Down	-$80	02-28 18:14
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-01 01:15 UTC	6	$80	174	+174	Down	-$80	04-01 01:14
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-26 17:15 UTC	4	$79	163	+163	Up	-$79	02-26 17:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-01 22:30 UTC	1	$79	161	+161	Down	-$79	03-01 22:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-31 22:30 UTC	2	$77	155	+155	Up	+$77	03-31 22:29
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-02 02:30 UTC	7	$77	168	+168	Down	+$91	04-02 02:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-28 19:15 UTC	15	$76	151	+151	Down	-$76	02-28 19:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-12 08:15 UTC	7	$74	152	+152	Up	+$77	03-12 08:14
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-01 21:00 UTC	3	$74	160	+160	Up	-$74	03-01 20:59
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-28 08:15 UTC	1	$74	147	+147	Up	+$74	02-28 08:10
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-26 09:30 UTC	7	$73	148	+148	Up	+$76	02-26 09:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-01 14:30 UTC	1	$73	158	+158	Down	-$73	03-01 14:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-28 14:15 UTC	10	$72	151	+151	Down	-$72	02-28 14:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 02:29:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x1d414c…
11-01 02:14:46	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x0bbfe6…
11-01 01:14:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xde436c…
11-01 00:59:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xdc4f5a…
10-31 23:29:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x896e0e…
10-31 22:43:13	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xc85241…
10-31 22:29:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xe4d272…
10-31 21:59:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xbba72d…
10-31 21:59:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x34d7ca…
10-31 21:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xe2898a…
10-31 21:44:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x687613…
10-31 20:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xb3a961…
10-31 18:29:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xce8404…
10-31 18:14:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x5f2409…
10-31 17:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x77fe99…
10-31 17:14:16	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x3ab37d…
10-31 16:59:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x2deb0e…
10-31 16:43:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x2a54ed…
10-31 15:29:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x1fdee6…
10-31 13:59:31	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xd24835…
10-31 13:10:01	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x206c0a…
10-31 12:28:46	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x950329…
10-31 12:28:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xc76cd2…
10-31 11:44:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x92566a…
10-31 11:44:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xe43418…
10-31 11:27:22	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x5339d8…
10-31 10:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x4d6313…
10-31 09:14:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-31 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x59fd2c…
10-31 07:14:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xae6d69…
10-31 06:57:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x78a9e6…
10-31 06:43:55	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xa5574b…
10-31 06:27:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x212512…
10-31 05:44:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xbaa10a…
10-31 05:44:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x7beed7…
10-31 05:44:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x6ebfe4…
10-31 03:14:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x77ba40…
10-31 02:29:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x52be0b…
10-31 01:29:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x297d83…
10-31 00:44:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x811adc…
10-31 00:29:37	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x75229a…
10-31 00:29:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x0c49d7…
10-30 23:42:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xdd5040…
10-30 21:29:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x6e0d78…
10-30 20:14:52	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x3f7b78…
10-15 18:33:01	Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-10-15?	No	BUY	23	46¢	$11	0xf86bb1…
10-15 18:32:34	Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x5f5948…
10-15 18:23:16	Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-10-15?	No	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0xb50eae…
10-15 18:12:40	Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-10-15?	No	BUY	18	52¢	$10	0x9b9941…
10-15 18:12:38	Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-10-15?	No	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0xe685c3…
10-15 18:12:38	Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-10-15?	No	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0x1fe7ee…
10-15 17:33:35	Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-10-15?	No	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x731f75…
10-15 17:33:23	Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-10-15?	No	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0xcae221…
10-15 17:11:08	Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-10-15?	No	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x954e5c…
10-15 17:10:38	Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-10-15?	No	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0x77744b…
10-15 17:10:38	Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-10-15?	No	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0x5d0815…
10-15 17:10:34	Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-10-15?	No	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0xaae764…
09-28 01:39:26	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-28 01:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x216a4f…
09-28 01:39:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-28 01:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x183748…
09-28 01:39:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-28 01:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xd7b044…
09-28 01:38:56	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-28 01:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xe631a6…
09-28 01:38:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-28 01:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xf731e5…
09-28 01:38:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-28 01:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x5db0e4…
09-28 00:57:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-28 00:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xbce409…
09-28 00:51:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-28 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x917f1e…
09-28 00:51:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-28 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xe48c2b…
09-28 00:50:50	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-28 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x534c37…
09-28 00:50:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-28 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x37ee55…
09-28 00:50:29	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-28 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xacb7fc…
09-28 00:20:35	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-28 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x0c2eb8…
09-28 00:20:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-28 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xbc25ec…
09-28 00:20:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-28 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x99137b…
09-28 00:20:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-28 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x469fe0…
09-27 23:55:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 23:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xfcd054…
09-27 23:54:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 23:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5ed2c9…
09-27 23:52:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 23:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x16b92c…
09-27 23:52:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 23:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x215770…
09-27 23:52:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 23:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x14d0b3…
09-27 23:25:47	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 23:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xe1e3d2…
09-27 23:25:38	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 23:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x3cf385…
09-27 23:25:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 23:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x7566c1…
09-27 23:25:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 23:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x8e3158…
09-27 22:35:38	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 22:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xd393b3…
09-27 22:35:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 22:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x3c0b2a…
09-27 22:35:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 22:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x996f4c…
09-27 22:35:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 22:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x975d15…
09-27 22:23:47	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 22:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x38f5f3…
09-27 22:23:38	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 22:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xa7afa9…
09-27 22:23:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 22:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x0030b5…
09-27 22:23:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 22:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xe8e95a…
09-27 21:52:26	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xfd29f5…
09-27 21:52:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xdcfd9e…
09-27 21:52:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xfe8502…
09-27 21:40:38	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 21:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x1d0964…
09-27 21:38:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 21:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x5a71a4…
09-27 21:37:50	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 21:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x18bbb4…
09-27 21:37:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 21:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xeedcf5…
09-27 21:37:29	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 21:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xde9492…
09-27 21:37:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 21:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xaa83e6…
09-27 20:23:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xd89f5f…
09-27 20:22:56	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xd10f29…