Pale-Foodstuffs — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.13K

Unrealized P&L

-$121

Hit rate

48.2%

Resolved

1,187

Trades

7,947

lifetime

Volume

$72.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$296

13 positions

First seen

2026-01-14

last 10-27 11:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 122 days

Categories

Crypto

66% 33% -$2,505

Politics

25% 31% -$272

Other

8% 18% -$230

Tech

1% 41% -$125

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 157 trades/day

Open positions (13) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?	Bibi	+320	$131	38¢	$122	-$10	10-23 19:48
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	+160	$67	47¢	$75	+$8	10-23 12:56
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	-100	-$50	65¢	$-65	-$15	06-02 16:13
saudi airspace closed by october 31 2026	Yes	+400	$28	2¢	$9	-$19	10-15 02:45
Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?	Yes	+100	$8	4¢	$4	-$4	10-22 19:29
Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	+100	$11	4¢	$4	-$7	06-19 19:27
Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+2,400	$18	0¢	$4	-$14	08-17 09:30
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	-50	$14	6¢	$-3	-$17	09-07 09:56
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?	Yes	+200	$12	2¢	$3	-$9	10-09 18:47
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+160	$9	2¢	$2	-$7	08-14 03:02
Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+1,600	$12	0¢	$2	-$10	08-14 03:01
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	Yes	+200	$18	0¢	$1	-$17	09-08 17:12
Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+500	$2	0¢	$0	-$2	05-27 17:09

