Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

1.7%

Resolved

Trades

120

lifetime

Volume

$16.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$138

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-24

last 02-25 09:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 20 days

Categories

Other

47% 50% -$4

Crypto

41% 47% -$2

Politics

12% 60% -$1

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-02-25).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	10	$1.9K	978	978	+0	No	-$1	02-14 12:45
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	8	$1.9K	968	968	+0	No	-$1	02-14 12:45
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	6	$1.9K	958	958	+0	No	-$1	02-14 12:55
will the logan paul 1st edition charizard sale price be over 500k	5	$970	493	493	+0	Yes	$0	02-14 12:45
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	5	$968	497	497	+0	No	-$1	02-14 11:26
will ethereum reach 3600 in february 2026	3	$962	484	484	+0	No	$0	02-14 12:39
will bitcoin reach 100k in february 2026	3	$961	484	484	+0	No	$0	02-14 12:40
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	4	$958	498	498	+0	Yes	-$1	02-14 11:26
will bitcoin reach 95k in february 2026	2	$955	483	483	+0	No	$0	02-14 12:40
EdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch?	3	$955	480	480	+0	No	$0	02-14 12:47
Opinion FDV above $3B one day after launch?	3	$953	480	480	+0	No	$0	02-14 12:48
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	2	$950	482	482	+0	No	$0	02-14 12:47
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	3	$944	478	478	+0	No	$0	02-14 13:00
will bitcoin reach 90k in february 2026	3	$939	480	480	+0	No	$0	02-14 12:41
will apple be the third largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	2	$39	21	21	+0	Yes	+$0	01-28 10:29
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	2	$30	15	15	+0	No	+$0	01-31 13:09
will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	4	$27	14	14	+0	Yes	+$0	01-31 13:09
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	6	$22	12	12	+0	No	$0	02-09 12:00
will google have the second best ai model at the end of january 2026	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	01-31 13:09
Moonbirds FDV above $50M one day after launch?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	01-29 13:13
Moonbirds FDV above $600M one day after launch?	3	$20	15	5	+10	No	+$0	01-29 13:14
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	2	$15	8	8	+0	Yes	+$0	01-29 13:13
meta above 540 on january 30 2026	2	$12	6	6	+0	Yes	+$0	01-28 10:29
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	02-01 12:05
russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	02-03 15:53
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	02-04 12:25
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 4 million	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	02-03 15:53
Zama FDV above $4B one day after launch?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	02-01 12:05
Over $200M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	02-03 15:53
Rainbow FDV above $1B one day after launch?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	$0	02-01 12:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
02-25 09:20:20	bitcoin up or down on february 25	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xe9a099…
02-14 13:00:19	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x4180ff…
02-14 12:59:35	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	473	99¢	$467	0x953f5d…
02-14 12:59:29	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	478	99¢	$472	0xe0c1c2…
02-14 12:55:39	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xb33975…
02-14 12:54:55	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	SELL	476	98¢	$469	0x0fb48e…
02-14 12:54:47	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	482	99¢	$475	0x2ad525…
02-14 12:51:33	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xa59487…
02-14 12:50:07	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	SELL	469	98¢	$462	0xcd5c2f…
02-14 12:50:01	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	475	99¢	$469	0xddbae5…
02-14 12:48:31	Opinion FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x490129…
02-14 12:48:01	Opinion FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	477	99¢	$473	0xd4f704…
02-14 12:47:55	Opinion FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	480	99¢	$477	0xb79a5c…
02-14 12:47:41	EdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x3e31de…
02-14 12:47:25	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	No	SELL	482	99¢	$475	0x35e517…
02-14 12:47:05	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	No	BUY	482	99¢	$475	0x11272c…
02-14 12:46:47	EdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch?	No	SELL	478	99¢	$475	0x883f86…
02-14 12:46:39	EdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch?	No	BUY	480	99¢	$478	0xd6560c…
02-14 12:45:25	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x57d725…
02-14 12:45:21	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xdc8c58…
02-14 12:45:13	will the logan paul 1st edition charizard sale price be over 500k	Yes	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0xf74bbc…
02-14 12:44:51	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	470	99¢	$466	0x68ea33…
02-14 12:44:39	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	472	99¢	$469	0x98b68d…
02-14 12:44:25	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	472	99¢	$469	0x44d18e…
02-14 12:44:17	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	475	99¢	$472	0x1e5348…
02-14 12:42:07	will the logan paul 1st edition charizard sale price be over 500k	Yes	SELL	480	98¢	$472	0xab0706…
02-14 12:41:57	will the logan paul 1st edition charizard sale price be over 500k	Yes	BUY	486	98¢	$479	0xaf9020…
02-14 12:41:23	will bitcoin reach 90k in february 2026	No	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0xfc627c…
02-14 12:40:45	will bitcoin reach 90k in february 2026	No	SELL	472	98¢	$462	0xec9b7a…
02-14 12:40:33	will bitcoin reach 90k in february 2026	No	BUY	480	98¢	$470	0xb8e092…
02-14 12:40:21	will bitcoin reach 95k in february 2026	No	SELL	483	99¢	$477	0x1575f0…
02-14 12:40:13	will bitcoin reach 100k in february 2026	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x70a409…
02-14 12:39:51	will bitcoin reach 95k in february 2026	No	BUY	483	99¢	$478	0xaebf3a…
