Half-Ferry — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.4%

Resolved

109

Trades

631

lifetime

Volume

$1.34K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-19

last 05-13 11:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 57% $-18

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 205 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	8	$43	36	36	+0	open	—	04-26 23:33
btc updown 5m 1776643200	11	$31	42	41	+1	open	—	04-20 00:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	5	$20	20	20	+0	open	—	04-27 04:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	4	$19	20	20	+0	open	—	04-27 04:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	6	$19	18	18	+0	open	—	04-27 03:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	5	$17	20	19	+0	open	—	04-27 05:32
btc updown 5m 1776644700	6	$17	23	12	+11	open	—	04-20 00:28
btc updown 5m 1776643800	6	$17	18	18	+0	open	—	04-20 00:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	6	$16	30	20	+10	open	—	04-27 06:27
btc updown 5m 1776621600	8	$16	18	17	+1	open	—	04-19 18:01
btc updown 5m 1776615000	4	$16	12	12	+0	open	—	04-19 16:14
btc updown 5m 1776618900	5	$15	18	17	+1	open	—	04-19 17:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	4	$14	20	20	+0	open	—	04-27 06:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	8	$14	30	0	+30	open	—	04-27 02:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	4	$13	12	12	+0	open	—	04-27 03:17
btc updown 5m 1776784500	4	$13	20	10	+10	open	—	04-21 15:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	5	$12	30	0	+30	open	—	04-27 06:04
btc updown 5m 1776643500	4	$12	11	11	+0	open	—	04-20 00:09
btc updown 5m 1776617700	4	$12	12	12	+0	open	—	04-19 16:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	6	$12	24	12	+12	open	—	04-26 23:51
btc updown 5m 1776784200	3	$12	8	8	+0	open	—	04-21 15:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	3	$12	20	10	+10	open	—	04-27 08:01
btc updown 5m 1776622800	4	$11	12	12	+0	open	—	04-19 18:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	3	$11	20	10	+10	open	—	04-27 06:24
btc updown 5m 1776645000	4	$11	12	12	+0	open	—	04-20 00:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	4	$11	12	12	+0	open	—	04-26 23:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	2	$11	10	10	+0	open	—	04-27 06:40
btc updown 5m 1776621300	6	$11	12	12	+0	open	—	04-19 17:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	6	$10	30	6	+24	open	—	04-26 17:04
btc updown 5m 1776783600	5	$10	12	12	+0	open	—	04-21 15:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 11:46:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x5ffd8b…
05-13 11:42:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xca72f7…
05-13 11:35:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x5f61c0…
05-13 11:29:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x379ec8…
05-12 06:24:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x61759a…
05-12 05:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x08e19c…
05-12 02:44:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x9223bc…
05-11 18:46:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xb0d66c…
05-11 18:43:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x431e22…
05-11 18:35:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x9199d5…
05-11 18:35:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x54a5b4…
05-11 18:30:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xb489ea…
05-11 18:30:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x5efc62…
05-11 18:27:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x798b95…
05-11 18:25:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x18924d…
05-11 16:46:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0x45d4b7…
05-11 16:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xd1342a…
05-11 16:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x062d26…
05-11 16:35:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x236e27…
05-11 16:35:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x6fd633…
05-11 16:28:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0xd775bd…
05-11 16:25:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xc1190a…
05-11 16:17:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0x7f6de3…
05-11 16:15:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xb8c728…
05-11 16:13:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x21291b…
05-11 16:10:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x118e75…
05-11 16:10:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x80d2a9…
05-11 16:10:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	20¢	$1	0x24c430…
05-11 16:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x3aa584…
05-11 16:05:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xca517b…
05-11 16:05:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x6c79d2…
05-11 16:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xe62ecb…
05-11 15:55:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x284862…
05-11 15:55:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x25712a…
05-11 15:53:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x6c9881…
05-11 15:06:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xe8c978…
05-11 14:57:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x126e6d…
05-11 14:40:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xa71e2a…
05-11 14:28:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x393f9c…
05-11 14:25:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x67e476…
05-11 14:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x335e9f…
05-11 14:07:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x574d4a…
05-11 13:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x154d75…
05-11 13:40:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x0339f9…
05-11 13:40:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xd2e0ce…
05-11 13:37:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0x260c04…
05-11 13:35:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x8e46ec…
05-11 13:12:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x09dcd5…
05-11 13:10:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x49d99f…
05-11 12:50:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xf2341d…
05-11 12:48:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x3b11ea…
05-11 12:47:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x975ec5…
05-11 12:47:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x860163…
05-11 12:47:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x2fe171…
05-11 12:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x6100e7…
05-11 12:42:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xcd76bc…
05-11 12:40:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xffac12…
05-11 12:39:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xca1690…
05-11 12:20:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x5c8475…
05-11 12:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x3c29e8…
05-11 12:15:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	55¢	$1	0xb30924…
05-11 12:15:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x6ddcbd…
05-11 11:45:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xb3c106…
05-11 11:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xc50376…
05-11 11:43:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x576944…
05-11 11:42:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xb1a345…
05-11 07:49:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x65bf67…
05-11 05:34:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xf6f550…
05-11 01:44:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x790bb5…
05-11 01:09:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xc15aa8…
05-10 22:59:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x865032…
05-10 17:50:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x7d1614…
05-10 15:30:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x173fa7…
05-10 15:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xde0c23…
05-10 13:55:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xe51e29…
05-10 12:50:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x2c0125…
05-10 12:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x26a6a2…
05-10 12:29:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x602ff5…
05-10 11:59:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xe2d33e…
05-10 04:19:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x4d5463…
05-10 03:59:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xe440ce…
05-10 01:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x98a470…
05-10 00:24:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x0d26e8…
05-09 23:34:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x109474…
05-09 22:34:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x7b14e3…
05-09 22:30:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x11a815…
05-09 20:54:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xa1cfc7…
05-09 20:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x27b2a1…
05-09 19:19:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xc194e5…
05-09 18:19:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x8c11a1…
05-09 18:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x8dd96d…
05-09 17:54:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x0256cf…
05-09 16:59:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x172c00…
05-09 16:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x3ab729…
05-09 15:05:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x5e6748…
05-09 14:39:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xca789a…
05-09 13:54:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x5bd484…
05-09 13:29:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x43819b…
05-09 13:15:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x6b18bf…
05-09 12:30:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x51520d…