(anonymous) 0xaccf0b…5c279e
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$14
Unrealized P&L
-$39
Hit rate
96.7%
Resolved
2
Trades
78
lifetime
Volume
$874
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$89
4 positions
First seen
2026-04-03
last 06-10 14:08
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
38% — —
Tech
31% — —
Other
31% 100% +$15
Crypto
1% 0% $-1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
16 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam? Yes +130 $57 38¢ $49 $-7 06-10 14:05
Will any AI model reach 1530 Math Arena Score by June 30, 2026? Yes +27 $20 66¢ $18 $-2 06-10 14:08
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam? Yes +53 $11 22¢ $11 +$1 05-31 09:16
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026? Yes +340 $41 3¢ $10 $-31 06-08 14:03