Noisy-Earmuffs — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$33

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

70.5%

Resolved

336

Trades

526

lifetime

Volume

$5.94K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-29

last 11-05 17:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 54 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 54% +$44

Other

3% 43% -$28

Sports

3% 60% +$17

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 6?	Up		+9	$4	34¢	$3	-$1	11-05 17:08
Ethereum Up or Down on November 6?	Up		+4	$2	26¢	$1	-$1	11-05 17:09

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down april 7 2026 5pm et	2	$147	74	74	+0	Up	+$1	04-07 23:53
bitcoin up or down on april 8 2026	5	$127	74	73	+1	Up	+$16	04-08 16:24
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?	3	$103	86	86	+0	Yes	-$2	04-12 08:47
bitcoin up or down april 6 2026 10pm et	2	$103	52	52	+0	Up	+$1	04-07 03:08
bitcoin up or down on april 10 2026	5	$94	73	70	+3	Up	+$45	04-10 20:33
bitcoin up or down april 7 2026 7pm et	2	$82	83	0	+83	Up	+$0	04-07 23:54
ethereum up or down april 12 2026 11pm et	2	$79	56	54	+2	Up	+$31	04-13 04:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1PM ET	6	$72	67	45	+23	Up	+$39	10-26 17:58
bitcoin up or down on june 27 2026	6	$71	83	62	+21	Up	+$50	06-27 15:33
bitcoin up or down april 10 2026 10am et	1	$71	75	0	+75	Up	+$5	04-10 14:33
ethereum up or down april 7 2026 4am et	2	$68	41	40	+1	Up	+$14	04-07 09:22
bitcoin up or down on april 13 2026	5	$68	77	31	+46	Up	+$36	04-13 14:29
ethereum up or down april 7 2026 9am et	1	$66	68	0	+68	Down	+$2	04-07 13:50
bitcoin up or down april 8 2026 12pm et	2	$66	38	37	+1	Up	+$9	04-08 17:08
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$65	45	45	+0	Yes	+$5	06-23 05:17
Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 9AM ET	5	$63	45	33	+11	Up	+$12	10-21 13:56
ethereum up or down june 16 2026 11am et	3	$62	57	28	+28	Up	+$22	06-16 15:56
bitcoin up or down on june 22 2026	4	$59	71	36	+36	Up	+$45	06-22 13:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 15:10 UTC	1	$59	73	0	+73	Up	+$14	04-12 15:11
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 19?	3	$57	33	33	+0	Up	+$7	05-19 22:49
will base launch a token by september 30 2026	6	$56	675	595	+80	No	-$15	07-20 19:31
Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 4PM ET	3	$54	34	34	+0	Up	+$10	10-20 20:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 10PM ET	2	$54	29	29	+0	Up	+$4	09-23 03:11
Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$53	43	43	+0	Yes	+$13	06-23 06:03
bitcoin up or down april 7 2026 4am et	2	$53	34	33	+1	Up	+$14	04-07 10:46
ethereum up or down on april 10 2026	4	$51	40	38	+2	Up	+$25	04-10 20:34
ethereum up or down april 11 2026 2pm et	1	$51	51	0	+51	Up	+$0	04-11 18:46
bitcoin up or down june 15 2026 9am et	2	$50	54	0	+54	Down	+$4	06-15 13:57
ethereum up or down april 10 2026 9pm et	1	$50	50	0	+50	Up	+$0	04-11 01:56
ethereum up or down on june 19 2026	2	$49	40	30	+10	Up	+$19	06-19 14:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 17:16:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0x507ba8…
11-05 17:14:07	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x8f7a9e…
11-05 17:13:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x4281ec…
11-05 17:09:21	Ethereum Up or Down on November 6?	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xc0ecda…
11-05 17:08:04	Bitcoin Up or Down on November 6?	Up	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0x6093ce…
11-05 17:06:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	17	35¢	$6	0x3adcb0…
10-28 11:02:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x43fd09…
10-28 11:02:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x7d2f30…
10-28 11:01:52	Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	10¢	$2	0x098968…
10-28 11:01:41	Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	3¢	$3	0xa0e668…
10-26 20:07:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	39	35¢	$14	0xd25bb8…
10-26 20:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3PM ET	Up	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x8fdc3d…
10-26 19:09:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	14	62¢	$9	0x362d50…
10-26 18:18:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0x2467e3…
10-26 18:17:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0x4d783a…
10-26 18:03:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	27	56¢	$15	0xcc719e…
10-26 18:02:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	28	57¢	$16	0xcc0f7d…
10-26 17:58:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1PM ET	Up	SELL	31	99¢	$31	0xdbfac9…
10-26 17:55:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1PM ET	Up	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x9e0ecc…
10-26 17:55:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1PM ET	Up	SELL	13	97¢	$13	0x0cdf57…
10-26 17:49:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	23	26¢	$6	0xafde37…
10-26 17:47:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	27	41¢	$11	0x096ce0…
10-26 17:31:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	40	28¢	$11	0x275590…
10-26 17:23:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x2d709c…
10-26 17:18:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x9493f1…
10-26 17:07:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0x40ee46…
10-26 17:07:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0xe19dd4…
10-26 17:03:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	17	63¢	$11	0xa59b2d…
10-26 17:02:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	22	69¢	$15	0xb02ebf…
10-26 16:48:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	25	59¢	$15	0xc46118…
10-26 16:42:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x43e222…
10-26 16:15:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x938db3…
10-26 16:14:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	120	30¢	$36	0xa7034c…
