Meaty-Velvet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$80

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

5,053

lifetime

Volume

$681.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$135

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-01 12:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

43% — —

Politics

31% 100% +$80

Crypto

26% — —

Sports

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	143	$52.2K	35,221	42,975	-7,753	open	—	01-31 00:37
will bitcoin dip to 85k in january 2026	112	$29.0K	29,874	20,899	+8,975	open	—	01-29 16:16
bitcoin up or down on february 3	281	$28.8K	30,919	31,005	-87	open	—	02-03 16:05
bitcoin up or down on january 31	218	$23.8K	40,675	40,975	-300	open	—	01-31 14:23
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	78	$22.5K	14,134	14,475	-341	open	—	01-15 03:59
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	86	$20.8K	16,053	16,563	-510	open	—	02-03 18:47
will hyperliquid hit 38 in january	33	$16.1K	8,514	9,146	-633	open	—	01-31 15:49
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	125	$16.1K	18,344	5,045	+13,299	open	—	01-29 22:51
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	59	$15.6K	8,025	9,327	-1,302	open	—	01-27 23:25
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	33	$15.1K	14,375	2,625	+11,750	open	—	01-31 15:53
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	138	$12.5K	7,959	8,155	-196	open	—	01-28 18:58
us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	47	$12.0K	7,277	7,760	-483	open	—	02-03 13:27
will the us invade venezuela by january 31 2026	61	$11.3K	8,020	11,322	-3,301	open	—	01-05 10:32
elon musk of tweets december 26 january 2 540 559	30	$10.4K	3,386	7,437	-4,050	open	—	01-02 21:40
bitcoin above 90k on january 3	120	$10.3K	13,792	12,441	+1,350	open	—	01-03 17:03
bitcoin up or down on january 3	96	$9.6K	10,001	6,851	+3,150	open	—	01-03 11:11
spx up or down on january 13 2026	85	$9.3K	5,031	5,830	-800	open	—	01-13 20:59
us strikes iran by january 13 2026 771	27	$9.3K	4,426	5,913	-1,487	open	—	01-14 04:03
odds of khamenei out in jan over 20 on friday	31	$8.0K	8,792	3,619	+5,173	open	—	01-15 19:52
odds of khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31 over 30 on sunday	3	$7.6K	4,000	4,000	+0	open	—	01-11 20:41
will the us invade venezuela by march 31 2026 255	40	$7.6K	4,384	4,860	-476	open	—	01-09 19:30
will the iranian regime fall by january 31	40	$7.4K	4,015	4,015	+0	open	—	01-22 13:02
Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?	57	$7.0K	5,628	7,853	-2,225	open	—	01-08 16:42
si hit 150 high jan 2026	5	$6.9K	3,256	3,956	-700	open	—	01-27 21:48
nothing ever happens khamenei	77	$6.9K	4,517	5,209	-692	open	—	02-03 18:47
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	58	$6.2K	5,544	6,069	-525	open	—	01-28 22:46
si hit 100 high jan 2026 422 587 453	73	$5.9K	10,980	587	+10,393	open	—	01-23 15:24
over 80m committed to the ranger public sale 675 826 682 419	71	$5.8K	4,441	5,647	-1,207	open	—	01-10 15:56
us strikes iran by january 26 2026 337 214 511	18	$5.7K	3,149	3,149	+0	open	—	01-26 18:41
si hit 120 high jan 2026 313 822 269	33	$5.6K	4,562	5,432	-870	open	—	01-27 14:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-01 12:10:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0xdafcb5…
06-01 12:10:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	28	57¢	$16	0x6e48a9…
06-01 11:16:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 1?	Yes	SELL	106	84¢	$89	0x22c5f3…
06-01 11:08:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 1?	Yes	SELL	9	84¢	$8	0xec7094…
06-01 10:53:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x1b5e94…
06-01 10:50:20	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in May?	No	SELL	59	100¢	$59	0xd8708f…
05-30 23:33:48	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in May?	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xc185b8…
05-30 09:47:50	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in May?	No	BUY	29	81¢	$23	0x57674a…
05-23 17:26:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	BUY	14	82¢	$11	0x2797df…
05-18 15:32:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	14	84¢	$11	0xcce790…
05-08 12:39:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	14	48¢	$6	0x8b167c…
