Noteworthy-Lift — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$32

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

48.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$223

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-16

last 07-12 18:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 44 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 43% -$30

Other

3% 50% -$2

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-12).

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes		-4	-$1	6¢	$-0	+$0	07-12 18:53
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes		-2	$0	7¢	$-0	+$0	07-12 18:53

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 90k on january 16	1	$11	11	0	+11	Yes	+$0	01-16 09:33
bitcoin up or down february 10 11am et	2	$10	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	02-10 17:01
ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-15 08:00 UTC	1	$7	14	0	+14	Up	-$7	03-14 17:39
ethereum up or down on march 5	3	$5	6	5	+0	Down	+$1	03-04 22:54
XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-18 01:00 UTC	3	$5	8	3	+5	Up	+$2	02-17 19:45
ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-12 12:00 UTC	1	$5	10	0	+10	Up	+$5	03-11 17:10
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	2	$5	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	05-16 07:00
ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-26 05:00 UTC	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	-$5	02-25 17:14
bitcoin above 82k on january 27	1	$5	5	0	+5	Yes	+$0	01-27 10:16
SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-20 21:00 UTC	2	$5	5	5	+0	Down	$0	02-20 19:11
ethereum up or down on february 14	1	$5	10	0	+10	Up	+$5	02-13 21:32
Genius FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$5	6	6	+0	Yes	$0	04-12 13:34
solana up or down on march 5	3	$4	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	03-04 22:34
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 17:05 UTC	2	$4	4	4	+0	Down	+$2	02-28 17:07
SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-13 20:00 UTC	1	$4	8	0	+8	Down	-$4	03-13 07:46
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 18:45 UTC	4	$4	4	4	+0	Down	$0	02-08 18:51
ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-11 04:00 UTC	1	$3	6	0	+6	Down	-$3	03-10 18:13
bitcoin up or down on march 6	1	$3	6	0	+6	Down	+$3	03-05 14:33
SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-08 01:00 UTC	1	$3	6	0	+6	Down	-$3	03-07 13:28
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-05 05:00 UTC	1	$3	6	0	+6	Down	-$3	03-04 18:43
ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-04-12 20:00 UTC	1	$3	6	0	+6	Down	-$3	04-12 13:38
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 17:00 UTC	2	$3	2	2	+0	Down	+$1	02-28 17:04
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	Down	-$2	05-25 07:22
ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-08 01:00 UTC	1	$2	5	0	+5	Down	+$2	03-07 13:31
ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-01 21:00 UTC	1	$2	5	0	+5	Up	+$2	03-01 11:26
SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-11 04:00 UTC	1	$2	5	0	+5	Down	+$2	03-10 18:16
XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-18 17:00 UTC	1	$2	5	0	+5	Down	-$2	02-18 06:53
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-08 01:00 UTC	1	$2	5	0	+5	Down	-$2	03-07 13:26
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-11 08:00 UTC	1	$2	5	0	+5	Down	+$2	03-10 18:45
SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-04-18 20:00 UTC	1	$2	5	0	+5	Up	-$2	04-18 07:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-12 18:53:28	Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	2	23¢	$0	0x041f73…
07-12 18:53:14	Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	4	15¢	$1	0x08ecf7…
05-27 04:34:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xb449c3…
05-25 07:22:24	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x089f25…
05-21 10:18:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xb20a78…
05-16 07:00:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x225d40…
05-15 17:34:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x8b46af…
04-18 07:23:34	SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-04-18 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xaea5be…
04-15 10:36:28	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-04-15 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x733afe…
04-12 13:38:33	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-04-12 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x6a3ab5…
04-12 13:34:27	Genius FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	6	39¢	$2	0x34fade…
04-06 20:12:19	Genius FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	6	42¢	$2	0x846c7c…
04-06 06:49:31	HYPE Up/Down 4h · 2026-04-06 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xa7c3f0…
04-04 15:45:35	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-04-05 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xdc4f08…
03-31 19:56:35	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-31 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xc3ef5e…
03-27 18:45:55	SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-28 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xe40def…
03-14 17:39:41	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-15 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0xfbc498…
03-13 07:46:19	SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-13 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xd1e563…
03-11 17:13:55	SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-12 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x9cb7ad…
03-11 17:10:17	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-12 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xc38bf0…
03-10 18:45:35	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-11 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xc90a8f…
03-10 18:16:09	SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-11 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x556129…
03-10 18:13:01	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-11 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x633c0e…
03-09 07:42:39	SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-09 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xbf21b3…
03-09 07:40:15	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-09 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xd4d890…
03-07 13:31:03	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-08 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x07a1d2…
03-07 13:28:19	SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-08 01:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xd583e2…
03-07 13:26:03	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-08 01:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x27aa79…
03-06 09:42:29	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-06 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x67a5a2…
03-05 17:09:15	ethereum up or down on march 6	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x2046e0…
03-05 14:33:55	bitcoin up or down on march 6	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xbdd78f…
03-05 13:38:19	SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-06 01:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x2917f9…
