Disloyal-Ikebana — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$819

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

84.3%

Resolved

695

Trades

1,423

lifetime

Volume

$26.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-04 01:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 71 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 71% -$683

Politics

4% 100% +$27

Other

2% 57% -$163

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-04).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	2	$605	305	305	+0	No	+$5	06-04 01:16
Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?	16	$518	1,497	1,605	-108	No	+$22	06-03 15:03
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-08 16:00 UTC	18	$504	350	299	+51	Down	-$6	01-08 16:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-08 15:30 UTC	29	$259	1,240	48	+1,192	Down	-$255	01-08 15:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 16:00 UTC	56	$226	2,348	2,096	+252	Up	-$33	02-02 16:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 17:00 UTC	6	$217	135	134	+0	Up	+$7	02-02 17:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-21 04:15 UTC	2	$198	100	100	+0	Up	+$0	01-21 04:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 05:15 UTC	6	$198	100	105	-5	Down	+$3	02-02 05:26
bitcoin up or down february 1 11pm et	2	$196	100	100	+0	Down	+$2	02-02 04:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 07:45 UTC	2	$195	100	100	+0	Up	+$3	02-02 07:59
bitcoin up or down january 1 9am et	6	$175	110	110	+0	Up	-$7	01-01 14:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-12 17:15 UTC	2	$158	80	80	+0	Down	+$1	01-12 17:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-12 17:45 UTC	3	$158	80	80	+0	Up	+$1	01-12 17:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-12 19:15 UTC	2	$158	80	80	+0	Up	+$1	01-12 19:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-12 08:15 UTC	2	$158	80	80	+0	Down	+$1	01-12 08:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-12 19:45 UTC	2	$157	80	80	+0	Up	+$2	01-12 19:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-12 18:45 UTC	2	$155	80	80	+0	Up	+$3	01-12 19:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-12 22:15 UTC	5	$155	80	80	+0	Down	+$4	01-12 22:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-13 15:15 UTC	4	$149	150	0	+150	Down	+$1	01-13 15:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-03 14:00 UTC	9	$143	90	70	+20	Up	+$14	01-03 14:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-05 10:45 UTC	9	$128	100	100	+0	Up	$0	01-05 10:52
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-12 21:15 UTC	2	$123	80	51	+29	Down	+$7	01-12 21:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-01 02:30 UTC	4	$118	70	60	+10	Up	-$2	01-01 02:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-09 10:00 UTC	5	$105	120	30	+90	Up	+$15	01-09 10:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-02 23:15 UTC	1	$100	101	0	+101	Down	+$1	01-02 23:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-08 01:15 UTC	1	$100	102	0	+102	Up	+$2	01-08 01:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 02:30 UTC	1	$100	104	0	+104	Up	+$4	02-05 02:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-13 11:00 UTC	2	$99	100	0	+100	Up	+$1	01-13 11:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-16 13:30 UTC	1	$99	100	0	+100	Down	+$1	01-16 13:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-14 15:00 UTC	1	$99	100	0	+100	Up	+$1	01-14 15:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-04 01:16:58	Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	No	SELL	305	100¢	$305	0x204aaa…
06-03 23:03:15	Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	No	BUY	305	98¢	$300	0x8e71be…
06-03 15:04:18	Will the People Power Party win 2 seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?	Yes	SELL	200	3¢	$6	0x822750…
06-03 15:03:00	Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	50	23¢	$12	0x0de9c7…
06-03 14:46:40	Will the People Power Party win 3 seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?	Yes	SELL	12	2¢	$0	0xa9efa0…
06-03 14:43:51	Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	50	18¢	$9	0xa27511…
06-03 14:43:18	Will the People Power Party win 3 seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?	Yes	SELL	130	3¢	$4	0x155079…
06-03 13:25:22	Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	100	43¢	$43	0x430ecf…
06-03 09:18:54	Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	81	26¢	$21	0xeaf370…
06-03 09:18:23	Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	20	26¢	$5	0xc8418b…
06-03 09:18:23	Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	75	26¢	$19	0x943074…
06-03 09:18:04	Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	25	26¢	$6	0x5317bd…
06-03 09:15:21	Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0x14102f…
06-03 01:14:09	Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	1,000	14¢	$140	0xf3079c…
06-02 00:52:58	Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	1,000	10¢	$100	0x87617f…
