Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.74K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.7%

Resolved

Trades

481

lifetime

Volume

$179.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$373

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-09

last 07-05 14:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

60% 100% +$2,757

Other

40% 0% $-14

Tech

0% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 42 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$31.3K	16,473	16,473	+0	open	—	03-25 05:49
will the us invade iran by march 31	14	$26.6K	14,011	14,011	+0	open	—	04-01 03:46
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$20.0K	10,443	10,443	+0	open	—	03-27 09:43
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	4	$18.6K	10,423	10,423	+0	open	—	03-15 04:59
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	26	$17.2K	12,486	9,952	+2,535	open	—	04-14 02:05
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	80	$14.5K	11,333	11,333	+0	open	—	04-09 16:06
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	3	$14.4K	12,374	12,374	+0	open	—	04-09 15:57
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	11	$10.0K	5,456	5,456	+0	open	—	04-06 07:41
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	2	$4.0K	4,000	4,000	+0	open	—	03-26 00:37
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	3	$3.7K	4,941	4,941	+0	open	—	04-09 15:56
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	2	$3.3K	2,590	2,590	+0	open	—	03-20 11:35
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	3	$2.1K	10,714	5,714	+5,000	open	—	05-30 08:35
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	2	$2.0K	1,587	1,587	+0	open	—	03-20 13:50
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	8	$1.8K	3,519	3,519	+0	open	—	04-15 13:24
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	4	$1.5K	4,189	4,061	+128	open	—	04-08 13:19
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	2	$1.4K	6,667	6,667	+0	open	—	04-12 14:13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	17	$1.2K	3,513	3,513	+0	open	—	07-05 14:54
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	23	$1.2K	23,933	21,933	+2,000	open	—	04-08 04:54
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	1	$1.0K	2,500	0	+2,500	open	—	05-28 20:05
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	1	$616	3,242	0	+3,242	open	—	04-05 13:30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	28	$506	8,001	7,782	+219	open	—	04-18 04:12
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	129	$386	14,549	0	+14,549	open	—	04-08 00:18
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	5	$334	3,106	2,996	+110	open	—	04-17 21:41
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	20	$296	3,053	0	+3,053	Yes	+$2,757	04-16 19:33
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$288	2,202	2,202	+0	open	—	03-28 06:45
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	3	$197	944	944	+0	open	—	05-29 14:10
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	36	$162	1,396	1,396	+0	Yes	$-14	04-17 22:27
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	2	$160	2,483	2,483	+0	open	—	04-12 23:45
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	2	$150	521	0	+521	open	—	05-28 06:14
will iran strike jordan in march 375	2	$140	292	290	+1	open	—	03-10 12:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-05 14:54:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	3,513	0¢	$4	0x751cf5…
05-30 18:24:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	808	32¢	$259	0xc02d45…
05-30 18:10:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	17	32¢	$5	0x604edd…
05-30 18:07:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	26	32¢	$8	0x85bcbb…
05-30 18:05:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x65584a…
05-30 18:02:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x18ef58…
05-30 18:02:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xd3773b…
05-30 18:01:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	872	32¢	$279	0x8a9053…
05-30 16:58:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	58	32¢	$19	0x72ccd3…
05-30 16:58:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0xd1786e…
05-30 16:53:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	426	32¢	$136	0xd84248…
05-30 16:33:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x21c0cc…
05-30 16:33:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x00be26…
05-30 16:33:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xc61fa2…
05-30 16:33:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	2	32¢	$1	0x9955de…
05-30 16:33:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	754	32¢	$241	0xa787e0…
05-30 08:35:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5,714	4¢	$229	0x42812f…
05-29 14:10:31	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	Yes	SELL	944	5¢	$47	0x677f6f…
05-28 23:54:06	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,114	1¢	$10	0x10fc01…
05-28 20:05:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,500	40¢	$1,000	0x1c8656…
05-28 14:42:23	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	Yes	BUY	667	15¢	$100	0x53297d…
05-28 14:40:33	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,714	14¢	$800	0xd29a1e…
05-28 14:37:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	513	39¢	$200	0x9f5581…
05-28 14:36:00	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	Yes	BUY	278	18¢	$50	0x35ef9e…
05-28 06:14:58	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	Yes	BUY	294	17¢	$50	0xb17896…
05-27 14:21:29	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	Yes	BUY	227	44¢	$100	0x97737f…
05-11 07:53:31	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,000	21¢	$1,050	0x259790…
04-18 04:12:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	Yes	SELL	212	1¢	$2	0xa5a8e5…
04-18 03:52:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	Yes	SELL	9	1¢	$0	0x9f01ed…
04-18 03:43:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0xe9c555…
04-18 03:37:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0xc79d19…
