Firm-Wit — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$519

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

82.7%

Resolved

1,721

Trades

3,499

lifetime

Volume

$28.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-19

last 10-29 00:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 96 days

Categories

Crypto

80% 65% -$274

Other

18% 37% -$128

Sports

2% 47% -$118

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 291 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Shuai Zhang vs Cristina Bucsa	9	$259	422	422	+0	Shuai Zhang	+$149	05-19 11:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 03:50 UTC	2	$210	111	111	+0	Up	+$10	08-22 03:54
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 21?	2	$150	158	0	+158	No	+$8	08-21 10:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 03:25 UTC	3	$127	68	68	+0	Up	+$7	08-22 03:29
Will CDP Junior FC win on 2026-05-20?	2	$111	61	61	+0	Yes	+$11	05-21 04:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 08:50 UTC	2	$109	60	60	+0	Up	+$9	08-21 08:52
wta tagger starodu 2026 08 23	2	$108	59	59	+0	Yulia Starodubtseva	+$8	08-24 03:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 17:20 UTC	2	$106	56	56	+0	Down	+$6	08-21 17:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 12:30 UTC	2	$104	55	55	+0	Down	+$4	08-26 12:33
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 21?	2	$104	54	54	+0	No	+$4	08-21 08:56
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 21?	2	$103	53	53	+0	No	+$3	08-21 09:22
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on August 22?	1	$100	105	0	+105	No	+$5	08-22 08:11
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 23?	2	$100	53	53	+0	Yes	$0	08-24 01:53
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?	3	$93	53	53	+0	Yes	+$13	06-12 04:00
Will the lowest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on August 23?	1	$84	90	0	+90	Yes	+$6	08-23 09:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 15:05 UTC	6	$83	43	43	+0	Up	+$3	08-26 15:08
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Coleman Wong vs Juan Carlos Prado	7	$79	60	60	+0	Juan Carlos Prado	+$9	05-21 14:28
Cavaliers vs. Knicks	11	$79	259	210	+49	Knicks	+$3	05-22 02:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 02:40 UTC	3	$79	109	32	+77	Down	-$38	08-26 02:43
nbasl phi det 2026 07 09	23	$76	189	139	+50	Philadelphia 76ers	+$4	07-09 23:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 07:15 UTC	4	$73	39	39	+0	Down	+$3	08-30 07:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 13:30 UTC	2	$69	39	39	+0	Up	+$9	08-26 13:33
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 02:15 UTC	2	$67	39	39	+0	Down	+$7	08-27 02:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 02:10 UTC	2	$66	39	39	+0	Down	+$7	08-27 02:13
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 08:10 UTC	2	$65	37	37	+0	Up	+$6	08-26 08:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 05:05 UTC	6	$65	35	35	+0	Up	+$5	08-25 05:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 19:05 UTC	2	$65	36	36	+0	Down	+$5	08-25 19:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 12:45 UTC	4	$64	35	35	+0	Down	+$4	08-26 12:49
atp bonzi assche 2026 08 21	2	$64	34	34	+0	Luca Van Assche	+$4	08-21 17:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 18:30 UTC	2	$64	36	36	+0	Down	+$5	08-25 18:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 00:22:01	Wizards vs. Cavaliers: O/U 250.5	Over	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xd32aa5…
10-29 00:19:35	Heat vs. Hawks: O/U 240.5	Over	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x9765cb…
10-28 00:56:38	Nets vs. Celtics: O/U 227.5	Over	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xbb07b0…
10-26 00:29:33	Raptors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 221.5	Under	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x66db6e…
10-08 09:30:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	SELL	18	61¢	$11	0x3c4846…
10-08 09:30:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	18	40¢	$7	0x3e3143…
10-08 09:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xdd418f…
10-08 09:28:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xe04035…
10-08 09:27:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	10	40¢	$4	0x4aba5b…
10-08 09:27:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x702280…
10-08 09:21:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x8b0b82…
10-08 09:13:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	7	50¢	$3	0xc6005f…
10-08 09:13:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	12	50¢	$6	0x59fb46…
10-08 09:13:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xd10ff2…
10-08 09:12:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0xd32813…
10-08 09:07:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xd36ecc…
10-08 00:39:53	Bucks vs. Thunder	Bucks	SELL	17	10¢	$2	0xba129f…
10-08 00:37:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	SELL	17	50¢	$8	0x5d84e6…
10-08 00:37:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0xe78b18…
10-08 00:26:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	10	53¢	$5	0x1c1c62…
10-08 00:26:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x0b4371…
10-08 00:22:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0x7045a9…
10-08 00:16:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0x35320c…
10-08 00:03:17	Bucks vs. Thunder	Bucks	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0x3ef07d…
10-07 23:50:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0xadd2cc…
10-07 23:49:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xcfa976…
10-07 23:47:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	SELL	23	50¢	$11	0x82710d…
10-07 23:45:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x38133e…