06-02 00:51:48	Will the People Power Party win 3 seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?	Yes	BUY	0	44¢	$0	0xed6dcb…
06-02 00:51:48	Will the People Power Party win 3 seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?	Yes	BUY	42	44¢	$18	0x8cf15b…
05-29 14:00:36	KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Samsung Lions	Samsung Lions	SELL	1	50¢	$0	0x268010…
05-29 13:56:03	KBO: Kia Tigers vs. LG Twins	LG Twins	SELL	1	51¢	$1	0x943378…
05-29 03:30:59	KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Samsung Lions	Samsung Lions	SELL	9	50¢	$4	0x15a345…
05-28 19:10:55	KBO: Kia Tigers vs. LG Twins	LG Twins	SELL	9	51¢	$5	0x65d2aa…
05-28 01:43:26	KBO: SSG Landers vs. Hanwha Eagles	Hanwha Eagles	SELL	15	49¢	$7	0x61d0c2…
05-27 04:07:54	KBO: Lotte Giants vs. NC Dinos	NC Dinos	SELL	36	49¢	$18	0xb791dc…
05-27 04:06:44	KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. NC Dinos	Hanwha Eagles	SELL	7	50¢	$4	0x210d08…
05-27 04:06:11	KBO: SSG Landers vs. Hanwha Eagles	Hanwha Eagles	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x5f40d2…
05-27 04:05:25	KBO: Kia Tigers vs. LG Twins	Kia Tigers	SELL	10	48¢	$5	0x22e718…
05-27 04:02:37	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 28, 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x8de614…
05-27 02:17:55	Will DICK's Sporting Goods Q1 Dick's business comparable sales growth be above 5%?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1b966b…
05-26 22:30:18	KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. NC Dinos	Hanwha Eagles	SELL	8	50¢	$4	0xa4289d…
05-26 13:33:30	KBO: SSG Landers vs. Hanwha Eagles	Hanwha Eagles	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0xfcfbed…
05-26 05:44:39	KBO: Kia Tigers vs. LG Twins	LG Twins	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0xf32010…
05-26 05:44:34	KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Samsung Lions	Samsung Lions	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x150d6d…
05-26 05:44:16	KBO: SSG Landers vs. Hanwha Eagles	Hanwha Eagles	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x8aa5bb…
05-26 05:44:09	KBO: SSG Landers vs. Hanwha Eagles	Hanwha Eagles	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xd7e441…
05-26 05:43:57	KBO: Kia Tigers vs. LG Twins	Kia Tigers	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x85da73…
05-26 05:43:43	KBO: Lotte Giants vs. NC Dinos	NC Dinos	BUY	40	39¢	$16	0xd56b92…
05-26 05:43:29	KBO: SSG Landers vs. Hanwha Eagles	Hanwha Eagles	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0xca8330…
05-26 05:43:11	KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. NC Dinos	Hanwha Eagles	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0x8e9a46…
05-25 23:30:30	Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	305	19¢	$58	0xf00ca0…
05-25 08:57:36	Will the People Power Party win 3 seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?	Yes	BUY	33	38¢	$13	0x64fef2…
05-23 15:05:06	Will the People Power Party win 3 seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?	Yes	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0x185eb9…
05-23 13:40:11	Will the People Power Party win 3 seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?	Yes	BUY	11	38¢	$4	0x816f03…
05-23 13:35:19	Will the People Power Party win 3 seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?	Yes	BUY	15	38¢	$6	0x7de8f2…
05-23 04:38:23	Will the People Power Party win 3 seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?	Yes	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0x198391…
05-22 00:00:27	Will the People Power Party win 3 seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?	Yes	BUY	21	38¢	$8	0x9e14af…
05-21 04:07:25	Will the People Power Party win 3 seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?	Yes	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0xa841f8…
05-19 08:20:13	Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xf3da43…
05-19 08:20:13	Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	15	25¢	$4	0xe38f82…
05-19 06:17:28	Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	75	25¢	$19	0x911148…
05-19 06:09:56	Will the People Power Party win 3 seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?	Yes	BUY	1	38¢	$0	0xd58dc5…
05-19 06:08:36	Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xd2abd0…
05-10 13:34:01	Will the People Power Party win 2 seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?	Yes	BUY	117	35¢	$41	0x6efd18…
05-10 08:13:57	Will the People Power Party win 2 seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?	Yes	BUY	27	35¢	$9	0xaa75b6…
05-10 08:13:57	Will the People Power Party win 2 seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?	Yes	BUY	30	35¢	$10	0x950c81…
05-08 02:26:47	Will the People Power Party win 2 seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?	Yes	BUY	21	35¢	$7	0x410ed0…
05-06 01:21:24	Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	97	31¢	$30	0x39b5ef…
05-04 10:54:30	Will the People Power Party win 2 seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xaec5ee…
