Which-Explanation-External — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$93

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.6%

Resolved

1,412

Trades

2,313

lifetime

Volume

$7.66K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-31

last 10-02 20:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 75 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 71% -$90

Other

0% 27% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

49 active days in 12wk • peak 134 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	5	$138	85	85	+0	Up	-$12	10-02 14:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	7	$119	102	102	+0	Down	-$31	10-02 00:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	4	$102	59	59	+0	Down	+$2	10-02 00:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	5	$84	102	35	+67	Down	-$66	10-02 19:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	4	$82	65	30	+35	Up	+$7	10-01 20:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	4	$67	85	85	+0	Down	+$17	10-01 21:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	3	$62	62	36	+27	Up	-$12	10-02 10:34
Dogecoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	3	$57	62	32	+30	Up	-$13	10-02 18:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	3	$57	65	29	+36	Up	-$7	10-01 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	2	$55	30	30	+0	Up	+$5	10-02 11:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	2	$54	32	32	+0	Up	+$4	10-01 21:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	2	$54	31	31	+0	Up	+$4	10-02 00:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	2	$54	32	32	+0	Down	+$4	10-01 21:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	2	$51	28	28	+0	Down	+$1	10-02 00:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	2	$51	27	27	+0	Down	+$1	10-02 00:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	2	$51	27	27	+0	Up	+$1	10-01 22:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	2	$50	56	0	+56	Down	+$6	10-01 18:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	2	$50	56	0	+56	Up	+$6	10-02 12:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	2	$49	34	34	+0	Down	-$1	10-01 20:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	4	$48	42	42	+0	Up	-$22	10-01 22:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	3	$45	46	30	+16	Up	-$9	10-01 22:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	2	$45	52	0	+52	Down	+$7	10-02 16:22
Dogecoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	4	$42	48	43	+5	Down	-$23	10-02 20:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	2	$41	47	0	+47	Down	+$6	10-02 19:04
Dogecoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	3	$35	42	0	+42	Down	+$7	10-02 18:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	3	$35	42	0	+42	Up	+$7	10-02 16:28
Dogecoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	3	$35	41	0	+41	Down	+$6	10-02 18:43
Dogecoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	3	$35	38	0	+38	Down	+$3	10-02 18:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	2	$35	30	30	+0	Down	-$15	10-02 13:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	4	$32	36	9	+27	Up	-$1	09-29 20:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-02 20:17:12	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0x30061a…
10-02 20:13:09	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0x97895c…
10-02 20:04:21	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x185a71…
10-02 20:04:06	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	SELL	43	16¢	$7	0x9ad635…
10-02 20:02:54	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x258c02…
10-02 20:01:21	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	36	69¢	$25	0x4eabd7…
10-02 19:58:12	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xaad1ea…
10-02 19:58:12	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x23ccd4…
10-02 19:58:09	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x152795…
10-02 19:53:53	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x5970ae…
10-02 19:43:32	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xcadde4…
10-02 19:43:29	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x132248…
10-02 19:36:27	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x2a2788…
10-02 19:36:24	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x604909…
10-02 19:32:32	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x95a902…
10-02 19:32:29	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x2a5248…
10-02 19:28:21	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x286917…
10-02 19:27:36	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x592719…
10-02 19:14:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xdba959…
10-02 19:14:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	62	65¢	$40	0x5de03b…
10-02 19:14:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	35	26¢	$9	0x93b4fc…
10-02 19:13:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0xbc9882…
10-02 19:12:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x4d424a…
10-02 19:04:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0xdbbc78…
10-02 19:03:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x09461d…
10-02 18:59:24	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0xa3799c…
10-02 18:59:20	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	32	22¢	$7	0xe5932f…
10-02 18:56:42	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	32	78¢	$25	0x488b5e…
10-02 18:43:20	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xffdeea…
10-02 18:43:12	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xa20981…
10-02 18:43:06	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x3c339e…
10-02 18:37:20	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0x382813…
10-02 18:31:44	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x4539e3…
10-02 18:31:36	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0x6d0d9b…
10-02 18:31:08	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xa452a6…
10-02 18:27:33	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xf117ec…
10-02 18:27:33	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x0f0379…
10-02 18:27:27	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0xc7b0e7…
10-02 18:12:42	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0xf8e5ac…
10-02 16:32:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	38	65¢	$25	0x2d10df…
10-02 16:28:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xd4d284…
10-02 16:27:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x13dbad…
10-02 16:27:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0xe43c9f…
10-02 16:22:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x19cc9f…
10-02 16:22:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	46	87¢	$40	0x14f67d…
10-02 16:17:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0x10491b…
10-02 16:07:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xb975e2…
10-02 16:06:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x85a621…
10-02 15:58:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x5eb688…
10-02 14:22:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0xe68e85…
10-02 14:18:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	SELL	55	96¢	$53	0x47ef60…
10-02 14:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0xf4f28a…
10-02 14:18:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0xed43fa…
10-02 14:17:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	SELL	30	33¢	$10	0x265959…
10-02 14:16:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x787583…
10-02 13:49:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x40bff1…
10-02 13:36:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0x173f5f…
10-02 13:27:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	29	85¢	$25	0x1b5045…
10-02 13:24:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	SELL	30	32¢	$10	0x145624…
10-02 13:24:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0xa08ce4…
10-02 12:57:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xd8f570…
10-02 12:56:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0xf029e0…
10-02 12:46:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x6f7b76…
10-02 12:33:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x3e15d9…
10-02 12:32:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0x281091…
10-02 12:28:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xacf5f4…
10-02 12:27:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	29	87¢	$25	0x9cccac…
10-02 12:22:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0xc6a834…
10-02 12:22:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0x18d2e2…
10-02 11:56:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	31	81¢	$25	0x9390e9…
10-02 11:47:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0x30f9d8…
10-02 11:43:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0xd11b20…
10-02 11:19:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	SELL	30	98¢	$30	0x086b15…
10-02 11:19:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0x8c1685…
10-02 11:13:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	31	80¢	$25	0xc4e0cb…
10-02 10:53:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	29	87¢	$25	0xa28295…
10-02 10:34:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0x7a60b8…
10-02 10:33:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	SELL	36	33¢	$12	0x277848…
10-02 10:32:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	36	70¢	$25	0x0ef586…
10-02 09:57:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0xf9dc46…
10-02 01:28:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xaaf74b…
10-02 00:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	37	7¢	$3	0x2d77e6…
10-02 00:59:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	37	68¢	$25	0x93fd9a…
10-02 00:58:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	3	50¢	$2	0x54ef5e…
10-02 00:58:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	32	75¢	$24	0xe80283…
10-02 00:58:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0x3992cf…
10-02 00:58:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	30	54¢	$16	0x177d87…
10-02 00:56:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x567f5c…
10-02 00:47:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	SELL	28	93¢	$26	0x83b7e8…
10-02 00:47:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0x64aa4f…
10-02 00:47:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	SELL	31	83¢	$26	0x27c7e5…
10-02 00:46:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	31	80¢	$25	0x8a7404…
10-02 00:33:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	SELL	28	94¢	$26	0x5bb5ef…
10-02 00:31:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0x913f58…
10-02 00:27:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	27	97¢	$26	0x20171d…
10-02 00:27:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0xfab1dc…
10-02 00:18:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	SELL	28	12¢	$3	0x0cafc1…
10-02 00:16:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0x350d92…
10-02 00:12:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	31	93¢	$29	0x9b5548…
10-02 00:12:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	31	80¢	$25	0x49bf10…