Realized P&L
-$131
Unrealized P&L
+$33
Hit rate
59.9%
Resolved
31
Trades
6,070
lifetime
Volume
$52.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$32
13 positions
First seen
2026-01-14
last 06-27 22:08
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Crypto
78% 32% $-131
Politics
19%
Other
2%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
41 active days in 12wk • peak 552 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? No +98 $6 10¢ $10 +$4 06-19 02:35
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes +100 $11 10¢ $10 $-2 06-19 19:27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +20 $10 36¢ $7 $-3 06-26 20:26
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30? Yes +397 $11 $2 $-9 06-19 17:21
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026? Yes +100 $7 $1 $-6 06-25 21:05
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? Yes -154 $-78 $-1 +$77 06-19 13:07
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? Yes +600 $3 $1 $-3 06-25 22:37
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? Yes +109 $5 $0 $-5 06-14 20:55
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +100 $8 $0 $-8 06-19 03:02
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026? Yes +100 $2 $0 $-2 06-20 01:59
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? Yes +200 $5 $0 $-4 06-08 10:53
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? Yes +170 $5 $0 $-5 06-18 19:12
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? Yes +50 $2 $0 $-2 06-10 22:06