Metallic-Negotiation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

40.1%

Resolved

Trades

1,849

lifetime

Volume

$6.77K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-28

last 07-24 06:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

36% 50% $-0

Other

28% — —

Politics

24% — —

Sports

12% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 68k on march 3	208	$855	1,675	1,660	+15	open	—	03-03 12:34
will iran strike cyprus in march	180	$756	1,493	1,603	-111	open	—	03-05 16:03
will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	206	$748	1,398	1,465	-67	open	—	03-05 15:17
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 180 199	181	$536	1,167	1,193	-26	open	—	03-06 02:14
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 160 179	149	$391	1,251	1,247	+4	open	—	03-05 15:46
spx up or down on march 2 2026	58	$247	410	456	-46	open	—	03-02 20:29
will bitcoin reach 76k march 2 8	75	$206	296	295	+1	open	—	03-05 20:41
will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on march 3	60	$190	675	433	+243	open	—	03-03 17:01
nba phi bos 2026 03 01	29	$179	414	414	+0	open	—	03-02 02:37
elon musk of tweets february 28 march 2 40 64	45	$170	113	123	-10	open	—	03-02 16:57
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	73	$168	376	386	-9	open	—	03-02 23:05
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 140 159	49	$155	292	281	+11	open	—	03-05 00:50
bitcoin above 66k on march 3	42	$152	141	141	+0	open	—	03-03 09:33
nba nop lac 2026 03 01	24	$144	309	304	+5	open	—	03-02 03:41
nhl stl min 2026 03 01	30	$113	154	154	-0	open	—	03-02 00:23
bitcoin above 70k on march 3	25	$101	141	141	-0	open	—	03-02 20:29
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	19	$92	194	194	+0	open	—	03-02 17:16
nba det orl 2026 03 01 spread away 5pt5	15	$85	111	111	+0	open	—	03-02 00:57
elon musk of tweets february 28 march 2 65 89	10	$70	225	225	-0	open	—	03-02 12:15
cs2 nip m80 2026 03 02	17	$66	140	140	+0	open	—	03-02 18:10
will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 276	13	$48	31	31	+0	open	—	03-02 12:15
nba phi bos 2026 03 01 spread home 9pt5	10	$47	43	43	+0	open	—	03-02 02:52
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 200 219	8	$42	94	57	+37	open	—	03-02 17:54
will ethereum reach 2200 march 2 8	7	$32	37	37	+0	open	—	03-05 19:59
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 240 259	4	$32	85	85	+0	open	—	03-02 17:15
iranhezbollah strike on cyprus by march 7	8	$31	77	77	+0	open	—	03-05 09:12
will japan win the 2026 world baseball classic	8	$30	66	66	+0	open	—	03-04 04:14
will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	11	$28	39	45	-6	open	—	03-04 07:07
will bitcoin reach 78k march 2 8	9	$27	69	48	+20	open	—	03-05 04:45
ethereum above 2100 on march 3	9	$26	59	59	+0	open	—	03-02 18:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-24 16:10:16	sol updown 15m 1784908800	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xb345da…
07-24 15:55:04	eth updown 15m 1784907900	Down	BUY	10	92¢	$10	0xaa18fc…
07-24 15:40:03	btc updown 15m 1784907000	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xf1c9a0…
07-24 14:55:04	eth updown 15m 1784904300	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x5d6d78…
07-24 14:40:04	sol updown 15m 1784903400	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x86d131…
07-24 14:25:04	btc updown 15m 1784902500	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xec03d6…
07-24 14:10:06	eth updown 15m 1784901600	Up	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xfae43e…
07-24 13:40:04	eth updown 15m 1784899800	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xd9b099…
07-24 06:25:31	eth updown 15m 1784873700	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x7c5425…
07-24 01:10:03	eth updown 15m 1784854800	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x7a50c4…
07-24 00:40:04	eth updown 15m 1784853000	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xa43421…
07-23 19:55:03	eth updown 15m 1784835900	Down	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x436fbd…
07-23 18:40:25	sol updown 15m 1784831400	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xa103a0…
07-23 13:40:42	sol updown 15m 1784813400	Up	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x015abf…
07-23 13:26:48	sol updown 15m 1784812500	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xf75224…
07-23 13:10:04	eth updown 15m 1784811600	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x0a4845…
07-23 12:25:04	eth updown 15m 1784808900	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xb07a49…
07-23 09:10:04	eth updown 15m 1784797200	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xc1152e…
07-23 04:40:03	sol updown 15m 1784781000	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x55a423…
07-23 00:25:04	eth updown 15m 1784765700	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x54ab06…
07-22 20:11:51	sol updown 15m 1784750400	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x44d4f1…
07-22 18:25:03	sol updown 15m 1784744100	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x1b6e4c…
07-22 18:10:03	eth updown 15m 1784743200	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x9de2ef…
07-22 15:56:40	sol updown 15m 1784735100	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x78ca5b…
07-22 15:40:03	eth updown 15m 1784734200	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x417bec…
07-22 15:25:03	eth updown 15m 1784733300	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xaba305…
07-22 14:10:04	eth updown 15m 1784728800	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x75a504…
07-19 22:02:39	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xb8982c…
07-19 21:42:54	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xd1459d…
07-19 18:33:04	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 btts	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xe631d7…
07-18 22:30:00	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	France	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xc4ce59…
