Distinct-Browser — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$43

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

96.6%

Resolved

Trades

258

lifetime

Volume

$11.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$46

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-18

last 06-22 11:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

76% — —

Politics

18% 75% +$43

Crypto

6% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by September 30, 2026?	Yes		+26	$2	3¢	$1	$-1	06-22 11:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	8	$797	411	411	+0	open	—	05-08 22:19
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	7	$598	316	316	+0	open	—	04-13 20:49
will collin morikawa win the 2026 masters tournament	16	$584	999	999	+0	open	—	04-09 18:06
will the uk join the board of peace	7	$578	292	292	+0	open	—	03-30 21:35
will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	6	$553	289	289	+0	open	—	03-26 23:42
will ethereum reach 2800 in march 2026	7	$487	246	246	+0	open	—	03-25 22:31
will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	7	$464	236	236	+0	open	—	03-29 03:08
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 320 339	9	$448	567	567	+0	open	—	03-20 04:48
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	8	$375	478	478	+0	No	+$0	05-09 22:27
will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by april 15	7	$346	508	508	+0	open	—	04-14 06:13
will t lm be the next president of vietnam	2	$342	177	177	+0	open	—	04-06 22:24
will xander schauffele win the 2026 masters tournament	7	$322	269	269	+0	open	—	04-08 10:08
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 280 299	2	$321	190	190	+0	open	—	04-03 09:17
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	3	$318	161	161	+0	open	—	04-15 09:35
will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 0 3	5	$317	172	172	+0	open	—	04-12 08:08
will anish giri win the 2026 fide candidates tournament	4	$313	161	161	+0	open	—	04-10 11:02
Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	4	$309	162	162	+0	open	—	04-20 05:37
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?	4	$306	161	161	+0	open	—	04-21 06:58
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 220 239	4	$283	148	148	+0	open	—	04-02 08:15
will si woo kim win the 2026 masters tournament	4	$282	143	143	+0	open	—	04-07 16:48
will trn thanh mn be the next president of vietnam	6	$280	276	276	+0	open	—	03-31 07:03
will trump talk to mohammed bin salman in march 915	5	$277	142	142	+0	open	—	04-02 19:35
military action against iran ends on march 29 2026	3	$271	138	138	+0	open	—	03-24 08:28
will shane lowry win the 2026 masters tournament	3	$263	133	133	+0	open	—	04-05 19:27
will trn lu quang be the next prime minister of vietnam	4	$248	128	128	+0	open	—	03-18 08:58
will trn cm t be the next president of vietnam	2	$245	124	124	+0	open	—	03-19 01:49
will justin rose win the 2026 masters tournament	3	$238	126	126	+0	open	—	04-12 15:23
Will Trump visit China by May 8?	2	$237	121	121	+0	No	+$0	04-18 14:15
will jason day win the 2026 masters tournament	4	$229	116	116	+0	open	—	04-04 13:51
Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	5	$215	226	0	+226	open	—	05-19 12:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-22 11:30:52	Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	7¢	$2	0x29a0c8…
06-22 09:28:10	hasan piker arrested by june 30	No	BUY	22	97¢	$21	0x083066…
05-19 12:17:37	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	Yes	BUY	25	95¢	$24	0x7d692b…
05-19 05:23:53	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	Yes	BUY	111	95¢	$106	0x2ad4b4…
05-18 22:25:15	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	Yes	BUY	36	96¢	$34	0xd63777…
05-18 22:25:15	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	Yes	BUY	9	96¢	$9	0x499f63…
05-18 22:25:15	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	Yes	BUY	45	96¢	$43	0x0ed66a…
05-13 10:57:39	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0xd01083…
05-13 10:57:39	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	28	97¢	$27	0x65cb70…
05-13 03:46:27	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	SELL	54	3¢	$1	0xe69603…
05-13 03:46:27	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	SELL	52	3¢	$1	0xe3e63f…
05-13 03:46:27	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	SELL	162	3¢	$4	0x1e9445…
05-13 03:05:28	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	268	3¢	$7	0xf85a50…
05-12 15:12:51	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	SELL	96	5¢	$5	0xef6392…
05-12 15:12:51	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	SELL	87	5¢	$5	0xd34713…
05-12 15:12:49	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	SELL	45	5¢	$2	0xf2b1d1…
05-12 11:21:17	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	BUY	228	5¢	$12	0x8b4bcd…
05-11 23:25:53	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	135	3¢	$4	0x648748…
05-11 23:25:53	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	216	3¢	$6	0x373dbf…
05-11 19:40:31	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	351	4¢	$13	0x00340b…
05-11 13:17:39	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	42	3¢	$1	0x5389e4…
05-11 13:17:00	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	67	3¢	$2	0xe6006e…
05-11 13:17:00	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	341	3¢	$12	0x311ad9…
05-11 11:17:34	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	450	4¢	$16	0x8ecf4c…
05-11 06:59:07	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	SELL	300	6¢	$20	0x63c8ca…
05-11 03:25:43	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	BUY	300	6¢	$20	0xa4fee4…
05-09 22:27:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	53	96¢	$51	0x405fe1…
05-09 19:42:32	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	70	96¢	$67	0x893a93…
05-09 19:42:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	59	96¢	$57	0xc30faa…
05-09 19:42:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x436c5c…
05-09 14:35:01	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	105	96¢	$101	0x5eecc8…
05-09 14:35:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	79	96¢	$76	0x233583…
05-09 13:33:31	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	294	4¢	$11	0x57379e…
05-09 10:27:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	294	3¢	$10	0x394ecc…
05-08 22:19:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	168	98¢	$164	0x99e6f4…
