Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.50K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

48.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$7.36K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$99

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-13

last 10-13 06:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Politics

57% 38% +$226

Other

25% 15% -$1,080

Crypto

12% 25% -$649

Sports

5% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	2	$852	432	432	+0	Yes	+$1	02-01 10:17
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	1	$631	0	632	-632	open	—	10-13 06:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	6	$600	777	0	+777	Up	-$600	10-13 06:41
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	1	$496	644	0	+644	No	+$148	01-14 17:08
will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	2	$481	253	253	+0	No	$0	01-14 00:34
us strikes iran by january 17 2026 625	1	$468	731	0	+731	No	+$264	01-14 00:38
will annual inflation increase by 2pt2 in january 787	2	$436	2,568	2,568	+0	No	-$364	02-01 10:17
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	2	$420	440	440	+0	Yes	+$15	01-30 18:56
will norway win the most medals in the 2026 winter olympics	2	$402	290	290	+0	Yes	+$2	01-27 21:14
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	2	$397	253	253	+0	No	-$3	01-14 00:34
will grok 4pt20 not be released by january 31 2026	2	$285	573	573	+0	Yes	-$36	01-19 14:17
will the us strike somalia next 656	2	$249	149	149	+0	Yes	+$49	01-26 06:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	2	$200	100	100	+0	Down	+$0	10-13 06:36
will alphabet googl be the top performing magnificent 7 company during the week of january 19	1	$185	190	0	+190	No	-$185	01-19 18:48
msft up or down on january 15 2026	1	$140	212	0	+212	Down	-$140	01-15 18:16
will trump say 401k during iowa speech 141 213	1	$125	328	0	+328	Yes	-$125	01-27 21:09
us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	2	$116	328	328	+0	No	-$64	02-01 10:17
will israel strike lebanon on january 20 2026	1	$110	169	0	+169	No	+$59	01-19 18:15
will trumps greenland tariffs go into effect for denmark by feburary 1	2	$100	227	227	+0	No	-$100	02-01 10:17
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	2	$100	417	417	+0	Yes	-$100	02-01 10:17
Will the US strike Somalia next?	1	$100	5,837	0	+5,837	Yes	-$100	01-13 22:38
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	5	$79	2,640	652	+1,988	Yes	-$19	01-28 16:11
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	2	$60	182	182	+0	No	-$20	01-26 18:17
will mrbeast hit 465 million subscribers by january 31 316 216 943	2	$59	108	108	+0	Yes	+$19	01-19 14:17
will bitcoin reach 110k in january 2026	3	$57	417	417	+0	No	-$33	01-19 14:06
will melania say career during ai talk on friday	3	$31	31,050	0	+31,050	No	-$31	01-21 00:16
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	2	$30	625	0	+625	No	-$30	01-15 17:37
fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	3	$26	13,000	0	+13,000	No	-$26	01-26 20:27
will trump and machado handshake last 1015 seconds	1	$25	380	0	+380	No	-$25	01-15 14:08
will bitcoin reach 115k in january 2026	2	$23	400	400	+0	No	-$17	01-21 00:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-13 06:41:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0x54b152…
10-13 06:41:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	139	72¢	$100	0xd225f6…
10-13 06:41:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	138	72¢	$100	0xafb0f5…
10-13 06:41:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	126	79¢	$100	0x962619…
10-13 06:41:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0x049f99…
10-13 06:40:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	132	76¢	$100	0x57880a…
10-13 06:36:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xd417fa…
10-13 06:33:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xc0a54d…
10-13 06:28:14	Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	632	100¢	$631	0xbabe9a…
02-01 10:17:26	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	432	99¢	$426	0xa6586b…
02-01 10:17:24	will annual inflation increase by 2pt2 in january 787	Yes	SELL	2,568	1¢	$36	0xc0608a…
02-01 10:17:22	us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	Yes	SELL	328	8¢	$26	0xfde36b…
02-01 10:17:22	will trumps greenland tariffs go into effect for denmark by feburary 1	Yes	SELL	227	0¢	$0	0x646003…
02-01 10:17:20	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	SELL	417	0¢	$0	0xb27ef1…
01-31 07:30:38	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	432	98¢	$425	0x3216d0…
01-30 18:56:38	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	SELL	440	50¢	$218	0x47b1f9…
01-28 16:11:04	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	1,750	0¢	$9	0x4440aa…
01-28 07:05:31	Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	83	4¢	$4	0x01942d…
01-28 07:02:31	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	440	46¢	$202	0x111118…
01-27 21:14:03	will norway win the most medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	SELL	290	70¢	$202	0xfbce4b…
01-27 21:09:21	will trump say 401k during iowa speech 141 213	No	BUY	328	38¢	$125	0x18b390…
01-27 11:11:11	us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	Yes	BUY	328	27¢	$90	0xdca300…