05-02 04:39:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	14	16¢	$2	0xefd549…
05-02 04:39:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	16	16¢	$3	0x69503b…
05-02 04:39:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x45b915…
05-02 04:36:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	150	55¢	$82	0xf68e04…
05-02 04:32:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	30	45¢	$14	0xdf9c3c…
05-02 04:26:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	40	21¢	$8	0x5e3343…
05-02 04:26:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0xa0caf2…
05-02 04:26:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x4fe31b…
05-02 04:22:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	100	61¢	$61	0xe52bf0…
05-02 04:06:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 2?	No	SELL	449	21¢	$94	0x3ec7df…
05-02 03:52:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 2?	No	SELL	45	22¢	$10	0xfe1d1e…
05-02 03:52:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 2?	No	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x0bc127…
05-02 02:50:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 2?	No	BUY	500	24¢	$120	0xe8c85a…
05-01 14:06:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	SELL	135	13¢	$18	0x611f3f…
05-01 13:26:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	135	7¢	$9	0x107dbc…
05-01 10:38:12	megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	No	SELL	22	0¢	$0	0xe021db…
05-01 08:04:24	megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	No	BUY	22	42¢	$9	0xfe4b1b…
05-01 05:30:48	megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	No	SELL	29	63¢	$18	0xeb6049…
05-01 03:18:38	megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	No	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x5bba3e…
05-01 03:15:12	megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	No	BUY	19	34¢	$6	0xa2d784…
04-30 05:59:24	Gensyn FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	9	92¢	$8	0x078bd1…
04-29 00:58:10	Pharos FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x5b8eec…
03-19 00:33:31	btc updown 5m 1773880200	Up	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xd7633d…
03-19 00:31:43	btc updown 5m 1773880200	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x642aa1…
03-19 00:31:25	btc updown 5m 1773880200	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xd1ca08…
03-19 00:31:09	btc updown 5m 1773880200	Up	BUY	15	41¢	$6	0xe0893d…
03-19 00:30:51	bitcoin above 72k on march 19	No	SELL	27	66¢	$18	0xe9542a…
03-18 18:07:21	bitcoin above 72k on march 19	No	BUY	18	52¢	$9	0x30af99…
03-18 18:04:59	bitcoin above 72k on march 19	No	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0x9c7446…
03-18 10:49:35	bitcoin above 74k on march 18	Yes	SELL	29	48¢	$14	0xd09c8b…
03-18 09:41:21	bitcoin above 74k on march 18	Yes	BUY	29	63¢	$18	0xa03b5c…
03-18 07:35:27	bitcoin above 74k on march 18	No	SELL	0	58¢	$0	0x92dc40…
03-18 07:35:17	bitcoin above 74k on march 18	No	SELL	30	58¢	$17	0xc5db62…
03-18 07:35:07	bitcoin above 74k on march 18	No	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0x5d5b3e…
03-17 18:08:53	bitcoin above 74k on march 18	No	BUY	32	37¢	$12	0x730878…
03-17 18:05:31	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	No	SELL	15	78¢	$12	0x4217e0…
03-14 18:36:45	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	No	BUY	15	48¢	$7	0x54476e…
03-14 04:45:51	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 300M by May 1?	Yes	SELL	50	14¢	$7	0xf58e02…
03-14 02:27:29	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 300M by May 1?	Yes	BUY	50	13¢	$6	0x33387a…
03-13 23:08:17	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0xbcffdb…
03-08 22:14:45	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	BUY	7	93¢	$6	0xc04ece…
02-03 18:51:46	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x9feaf4…
02-03 18:51:42	Zama FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	618	0¢	$1	0xacc561…
02-03 18:51:34	Over $30M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	No	SELL	26	95¢	$24	0xf3ede4…
02-03 18:51:32	Over $7M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	No	SELL	750	80¢	$599	0x1e790a…
02-03 18:51:28	Over $10M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	No	SELL	750	88¢	$663	0xc2f1e8…