10-07 23:41:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0xb5798b…
10-07 23:31:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	22	13¢	$3	0xb39063…
10-07 23:30:38	Bucks vs. Thunder	Bucks	SELL	16	18¢	$3	0xd72531…
10-07 23:25:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0xea973c…
10-07 23:22:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x65df7e…
10-07 23:15:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xa2b3c6…
10-07 23:13:17	Bucks vs. Thunder	Bucks	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0x163c70…
10-07 23:11:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	6	79¢	$5	0x44d0be…
10-07 23:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	74¢	$5	0xb90856…
10-07 23:02:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	SELL	6	76¢	$4	0x997a60…
10-07 23:02:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0x11b440…
10-07 23:02:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xdf2b80…
10-07 23:01:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	SELL	6	68¢	$4	0xdfc14c…
10-07 23:00:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0xbfad24…
10-07 22:56:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	SELL	8	88¢	$7	0xf2960a…
10-07 22:55:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x4abae9…
10-07 22:51:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	SELL	8	54¢	$4	0x28c6a2…
10-07 22:51:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x8c5d1e…
10-07 22:46:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	38	8¢	$3	0x679451…
10-07 22:45:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	SELL	6	79¢	$5	0xfcd0f0…
10-07 22:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0xbf4f89…
10-07 22:42:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	9	76¢	$7	0x841931…
10-07 22:42:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x39a349…
10-07 22:41:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	6	85¢	$6	0xcedc2f…
10-07 22:40:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	75¢	$5	0xd38236…
10-07 22:32:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xb87edf…
10-07 22:22:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xf0bd5a…
10-07 22:20:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	73¢	$2	0x5315ec…
10-07 11:46:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0x7f2110…
10-07 11:46:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x45a732…
10-06 22:33:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	SELL	6	31¢	$2	0x00b9c0…
10-06 22:33:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x7adfc4…
10-06 22:30:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	SELL	6	38¢	$2	0xdbe67d…
10-06 22:30:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0x280761…
10-06 22:15:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0x7bf633…
10-06 22:15:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x5bc241…
10-06 21:57:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	6	43¢	$3	0xeea5b7…
10-06 21:56:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x199afb…
10-06 21:40:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	6	42¢	$3	0x3311cd…
10-06 21:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0xc800de…
10-06 21:37:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	8	52¢	$4	0x6e8577…
10-06 21:37:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	56¢	$5	0x7fa691…
10-06 21:35:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	8	52¢	$4	0xd23c33…
10-06 21:35:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xdc624d…
10-06 21:20:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	SELL	6	34¢	$2	0x1906a3…
10-06 21:20:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0x95b22e…
10-06 21:18:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	SELL	6	86¢	$5	0xd76a29…
10-06 21:16:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0xefc0d9…
10-06 21:16:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	SELL	10	58¢	$6	0x2e788b…
10-06 21:15:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x6f8622…
10-06 19:15:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0xefbf87…
10-06 19:15:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xaa06fc…
10-06 19:11:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	8	84¢	$6	0x7aa663…
10-06 19:10:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x764a06…
10-06 19:07:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x719f4c…
10-06 19:07:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x2632b0…
10-06 19:06:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	SELL	7	80¢	$6	0xfb74e7…
10-06 19:05:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x469381…
10-06 18:45:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	SELL	6	68¢	$4	0xe350d9…
10-06 18:45:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	74¢	$5	0xe00fb2…
10-06 18:43:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x01ebb5…
10-06 18:42:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x2176a8…
10-06 18:41:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	8	54¢	$4	0xaaa6d3…
10-06 18:40:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xad6f0e…
10-06 18:38:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0xfdffa9…
10-06 18:36:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x34bb86…
10-06 18:35:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	SELL	7	81¢	$6	0x0ecc79…
10-06 18:35:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x156b48…
10-06 17:05:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	SELL	6	46¢	$3	0xfbf749…
10-06 17:05:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x89be6b…
10-06 17:00:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	67¢	$4	0xedef70…
10-06 17:00:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xc7dcc6…