Puzzling-Productivity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$102

Unrealized P&L

-$5

Hit rate

91.3%

Resolved

473

Trades

516

lifetime

Volume

$3.54K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 09-09 13:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 121 days

Categories

Crypto

81% 99% -$102

Other

19% 95% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	Yes	+5	$5	94¢	$5	$0	05-14 11:49
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2027?	Yes	+5	$5	71¢	$4	-$1	05-14 11:49
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	+5	$3	4¢	$0	-$3	07-19 23:40

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will solana reach 160 january 19 25	4	$177	92	85	+7	No	+$0	01-25 14:05
will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	1	$100	100,000	0	+100,000	No	-$100	02-25 06:18
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	2	$90	200	200	+0	Yes	-$2	06-21 10:42
Will EdgeX launch a token by September 30, 2026?	2	$58	29	29	+0	Yes	+$0	03-30 14:23
solana above 130 on july 17 2026	1	$57	57	0	+57	No	+$0	07-13 12:53
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	17	$54	10,000	10,000	+0	No	-$6	03-21 07:51
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	1	$50	50	0	+50	No	+$0	04-07 10:14
Will EdgeX launch a token by December 31, 2026?	2	$40	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	03-30 14:23
will xrp reach 3pt2 in february 2026	1	$35	35	0	+35	No	+$0	02-28 17:43
will meta reach 610 by august 3 2026	2	$34	20	20	+0	No	+$0	08-03 01:30
Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2027?	2	$32	21	21	+0	open	—	07-13 12:47
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2027?	2	$32	35	0	+35	open	—	07-12 02:01
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,500 on June 3?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-31 14:39
Will the price of Solana be above $110 on June 6?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	06-03 09:08
will ethereum reach 2900 march 16 22	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	03-19 16:28
will solana reach 110 june 8 14 2026	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	06-10 13:15
will bitcoin reach 84k march 9 15	2	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	03-13 07:42
Will the price of Solana be above $110 on May 16?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	05-14 11:43
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on May 17?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	05-14 11:42
will the price of solana be greater than 130 on february 28	1	$19	19	0	+19	No	+$0	02-25 14:16
solana above 130 on july 16 2026	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	07-13 12:52
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	3	$14	25	20	+5	open	—	07-19 23:40
will nvda reach 228 by june 22 2026	1	$14	14	0	+14	No	+$0	06-26 15:47
ethereum above 2200 on june 27 2026	1	$13	13	0	+13	No	+$0	06-25 02:17
bitcoin above 70k on july 3 2026	1	$12	12	0	+12	No	+$0	06-30 15:21
bitcoin above 66k on july 1 2026	1	$11	11	0	+11	No	+$0	06-30 15:21
bitcoin above 68k on july 2 2026	1	$11	11	0	+11	No	+$0	06-30 15:21
bitcoin above 68k on june 26 2026	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-25 02:16
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 11?	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	05-10 06:54
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $68,000 on July 2?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-30 15:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-09 13:33:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 10?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x728adf…
09-09 13:32:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 9?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x6bfa09…
09-01 03:18:25	will tsla dip to 300 by august 31 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xebf4b8…
08-16 15:44:33	will bitcoin reach 66k august 10 16 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa2f5ba…
08-03 02:42:45	will nflx dip to 62 50 by august 3 2026	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x5aeabe…
08-03 02:39:27	will nflx dip to 62 50 by august 3 2026	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x2b7fdb…
08-03 01:39:42	will open dip to 2 50 by august 3 2026	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0xad9498…
08-03 01:36:57	will open dip to 2 50 by august 3 2026	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x310e6c…
08-03 01:30:41	will meta reach 610 by august 3 2026	No	SELL	20	86¢	$17	0x223a41…
08-03 01:30:17	will meta reach 610 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x538e03…
08-03 01:26:14	will ng reach 3 00 by august 3 2026	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x3abc76…
08-03 01:20:24	will ng reach 3 00 by august 3 2026	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x3f4ba1…
07-30 16:53:32	GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xf9d924…
07-28 14:29:41	Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,300 on July 31?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1d3a50…
07-28 14:29:25	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,400 and $1,500 on July 30?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4d6924…
07-28 14:29:05	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on July 29?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x35932b…
07-28 14:27:56	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf86e59…
07-28 14:27:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $74,000 on July 31?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x128a26…
07-28 14:27:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $74,000 on July 30?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x464f44…
07-28 14:26:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on July 29?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7b046a…
07-28 14:26:28	will ethereum reach 2300 in july 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1874ce…
07-28 14:26:08	ethereum above 2400 on july 31 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbeec59…
07-28 14:25:56	ethereum above 2300 on july 30 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe53ef0…
07-28 14:25:31	ethereum above 2200 on july 29 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa137a9…
07-28 14:25:11	bitcoin above 74k on july 31 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4a221b…
07-28 14:25:01	bitcoin above 74k on july 30 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x998026…
07-28 14:24:47	bitcoin above 68k on july 29 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfc4875…
07-24 13:21:21	Will the price of Solana be greater than $120 on July 27?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3b2def…
07-24 13:21:13	Will the price of Solana be greater than $120 on July 26?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd81d5d…
07-24 13:21:00	Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on July 25?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x23f582…
07-24 13:20:34	ethereum above 1400 on july 27 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8c2a02…
07-24 13:20:22	ethereum above 1500 on july 26 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf68411…
07-24 13:20:09	ethereum above 1600 on july 25 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd0835b…