04-18 03:32:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	Yes	SELL	75	1¢	$1	0x31150f…
04-18 03:25:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	Yes	SELL	122	1¢	$1	0x3c3ff9…
04-18 02:58:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	Yes	SELL	22	1¢	$0	0x477a56…
04-18 02:34:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	Yes	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0x94a744…
04-18 02:18:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x81fa35…
04-18 02:13:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x1ab812…
04-18 02:05:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	Yes	SELL	250	1¢	$2	0xbfbbc4…
04-18 01:59:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	Yes	SELL	197	1¢	$2	0xde4b34…
04-18 01:27:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	Yes	SELL	41	1¢	$0	0x908d6f…
04-18 01:21:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0xd8147b…
04-18 01:03:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0xfa1f87…
04-18 00:50:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x964505…
04-18 00:19:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	Yes	SELL	5,687	1¢	$57	0x24f283…
04-18 00:11:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x603491…
04-17 23:36:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	Yes	SELL	51	1¢	$1	0x199bcb…
04-17 23:10:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	Yes	SELL	991	1¢	$10	0x18b650…
04-17 22:27:58	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	251	5¢	$13	0x74af16…
04-17 22:27:28	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	37	5¢	$2	0xe8c875…
04-17 22:27:28	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	107	5¢	$6	0xd6685e…
04-17 22:27:28	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	100	5¢	$5	0xb3a58c…
04-17 22:27:28	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	108	5¢	$6	0x8a9138…
04-17 22:27:28	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	100	5¢	$5	0x5f3338…
04-17 22:24:44	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	25	5¢	$1	0x972b05…
04-17 22:24:44	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	55	5¢	$3	0x47adf0…
04-17 22:24:44	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	51	5¢	$3	0x3fd811…
04-17 22:24:44	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	43	5¢	$2	0x105af4…
04-17 22:24:08	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	28	5¢	$1	0xf61e48…
04-17 22:24:08	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	30	5¢	$2	0xaf33f6…
04-17 22:24:08	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	32	5¢	$2	0x8c9deb…
04-17 22:24:08	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	40	5¢	$2	0x345910…
04-17 22:24:08	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	42	5¢	$2	0x01169c…
04-17 22:23:12	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	35	5¢	$2	0x277158…
04-17 22:23:12	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	45	5¢	$2	0x2005b4…
04-17 22:17:14	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	60	5¢	$3	0xd5280e…
04-17 22:17:14	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	33	5¢	$2	0x701ba6…
04-17 22:17:14	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	55	5¢	$3	0x68cdca…
04-17 22:17:14	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	30	5¢	$2	0x4d455c…
04-17 21:56:46	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	88	5¢	$5	0x23ef96…
04-17 21:41:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	Yes	SELL	2,996	1¢	$17	0xb7d699…
04-16 19:33:10	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,200	8¢	$96	0x1f27ef…
04-15 13:24:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,933	33¢	$968	0x600ed5…
04-15 13:22:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	33¢	$2	0x33c34c…
04-15 13:19:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	118	33¢	$39	0x9f01cf…
04-15 13:18:44	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	37	33¢	$12	0x39e659…
04-15 13:18:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	123	33¢	$41	0xe38ae1…
04-15 13:17:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	302	33¢	$100	0xe949c0…
04-14 17:41:44	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	95	10¢	$9	0x3d1cd3…
04-14 17:38:34	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x843983…
04-14 17:27:08	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xce6b9c…
04-14 17:21:58	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	462	10¢	$46	0x483538…
04-14 16:55:50	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	10¢	$1	0x883027…
04-14 16:54:48	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	10¢	$1	0x3ce134…
04-14 16:18:13	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0xd97074…
04-14 16:01:01	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0xbd0812…
04-14 15:42:47	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	10¢	$1	0xf919c8…
04-14 15:29:19	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	10¢	$30	0xd833a8…
04-14 15:16:45	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xd49114…
04-14 15:09:37	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0xf54811…
04-14 14:51:39	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0xb1bab4…
04-14 14:43:25	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	10¢	$2	0x74ffc1…
04-14 14:31:15	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x74a578…
04-14 14:29:19	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	10¢	$1	0xf6d17f…
04-14 14:22:33	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	10¢	$2	0x2a52da…
04-14 14:12:53	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0x4ad8aa…
04-14 02:05:51	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	16	72¢	$11	0xe8cf23…
04-14 02:05:47	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	470	72¢	$340	0xf4060d…
04-14 01:53:25	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0x837293…
04-14 01:53:23	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0x0b9e6b…
04-14 01:53:19	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0xad7e86…