04-29 11:26:42	LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	KT Rolster	SELL	98	5¢	$5	0x1d92e7…
04-28 04:27:06	LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	KT Rolster	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0x76ed0d…
04-12 03:31:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 03:30 UTC	Up	BUY	15	63¢	$9	0x028d01…
04-12 02:21:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 02:20 UTC	Down	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x895349…
04-12 02:16:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 02:15 UTC	Up	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x932146…
04-12 02:01:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x1c1534…
04-12 01:56:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 01:55 UTC	Down	BUY	12	79¢	$9	0xf61949…
04-12 01:51:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 01:50 UTC	Up	BUY	11	84¢	$9	0xf7669e…
04-11 23:06:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 23:05 UTC	Down	BUY	7	65¢	$5	0xa5d823…
04-11 19:31:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 19:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x76ab9d…
04-11 19:21:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 19:20 UTC	Down	BUY	7	64¢	$4	0xa9dc9c…
04-11 19:06:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 19:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xbfb2ab…
04-11 18:36:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 18:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x6afb01…
04-11 08:36:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 08:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x16a98e…
04-11 07:36:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 07:35 UTC	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x6a8775…
04-11 04:16:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 04:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x441c9d…
04-11 02:46:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 02:45 UTC	Down	BUY	15	46¢	$7	0x37ce72…
04-10 06:18:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 06:15 UTC	Down	BUY	17	66¢	$11	0xf72bcc…
04-10 06:13:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 06:10 UTC	Down	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0xc8c121…
04-10 05:48:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0x826dc6…
04-10 05:38:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 05:35 UTC	Down	BUY	15	44¢	$7	0xf525f7…
04-10 05:28:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 05:25 UTC	Up	BUY	16	36¢	$6	0x777315…
04-10 05:18:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	17	48¢	$8	0x62cc12…
04-10 05:13:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 05:10 UTC	Down	BUY	15	21¢	$3	0xa6aab0…
04-10 04:58:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 04:55 UTC	Down	BUY	15	46¢	$7	0x623686…
04-10 03:08:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 03:05 UTC	Up	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0x0e45ea…
04-10 02:08:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 02:05 UTC	Up	BUY	15	85¢	$13	0xb7795f…
04-10 01:53:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 01:50 UTC	Up	BUY	15	54¢	$8	0x9286a9…
04-09 23:38:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 23:35 UTC	Down	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0xb7fbce…
04-08 05:47:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 05:45 UTC	Up	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0xb27414…
04-08 05:47:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0xe8e4cf…
04-08 05:47:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	14	26¢	$4	0xd8cbcb…
04-08 05:47:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x7fee5c…
04-08 05:46:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 05:45 UTC	Up	SELL	21	40¢	$9	0x865878…
04-08 05:45:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x205807…
04-08 05:43:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 05:40 UTC	Up	SELL	8	80¢	$7	0xa2945f…
04-08 05:42:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 05:40 UTC	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x33203c…
04-08 05:38:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 05:35 UTC	Up	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0xf051e9…
04-08 05:34:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 05:30 UTC	Up	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0x509742…
04-08 04:33:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 04:30 UTC	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x1d0252…
04-08 04:24:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 04:20 UTC	Down	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xa771ee…
04-08 04:20:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 04:15 UTC	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x370cab…
04-07 23:18:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 23:15 UTC	Down	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0xc4be46…