02-03 18:51:22	Over $20M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	No	SELL	969	92¢	$892	0xf20ce1…
02-03 18:47:34	Zama FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	2,250	18¢	$400	0xe55244…
02-03 18:47:32	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	SELL	975	90¢	$877	0xd1aa78…
02-03 18:47:20	nothing ever happens khamenei	Yes	SELL	1,246	80¢	$997	0xd97256…
02-03 18:47:14	will bitcoin dip to 70k in february 2026 858 241	No	SELL	3,250	25¢	$812	0x80f6bb…
02-03 18:47:12	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	SELL	5,419	81¢	$4,391	0xdc163d…
02-03 18:47:10	bitcoin up or down on february 4	Up	SELL	9,599	14¢	$1,334	0xdc1293…
02-03 18:44:08	will bitcoin dip to 65k in february 2026 372 697	No	SELL	1,250	62¢	$776	0x571b6f…
02-03 18:40:08	another us government shutdown by february 14	No	SELL	519	57¢	$296	0x8af25f…
02-03 18:39:54	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	200	89¢	$178	0xd2cbd4…
02-03 18:38:00	Over $5M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	No	SELL	2,111	55¢	$1,159	0x3ee0c2…
02-03 18:08:04	bitcoin up or down on february 4	Up	BUY	359	28¢	$101	0xd11420…
02-03 18:07:52	bitcoin up or down on february 4	Up	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0xd6c894…
02-03 18:07:50	bitcoin up or down on february 4	Up	BUY	119	28¢	$33	0x8faac5…
02-03 18:07:48	bitcoin up or down on february 4	Up	BUY	112	28¢	$31	0x1efdb3…
02-03 18:07:16	Zama FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	500	23¢	$117	0xafaa8c…
02-03 18:06:20	bitcoin up or down on february 4	Up	BUY	500	29¢	$145	0xfac677…
02-03 17:54:36	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0xd84d08…
02-03 17:50:50	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	SELL	8	85¢	$7	0xb33ba8…
02-03 17:50:28	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	SELL	12	85¢	$10	0xa2932f…
02-03 17:48:38	bitcoin up or down on february 4	Up	BUY	321	29¢	$93	0x97a808…
02-03 17:47:46	bitcoin up or down on february 4	Up	BUY	169	29¢	$49	0xaab8e7…
02-03 17:47:30	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0x84db4b…
02-03 17:46:46	bitcoin up or down on february 4	Up	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xed8970…
02-03 17:45:34	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x2adc64…
02-03 17:44:52	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0xe01416…
02-03 17:42:30	will bitcoin dip to 70k in february 2026 858 241	No	BUY	496	39¢	$194	0x5a8a75…
02-03 17:41:30	will bitcoin dip to 70k in february 2026 858 241	No	BUY	4	39¢	$1	0x69cbbe…
02-03 17:40:38	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	SELL	1,000	85¢	$850	0x1fd81c…
02-03 17:40:14	bitcoin up or down on february 4	Up	BUY	1,356	35¢	$475	0x01a8ce…
02-03 17:40:10	bitcoin up or down on february 4	Up	BUY	394	35¢	$138	0xaaa4f7…
02-03 17:40:10	bitcoin up or down on february 4	Up	BUY	214	36¢	$77	0x3dffc2…
02-03 17:40:08	bitcoin up or down on february 4	Up	BUY	479	36¢	$172	0xf6e927…
02-03 17:40:08	bitcoin up or down on february 4	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xf2eb2b…
02-03 17:40:08	bitcoin up or down on february 4	Up	BUY	19	36¢	$7	0x8da48f…
02-03 17:40:08	bitcoin up or down on february 4	Up	BUY	87	36¢	$31	0x7a21d1…
02-03 17:40:08	bitcoin up or down on february 4	Up	BUY	94	36¢	$34	0x1be439…
02-03 17:40:08	bitcoin up or down on february 4	Up	BUY	81	36¢	$29	0x0998c4…
02-03 17:39:52	bitcoin up or down on february 4	Up	BUY	21	36¢	$8	0x470332…
02-03 17:39:36	bitcoin up or down on february 4	Up	BUY	500	36¢	$180	0x22054e…
02-03 17:39:34	bitcoin up or down on february 4	Up	BUY	36	37¢	$13	0x3c2c17…
02-03 17:39:34	bitcoin up or down on february 4	Up	BUY	49	37¢	$18	0x1d04ac…
02-03 17:39:32	bitcoin up or down on february 4	Up	BUY	17	37¢	$6	0xf3160b…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Vacant-Challenge 0x3078…0389	188	$506.7K	56,432	03-23 13:17
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	184	$36.3K	6,656	05-31 07:40
(anonymous) 0x945a…a48c	180	$24.7K	10,232	06-01 15:41
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	174	$75.1K	21,443	04-16 08:54
(anonymous) 0xd6ee…37a2	170	$220.2K	17,846	03-28 06:14
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	168	$1.12M	21,115	06-01 05:58
(anonymous) 0x9474…5091	154	$19.3K	9,683	05-26 15:31
Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81	152	$10.1K	1,776	03-27 18:56