01-26 20:27:13	fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$20	0xcfae08…
01-26 18:17:51	israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	Yes	SELL	182	11¢	$20	0x130c25…
01-26 08:08:43	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	417	24¢	$100	0xf88ebc…
01-26 06:09:00	will the us strike somalia next 656	Yes	SELL	149	100¢	$149	0x563e96…
01-21 00:16:26	will melania say career during ai talk on friday	Yes	BUY	3,300	0¢	$3	0x8ecdc6…
01-21 00:15:32	will bitcoin reach 115k in january 2026	Yes	SELL	400	1¢	$3	0x8864be…
01-20 23:40:28	will melania say career during ai talk on friday	Yes	BUY	23,000	0¢	$23	0x8e02f5…
01-20 13:42:02	will melania say career during ai talk on friday	Yes	BUY	4,750	0¢	$5	0xe1ca8a…
01-20 13:41:14	will monthly inflation increase by 0pt1 or less in january 157	Yes	SELL	12	22¢	$3	0xb9f7fe…
01-20 13:39:20	Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	667	0¢	$2	0xd92b81…
01-19 18:48:28	will alphabet googl be the top performing magnificent 7 company during the week of january 19	Yes	BUY	190	97¢	$185	0xbdb9d2…
01-19 18:26:22	will monthly inflation increase by 0pt1 or less in january 157	Yes	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0x744f8f…
01-19 18:15:52	will israel strike lebanon on january 20 2026	No	BUY	169	65¢	$110	0x1fe361…
01-19 18:04:30	will annual inflation increase by 2pt2 in january 787	Yes	BUY	2,568	16¢	$400	0xaafbf4…
01-19 14:17:46	will mrbeast hit 465 million subscribers by january 31 316 216 943	Yes	SELL	108	36¢	$39	0xf6b146…
01-19 14:17:18	will grok 4pt20 not be released by january 31 2026	No	SELL	573	22¢	$125	0xbf90c8…
01-19 14:06:48	will bitcoin reach 110k in january 2026	Yes	SELL	417	3¢	$12	0x91b821…
01-19 13:48:12	will grok 4pt20 not be released by january 31 2026	No	BUY	573	28¢	$161	0x1a5b64…
01-18 10:28:02	will the us strike somalia next 656	Yes	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0xfea1c3…
01-18 10:24:40	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	238	4¢	$10	0xbebfb8…
01-18 10:21:48	will trumps greenland tariffs go into effect for denmark by feburary 1	Yes	BUY	227	44¢	$100	0x823f09…
01-18 10:14:36	will norway win the most medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	290	69¢	$200	0xde2acb…
01-15 18:34:38	Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	83	2¢	$2	0x5c975a…
01-15 18:34:22	Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	667	0¢	$2	0xbdf7b7…
01-15 18:19:24	israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	Yes	BUY	182	22¢	$40	0xfa22ab…
01-15 18:16:58	msft up or down on january 15 2026	Up	BUY	212	66¢	$140	0x739e8e…
01-15 17:56:58	will mrbeast hit 465 million subscribers by january 31 316 216 943	Yes	BUY	108	18¢	$20	0x55fb35…
01-15 17:55:48	Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	Yes	SELL	530	1¢	$4	0x3934f0…
01-15 17:53:42	Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	Yes	BUY	530	2¢	$10	0x22af7d…
01-15 17:51:06	will bitcoin reach 110k in january 2026	Yes	BUY	229	11¢	$25	0x980e10…
01-15 17:49:48	will bitcoin reach 110k in january 2026	Yes	BUY	188	11¢	$20	0x1603aa…
01-15 17:49:34	will bitcoin reach 115k in january 2026	Yes	BUY	400	5¢	$20	0x1744b8…
01-15 17:37:28	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	208	5¢	$10	0xe02fda…
01-15 17:37:02	fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	2,500	0¢	$5	0x085eb7…
01-15 17:36:52	fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x3d9134…
01-15 17:36:36	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	417	5¢	$20	0xf04868…
01-15 17:35:24	elon musk of tweets january 17 january 19 65 89	Yes	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x174dba…
01-15 17:35:04	elon musk of tweets january 17 january 19 40 64	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x51473c…
01-15 17:34:28	will melania say challenge during ai talk on friday	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xdb706c…
01-15 17:34:04	will melania say president trump during ai talk on friday	Yes	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xc89c5c…
01-15 14:09:04	will trump and machado handshake last 610 seconds	Yes	BUY	80	25¢	$20	0x4ce230…
01-15 14:08:48	will trump and machado handshake last 1015 seconds	Yes	BUY	380	7¢	$25	0x67aca8…
01-14 17:08:32	us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	No	BUY	644	77¢	$496	0x0a35ea…
01-14 00:38:34	us strikes iran by january 17 2026 625	No	BUY	731	64¢	$468	0xc7bf9e…
01-14 00:34:16	will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	No	SELL	253	95¢	$240	0x32b15c…
01-14 00:34:12	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	No	SELL	253	78¢	$197	0xea38c6…
01-14 00:34:00	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	No	SELL	652	5¢	$30	0x47dc29…
01-13 23:59:34	will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	No	BUY	253	95¢	$240	0x86f337…
01-13 23:58:24	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	No	BUY	253	79¢	$200	0xa90c3c…
01-13 23:40:52	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	435	5¢	$20	0x70028d…
01-13 23:40:26	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	217	5¢	$10	0x919587…
01-13 22:38:02	Will the US strike Somalia next?	No	BUY	5,837	2¢	$100	0x327e64…