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	33	$1.1K	1,030	1,030	+0	No	+$21	05-31 15:03
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	20	$1.1K	1,650	950	+700	Yes	-$38	06-16 19:40
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	28	$999	1,621	1,121	+500	No	+$119	06-07 21:55
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	78	$881	3,184	1,903	+1,280	No	-$54	06-20 15:18
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	87	$879	1,548	565	+983	Yes	-$105	06-20 14:47
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?	31	$805	1,130	870	+260	No	+$11	06-15 00:43
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	20	$778	3,168	1,168	+2,000	Yes	+$74	04-29 22:34
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	60	$708	2,928	2,478	+450	No	-$74	06-27 21:38
bitcoin up or down january 15 10pm et	53	$507	535	415	+120	Down	+$12	01-16 03:53
bitcoin up or down january 15 9pm et	45	$492	748	612	+136	Down	+$77	01-16 02:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2AM ET	29	$461	480	250	+230	Down	-$11	05-31 07:00
iran closes its airspace by june 8	19	$460	720	320	+400	Yes	-$92	06-07 21:19
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?	62	$445	2,213	1,799	+414	No	+$14	06-19 13:07
bitcoin up or down january 15 11am et	29	$434	528	528	+0	Up	+$63	01-15 16:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11PM ET	34	$419	432	382	+50	Down	+$30	06-01 03:59
Will United Arab List (Ra'am) win 3.25-4% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	7	$410	489	50	+439	open	—	10-27 01:03
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?	2	$403	400	400	+0	No	+$392	08-30 20:22
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-08 12:00 UTC	69	$391	880	511	+369	Up	-$12	06-08 15:57
bitcoin up or down august 30 2026 10pm et	18	$387	570	255	+315	Down	-$79	08-31 02:52
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-15 17:45 UTC	25	$377	400	395	+5	Down	+$25	01-15 17:49
Will United Arab List (Ra'am) win 4.75-5.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	18	$376	756	0	+756	open	—	10-25 21:38
bitcoin up or down january 15 2pm et	36	$374	1,313	218	+1,095	Down	-$128	01-15 19:43
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	29	$360	1,690	1,740	-50	open	—	09-07 09:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-16 03:00 UTC	41	$357	429	208	+221	Up	-$20	01-16 03:13
bitcoin up or down january 21 4pm et	18	$355	422	282	+140	Up	-$12	01-21 21:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-16 03:45 UTC	22	$344	400	234	+166	Down	-$11	01-16 03:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-16 05:00 UTC	16	$327	750	120	+630	Up	-$99	01-16 05:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-16 01:45 UTC	20	$324	480	396	+84	Up	-$5	01-16 02:00
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	15	$323	436	236	+200	Yes	-$11	06-20 14:48
bitcoin up or down january 16 12am et	32	$309	575	332	+243	Up	-$60	01-16 05:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 12:11:44	Will voter turnout be between 72% and 74% in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	96	23¢	$22	0xcd0564…
10-27 12:11:42	Will voter turnout be between 72% and 74% in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	14	23¢	$3	0x05483b…
10-27 12:06:09	Will voter turnout be between 72% and 74% in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	90	22¢	$20	0x7c4e67…
10-27 11:09:59	Will voter turnout be between 72% and 74% in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	65	19¢	$12	0x8612c4…
10-27 11:09:59	Will voter turnout be between 72% and 74% in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0x0c7270…
10-27 11:09:54	Will voter turnout be 74% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	72	28¢	$20	0xc8f254…
10-27 11:09:48	Will voter turnout be 74% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	13	29¢	$4	0xe4732f…
10-27 11:09:48	Will voter turnout be 74% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	7	29¢	$2	0xd33c89…
10-27 11:09:48	Will voter turnout be 74% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	8	29¢	$2	0x306c61…
10-27 02:43:03	Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	BUY	40	65¢	$26	0x48b6a7…
10-27 01:03:36	Will United Arab List (Ra'am) win 3.25-4% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0x641696…
10-27 01:03:36	Will United Arab List (Ra'am) win 3.25-4% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	30	70¢	$21	0x00519a…
10-26 10:50:00	Will The Joint List win 7.5% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x76782c…
10-26 01:26:57	Will The Joint List win 7.5% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	51	26¢	$13	0xb3f007…
10-26 01:26:57	Will The Joint List win 7.5% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	9	26¢	$2	0x00a4b7…
10-25 21:38:21	Will United Arab List (Ra'am) win 4.75-5.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	45	43¢	$19	0x496eea…
10-25 21:38:21	Will United Arab List (Ra'am) win 4.75-5.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x0b0d35…
10-25 21:34:00	Will Together win 11-13 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	80	20¢	$16	0xf00e20…
10-25 21:19:09	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	SELL	30	48¢	$14	0x5b98ab…
10-25 20:59:14	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	SELL	30	32¢	$10	0x5f9c9a…
10-25 18:37:09	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	30	25¢	$8	0x219a41…
10-25 18:37:03	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	30	62¢	$19	0xf31e16…
10-25 16:42:02	Will Reservists and New Economic Party win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	49	65¢	$32	0xf01938…
10-25 14:56:53	Will United Arab List (Ra'am) win 4.75-5.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	19	50¢	$10	0x842bc8…
10-25 12:12:09	Will United Arab List (Ra'am) win 4.75-5.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	6	41¢	$2	0x4d6eb3…
10-25 11:23:06	Will United Arab List (Ra'am) win 4.75-5.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	55	40¢	$22	0xdec1ba…
10-25 09:19:05	Will United Arab List (Ra'am) win 4.75-5.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0x77b8b2…
10-25 09:19:03	Will United Arab List (Ra'am) win 4.75-5.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x6cf431…
10-25 09:15:56	Will The Joint List win 6.5-7.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	86	15¢	$13	0xebd70f…
10-25 08:03:44	Will United Arab List (Ra'am) win 4.75-5.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	35	50¢	$17	0xb8e52f…
10-25 06:20:32	Will The Joint List win 6.5-7.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0x8ed308…
10-25 06:01:45	Will Reservists and New Economic Party win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	74	65¢	$48	0x710cf3…
10-25 05:35:20	Will The Joint List win 6.5-7.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	23	15¢	$3	0x1f151b…
10-25 05:34:44	Will The Joint List win 7.5% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	200	53¢	$105	0x7cf1a1…
10-25 03:53:53	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	300	28¢	$84	0xd2f058…
10-25 03:51:03	Will Ra'am win exactly 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	28	41¢	$11	0xaf456e…