07-24 13:19:45	bitcoin above 74k on july 27 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8ae44e…
07-24 13:19:31	bitcoin above 72k on july 26 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2be3f0…
07-24 13:19:19	bitcoin above 70k on july 25 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3e2040…
07-24 13:18:00	nvda above 175 on july 24 2026	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xce079c…
07-24 13:17:39	tsla above 405 on july 24 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5ce024…
07-24 13:17:15	will abnb reach 158 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3698f2…
07-24 13:16:54	Will Tesla (TSLA) close at >$400 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 20 – Jul 24?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7a601f…
07-24 13:16:39	will aapl reach 360 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0b3024…
07-24 13:16:24	will nvda reach 228 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf0da20…
07-24 13:16:07	will hood dip to 82 50 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf20ebd…
07-24 13:15:46	will msft reach 442 50 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6a38ec…
07-24 13:15:31	will pltr reach 150 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x116768…
07-24 13:15:13	will meta reach 710 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbef358…
07-24 13:15:03	will googl reach 380 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xedc4cb…
07-24 13:14:37	will ng reach 3 40 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xeb58a7…
07-24 13:14:24	will amzn reach 272 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x796415…
07-24 13:14:06	will xauusd reach 4250 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x82ca1f…
07-24 13:12:24	will tsla reach 427 50 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8c70db…
07-24 13:12:06	will spy reach 770 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x671de8…
07-19 23:40:28	Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	20	28¢	$6	0xb2046f…
07-17 17:05:06	Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x0680e7…
07-16 06:10:08	ethereum above 2400 on july 21 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfe5c46…
07-16 06:09:52	ethereum above 2300 on july 20 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x816a09…
07-16 06:09:43	ethereum above 2200 on july 17 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb80186…
07-16 06:09:04	bitcoin above 74k on july 21 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x950bcf…
07-16 06:08:49	bitcoin above 72k on july 20 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x79d2d1…
07-16 06:08:08	bitcoin above 72k on july 17 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfcb353…
07-13 12:53:31	solana above 130 on july 17 2026	No	BUY	57	100¢	$57	0xdd5c02…
07-13 12:52:58	solana above 130 on july 16 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xdd337b…
07-13 12:52:47	solana above 130 on july 15 2026	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x56746f…
07-13 12:52:35	solana above 90 on july 14 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x67e032…
07-13 12:52:10	ethereum above 2200 on july 16 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc27fc2…
07-13 12:51:53	ethereum above 2200 on july 15 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf9ecc6…
07-13 12:51:44	ethereum above 2000 on july 14 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8d178c…
07-13 12:51:32	ethereum above 1900 on july 13 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd1ba30…
07-13 12:51:11	bitcoin above 72k on july 16 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1e053a…
07-13 12:50:58	bitcoin above 70k on july 15 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xce6e0e…
07-13 12:50:47	bitcoin above 68k on july 14 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4c98b7…
07-13 12:50:35	bitcoin above 66k on july 13 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x16ca62…
07-13 12:47:43	Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	21	83¢	$17	0x85dcd2…
07-12 02:01:53	Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	91¢	$27	0x5d8b09…
07-11 10:55:43	Will the price of Solana be less than $30 on July 16?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb54305…
07-11 10:55:31	Will the price of Solana be greater than $120 on July 15?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xec1d57…
07-11 10:55:17	Will the price of Solana be greater than $130 on July 14?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x86807b…
07-11 10:55:04	Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on July 13?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x147a2b…
07-11 10:54:32	Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on July 12?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7f0a29…
07-11 10:53:19	GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd22e7d…
07-11 10:51:47	Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	21	71¢	$15	0xec586b…
06-30 15:28:19	Will the price of Solana be greater than $120 on July 3?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6afa0e…
06-30 15:28:07	Will the price of Solana be greater than $110 on July 2?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x64424e…
06-30 15:27:55	Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on July 1?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5ea1f9…
06-30 15:27:34	Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,000 on July 3?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x214ed1…
06-30 15:27:20	Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,000 on July 2?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x94154f…
06-30 15:27:07	Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,100 on July 1?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0a3501…
06-30 15:26:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $70,000 on July 3?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9e42ac…
06-30 15:26:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $68,000 on July 2?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1a83a3…
06-30 15:25:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 1?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x49b1b1…
06-30 15:24:17	solana above 120 on july 3 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x366d38…
06-30 15:24:01	solana above 110 on july 2 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc48962…
06-30 15:23:46	solana above 110 on july 1 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x0961d7…
06-30 15:22:32	ethereum above 2100 on july 3 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x68ce1e…
06-30 15:22:07	ethereum above 2100 on july 2 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe5bbb1…
06-30 15:21:53	ethereum above 1900 on july 1 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf844f1…
06-30 15:21:32	bitcoin above 70k on july 3 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x81297c…
06-30 15:21:20	bitcoin above 68k on july 2 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xadd1a9…
06-30 15:21:08	bitcoin above 66k on july 1 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xdd04f5…
06-26 15:47:37	will nvda reach 228 by june 22 2026	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xe34dca…