Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$62

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

60.5%

Resolved

490

Trades

675

lifetime

Volume

$5.67K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-27

last 11-05 11:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 69 days

Categories

Other

68% 41% -$114

Politics

17% 47% -$56

Sports

14% 56% +$126

Tech

0% 0% -$19

Crypto

0% 50% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?	Yes		+25	$10	22¢	$6	-$4	11-05 11:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	4	$209	365	365	+0	Yes	+$1	03-30 16:34
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	4	$135	529	529	+0	Yes	-$8	03-30 16:06
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	2	$119	64	64	+0	No	+$8	08-21 10:40
fl1 rcl tou 2026 04 17 tou	2	$85	333	250	+83	No	-$15	04-16 21:53
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	2	$85	53	53	+0	Yes	+$5	04-03 11:24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$79	53	53	+0	No	+$0	04-15 10:25
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	2	$72	64	64	+0	Yes	+$5	09-21 13:22
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	2	$72	59	59	+0	No	+$6	03-30 21:23
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	3	$67	40	40	+0	Yes	+$12	04-12 19:00
will trump say iran during the white house easter egg roll	4	$65	54	54	+0	Yes	+$10	04-05 05:04
will the dhs shutdown end after march 31 2026	2	$60	41	41	+0	Yes	+$20	03-28 13:44
will t lm be the next president of vietnam	2	$58	30	30	+0	Yes	+$1	04-06 04:15
nor tro lil 2026 04 15 total 1pt5	2	$55	45	45	+0	Under	+$35	04-15 19:04
lol tes blg 2026 04 16	2	$51	42	41	+1	Top Esports	+$32	04-16 13:11
another critical cloudflare incident by april 30 2026	2	$50	61	61	+0	Yes	+$10	04-28 18:42
ucl ars spo1 2026 04 15 total 1pt5	2	$49	40	39	+1	Under	+$30	04-15 21:14
mlb sf cin 2026 04 16 spread away 1pt5	5	$48	72	56	+16	San Francisco Giants	-$10	04-16 16:21
mlb tor mil 2026 04 16 spread away 1pt5	4	$45	44	43	+1	Milwaukee Brewers	+$5	04-16 20:44
uel bet1 scb 2026 04 16 total 3pt5	2	$45	36	35	+1	Over	+$26	04-16 20:44
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	2	$42	43	43	+0	Yes	+$2	04-14 16:21
bl2 fck bra 2026 04 24 fck	8	$41	35	35	+1	No	+$3	04-24 18:30
will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	2	$40	24	24	+0	No	+$7	03-30 23:01
lol nip blg 2026 04 23	2	$40	36	35	+1	Ninjas in Pyjamas	+$31	04-23 13:42
Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by at least 5%?	2	$36	32	32	+0	Yes	+$16	04-16 09:31
ucl ars spo1 2026 04 15 ars	2	$36	26	26	+1	No	+$16	04-15 21:15
lib lib ros 2026 04 15 total 1pt5	2	$34	25	24	+0	Under	+$15	04-16 00:17
col az shd 2026 04 16 total 3pt5	3	$34	53	30	+23	Over	-$15	04-16 16:19
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	1	$33	47	0	+47	Yes	+$14	08-21 13:57
sud rac bot 2026 04 15 total 3pt5	2	$32	46	45	+1	Over	+$13	04-15 22:28
Will Richard Neal be the MA-01 Democratic nominee?	1	$32	34	0	+34	Yes	+$3	09-01 12:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 11:45:37	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?	Yes	BUY	25	39¢	$10	0xb82809…
09-22 14:03:00	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x896d1b…
09-22 14:03:00	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x734209…
09-21 13:24:41	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x073751…
09-21 13:24:12	us x iran ceasefire continues through december 31 20260918	No	BUY	40	65¢	$26	0x65b91b…
09-21 13:22:20	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	64	61¢	$39	0x8d26b7…
09-15 13:00:01	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	64	53¢	$34	0xf61d32…
09-01 12:18:16	Will Richard Neal be the MA-01 Democratic nominee?	Yes	BUY	34	92¢	$32	0x1dd6f2…
08-21 13:57:13	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	47	71¢	$33	0x689fd7…
08-21 13:56:43	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	No	BUY	32	95¢	$30	0xee6d04…
08-21 10:40:27	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	64	100¢	$63	0xc7d27a…
07-30 15:26:33	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	25	54¢	$14	0x2f515b…
07-27 15:01:12	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	13	49¢	$7	0x054294…
07-27 08:56:22	Will Safepoint's market cap be between $900M and $1.1B at market close on IPO day?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xd16e79…
07-22 14:33:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	64	87¢	$55	0xe43cf7…
07-08 16:59:25	Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?	Yes	BUY	118	8¢	$10	0xe8521d…
06-01 14:43:19	Will Kim Kwan-young win the 2026 Jeonbuk Province Gubernatorial Election?	Yes	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x40a48d…
06-01 14:42:58	Israeli forces enter Tyre by June 7?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x6bb532…
06-01 14:42:36	Will Applied Aerospace & Defense's market cap be between $3.25B and $3.75B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x9400dd…
06-01 14:42:23	Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0xf2773c…
