Normal-Contrary — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$54

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-09

last 07-11 23:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Sports

33% 0% $-1

Other

31% 0% $-1

Tech

28% — —

Crypto

6% — —

Politics

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$15	18	0	+18	open	—	04-24 13:44
ucl new fcb1 2026 03 10 fcb1	1	$10	25	0	+25	open	—	03-10 19:42
Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	1	$10	24	0	+24	open	—	03-22 12:13
will vinicius jrpt score 4 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611145257760	1	$5	12	0	+12	open	—	06-18 15:40
btc updown 5m 1773060000	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-09 12:46
fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 penalty shootout	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	07-11 23:08
Will Kylian Mbappe be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	04-07 06:13
2026 FIFA World Cup: Winless Team?	1	$1	500	0	+500	open	—	06-18 15:07
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	1	$1	4	0	+4	open	—	04-06 21:20
lal gir vil 2026 04 06 draw	1	$1	6	0	+6	open	—	04-06 20:48
Will Harry Kane be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?	1	$1	4	0	+4	No	$-1	04-06 21:10
btc updown 5m 1781213700	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	06-11 21:35
ucl spo1 ars 2026 04 07 spo1	1	$1	5	0	+5	open	—	04-07 11:45
ucl rma1 bay1 2026 04 07 draw	1	$1	4	0	+4	open	—	04-06 20:29
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$1	4	0	+4	No	$-1	04-06 20:58
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$1	6	0	+6	open	—	04-06 20:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-11 23:08:22	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x581be8…
06-18 15:40:05	will vinicius jrpt score 4 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611145257760	Yes	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xbd1279…
06-18 15:07:52	2026 FIFA World Cup: Winless Team?	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x300469…
06-11 21:35:49	btc updown 5m 1781213700	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xe878b7…
04-24 13:44:46	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	83¢	$15	0x0ae381…
04-07 11:45:59	ucl spo1 ars 2026 04 07 spo1	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x0ff79b…
04-07 06:13:19	Will Kylian Mbappe be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?	No	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x28b25d…
04-06 21:20:21	US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	No	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x47787d…
04-06 21:10:09	Will Harry Kane be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xb051c2…
04-06 20:58:25	Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x8fcdc7…
04-06 20:58:21	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x6b403b…
04-06 20:48:31	lal gir vil 2026 04 06 draw	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x74bf56…
04-06 20:29:29	ucl rma1 bay1 2026 04 07 draw	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xc50d34…
03-22 12:13:13	Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x80edab…
03-10 19:42:59	ucl new fcb1 2026 03 10 fcb1	Yes	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x8c6419…
03-09 12:46:45	btc updown 5m 1773060000	Down	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x343ea5…
03-09 12:40:25	btc updown 5m 1773060000	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xfe018e…