Fussy-Nuke — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$20

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

62.3%

Resolved

Trades

882

lifetime

Volume

$7.58K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-12

last 06-12 02:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

47% — —

Crypto

26% 48% +$20

Sports

26% — —

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 49 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No		-3	$-2	88¢	$-2	$-0	06-12 02:07

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nhl buf mon 2026 01 22	2	$46	26	26	+0	open	—	01-23 02:43
nhl fla wpg 2026 01 22	2	$46	26	26	+0	open	—	01-23 03:43
nhl las bos 2026 01 22	2	$41	22	22	+0	open	—	01-23 02:45
nhl dal cbj 2026 01 22	2	$41	21	21	+0	open	—	01-23 02:37
cbb stbr neast 2026 01 22	2	$41	21	21	+0	open	—	01-23 01:47
nba mia por 2026 01 22	2	$41	21	21	+0	open	—	01-23 05:13
nba hou phi 2026 01 22	2	$39	20	20	+0	open	—	01-23 02:37
btc updown 15m 1776873600	2	$31	23	22	+1	open	—	04-22 16:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	2	$30	21	21	+0	open	—	04-30 09:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	2	$30	23	22	+1	open	—	04-27 12:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	2	$30	21	21	+0	Down	+$11	05-08 01:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	2	$30	20	20	+0	Down	+$10	05-07 10:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	4	$30	20	20	+0	open	—	04-27 18:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	4	$29	22	22	+0	open	—	04-30 00:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	3	$28	19	19	+0	open	—	04-28 10:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	2	$28	18	18	+0	open	—	04-29 21:13
btc updown 15m 1776859200	2	$28	18	18	+0	open	—	04-22 12:13
btc updown 15m 1776841200	3	$27	18	18	+0	open	—	04-22 07:14
btc updown 15m 1776882600	2	$27	17	17	+0	open	—	04-22 18:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	2	$27	19	19	+0	Up	+$10	05-07 14:13
btc updown 15m 1776864600	2	$27	18	18	+1	open	—	04-22 13:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	3	$27	18	18	+0	open	—	04-29 14:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	5	$27	19	19	+0	open	—	04-27 08:28
btc updown 15m 1776890700	2	$26	17	17	+0	open	—	04-22 20:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	3	$26	17	17	+0	open	—	04-27 16:42
btc updown 15m 1776879000	2	$26	18	17	+1	open	—	04-22 17:44
nhl nsh col 2026 01 16	2	$26	16	16	+0	open	—	01-17 04:28
lal rso bar 2026 01 18 rso	2	$25	16	16	+0	open	—	01-18 22:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	2	$25	17	17	+0	open	—	04-29 08:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	2	$25	17	17	+0	open	—	04-30 10:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-12 02:07:18	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,500 by end of June?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xbe56ac…
06-12 02:07:04	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	SELL	3	81¢	$2	0x2dec7f…
05-16 16:12:47	U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by May 31?	No	BUY	14	78¢	$11	0x3b7157…
05-16 12:37:24	U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by May 31?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xe19e2c…
05-16 07:44:27	U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by May 31?	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x963f07…
05-16 06:37:37	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x80f327…
05-16 06:31:30	U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by May 31?	Yes	BUY	14	16¢	$2	0x594215…
05-08 04:27:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	SELL	19	8¢	$2	0xfe3809…
05-08 04:22:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	19	49¢	$9	0xe86069…
05-08 01:28:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0x9c6d53…
05-08 01:23:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0xec9f44…
05-08 01:13:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	21	97¢	$21	0xcfa00e…
05-08 01:06:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	21	44¢	$9	0x15720a…
05-07 23:58:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	24	13¢	$3	0x442966…
05-07 23:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	22	42¢	$9	0x7c3d37…
05-07 23:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x6f9641…
05-07 21:58:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	25	41¢	$10	0xdef672…
05-07 21:51:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x083d6c…
05-07 17:55:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	16	9¢	$1	0xc309fd…
05-07 17:52:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x361ffd…
05-07 16:27:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	18	98¢	$17	0x23a39f…
05-07 16:21:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	18	41¢	$7	0xba432e…
05-07 14:13:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	19	99¢	$18	0x37ef3a…
05-07 14:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	19	47¢	$9	0x61f273…
05-07 11:28:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	18	13¢	$2	0x85634d…
05-07 11:26:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x5b540a…
05-07 10:26:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x87b728…
05-07 10:22:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x511eab…
05-07 05:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x5ff3fc…
05-07 03:43:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	SELL	18	45¢	$8	0x790e3c…
05-07 03:39:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x1eaab3…
