Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

+$4

Hit rate

55.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$48

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$42

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 10-26 19:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

52% — —

Other

29% — —

Crypto

19% 60% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	-30	-$20	66¢	$-20	+$0	10-22 15:59
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	+13	$10	100¢	$13	+$3	10-26 19:49
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	+5	$5	97¢	$5	+$0	10-26 19:50
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	+4	$4	94¢	$4	+$0	10-26 19:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 19:51:53	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4	92¢	$4	0x9d027b…
10-26 19:50:15	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x54a7d7…
10-26 19:49:36	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0xa7c214…
10-22 15:59:53	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	30	67¢	$20	0x6513ff…
01-06 19:58:49	Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x7b0f6b…
01-06 19:58:29	infinex fdv above 300m one day after launch 311	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x4ca711…
01-06 19:57:43	ethereum etf flows on january 6	Positive	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x31796c…
01-06 19:57:01	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0x084518…
01-06 19:55:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 19:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xeaf198…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	1	$20	0	30	-30	open	—	10-22 15:59
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	1	$10	13	0	+13	open	—	10-26 19:49
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	10-26 19:50
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	1	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	10-26 19:51
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 19:45 UTC	1	$3	12	0	+12	Down	-$3	01-06 19:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 19:45 UTC	1	$2	2	0	+2	Down	+$0	01-06 19:55
ethereum etf flows on january 6	1	$2	2	0	+2	Positive	+$0	01-06 19:57
infinex fdv above 300m one day after launch 311	1	$1	2	0	+2	No	-$1	01-06 19:58
Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	01-06 19:58