Intent-Dial — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$20

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

77.8%

Resolved

104

Trades

297

lifetime

Volume

$448

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-08

last 05-15 21:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 59% +$20

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 105 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	5	$14	13	6	+6	Up	+$2	05-05 12:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	2	$13	10	10	+0	Up	+$3	05-05 13:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	2	$13	10	10	+0	Down	+$3	05-05 14:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	2	$12	9	9	+0	Up	+$2	05-05 14:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	2	$12	10	10	+0	Up	+$2	05-05 12:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	2	$11	7	7	+0	Up	+$1	05-05 13:02
btc updown 5m 1775847900	2	$10	12	12	+0	open	—	04-10 19:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	3	$9	10	10	+0	Up	+$5	05-06 23:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	3	$7	6	5	+1	Up	+$2	05-05 12:09
btc updown 5m 1775725500	2	$7	50	47	+3	open	—	04-09 09:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	4	$7	6	5	+1	Up	+$2	05-05 11:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	2	$6	9	9	+0	Up	+$4	05-06 17:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	2	$6	5	5	+0	Up	+$2	05-05 14:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	3	$6	4	4	+0	Up	+$2	05-06 17:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	3	$6	36	36	+0	Down	$-2	05-05 12:02
btc updown 5m 1775845500	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	04-10 18:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	3	$6	5	5	+0	Up	+$2	05-06 18:52
btc updown 5m 1775670000	3	$6	5	7	-2	open	—	04-08 17:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	4	$6	12	12	+0	Down	$-3	05-05 12:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	4	$6	7	7	+0	Up	+$2	05-05 07:34
btc updown 5m 1775845800	2	$5	5	5	+0	open	—	04-10 18:30
btc updown 5m 1775846700	4	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	04-10 18:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	4	$5	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	05-05 14:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	3	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$1	05-05 13:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	2	$4	4	4	+0	Up	+$0	05-06 08:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	3	$4	4	2	+1	Up	+$1	05-05 12:39
btc updown 5m 1775842800	2	$4	6	6	+0	open	—	04-10 17:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	05-06 17:44
btc updown 5m 1775722200	2	$4	5	4	+0	open	—	04-09 08:14
btc updown 5m 1775841300	2	$3	4	4	+0	open	—	04-10 17:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 21:17:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0x935eaa…
05-15 21:16:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x7a6bf4…
05-15 20:53:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	SELL	2	13¢	$0	0xfc7da2…
05-15 20:50:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xabd722…
05-14 20:31:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	SELL	3	49¢	$2	0x6f7bec…
05-14 20:30:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x4b74e8…
05-14 19:56:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x8813cd…
05-14 19:52:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	SELL	3	69¢	$2	0x1ea535…
05-14 19:51:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x000e1f…
05-14 13:47:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	4	36¢	$1	0xbb0b63…
05-14 13:46:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x23786e…
05-14 13:46:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xf8a271…
05-14 13:25:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xb027d4…
05-14 12:39:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	SELL	3	51¢	$2	0xd5b16d…
05-14 12:36:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xd24e5e…
05-14 07:21:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x44d013…
05-14 07:10:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x3e4abb…
05-14 06:58:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0x30946e…
05-14 06:56:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x91cd09…
05-14 05:34:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0x36bea0…
05-14 05:31:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x6beb38…
05-14 05:29:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	3	64¢	$2	0xe30700…
05-14 05:27:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xe30866…
05-14 05:22:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	SELL	9	1¢	$0	0x5777eb…
05-14 05:21:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x7074c3…
05-14 05:20:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x09c8c9…
05-14 05:12:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	40¢	$1	0xee154c…
05-14 05:12:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x0cb86a…
05-12 17:29:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	84¢	$1	0xa52a38…
05-12 17:28:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xb51a7a…
05-07 21:07:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x22dbc9…
05-07 20:57:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x645e2c…
05-07 20:55:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x8c16c8…
05-07 18:46:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xe1d49d…
05-07 18:40:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x1f0aae…
05-07 16:35:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x8d1f90…
05-07 16:30:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xc4c842…
05-07 09:40:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x84c654…
05-07 09:35:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xef3f64…
05-07 09:32:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	79¢	$2	0x6fd242…
05-07 09:30:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x2b5d24…
05-07 09:25:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xd50f1a…
05-07 08:02:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0x76c3a1…
05-07 08:00:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	SELL	1	35¢	$0	0x72f429…
05-07 08:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xf025da…
05-07 07:56:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	73¢	$1	0x762d13…
05-07 07:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xcad9b6…
05-07 07:52:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0x1c89d5…
05-07 07:50:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x83a9bf…
05-07 07:48:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x6e7d69…
05-07 07:40:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xfef389…
05-07 07:32:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	83¢	$2	0xe1489f…
05-07 07:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x747d65…
05-07 07:29:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0xfec233…
05-07 07:29:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	5¢	$0	0x42bcd1…
05-07 07:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x21468c…
05-07 07:21:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0xf76e9a…
05-07 07:20:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x8a2e13…
05-07 07:18:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	82¢	$2	0xbd1501…
05-07 07:15:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x31a6c0…
05-06 23:37:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xad25c9…
05-06 23:35:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x0662cf…
05-06 23:34:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	SELL	10	74¢	$7	0x3edada…
05-06 23:32:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xe1117a…
05-06 23:31:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x00a9a9…
05-06 23:26:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0x7a57b6…
05-06 23:25:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xcc8c7a…
05-06 23:23:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0xadfb67…
05-06 23:22:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x713ffa…
05-06 18:59:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	13¢	$0	0x9d8924…
05-06 18:55:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xda4967…
05-06 18:52:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	5	68¢	$4	0x462938…
05-06 18:51:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x126174…
05-06 18:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x382e88…
05-06 18:36:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xc8ce79…
05-06 18:11:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xf898dd…
05-06 18:01:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x87a762…
05-06 17:54:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	9	57¢	$5	0x17859c…
05-06 17:53:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x430f33…
05-06 17:46:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x9c7ea6…
05-06 17:44:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	93¢	$3	0xd78923…
05-06 17:42:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x86e7c2…
05-06 17:36:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0x9cc721…
05-06 17:36:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x0ca28f…
05-06 17:31:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x65588c…
05-06 17:09:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	SELL	4	88¢	$4	0x47a8bc…
05-06 17:07:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xf5476f…
05-06 17:05:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xcf31ac…
05-06 17:02:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0xa4da00…
05-06 17:02:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xca0acb…
05-06 16:49:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x627ef5…
05-06 16:39:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0xb939b1…
05-06 16:36:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x62806b…
05-06 16:34:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	SELL	2	76¢	$2	0x04813b…
05-06 16:31:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x7ef717…
05-06 16:28:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	51¢	$1	0xdeb4d8…
05-06 16:26:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xbdfba7…
05-06 10:23:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x7cdd0e…
05-06 09:18:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	84¢	$2	0x2c5058…
05-06 09:15:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xb34b06…