05-29 09:52:25	Will Park Soo-hyun win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election by between 20% and 30%?	Yes	BUY	29	15¢	$4	0x2a7b9f…
05-29 09:51:52	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $89 on May 29?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xf5d452…
05-29 09:51:38	Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 0–5%?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x0e01cb…
05-29 09:50:56	Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 28m?	Yes	BUY	14	34¢	$5	0xddf51d…
05-29 09:50:39	Will Safepoint's market cap be between $900M and $1.1B at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x22feeb…
05-29 09:50:14	Will "The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 6m and 7m?	Yes	BUY	13	37¢	$5	0x12ddac…
05-29 09:49:51	Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in the Antioquia Department?	Yes	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0x07ee64…
05-29 09:49:13	Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x66226e…
05-29 09:48:57	FDA approves Cingulate's Ctx-1301?	No	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xd71d39…
05-29 09:48:17	Will Broadcom Q2 AI revenue be above $11.0B?	Yes	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xbc26b3…
05-29 09:47:40	Will Dusty Johnson win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xe0185f…
05-29 09:47:28	Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?	Yes	BUY	7	66¢	$5	0xc1fd15…
05-29 09:46:34	Will Labour Party win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x0c5b9f…
05-29 09:46:14	Israeli forces enter Beirut by June 30?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xa51f07…
05-29 09:45:27	Will Donald Trump dance on May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x072876…
05-29 09:44:56	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x52a052…
05-29 09:44:43	Will Park Wan-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?	Yes	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x999a19…
05-29 09:44:03	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in May?	No	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xa09c80…
05-29 09:43:53	Will Alex Borg be the next Prime Minister of Malta following the 2026 Maltese general election?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x0644d2…
05-29 09:43:16	Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	Yes	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x6fa902…
05-06 20:39:17	Will Putin visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	27	16¢	$4	0x4063cc…
05-05 09:42:32	Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x5fa217…
05-05 09:27:54	Will Hims & Hers Health (HIMS) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	6	77¢	$5	0x807e61…
05-04 21:38:38	Will Integra Lifesciences (IART) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0x8d103b…
05-04 21:38:10	US announces shutdown of Gaza military center by May 15?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xfa34c4…
05-04 21:37:54	Will MrBeast's video get between 62 and 64 million views on day 3?	Yes	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xc30282…
05-04 21:37:42	Will Reform UK win at least 2000 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xc5055f…
05-04 21:35:24	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $720 on May 4?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xb69835…
05-04 19:26:56	Will David Farley win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?	Yes	SELL	3	76¢	$2	0x7aee23…
05-04 17:38:06	Will David Farley win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?	Yes	SELL	3	76¢	$2	0x2e43bd…
05-04 17:21:24	Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 39.0 on May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xc21b23…
05-04 14:58:38	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $102 on May 4?	Yes	SELL	8	62¢	$5	0xd16733…
05-04 09:47:10	Will Hims & Hers Health (HIMS) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x4327d2…
05-04 09:46:48	Will the Green Party win at least 500 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xc3a8ca…
05-04 09:46:34	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $102 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x0d87b1…
05-04 09:46:20	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $720 on May 4?	No	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xf89e20…
05-04 09:46:06	Will Rowenna Davis win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?	No	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x7228b4…
05-04 09:45:50	Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 55m?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x7a8cfc…
05-04 09:42:38	Will Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?	Yes	SELL	7	75¢	$5	0x14985d…
05-04 06:52:10	Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by April 30?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xbf1369…
