Aromatic-Delay — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$309

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.61K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$33

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 05-31 11:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

48% 50% +$309

Crypto

31% — —

Other

18% — —

Sports

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	4	$445	720	720	+0	Yes	+$309	05-09 04:32
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	7	$267	506	506	+0	open	—	03-24 08:06
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	2	$214	396	396	+0	Yes	+$0	04-28 15:43
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?	7	$172	887	887	+0	open	—	03-24 08:07
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	1	$107	535	0	+535	open	—	04-28 15:44
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	3	$88	447	0	+447	open	—	05-11 05:13
ukraine officially agrees to a us backed ceasefire framework by january 31	4	$86	392	392	+0	open	—	01-03 16:56
Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?	2	$57	191	191	+0	open	—	03-06 09:28
us forces in venezuela by january 31 2026	2	$42	23	23	+0	open	—	01-03 09:27
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$38	100	100	+0	open	—	02-11 17:14
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	6	$27	17	17	+0	open	—	03-20 19:10
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$16	11	11	+0	open	—	01-17 20:09
epl liv lee 2026 01 01 liv	1	$14	22	0	+22	open	—	01-01 17:59
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$12	31	31	+0	open	—	03-26 18:15
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	1	$10	5,000	0	+5,000	open	—	05-31 11:17
uef ukr swe 2026 03 26 ukr	1	$7	24	0	+24	open	—	03-26 18:29
dota2 yb1 bb4 2026 03 24	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	03-24 08:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-31 11:17:37	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$10	0xfc5236…
05-11 05:13:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	147	15¢	$22	0x431967…
05-10 15:49:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	100	22¢	$22	0x5b2efb…
05-10 15:47:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	200	22¢	$44	0xfc05ef…
05-09 04:32:53	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	343	99¢	$339	0x988989…
05-05 21:10:28	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	343	11¢	$38	0x2869ec…
05-05 10:17:54	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	377	10¢	$38	0x1f1d37…
04-28 15:44:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	535	20¢	$107	0x577be8…
04-28 15:43:22	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	396	27¢	$107	0xb101eb…
04-24 14:35:40	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	396	27¢	$107	0xda119e…
04-24 14:26:32	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	377	8¢	$30	0x6ee5af…
03-26 18:29:13	uef ukr swe 2026 03 26 ukr	Yes	BUY	24	29¢	$7	0xb263e5…
03-26 18:15:55	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	31	22¢	$7	0x5de5cb…
03-25 11:05:03	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	31	17¢	$5	0x8d1f3b…
03-24 08:09:41	dota2 yb1 bb4 2026 03 24	BetBoom Team	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x408861…
03-24 08:07:05	Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	767	0¢	$1	0xbfeb79…
03-24 08:06:49	Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	506	1¢	$3	0x91f5c8…
03-20 19:11:27	Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	169	4¢	$6	0xa28e4d…
03-20 19:10:29	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	SELL	8	79¢	$6	0x3098cc…
03-17 15:09:59	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	8	73¢	$6	0x065c29…
03-16 10:30:11	Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	51	9¢	$4	0x176a47…
03-16 10:29:47	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0x9bc1b7…
03-16 10:00:05	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x30c42e…
03-15 19:08:53	Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	47	10¢	$5	0xf33253…
03-14 05:23:45	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	SELL	4	91¢	$4	0x39c569…
03-11 11:29:17	Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	500	20¢	$100	0x038134…
03-10 13:11:09	Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	197	41¢	$81	0x81f0b4…
03-06 09:41:09	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0x6b3c14…
03-06 09:28:45	Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	120	21¢	$25	0xdec017…
03-06 09:28:29	Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	191	14¢	$27	0x1795c3…
03-02 18:12:59	Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	191	16¢	$30	0x2ff5c8…
03-02 11:06:09	Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	120	26¢	$31	0xb7a5a0…
03-02 09:30:31	Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	88	54¢	$48	0x506f35…
02-12 18:43:35	Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	54	55¢	$30	0x17e624…
02-11 18:22:41	Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	14	56¢	$8	0xd2d365…
02-11 17:15:15	Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	35	54¢	$19	0xb730d0…
02-11 17:14:49	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	100	19¢	$19	0x2be364…
02-11 11:57:43	Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	118	67¢	$79	0xcb50b2…
01-17 20:09:12	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	SELL	11	78¢	$8	0x688435…
01-05 16:37:15	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	11	73¢	$8	0x2531b5…
01-04 18:50:41	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	100	19¢	$19	0x87e216…
01-03 16:56:39	ukraine officially agrees to a us backed ceasefire framework by january 31	Yes	SELL	200	13¢	$26	0x072efe…
01-03 09:28:13	ukraine officially agrees to a us backed ceasefire framework by january 31	Yes	BUY	200	11¢	$22	0x43c4e6…
01-03 09:27:29	us forces in venezuela by january 31 2026	Yes	SELL	23	98¢	$23	0x5d9323…
01-03 09:22:53	us forces in venezuela by january 31 2026	Yes	BUY	23	82¢	$19	0x8ad2d8…
01-03 09:22:23	ukraine officially agrees to a us backed ceasefire framework by january 31	Yes	SELL	192	10¢	$19	0xf29dec…
01-02 10:07:21	ukraine officially agrees to a us backed ceasefire framework by january 31	Yes	BUY	192	10¢	$19	0x182546…
01-01 17:59:11	epl liv lee 2026 01 01 liv	Yes	BUY	22	64¢	$14	0xe59bab…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	14	$266.9K	4,032	05-31 10:07
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	14	$39.3K	399	05-27 19:06
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	13	$56.0K	4,718	04-29 17:28
Bad-Shakedown 0xea28…3a0b	12	$16.6K	517	05-18 05:16
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	11	$8.21M	9,251	05-31 21:55
Active-Hypothermia 0xc3cd…816c	11	$264.3K	2,766	05-27 12:37
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	11	$127.1K	10,223	05-27 03:07
Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae	11	$52.4K	11,593	05-29 21:13