Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

50.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$259

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

4 positions

First seen

2026-10-05

last 11-08 02:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 25 days

Categories

Sports

46% 54% -$5

Other

26% 62% +$5

Politics

25% 25% $0

Tech

3% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Lakers vs. Hawks	Lakers	+5	$2	50¢	$2	+$0	11-07 13:23
Golden Knights vs. Sabres	Golden Knights	+5	$2	50¢	$2	$0	11-07 10:23
Flyers vs. Flames	Flames	+5	$2	48¢	$2	$0	11-08 00:01
Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Cavaliers	+5	$2	36¢	$2	$0	11-08 01:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	2	$9	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	10-08 18:14
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	2	$9	5	5	+0	Yes	$0	10-13 12:29
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	2	$8	5	5	+0	No	+$0	10-10 17:39
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	2	$8	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	10-08 18:15
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	2	$7	5	5	+0	No	$0	10-19 17:29
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	2	$7	5	5	+0	Yes	$0	10-22 16:45
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	2	$7	5	5	+0	No	$0	10-19 17:29
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	2	$7	5	5	+0	No	+$0	10-08 18:15
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	2	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	10-13 12:28
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	2	$6	5	5	+0	Yes	$0	10-19 17:29
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Francisco Cerundolo vs Roman Safiullin	2	$6	5	5	+0	Francisco Cerundolo	+$1	10-09 10:26
Bills vs. Rams	2	$6	5	5	+0	Bills	+$0	10-10 17:40
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	10-22 16:45
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	2	$6	5	5	+0	Yes	$0	10-22 16:46
Minnesota vs. Purdue	2	$6	5	5	+0	Purdue	+$0	10-10 17:39
Will USD be at least 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31?	2	$5	5	5	+0	No	-$2	10-22 16:46
Rangers vs. Maple Leafs	1	$5	10	0	+10	Maple Leafs	-$5	10-22 16:54
Grizzlies vs. Jazz	1	$5	8	0	+8	Grizzlies	-$5	10-22 17:26
Kings vs. Islanders	1	$5	10	0	+10	Kings	-$5	10-22 16:51
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers	1	$5	6	0	+6	Grizzlies	-$5	10-24 13:36
Cavaliers vs. 76ers	1	$5	9	0	+9	76ers	+$4	10-22 17:25
Wizards vs. Bulls	1	$5	9	0	+9	Wizards	-$5	10-22 17:35
Rams vs. Raiders	1	$5	8	0	+8	Rams	+$3	10-24 13:36
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Flavio Cobolli	1	$3	5	0	+5	Adrian Mannarino	-$3	10-08 18:15
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Hubert Hurkacz	1	$3	5	0	+5	Hubert Hurkacz	-$3	10-08 18:15
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?	1	$3	5	0	+5	Yes	+$2	10-05 11:40
Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State Valkyries	1	$3	5	0	+5	Golden State Valkyries	+$2	10-31 03:02
Panthers vs. Penguins	1	$3	5	0	+5	Penguins	+$2	10-22 19:44
Golden Knights vs. Penguins	1	$3	5	0	+5	Golden Knights	-$3	11-02 05:11
Ohio vs. Miami (OH)	1	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	11-06 20:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-08 02:37:16	Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State	Texas Tech	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xe95078…
11-08 01:24:22	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Cavaliers	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x8bddd0…
11-08 00:54:06	Fresno State vs. Utah State	Utah State	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x90d336…
11-08 00:01:52	Penguins vs. Sharks	Sharks	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xe7189e…
11-08 00:01:52	Flyers vs. Flames	Flames	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x954adb…
11-07 13:23:21	Lakers vs. Hawks	Lakers	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x3f80f7…
11-07 10:23:37	Golden Knights vs. Sabres	Golden Knights	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xf3e4da…
11-06 20:19:18	Ohio vs. Miami (OH)	Ohio	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xc82bf9…
11-05 13:16:55	Flyers vs. Canucks	Canucks	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xb99303…
11-03 20:41:01	Senators vs. Sabres	Senators	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x8175a3…
11-03 05:15:25	Blues vs. Rangers	Blues	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x92e44b…
11-02 06:09:28	Cavaliers vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x2e9872…
11-02 05:11:42	Golden Knights vs. Penguins	Penguins	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xac92f0…
11-01 18:09:00	Wild vs. Capitals	Capitals	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x2070b7…
10-31 20:07:24	Heat vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xcb3fa6…
10-31 19:07:06	Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Hubert Hurkacz	Lorenzo Musetti	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x987527…
10-31 15:05:40	Sabres vs. Kings	Kings	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xcf8188…
10-31 03:02:58	Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State Valkyries	Golden State Valkyries	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x6487c0…
10-30 23:03:43	Ningbo: Yaroslav Demin vs Yu-Hsiou Hsu	Yaroslav Demin	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x7aaca6…
10-28 18:00:49	Kennesaw State vs. Middle Tennessee	Middle Tennessee	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xfbc21c…
10-27 22:54:35	Devils vs. Stars	Devils	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xc7f20e…
10-27 03:50:59	Cavaliers vs. Hawks	Hawks	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x66c779…
10-26 09:52:48	Capitals vs. Predators	Capitals	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x8aebdf…
10-26 09:52:47	Sabres vs. Ducks	Sabres	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xe4ddcc…
10-26 07:52:06	Erste Bank Open: Arthur Fery vs Jacob Fearnley	Arthur Fery	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x73d843…
10-25 18:49:54	Islanders vs. Predators	Islanders	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x2414f2…