05-04 03:55:50	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 80m?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xfc4bdc…
05-02 22:18:06	Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by May 15?	No	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0xc15e34…
05-02 22:16:44	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	67	1¢	$1	0x9d88a3…
05-01 20:31:10	Will UK GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.6% and 0.9%?	Yes	BUY	19	23¢	$4	0xa02955…
05-01 20:28:06	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 1?	Up	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x91c45a…
04-30 22:10:58	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 1?	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x6d122a…
04-30 22:09:48	Will Trump say "Venezuela" at The Villages on May 1?	Yes	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xf74b84…
04-30 22:08:24	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 30?	Down	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xe09d5f…
04-30 22:06:36	Will Josh Williams be the Republican nominee for OH-09?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x6523c2…
04-30 22:00:38	Will UK GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0% and 0.3%?	Yes	BUY	9	18¢	$2	0xf7b958…
04-30 22:00:18	Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.25–2.50 in April?	Yes	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x8dee39…
04-30 14:48:18	Will Georgia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	8	68¢	$6	0x30e9b3…
04-30 13:44:30	Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xfbdc07…
04-30 13:36:22	Will Reform UK win at least 1600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	No	BUY	14	33¢	$5	0xca8dfc…
04-30 13:34:48	Will David Farley win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?	Yes	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x4767e0…
04-30 13:34:28	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 6?	Yes	BUY	101	1¢	$1	0x934178…
04-30 13:33:48	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 30?	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x0d9494…
04-30 13:33:12	Will the Liberal Democrats win at least 600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	No	SELL	25	13¢	$3	0x7b9d84…
04-30 13:18:10	Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x1e04e9…
04-30 10:08:14	Will Armenia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	7	64¢	$5	0x7eda68…
04-29 21:40:10	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	Yes	SELL	8	48¢	$4	0x2dbc58…
04-29 18:29:02	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 80m?	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xdebcfc…
04-29 17:01:50	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 29?	Down	SELL	9	67¢	$6	0x737693…
04-29 14:55:26	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 29?	Down	BUY	10	46¢	$4	0xd7fe28…
04-29 14:39:36	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 29?	Up	SELL	8	59¢	$5	0x7367ed…
04-29 10:34:42	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	Yes	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0x0a4b43…
04-29 10:33:40	Will the Liberal Democrats win at least 600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	No	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xcf9176…
04-29 10:33:08	Will Reform UK win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x9ccab6…
04-29 10:32:30	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 90m?	Yes	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x929d13…
04-29 10:32:02	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 29?	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xa6f0c0…
04-29 10:31:50	Will Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?	Yes	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x37bf60…
04-29 10:31:32	Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in April?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x73a8c6…
04-29 10:31:20	Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?	Yes	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x43ea73…
04-28 18:42:42	another critical cloudflare incident by april 30 2026	Yes	SELL	61	50¢	$30	0x994e59…
04-28 10:21:36	Will Jason Perry win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	13	34¢	$5	0x88dd14…
04-28 10:20:58	Will the Liberal Democrats win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	No	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xc1223a…
04-28 10:20:44	Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by April 30?	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x7c1bd9…
04-28 10:20:28	Will the Labour Party win control of the most London borough councils?	Yes	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x4ae686…
04-28 10:19:50	Will Powell say "Shut down" or "Shutdown" during April press conference?	No	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xfb9f33…
04-28 10:19:32	Will Forhad Hussain win the 2026 London Borough of Newham mayoral election?	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x0e80d5…