Informal-Sty — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$108

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.0%

Resolved

100

Trades

157

lifetime

Volume

$616

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-03

last 05-20 12:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Crypto

58% 57% -$14

Politics

27% 40% -$60

Other

14% 0% -$34

Tech

0% 0% $0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-20).

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$67	40	40	+0	Yes	+$13	04-05 12:40
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	2	$48	216	0	+216	Yes	-$48	04-20 07:21
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	1	$27	63	0	+63	Yes	-$27	04-09 05:04
Games Total: O/U 2.5	2	$27	21	21	+0	Under	-$9	05-20 12:43
Will Denmark be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	2	$25	37	37	+0	No	-$5	05-16 21:08
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	2	$22	12	12	+0	No	+$2	04-13 06:16
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	2	$18	115	115	+0	open	—	05-15 12:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 09:30 UTC	4	$11	8	8	+0	Down	+$5	03-11 09:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 10:30 UTC	4	$10	9	9	+0	Up	-$2	03-11 10:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 11:05 UTC	2	$9	6	6	+0	Up	+$3	03-11 11:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 09:55 UTC	3	$9	6	6	+0	Down	+$3	03-11 10:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 11:10 UTC	2	$9	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	03-04 11:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 09:45 UTC	2	$9	6	6	+0	Up	+$3	03-11 09:51
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs M80 - Map 2 Winner	1	$9	16	0	+16	Team Falcons	-$9	05-20 12:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 19:00 UTC	2	$9	5	5	+0	Down	+$1	03-11 19:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 09:40 UTC	2	$9	5	5	+0	Up	+$1	03-11 09:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 11:55 UTC	2	$9	6	6	+0	Down	+$3	03-11 11:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 18:20 UTC	2	$9	5	5	+0	Up	+$1	03-11 18:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 16:05 UTC	2	$8	5	5	+0	Up	+$2	03-11 16:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 11:10 UTC	2	$8	5	5	+0	Down	+$2	03-11 11:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 08:00 UTC	2	$8	5	5	+0	Up	+$2	03-11 08:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 10:15 UTC	2	$8	5	5	+0	Up	+$2	03-11 10:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 10:55 UTC	2	$8	5	5	+0	Down	+$2	03-11 11:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 11:50 UTC	2	$8	5	5	+0	Down	+$2	03-11 11:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 13:50 UTC	2	$8	5	5	+0	Down	+$2	03-11 13:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 11:25 UTC	2	$8	6	6	+0	Down	+$2	03-11 11:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 10:35 UTC	2	$6	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	03-11 10:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 12:05 UTC	2	$6	6	6	+0	Down	+$0	03-11 12:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 12:00 UTC	3	$6	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	03-11 12:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 11:45 UTC	2	$6	5	5	+0	Down	-$1	03-11 11:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-20 12:44:00	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs M80 - Map 2 Winner	M80	BUY	16	54¢	$9	0xfc8c36…
05-20 12:43:32	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	21	42¢	$9	0x34e2b9…
05-20 12:10:22	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	21	84¢	$18	0xe486e3…
05-16 21:09:11	Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	53¢	$6	0x621501…
05-16 21:08:57	Will Denmark be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	37	26¢	$10	0x4695c5…
05-15 21:16:01	Will Romania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x34c119…
05-15 21:14:27	Will Denmark be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	37	41¢	$15	0x0c3441…
05-15 14:53:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	0	61¢	$0	0xbb8722…
05-15 14:53:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x9b23d2…
05-15 12:48:08	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	115	7¢	$8	0x1e7c8d…
05-15 08:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x5343f8…
05-13 13:32:21	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x8b5526…
05-13 12:17:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x5ef96c…
05-13 12:17:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0x1a2e59…
05-13 09:47:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x3a1836…
05-13 09:17:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x838de9…
05-13 06:02:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x6409d0…
05-13 03:02:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x829eff…
05-13 01:33:01	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x9397de…
05-13 01:32:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x9ce419…
05-13 00:32:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x72567c…
05-13 00:02:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xb91441…
05-12 22:34:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xdbed74…
05-12 19:54:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x82bdc8…
05-12 19:54:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x066270…
05-12 18:02:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x5fae87…
05-12 18:02:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x51b58c…
05-12 14:37:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x204e10…
05-12 11:03:40	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x5dc546…
05-12 09:02:20	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xfa90b8…
05-12 08:18:58	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xafe476…
05-12 08:17:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xf4232b…
05-12 08:02:21	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xe9b6ca…
05-12 05:02:21	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x6be245…
05-12 04:51:27	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	115	9¢	$10	0x258301…
05-12 04:02:20	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0xed379f…
05-12 04:02:20	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	60¢	$1	0xcbe0d2…
05-12 00:02:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x7f39a5…
05-11 23:17:36	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	56¢	$0	0xdd9001…
05-11 20:02:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x77c5bf…
04-20 07:21:18	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	191	19¢	$36	0x33fbd5…
04-13 06:17:09	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	25	48¢	$12	0xf3fddb…
04-13 06:16:59	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	No	SELL	12	97¢	$12	0x0a48cc…
04-09 05:04:29	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	63	43¢	$27	0x237f9d…