10-25 13:49:59	Swiss Indoors Basel: Jerome Kym vs Arthur Rinderknech	Arthur Rinderknech	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xc3dc0a…
10-25 06:51:05	Oilers vs. Islanders	Islanders	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xd17c68…
10-25 05:52:17	Baylor vs. UCF	Baylor	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x4c787e…
10-24 13:36:42	Rams vs. Raiders	Rams	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x750b77…
10-24 13:36:11	Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers	Trail Blazers	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x2f5ad5…
10-24 06:43:41	Panthers vs. Jets	Jets	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x1d6419…
10-23 14:45:57	Pelicans vs. Jazz	Jazz	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xdb5a0b…
10-23 11:42:47	Warriors vs. Suns	Warriors	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xe563c0…
10-22 19:44:00	Panthers vs. Penguins	Penguins	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xc5d2b7…
10-22 17:35:29	Wizards vs. Bulls	Bulls	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xe5680d…
10-22 17:26:39	Grizzlies vs. Jazz	Jazz	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xa22936…
10-22 17:25:23	Cavaliers vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x3c6cc7…
10-22 16:54:05	Rangers vs. Maple Leafs	Rangers	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xfabb2b…
10-22 16:51:24	Kings vs. Islanders	Islanders	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xabe7ab…
10-22 16:46:14	Will USD be at least 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31?	Yes	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0x94c7d3…
10-22 16:46:02	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x28e817…
10-22 16:45:51	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	Yes	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0xd6bf4c…
10-22 16:45:36	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0x1836e4…
10-22 10:42:23	Bengals vs. Ravens	Ravens	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xc7aa90…
10-20 22:41:03	Timberwolves vs. Heat	Timberwolves	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xca7285…
10-20 22:41:03	Panthers vs. Senators	Senators	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xa4aae9…
10-20 22:41:03	Knicks vs. Celtics	Knicks	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x014513…
10-20 22:41:02	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xe5f9ae…
10-19 17:29:51	Hornets vs. Nets	Hornets	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x8b9d61…
10-19 17:29:51	Celtics vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x5e6158…
10-19 17:29:39	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	5	69¢	$3	0xf08b1c…
10-19 17:29:33	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0x0f1870…
10-19 17:29:26	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	No	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0xec3646…
10-13 12:29:22	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0xecf658…
10-13 12:28:52	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0xb6e2a5…
10-10 17:40:18	Bills vs. Rams	Rams	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0xbd9d46…
10-10 17:39:58	Minnesota vs. Purdue	Minnesota	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0x75af6b…
10-10 17:39:36	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0xe1bc4a…
10-09 10:26:42	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Francisco Cerundolo vs Roman Safiullin	Francisco Cerundolo	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0x997385…
10-08 18:41:45	Raiders vs. Patriots	Patriots	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xb74ef0…
10-08 18:22:51	Minnesota vs. Purdue	Minnesota	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x0e78a5…
10-08 18:15:54	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Francisco Cerundolo vs Roman Safiullin	Francisco Cerundolo	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x63e9f8…
10-08 18:15:53	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Hubert Hurkacz	Novak Djokovic	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x4ccf8b…
10-08 18:15:51	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Flavio Cobolli	Flavio Cobolli	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x372ef1…
10-08 18:15:29	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0x116f91…
10-08 18:15:11	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x8ddfbd…
10-08 18:14:44	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	Yes	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x5be47e…
10-07 11:47:56	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x329576…
10-07 05:54:17	Bills vs. Rams	Rams	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x608467…
10-06 12:37:07	Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x8c9854…
10-06 12:37:07	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x176e6a…
10-05 14:22:55	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x7fd383…
10-05 13:46:38	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xe51cb8…
10-05 12:48:38	Will USD be at least 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x564fee…
10-05 11:49:19	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xdb9e25…
10-05 11:40:05	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xdd71d4…
10-05 11:29:02	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	Yes	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xcd6c7b…
10-05 11:22:19	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x866e27…
10-05 11:22:19	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 20260917	Yes	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x6f31eb…
10-05 11:22:17	israel x iran ceasefire continues through october 31	Yes	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xf3bde8…
10-05 11:22:17	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xaab446…
10-05 11:22:17	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	No	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x713a35…
10-05 11:22:16	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	Yes	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x1aa604…
10-05 11:22:14	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xe05340…
10-05 11:22:10	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x003a7e…