05-08 22:19:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	36	98¢	$35	0x958680…
05-08 18:27:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	29	98¢	$28	0x8a8464…
05-08 18:27:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	175	98¢	$171	0x3342a1…
05-08 15:19:19	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	101	2¢	$2	0x468664…
05-08 12:55:53	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	101	2¢	$2	0x59fdcb…
05-08 09:22:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	88	96¢	$85	0xd81468…
05-08 09:22:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	103	96¢	$99	0x119391…
05-08 06:42:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	16	97¢	$15	0x65f7b2…
05-08 02:52:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	207	97¢	$200	0x9cc0b3…
05-08 02:25:51	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	168	3¢	$5	0x38592e…
05-08 02:25:51	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	113	3¢	$3	0x1c75a6…
05-08 02:25:51	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	87	3¢	$2	0x0a5be0…
05-07 20:56:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	368	4¢	$14	0x084a93…
05-06 22:24:06	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	SELL	97	2¢	$2	0x14e0c4…
05-06 21:09:16	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	BUY	97	1¢	$1	0x592ee0…
05-06 10:41:26	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	414	14¢	$58	0x7ac363…
05-06 06:21:58	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	414	3¢	$12	0x6e0b78…
04-22 22:11:44	Will Elon Musk post 1360-1399 tweets in April 2026?	No	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0xe2fc84…
04-22 22:11:44	Will Elon Musk post 1360-1399 tweets in April 2026?	No	SELL	78	99¢	$77	0x399b5e…
04-22 17:14:18	Will Elon Musk post 1360-1399 tweets in April 2026?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xeedc34…
04-22 17:12:08	Will Jordan strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	36	1¢	$0	0xe26623…
04-22 17:12:08	Will Jordan strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	86	1¢	$1	0x991a03…
04-22 17:12:08	Will Jordan strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	110	1¢	$1	0x205aef…
04-22 11:38:40	Will Jordan strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	232	1¢	$3	0x2c95d6…
04-21 18:56:16	Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	361	4¢	$13	0x0cb67d…
04-21 16:32:44	Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	159	2¢	$2	0xbf49f8…
04-21 16:32:44	Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	202	2¢	$3	0x5f15df…
04-21 06:58:02	Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	17	95¢	$16	0xd6fab4…
04-21 05:05:16	Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	86	95¢	$82	0x871bee…
04-21 05:05:16	Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	58	95¢	$55	0x0ac613…
04-21 00:51:50	Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	161	95¢	$153	0x53613f…
04-21 00:05:40	Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	130	2¢	$3	0xd010f9…
04-21 00:05:40	Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	85	2¢	$2	0x50c3b7…
04-20 19:22:18	Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	215	3¢	$6	0x6370ff…
04-20 05:37:20	Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	25	95¢	$24	0xfc823e…
04-20 05:37:20	Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	58	95¢	$55	0xe6fc48…
04-20 05:37:20	Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	79	95¢	$75	0x01ff9a…
04-20 01:51:54	Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	162	95¢	$155	0xff156e…
04-18 14:15:36	Will Trump visit China by May 8?	No	SELL	121	98¢	$118	0xe9b639…
04-18 10:52:10	Will Trump visit China by May 8?	No	BUY	121	98¢	$118	0xbd0dbe…
04-16 03:41:50	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	Yes	BUY	454	0¢	$2	0x4d971a…
04-15 09:35:38	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	106	99¢	$105	0xfc7768…
04-15 09:35:38	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	55	99¢	$54	0xa9ed52…
04-15 07:10:50	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	161	99¢	$159	0xebefc1…
04-14 06:13:53	will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by april 15	No	SELL	144	99¢	$142	0xaabfbb…
04-14 04:53:07	will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by april 15	No	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0xeb411e…
04-14 01:35:41	will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by april 15	No	BUY	129	98¢	$127	0xee26a5…
04-14 01:35:41	will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by april 15	No	BUY	32	98¢	$32	0x3d6e39…
04-13 20:49:09	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	No	SELL	98	94¢	$93	0x922c3c…
04-13 20:49:09	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	No	SELL	70	94¢	$66	0x29620d…
04-13 18:01:35	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	No	BUY	32	94¢	$30	0xe899bc…
04-13 18:01:35	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	No	BUY	136	94¢	$128	0x5a8437…
04-13 13:18:27	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	No	SELL	119	95¢	$113	0xdd57c0…
04-13 13:18:27	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	No	SELL	29	95¢	$27	0x02a692…
04-13 09:28:59	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	No	BUY	148	95¢	$141	0xfb339c…
04-13 04:33:59	will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by april 15	Yes	SELL	277	4¢	$12	0xeddf5a…
04-13 04:33:59	will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by april 15	Yes	SELL	70	4¢	$3	0x3bc180…
04-13 02:10:37	will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by april 15	Yes	BUY	347	4¢	$14	0x82f68a…
04-12 15:23:23	will justin rose win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	71	94¢	$67	0xda6c22…
04-12 15:23:23	will justin rose win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	55	94¢	$52	0x2dae9f…
04-12 12:45:57	will justin rose win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	126	94¢	$119	0x07531d…
04-12 08:08:33	will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 0 3	No	SELL	35	92¢	$32	0x97d051…
04-12 08:08:33	will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 0 3	No	SELL	51	92¢	$47	0x928bbd…
04-12 08:08:33	will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 0 3	No	SELL	86	92¢	$79	0x0626fc…
04-12 04:39:05	will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 0 3	No	BUY	85	92¢	$78	0xcd5907…