10-22 14:21:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	17	62¢	$11	0x3c5882…
10-22 13:33:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	11	69¢	$8	0x75a308…
10-22 12:34:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	26	43¢	$11	0xfd47be…
10-22 12:28:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0x1e5822…
10-22 12:27:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	38	65¢	$25	0xfffcef…
10-22 12:26:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xdb579c…
10-22 06:40:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0xc687b3…
10-22 06:40:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	141	4¢	$5	0xd925b7…
10-22 05:26:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x48ee19…
10-22 05:19:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x114b25…
10-21 22:07:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xa29a85…
10-21 22:07:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x33b951…
10-21 22:06:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	34	35¢	$12	0x60366f…
10-21 22:05:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	99	6¢	$6	0x1a915e…
10-21 22:03:30	Ethereum Up or Down on October 22?	Up	BUY	18	33¢	$6	0x1c9742…
10-21 19:05:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	16	37¢	$6	0x035d71…
10-21 19:02:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0x3d5ea7…
10-21 19:01:53	Ethereum Up or Down on October 22?	Up	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xb40261…
10-21 19:01:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xbdde2b…
10-21 16:35:03	Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0xc40495…
10-21 13:56:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 9AM ET	Up	SELL	13	96¢	$13	0xd751dd…
10-21 13:56:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 9AM ET	Up	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0xd85f82…
10-21 13:51:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	16	70¢	$11	0x59bd37…
10-21 13:51:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	16	69¢	$11	0x8f0ee9…
10-21 13:51:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	13	69¢	$9	0x44d857…
10-21 12:49:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	29	38¢	$11	0xb087d2…
10-21 12:49:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	44	25¢	$11	0xa9965f…
10-21 12:42:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	28	40¢	$11	0xf44bcf…
10-21 12:42:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	27	41¢	$11	0xfee58f…
10-21 02:48:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	76¢	$11	0x20cf42…
10-20 20:50:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	13	70¢	$9	0xd0209f…
10-20 20:50:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	17	65¢	$11	0x4a5d97…
10-20 20:50:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	17	65¢	$11	0xf5878f…
10-20 20:44:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4PM ET	Up	SELL	8	97¢	$7	0xf7e5a4…
10-20 20:44:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 4PM ET	Up	SELL	34	95¢	$32	0xbc0217…
10-20 20:10:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x29ad0d…
10-20 20:10:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	18	62¢	$11	0x24e29d…
10-20 20:09:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	16	68¢	$11	0x5fbff9…
10-20 19:10:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	18	49¢	$9	0x2bceec…
10-20 19:09:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	23	47¢	$11	0x41524b…
10-20 14:08:09	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 20?	Up	SELL	24	94¢	$22	0x9bcf58…
10-20 14:07:03	Ethereum Up or Down on October 20?	Up	SELL	17	93¢	$16	0x91d0e9…
10-20 10:37:51	Ethereum Up or Down on October 20?	Up	BUY	35	39¢	$14	0xf19e84…
10-20 10:37:12	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 20?	Up	BUY	47	32¢	$15	0xf781ca…
10-19 00:02:24	Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	52¢	$12	0x606803…
10-18 17:04:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	15	74¢	$11	0x939921…
10-18 16:04:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	38	24¢	$9	0x12640f…
10-18 16:03:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	28	32¢	$9	0x10f7f0…
10-18 16:03:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 11AM ET	Up	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xc240ad…
10-18 15:56:20	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 18?	Up	SELL	113	0¢	$0	0x470f4b…
10-18 15:55:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	13	82¢	$11	0x8f4f0d…
10-18 15:54:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	18	62¢	$11	0xc343d1…
10-18 15:20:30	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 18?	Up	BUY	40	12¢	$5	0x23f2b0…
10-18 14:06:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	46	24¢	$11	0x57fab0…
10-18 14:05:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	50	22¢	$11	0xbb72ec…
10-18 14:04:42	Ethereum Up or Down on October 18?	Up	BUY	43	7¢	$3	0x07f54b…
10-18 14:04:03	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 18?	Up	BUY	55	38¢	$21	0x23fb56…
10-18 13:48:23	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 18?	Up	BUY	18	62¢	$11	0xa41811…
10-18 13:47:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	73¢	$11	0xfb766a…
10-18 13:47:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	71¢	$11	0xafbf5d…
10-18 13:09:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x74f74d…
10-18 13:08:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	31	36¢	$11	0x76de66…
10-18 13:08:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	32	34¢	$11	0xf4e75f…
10-18 09:33:27	Ethereum Up or Down on October 18?	Up	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0x55732f…
10-18 09:33:09	Ethereum Up or Down on October 18?	Up	SELL	22	73¢	$16	0xff2911…
10-18 08:54:38	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 08:45 UTC	Up	BUY	32	28¢	$9	0x27be86…
10-18 08:54:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x5b4140…