03-04 22:54:23	ethereum up or down on march 5	Down	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x54085c…
03-04 22:45:51	ethereum up or down on march 5	Down	SELL	3	57¢	$2	0x3d0f6c…
03-04 22:34:29	solana up or down on march 5	Down	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0xb94f3c…
03-04 22:31:57	solana up or down on march 5	Down	SELL	3	45¢	$1	0x27f573…
03-04 19:00:05	solana up or down on march 5	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x6da2cd…
03-04 18:51:37	ethereum up or down on march 5	Down	BUY	6	43¢	$2	0xbe0ad1…
03-04 18:43:13	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-05 05:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x7ca5dc…
03-03 09:51:09	ethereum up or down on march 4	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x18ec18…
03-03 09:47:09	SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-03 21:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xe12c15…
03-02 10:16:21	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-02 17:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x9a9996…
03-02 08:57:51	solana up or down on march 3	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xf6463c…
03-01 11:31:45	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-01 21:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x470007…
03-01 11:26:53	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-01 21:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x2a8847…
02-28 21:01:39	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 21:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xbe3fe4…
02-28 20:57:51	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 20:55 UTC	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x20f078…
02-28 20:34:21	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 20:30 UTC	Up	SELL	17	5¢	$1	0x44a78c…
02-28 20:33:53	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x77e92c…
02-28 17:18:19	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-01 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xc640f6…
02-28 17:07:15	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 17:05 UTC	Down	SELL	4	83¢	$3	0x9e82df…
02-28 17:06:21	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 17:05 UTC	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x8bedd8…
02-28 17:04:03	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 17:00 UTC	Down	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0x5804b7…
02-28 17:01:57	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xdb8d2e…
02-27 17:35:09	SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-28 05:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x46c4d4…
02-27 17:29:35	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-28 05:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x772161…
02-25 17:14:52	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-26 05:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x6bbaa9…
02-23 18:59:50	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-24 05:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x7a1424…
02-23 16:59:54	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-23 17:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x19cda3…
02-23 09:56:18	SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-23 17:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x591ee2…
02-23 09:25:36	Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	13	10¢	$1	0xb574c2…
02-22 19:21:32	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-23 05:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x62ae4c…
02-22 19:15:22	SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-23 05:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x64df29…
02-21 07:32:12	SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-21 17:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x893c29…
02-20 19:11:42	SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-20 21:00 UTC	Down	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0xed0c7c…
02-20 09:26:22	SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-20 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x26b80c…
02-19 21:48:12	xrp up or down on february 21	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x61061a…
02-19 21:42:14	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-20 01:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xfdec84…
02-19 21:39:52	SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-20 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x6b27e3…
02-18 06:53:56	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-18 17:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x360ded…
02-17 19:45:13	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-18 01:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x4aea42…
02-17 18:37:05	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-18 01:00 UTC	Down	SELL	3	48¢	$1	0xa04248…
02-17 18:25:15	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-18 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x9b6428…
02-16 20:02:57	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-17 01:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x8ea60f…
02-16 19:59:15	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-16 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x0b0e8f…
02-14 18:12:45	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-14 21:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0xa58756…
02-13 21:32:33	ethereum up or down on february 14	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x2e026a…
02-11 09:57:47	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 09:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xed813f…
02-10 17:01:35	bitcoin up or down february 10 11am et	Up	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x00f85d…
02-10 16:59:43	bitcoin up or down february 10 11am et	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xef0a0c…
02-10 05:24:23	will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 12 million 218	No	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xb26d24…
02-10 04:44:35	Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	13	7¢	$1	0x887fba…
02-10 04:38:21	will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 781	Yes	SELL	7	4¢	$0	0x9e3e6b…
02-08 19:00:35	will seguro win portugals abroad votes	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x802461…
02-08 18:51:51	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 18:45 UTC	Up	SELL	2	15¢	$0	0xe65855…
02-08 18:51:17	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 18:45 UTC	Down	SELL	2	82¢	$2	0xe418a6…
02-08 18:48:41	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 18:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x2f0d1f…
02-08 18:47:47	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 18:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xf83403…
02-06 15:19:45	will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 781	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xeb6b50…
02-02 15:00:04	Zama FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0xebb8d5…
02-02 13:57:42	Zama FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc5de0d…
01-27 10:16:29	bitcoin above 82k on january 27	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xaf5f2d…
01-16 09:33:46	bitcoin above 90k on january 16	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x995083…