Original-Scarification — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

79.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$28

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

5 positions

First seen

2026-02-28

last 08-10 06:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Politics

46% 80% +$6

Other

33% 67% -$2

Tech

18% 100% +$0

Sports

4% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-10).

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (10) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+5	$2	61¢	$3	+$1	07-25 07:06
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	+3	$3	89¢	$3	+$0	07-03 06:22
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	+1	$1	99¢	$1	+$0	05-19 05:38
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	+1	$1	81¢	$1	$0	06-15 06:48
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	+6	$4	2¢	$0	-$4	05-29 06:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 06:57:06	will trump meet with mohammed bin salman in august 2026 20260731154202611	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x039773…
08-08 06:59:51	Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0xbf9cf1…
07-27 08:10:55	will trump meet with mohammed bin salman in july 2026 20260626153701908	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8d4d94…
07-25 07:06:55	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x333cb3…
07-20 05:56:09	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 20?	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x52de94…
07-06 07:40:05	Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x912bf0…
07-03 06:22:05	Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0xb832bd…
06-15 06:48:19	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xce6e49…
06-12 06:29:16	will wti crude oil wti hit low 85 in june 342	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xabbb4e…
06-01 07:41:47	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x8f944a…
05-29 06:47:37	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x536ce3…
05-19 05:38:26	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x93cb20…
05-15 07:30:41	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x91ab51…
03-14 08:35:53	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x2ebfde…
03-02 07:10:09	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x686786…
02-28 05:34:09	US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x7893cd…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?	1	$4	10	+10	Yes	+$6	02-28 05:34
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	2	$4	6	+6	open	—	05-29 06:47
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	1	$3	3	+3	open	—	07-03 06:22
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	1	$2	5	+5	open	—	07-25 07:06
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	1	$2	2	+2	Yes	+$0	03-14 08:35
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 20?	1	$2	6	+6	No	-$2	07-20 05:56
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	1	$2	10	+10	No	-$2	03-02 07:10
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	+$1	08-08 06:59
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	1	$1	1	+1	Yes	+$0	07-06 07:40
will trump meet with mohammed bin salman in july 2026 20260626153701908	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	07-27 08:10
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	06-15 06:48
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	05-19 05:38
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	06-01 07:41
will trump meet with mohammed bin salman in august 2026 20260731154202611	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	08-10 06:57
will wti crude oil wti hit low 85 in june 342	1	$1	1	+1	Yes	+$0	06-12 06:29