Wobbly-Barometer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$41

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.7%

Resolved

330

Trades

372

lifetime

Volume

$5.39K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-06-01

last 06-03 00:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 99% +$37

Other

7% 100% +$4

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-03).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	3	$104	106	+106	Up	+$2	06-02 01:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	3	$104	105	+105	Down	+$1	06-02 12:33
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	3	$104	105	+105	Down	+$1	06-02 03:14
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	3	$104	105	+105	Up	+$1	06-02 06:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	3	$104	105	+105	Down	+$1	06-02 09:29
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	2	$96	97	+97	Down	+$1	06-02 22:19
BNB Up or Down - June 1, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	2	$96	97	+97	Down	+$1	06-02 00:14
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	3	$92	93	+93	Down	+$1	06-02 09:14
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	1	$72	73	+73	Up	+$1	06-02 14:44
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	1	$72	73	+73	Down	+$1	06-02 17:09
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	1	$72	73	+73	Down	+$1	06-02 13:39
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	1	$72	73	+73	Down	+$1	06-02 02:19
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	1	$72	73	+73	Down	+$1	06-02 15:14
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 2, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	1	$72	73	+73	Up	+$1	06-02 07:14
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	1	$72	73	+73	Down	+$1	06-01 21:29
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 2, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	1	$72	73	+73	Up	+$1	06-02 13:24
DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-01 23:50 UTC	1	$72	73	+73	Down	+$1	06-01 23:54
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	1	$72	73	+73	Up	+$1	06-02 12:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	2	$32	32	+32	Down	+$0	06-01 21:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	2	$32	32	+32	Up	+$0	06-02 04:28
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 1, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	2	$32	32	+32	Up	+$0	06-01 21:59
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	2	$32	32	+32	Down	+$0	06-01 18:13
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	2	$32	32	+32	Up	+$0	06-02 12:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	2	$32	32	+32	Down	+$0	06-02 01:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	2	$32	32	+32	Down	+$0	06-02 15:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	2	$32	32	+32	Down	+$0	06-02 14:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	2	$32	32	+32	Down	+$0	06-02 18:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	2	$32	32	+32	Up	+$0	06-02 09:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	2	$32	32	+32	Down	+$0	06-02 01:33
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	2	$32	32	+32	Down	+$0	06-02 15:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-03 00:39:15	Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xda1001…
06-03 00:33:44	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xacc15b…
06-03 00:28:50	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x6b20d2…
06-03 00:24:03	Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x14bd7e…
06-03 00:19:09	Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 2, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x0394b1…
06-03 00:18:44	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x69d47f…
06-03 00:13:49	Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 2, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x81c470…
06-03 00:03:54	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x1fb24d…
06-02 23:58:42	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xc64dc8…
06-02 23:49:08	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x0c628f…
06-02 23:44:18	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x77798d…
06-02 23:43:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xa2a598…
06-02 23:38:49	Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 2, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xb3115c…
06-02 23:34:23	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x2ceacb…
06-02 23:34:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x915c55…
06-02 23:28:43	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xa4d087…
06-02 23:24:22	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xf47767…
06-02 23:19:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x24bbbb…
06-02 23:13:52	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x0bc1bf…
06-02 23:13:47	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x40f3b7…
06-02 23:09:23	Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 2, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0xa8eb2e…
06-02 23:08:53	BNB Up or Down - June 2, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xcaa5c7…
06-02 23:03:54	Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 2, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0xb7c9d5…
06-02 23:03:43	Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 2, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xa8e965…
06-02 22:54:23	Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 2, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xc104c7…
06-02 22:49:24	Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 2, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x529094…
06-02 22:38:45	BNB Up or Down - June 2, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x878dd1…
06-02 22:34:18	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0xafa6f7…
06-02 22:34:09	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x292c6e…
06-02 22:28:49	Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xd4b11f…
06-02 22:19:02	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	73	99¢	$72	0xcb73cc…
06-02 22:18:57	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0xa8c8f7…
06-02 22:18:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x656852…
06-02 22:13:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xe64a13…
06-02 22:08:45	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x39eaee…
06-02 21:58:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x0b8064…
06-02 21:58:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x5e33d2…
06-02 21:53:43	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0xc683ed…
06-02 21:44:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xc4dde0…
06-02 21:38:44	Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x5f1687…
06-02 21:33:59	Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xa3b1a8…
06-02 21:29:19	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x313f19…
06-02 21:23:58	Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xac5d1f…
06-02 21:13:58	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x2708d6…
06-02 21:09:18	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x4633c8…
06-02 21:09:09	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xcf7b24…
06-02 20:54:08	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x16e434…
06-02 20:48:46	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x24e36e…
06-02 20:44:04	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0xd722cd…
06-02 20:43:54	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x845bb0…
06-02 20:39:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0xe6ce2c…
06-02 20:28:53	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x2c8450…
06-02 20:23:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x8b5c10…
06-02 20:13:50	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x29cc0a…
06-02 20:08:43	Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 2, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xed2492…
06-02 20:04:19	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0xe4ff7d…
06-02 20:04:00	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xf17bdb…
06-02 19:48:53	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x058f86…
06-02 19:48:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x741c32…
06-02 19:44:08	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x57a5f2…
06-02 19:43:59	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xeb60d7…
06-02 19:38:58	Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x778a74…
06-02 19:24:23	BNB Up or Down - June 2, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x37ecc8…
06-02 19:14:07	Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 2, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x6864fc…
06-02 19:13:59	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x6574fa…
06-02 19:08:54	BNB Up or Down - June 2, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x5b7a7e…
06-02 19:08:44	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x644d67…
06-02 19:04:07	Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 2, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xc9fe57…
06-02 18:58:43	Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xa30aa0…
06-02 18:54:03	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x2eeea0…
06-02 18:43:44	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xb8dc20…
06-02 18:29:25	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x01b476…
06-02 18:23:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x5904b3…
06-02 18:23:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xb84356…
06-02 18:19:14	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x08729b…
06-02 18:14:08	Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x4ec098…
06-02 18:09:17	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x15bd15…
06-02 18:08:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xc7e751…
06-02 17:49:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xfb8eb2…
06-02 17:43:55	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x6f65b1…
06-02 17:39:08	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x2c460d…
06-02 17:34:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xc2616d…
06-02 17:28:48	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x33ed9b…
06-02 17:23:56	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x5945c2…
06-02 17:13:49	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xc795b0…
06-02 17:09:24	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	73	99¢	$72	0xd23e54…
06-02 17:08:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x4987d4…
06-02 17:08:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x4c9c96…
06-02 17:04:13	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xe9773c…
06-02 16:59:08	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-02 16:55 UTC	Up	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x28867d…
06-02 16:58:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x939e95…
06-02 16:53:45	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xd11e5f…
06-02 16:48:49	Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x1c89fb…
06-02 16:38:59	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x8d7ff3…
06-02 16:33:58	Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 2, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x6ff9db…
06-02 16:29:04	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x30cb0a…
06-02 16:23:46	BNB Up or Down - June 2, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x907cf4…
06-02 16:18:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xc2ddc5…
06-02 16:13:44	Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x676774…
06-02 16:08:51	BNB Up or Down - June 2, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x40c0d7…