07-18 21:19:19	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	England	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xb3bd50…
07-16 08:40:04	eth updown 15m 1784190600	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x488b5b…
07-02 13:59:04	eth updown 15m 1782999900	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x0aea31…
06-14 21:59:04	btc updown 15m 1781473500	Down	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0x53c1e5…
06-05 14:59:03	btc updown 15m 1780670700	Down	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x948a42…
06-05 09:29:19	btc updown 15m 1780650900	Down	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0xfaf0be…
06-04 09:44:51	btc updown 15m 1780565400	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x5f5ef2…
06-04 09:44:49	btc updown 15m 1780565400	Up	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0xb5e161…
06-01 00:44:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xc9eda0…
06-01 00:44:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x5db2c2…
05-26 17:44:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	5¢	$1	0x985279…
05-26 17:44:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	5¢	$1	0x5ce40f…
05-26 17:44:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xa7cb06…
05-23 21:44:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x0d3f8d…
05-23 21:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xcd39d0…
05-23 21:44:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xd6ce04…
05-23 21:44:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x65cec7…
05-23 21:44:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x5b9f49…
05-23 21:44:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xf6d5a6…
05-23 21:44:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xf21287…
05-23 21:44:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xe8c0ec…
05-23 21:44:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xd05139…
05-23 21:44:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xba0566…
05-23 21:44:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xa9ba50…
05-23 21:44:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xa0ecb6…
05-23 21:44:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x97015e…
05-23 21:44:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x6e008e…
05-23 21:44:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x33fa03…
05-23 21:44:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xd49d21…
05-23 21:44:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0xb17b0d…
05-23 21:44:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x17bccb…
05-23 21:44:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	0	3¢	$0	0x7527ac…
05-23 21:44:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x3be116…
05-23 21:44:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0xb6f2d4…
05-14 15:14:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x8baa45…
05-11 13:44:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xb73e25…
05-10 19:14:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x4ae555…
05-10 06:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x96b81b…
05-10 05:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xf6abd7…
04-19 22:29:04	btc updown 15m 1776636900	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xd5b9d3…
04-16 21:44:04	eth updown 15m 1776375000	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x669d84…
04-16 14:14:04	eth updown 15m 1776348000	Up	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xa90947…
04-15 23:29:06	btc updown 15m 1776294900	Up	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0xde5dca…
04-15 23:29:06	eth updown 15m 1776294900	Up	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x0b8467…
04-15 14:14:14	eth updown 15m 1776261600	Up	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0xab462a…
04-14 16:44:10	btc updown 15m 1776184200	Up	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0xb71098…
04-14 13:59:05	eth updown 15m 1776174300	Up	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x1f2d0e…
04-14 11:14:03	eth updown 15m 1776164400	Up	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xd90a7e…
04-14 02:44:03	btc updown 15m 1776133800	Up	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0xe62de1…
04-14 01:29:05	btc updown 15m 1776129300	Up	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0x6cf050…
04-13 17:44:03	btc updown 15m 1776101400	Down	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x7acfcd…
04-13 04:14:05	btc updown 15m 1776052800	Down	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x1f1a58…
04-10 22:14:05	btc updown 15m 1775858400	Down	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0xbc00db…
04-10 07:44:17	btc updown 15m 1775806200	Down	BUY	15	63¢	$9	0x90ca4f…
04-09 19:59:05	btc updown 15m 1775763900	Down	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x076cfe…
04-09 16:14:17	btc updown 15m 1775750400	Down	BUY	15	9¢	$1	0x2b5652…
04-09 15:29:03	eth updown 15m 1775747700	Down	BUY	15	78¢	$12	0xa3c0e5…
04-04 18:14:05	btc updown 15m 1775325600	Up	BUY	20	52¢	$11	0xf7381c…
04-03 02:29:03	btc updown 15m 1775182500	Down	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0x050d43…
04-02 18:14:51	eth updown 15m 1775152800	Down	BUY	22	59¢	$13	0xbecf04…
04-02 15:14:21	eth updown 15m 1775142000	Down	BUY	15	69¢	$10	0xba4ad4…
04-01 15:44:05	btc updown 15m 1775057400	Up	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xb64379…
04-01 05:14:03	btc updown 15m 1775019600	Up	BUY	15	59¢	$9	0x7a049f…
04-01 00:44:03	eth updown 15m 1775003400	Down	BUY	15	39¢	$6	0xd2f756…
03-27 12:44:11	eth updown 15m 1774614600	Down	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x920a3b…
03-26 06:14:05	eth updown 15m 1774504800	Up	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x571496…
03-24 15:29:57	eth updown 15m 1774365300	Down	BUY	101	1¢	$1	0xa42a06…
03-24 15:14:05	eth updown 15m 1774364400	Down	BUY	11	22¢	$2	0xb9b460…
03-24 08:14:03	eth updown 15m 1774339200	Up	BUY	12	31¢	$4	0x3fa185…