10-25 03:51:03	Will Ra'am win exactly 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	127	41¢	$52	0x41b29a…
10-25 01:27:29	Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	80	11¢	$9	0xd49b15…
10-25 01:27:17	Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0xd96cdf…
10-25 01:04:42	Will United Arab List (Ra'am) win 4.75-5.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	67	44¢	$30	0x4b8fd9…
10-25 00:45:56	Will United Torah Judaism win 5-6% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	43	59¢	$26	0x129dc8…
10-25 00:45:33	Will United Torah Judaism win 5-6% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x1198e3…
10-25 00:45:26	Will United Torah Judaism win 5-6% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0xef2b71…
10-25 00:45:26	Will United Torah Judaism win 5-6% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	60	60¢	$36	0x642fda…
10-24 21:13:57	Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	15	10¢	$2	0x71184f…
10-24 21:00:53	Will Reservists and New Economic Party win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	77	65¢	$50	0xbdc8fc…
10-24 19:43:05	Israel military action against Iraq by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	20¢	$3	0x400429…
10-24 19:30:11	Israel military action against Iraq by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	86	20¢	$17	0x5496b1…
10-24 19:11:39	Will United Arab List (Ra'am) win 4.75-5.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	131	56¢	$73	0xea83a7…
10-24 18:22:20	Will parties below the electoral threshold receive less than 4% of the vote in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x277d46…
10-24 17:46:59	Will Ra'am win exactly 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xfbc6fa…
10-24 17:16:42	Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x8a7f46…
10-24 17:12:32	Will The Joint List win 7.5% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xd63af2…
10-24 16:05:18	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xc11cb1…
10-24 15:05:56	Will The Joint List win 7.5% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	13	50¢	$6	0x49f1a6…
10-24 14:52:45	Will United Arab List (Ra'am) win 4.75-5.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	40	57¢	$23	0x6f622c…
10-24 14:45:11	Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	29	10¢	$3	0x965ba8…
10-24 14:45:11	Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x94dc6c…
10-24 14:45:08	Will Ra'am win exactly 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x732d4c…
10-24 14:45:08	Will Ra'am win exactly 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x69dab4…
10-24 14:41:18	Will United Arab List (Ra'am) win 3.25-4% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	139	80¢	$111	0x97f344…
10-24 14:38:32	Will The Joint List win 7.5% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	115	50¢	$58	0xa11e62…
10-24 14:38:30	Will The Joint List win 7.5% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xde758a…
10-24 14:38:30	Will The Joint List win 7.5% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x2c73d9…
10-24 14:38:30	Will The Joint List win 7.5% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x1e213f…
10-24 14:38:29	Will The Joint List win 7.5% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x27379b…
10-24 14:38:27	Will The Joint List win 7.5% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	42	44¢	$19	0x6145b1…
10-24 14:35:30	Will United Arab List (Ra'am) win 3.25-4% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	100	79¢	$79	0x058116…
10-24 14:33:32	Will United Arab List (Ra'am) win 4.75-5.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x65ef91…
10-24 14:33:32	Will United Arab List (Ra'am) win 4.75-5.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	45	50¢	$22	0x63a394…
10-24 14:33:32	Will United Arab List (Ra'am) win 4.75-5.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	37	50¢	$19	0x448b2a…
10-24 14:33:20	Will United Arab List (Ra'am) win 4.75-5.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0x261578…
10-24 14:33:20	Will United Arab List (Ra'am) win 4.75-5.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	88	50¢	$44	0x136517…
10-24 14:32:53	Will United Arab List (Ra'am) win 4.75-5.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x574562…
10-24 14:32:14	Will United Arab List (Ra'am) win 4.75-5.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0xe25518…
10-24 14:31:41	Will The Joint List win 7.5% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	60	25¢	$15	0xe22ea1…
10-24 14:30:59	Will The Joint List win 7.5% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	57	25¢	$14	0xb8464c…
10-24 14:30:59	Will The Joint List win 7.5% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	16	23¢	$4	0x733050…
10-24 14:30:59	Will The Joint List win 7.5% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x5c87ee…
10-24 14:30:44	Will The Joint List win 6.5-7.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	80	29¢	$23	0x928993…
10-24 14:29:17	Will Ra'am be in the next Israeli government?	Yes	BUY	120	30¢	$36	0xa19088…
10-24 14:26:00	Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0x495c2d…
10-24 14:25:30	Will Ra'am win exactly 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	50	36¢	$18	0x7aa5b7…
10-24 14:16:03	Will United Arab List (Ra'am) win 3.25-4% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	50	73¢	$36	0x6d2a50…
10-24 14:15:33	Will Israel election happen as scheduled?	No	BUY	80	4¢	$3	0x75a53b…
10-24 14:04:44	Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0x2c9174…
10-24 13:01:41	Will parties below the electoral threshold receive between 4% and 6% of the vote in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xda8b89…
10-24 13:01:41	Will parties below the electoral threshold receive between 4% and 6% of the vote in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	9	40¢	$4	0x7047a7…
10-24 13:00:26	Will parties below the electoral threshold receive between 4% and 6% of the vote in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x80268e…
10-24 12:54:14	Will United Arab List (Ra'am) win 3.25-4% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	100	73¢	$73	0x09ae5e…
10-24 12:49:29	Will The Joint List win 6.5-7.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	194	27¢	$52	0x252fa5…
10-24 12:42:57	Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	No	SELL	100	88¢	$88	0x32371d…
10-24 12:42:15	Will Israel election happen as scheduled?	No	BUY	40	4¢	$2	0xe26468…
10-24 12:02:02	Will Ra'am win exactly 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	49	35¢	$17	0x343919…
10-24 12:02:02	Will Ra'am win exactly 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	151	34¢	$52	0x207611…
10-24 08:38:36	Will Together win 11-13 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0xaec146…
10-24 00:12:32	Will Together win 11-13 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0xe2214b…
10-23 20:29:38	Will Together win 11-13 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	11	22¢	$2	0x010530…
10-23 20:22:26	Will Together win 11-13 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	109	22¢	$24	0xd58066…
10-23 19:48:27	Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?	Bibi	BUY	44	39¢	$17	0x4c6c13…