02-14 12:39:31	will bitcoin reach 100k in february 2026	No	SELL	481	99¢	$478	0xaa63bc…
02-14 12:39:25	will bitcoin reach 100k in february 2026	No	BUY	484	99¢	$481	0x02b3ef…
02-14 12:39:05	will ethereum reach 3600 in february 2026	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xebade9…
02-14 11:43:43	will ethereum reach 3600 in february 2026	No	SELL	482	99¢	$478	0x9e18fa…
02-14 11:43:35	will ethereum reach 3600 in february 2026	No	BUY	484	99¢	$481	0x6713f7…
02-14 11:26:49	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	492	96¢	$474	0xf47730…
02-14 11:26:41	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	8	97¢	$7	0x4aa717…
02-14 11:26:29	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	493	96¢	$474	0x82eccf…
02-14 11:26:13	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	488	97¢	$474	0x67df74…
02-14 11:26:07	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	495	97¢	$482	0x0ab7dc…
02-14 11:23:35	will the next dutch government be vvd cda d66	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xdbca3f…
02-14 11:23:29	will ethereum reach 3800 in february 2026	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x4c4f1a…
02-14 11:23:23	will ethereum reach 4000 in february 2026	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xee0031…
02-12 03:17:03	will ethereum reach 3800 in february 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x4aba80…
02-12 03:16:57	will ethereum reach 4000 in february 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x98c5c2…
02-12 03:16:45	will the next dutch government be vvd cda d66	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x3a6f1c…
02-12 02:57:53	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x450a15…
02-12 02:57:17	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x9ff7a7…
02-12 02:57:09	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	491	99¢	$487	0x01fa14…
02-12 02:56:59	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	494	99¢	$491	0xc8925f…
02-12 02:56:35	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	494	99¢	$491	0x2d1052…
02-12 02:56:27	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	496	99¢	$494	0xadd865…
02-09 12:00:57	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x6693a8…
02-09 12:00:51	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x9c51ba…
02-09 12:00:49	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	SELL	1	21¢	$0	0xb10dff…
02-09 12:00:45	Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0xea62ec…
02-09 12:00:35	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x3b0a8a…
02-09 12:00:15	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x39946d…
02-09 11:58:19	Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the next leader out before 2027?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x5bd62b…
02-05 14:57:15	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xf50a2a…
02-05 14:56:49	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x64d116…
02-05 14:56:31	Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x280933…
02-05 14:56:25	Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the next leader out before 2027?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x8a2df2…
02-05 14:56:07	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x834d1b…
02-05 14:56:01	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xd5bcbb…
02-05 14:54:13	us x iran nuclear talks resume by march 31	Yes	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0xf9bd32…
02-04 12:27:28	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x194b0d…
02-04 12:26:32	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xfc44ea…
02-04 12:26:26	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	SELL	6	88¢	$5	0x30fada…
02-04 12:26:14	Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?	Yes	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x2a99b0…
02-04 12:25:54	will the liberal democratic party win the most seats in the 2026 japanese general election	Yes	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x2fbbc8…
02-04 12:25:46	will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x12adfd…
02-03 15:55:10	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xadd810…
02-03 15:55:06	us x iran nuclear talks resume by march 31	Yes	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0xcb974e…
02-03 15:54:46	will the liberal democratic party win the most seats in the 2026 japanese general election	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xf78f3f…
02-03 15:54:36	Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc46f3a…
02-03 15:54:14	will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7fd57f…
02-03 15:53:58	Over $200M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x2bed24…
02-03 15:53:52	will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 4 million	Yes	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x5cadb4…
02-03 15:53:42	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	SELL	6	88¢	$5	0x6aff55…
02-03 15:53:38	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x20bdfd…
02-03 15:53:24	russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xece753…
02-01 12:06:26	russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xe71ed8…
02-01 12:06:12	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x9aa070…
02-01 12:06:00	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x27f7ee…
02-01 12:05:44	Over $200M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4337ce…
02-01 12:05:24	Rainbow FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x6c6d94…
02-01 12:05:16	Zama FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x09d3b0…
02-01 12:05:06	israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x3ba113…
01-31 13:10:40	Rainbow FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc112a7…
01-31 13:10:26	Zama FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9bbb45…
01-31 13:09:46	will google have the second best ai model at the end of january 2026	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x0659df…
01-31 13:09:38	will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x2635a3…
01-31 13:09:30	russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x6abba9…
01-29 13:15:48	Moonbirds FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x2bdb56…
01-29 13:14:54	russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xfe4b55…
01-29 13:14:08	Moonbirds FDV above $600M one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x8f98e4…