04-08 17:28:37	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	No	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x3dc590…
04-05 12:40:45	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0xcd94ef…
04-03 06:19:21	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	40	67¢	$27	0x851417…
03-18 13:17:13	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-18 13:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x2a1a4d…
03-18 13:17:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-18 13:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x1d4a50…
03-12 06:24:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 06:20 UTC	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xb46cfd…
03-12 06:12:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 06:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x06504e…
03-12 06:06:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 06:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x1c6c70…
03-12 06:05:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 06:00 UTC	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xddc928…
03-12 06:03:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 06:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xe3f1ce…
03-12 05:41:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 05:40 UTC	Down	SELL	3	11¢	$0	0x75f17a…
03-12 05:40:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 05:40 UTC	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xd645fc…
03-12 05:40:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 05:35 UTC	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$2	0x50972d…
03-12 05:38:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 05:35 UTC	Up	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xe063df…
03-12 05:16:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xc1700a…
03-12 05:16:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-12 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xf209a2…
03-11 22:54:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 22:50 UTC	Up	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xe376b9…
03-11 22:50:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 22:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x411f9c…
03-11 19:05:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 19:00 UTC	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x8d9799…
03-11 19:02:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 19:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x34b482…
03-11 18:45:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 18:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xb6fb9e…
03-11 18:44:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 18:40 UTC	Up	SELL	1	51¢	$1	0xb53200…
03-11 18:41:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 18:40 UTC	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xf667fa…
03-11 18:25:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 18:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x1002a7…
03-11 18:25:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 18:20 UTC	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xdff272…
03-11 18:20:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 18:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x480faa…
03-11 16:10:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 16:05 UTC	Up	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x4c7721…
03-11 16:05:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 16:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xbb3f25…
03-11 15:55:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 15:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x9fbd09…
03-11 13:55:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 13:50 UTC	Down	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xb538a2…
03-11 13:50:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 13:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xadab8e…
03-11 12:14:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 12:10 UTC	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$2	0x1d8b1f…
03-11 12:10:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 12:10 UTC	Up	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x7d474a…
03-11 12:06:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 12:05 UTC	Down	SELL	6	49¢	$3	0xc6aacf…
03-11 12:05:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 12:05 UTC	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x463286…
03-11 12:03:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 12:00 UTC	Up	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0x450923…
03-11 12:00:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xeb6f47…
03-11 12:00:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0x2d4e9a…
03-11 11:57:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 11:55 UTC	Down	SELL	6	93¢	$6	0x4c501c…
03-11 11:55:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 11:55 UTC	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x6745fc…
03-11 11:55:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 11:50 UTC	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xe36b50…
03-11 11:50:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 11:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xd1f2c0…
03-11 11:47:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 11:45 UTC	Down	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x6ab960…
03-11 11:45:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x028614…
03-11 11:43:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 11:40 UTC	Up	SELL	6	9¢	$1	0x30129b…
03-11 11:40:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 11:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x053cf1…
03-11 11:40:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 11:40 UTC	Up	BUY	1	54¢	$0	0x32a198…
03-11 11:39:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 11:35 UTC	Up	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x95d45f…
03-11 11:35:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 11:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xb49132…
03-11 11:28:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 11:25 UTC	Down	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0x598542…
03-11 11:25:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 11:25 UTC	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x1666cd…
03-11 11:16:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 11:15 UTC	Down	SELL	6	28¢	$2	0xb307b7…
03-11 11:15:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 11:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x12d612…
03-11 11:15:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 11:10 UTC	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xd193d5…
03-11 11:11:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 11:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xb7b7c7…
03-11 11:10:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 11:05 UTC	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x49dc42…