Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$104

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

76.9%

Resolved

186

Trades

610

lifetime

Volume

$1.54K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-19

last 05-14 17:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 44 days

Categories

Crypto

56% 61% -$89

Other

29% 68% +$5

Politics

8% 67% -$11

Tech

5% 71% +$0

Sports

2% 40% -$10

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-14).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	12	$91	90	98	-8	No	+$6	04-30 19:00
will sp 500 spx hit 6300 low in march 2026	17	$81	54	54	+0	No	+$10	03-31 23:14
trump declassifies new ufo files by march 31	5	$50	27	31	-4	No	+$4	03-11 01:44
will sp 500 spx hit 6000 low in march 2026	3	$47	26	26	+0	No	+$1	03-18 15:03
will bitcoin reach 74k march 9 15	4	$44	29	29	+0	Yes	+$6	03-14 00:40
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	4	$40	28	28	+0	Yes	+$4	03-09 15:01
sp 500 all time high by march 31 2026	3	$31	19	19	+0	No	+$1	03-13 02:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 23:10 UTC	5	$28	31	5	+26	Down	-$19	04-20 23:15
will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	2	$28	46	0	+46	Yes	-$28	03-18 17:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 00:30 UTC	6	$27	21	10	+11	Down	+$3	04-14 00:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 23:40 UTC	9	$25	16	15	+0	Down	+$3	04-13 23:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 23:15 UTC	4	$25	14	14	+0	Down	+$2	04-20 23:20
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $740 in May?	6	$21	34	14	+20	Yes	-$6	05-06 17:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 11:50 UTC	5	$20	11	11	+0	Down	+$2	02-28 11:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 02:15 UTC	6	$18	14	14	+0	Up	-$4	04-14 02:20
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	3	$18	11	11	+0	Yes	+$1	02-26 14:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	12	$16	20	14	+6	Up	-$4	05-08 21:44
ms quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 15 2026 3	2	$16	9	9	+0	Yes	+$0	04-14 01:48
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	2	$16	27	26	+1	No	+$2	04-07 13:34
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,050 (HIGH) in June?	4	$16	23	23	+0	Yes	+$2	04-08 13:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 00:25 UTC	2	$15	9	9	+0	Down	+$2	04-14 00:31
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	8	$15	10	10	+0	Up	+$1	05-08 18:35
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	9	$15	29	29	+0	Up	+$1	05-08 21:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 01:55 UTC	2	$15	8	8	+0	Down	+$0	04-14 02:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 23:50 UTC	6	$15	20	11	+9	Up	-$7	04-20 23:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 00:45 UTC	2	$15	10	10	+0	Down	+$2	04-14 00:46
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	11	$15	9	9	+0	Down	+$1	05-08 20:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	11	$15	8	8	+0	Up	+$1	05-08 21:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 12:05 UTC	4	$14	9	8	+0	Up	+$0	02-28 12:08
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	7	$14	37	37	+0	No	+$1	05-04 13:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 17:57:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xe96518…
05-14 17:55:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xdbe6f6…
05-14 17:54:29	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	6	31¢	$2	0xaa565f…
05-10 03:02:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x505487…
05-10 03:00:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0x88fdcf…
05-10 03:00:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x852c2a…
05-10 02:59:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xf235ce…
05-10 02:57:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x1d64c8…
05-10 02:55:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	74¢	$1	0x689e4b…
05-10 02:55:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x17d24c…
05-10 02:55:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xcdd1e0…
05-10 02:54:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x69a06c…
05-10 02:53:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x4c83c4…
05-10 02:53:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x4eb262…
05-10 02:53:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x615b79…
05-10 02:52:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xccfe0b…
05-10 02:49:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xbe1967…
05-10 02:49:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x7fff3f…
05-10 02:47:57	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in May?	Yes	SELL	25	5¢	$1	0xe66285…
05-09 01:06:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xa91fee…
05-09 01:05:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x35988b…
05-09 01:03:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xf7af4b…
05-09 01:03:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xaf8f58…
05-09 01:01:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x2a2808…
05-09 01:01:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xbeb249…
05-09 00:56:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb4a536…
05-09 00:53:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xf2027c…
05-09 00:53:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0x5c89fb…
05-09 00:53:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x4ff17b…
05-08 21:46:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0x061fd2…
05-08 21:45:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xd8e626…
05-08 21:45:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xddd814…
05-08 21:44:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x4065e4…
05-08 21:43:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x9ee52a…
05-08 21:43:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x83e159…
05-08 21:43:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xe31413…
05-08 21:42:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	4	87¢	$4	0x89d596…
05-08 21:42:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x486782…
05-08 21:42:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xc006a4…
05-08 21:42:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xefbd39…
05-08 21:42:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0xceca26…
05-08 21:41:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xf655d2…
05-08 21:40:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xffa33f…
05-08 21:40:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x5d9896…
05-08 21:38:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x56e2cd…
05-08 21:38:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xa9b4c7…
05-08 21:38:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x734b01…
05-08 21:37:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xedb382…
05-08 21:36:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	4	94¢	$3	0x19445e…
05-08 21:36:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x336584…
05-08 21:36:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xdd9d82…
05-08 21:35:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xc0caef…
05-08 21:35:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	3	83¢	$2	0x719eaf…
05-08 21:35:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xce307d…
05-08 21:35:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x419360…
05-08 21:34:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x6cad22…
05-08 21:34:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x99c90f…
05-08 21:33:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xf5de51…
05-08 21:33:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x82af29…
05-08 21:33:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xc7dfcf…
05-08 21:33:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x14547e…
05-08 21:32:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xeac675…
05-08 21:32:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0xd06d87…
05-08 21:31:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x2d1738…
05-08 21:30:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x8f484d…
05-08 21:29:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x870bbc…
05-08 21:29:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x364c96…
05-08 21:29:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	26	19¢	$5	0x5b45de…
05-08 21:29:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0x930e64…
05-08 21:26:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x1a954d…
05-08 21:26:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xc8372d…
05-08 21:25:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x22b387…
05-08 21:25:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xb471c0…
05-08 21:24:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x364100…
05-08 21:24:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0x53e377…
05-08 21:22:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x77ba0c…
05-08 21:22:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x027369…
05-08 21:21:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x4df81f…
05-08 21:21:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x289387…
05-08 21:17:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xbbce35…
05-08 21:17:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xbaf631…
05-08 21:16:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	SELL	4	78¢	$3	0xf1e8b0…
05-08 21:15:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xfbcb98…
05-08 21:15:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x4a24dd…
05-08 21:13:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x4cd86a…
05-08 21:13:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xfa2d3d…
05-08 21:08:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0x1a82c7…
05-08 21:07:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xa37ba2…
05-08 21:07:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x40a59a…
05-08 21:07:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	30¢	$1	0xc3e1e0…
05-08 21:06:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x8063f3…
05-08 21:06:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x360da4…
05-08 21:05:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x79ea8e…
05-08 21:05:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xb99811…
05-08 21:03:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xdd0765…
05-08 21:02:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xea93a7…
05-08 21:02:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xc4a0c2…
05-08 21:02:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	SELL	6	27¢	$2	0x804369…
05-08 21:00:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xfebd4a…
05-08 21:00:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x3301ce…