05-07 03:39:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x0a32b8…
05-07 01:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	9	14¢	$1	0x5a371c…
05-07 01:07:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x2b0233…
05-06 16:58:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	9	96¢	$9	0xd3d61c…
05-06 16:55:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xca5d25…
05-06 05:28:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0x923e6d…
05-06 05:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xa0dfa1…
05-06 05:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$2	0x33292b…
05-06 04:13:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	SELL	10	35¢	$3	0xdfa1f3…
05-06 04:07:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xbc653e…
05-06 04:07:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$2	0x43e905…
05-06 03:12:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	SELL	11	5¢	$1	0x1a9a7e…
05-06 03:09:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x3b61d4…
05-05 23:58:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	9	33¢	$3	0x2ba672…
05-05 23:56:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	49¢	$5	0xc0a8e6…
05-05 22:13:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	11	76¢	$8	0xed7f4c…
05-05 22:08:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x545bf4…
05-05 17:58:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	9	80¢	$7	0x267624…
05-05 17:53:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0xcbcd22…
05-05 17:13:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	10	44¢	$5	0xfefce0…
05-05 17:11:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x05d9be…
05-05 13:43:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	10	78¢	$8	0x5880c3…
05-05 13:37:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xea109a…
05-05 08:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xfe1a17…
05-05 07:28:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	9	85¢	$8	0xbed475…
05-05 07:21:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xd19ce7…
05-05 06:45:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	10	79¢	$8	0x71b26f…
05-05 06:38:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0xd85d87…
05-05 01:43:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0xf0238a…
05-05 01:43:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0xa48cbb…
05-05 01:43:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0x26c228…
05-05 01:38:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0xff8a4d…
05-05 01:38:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x56fce9…
05-05 01:38:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	0	43¢	$0	0x2747d2…
05-04 20:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	10	15¢	$1	0xca70ca…
05-04 20:53:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$2	0xaaa461…
05-04 20:53:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x6e9567…
05-04 18:13:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	9	85¢	$8	0x62781b…
05-04 18:10:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x2f5be5…
05-04 13:13:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0x713bb7…
05-04 13:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x489299…
05-04 12:43:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	10	62¢	$6	0x1a51c9…
05-04 12:38:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x0b9b4a…
05-04 10:58:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	10	74¢	$7	0x495c23…
05-04 09:26:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0xf3baeb…
05-04 09:22:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0x6efec5…
05-04 09:22:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x683b39…
05-04 09:10:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	10	13¢	$1	0x1512fe…
05-04 09:08:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0xdcec1f…
05-04 00:52:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	42¢	$5	0xd8a45b…
05-04 00:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xc84cd5…
05-03 23:12:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0x835efb…
05-03 23:07:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x281e51…
05-03 23:07:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	44¢	$4	0xfaac98…
05-03 21:55:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0x4f4bf2…
05-03 21:52:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x1d2ed7…
05-03 15:28:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	10	32¢	$3	0x7920ac…
05-03 15:21:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xe5ef46…
05-03 12:57:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x8ce936…
05-03 12:53:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x2467c8…
05-03 11:58:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	11	95¢	$11	0xc56266…
05-03 11:52:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	43¢	$5	0xeb0a3a…
05-03 09:58:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	8	84¢	$7	0xfbd5e7…
05-03 09:53:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	60¢	$3	0xcad304…
05-03 09:53:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0x443d67…
05-03 08:28:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	SELL	10	94¢	$10	0xbdb5f1…
05-03 08:22:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xe6f2d4…
05-03 07:44:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x6b3c31…
05-03 03:28:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	SELL	12	77¢	$9	0x5b625a…